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Risks and benefits of long-term ticagrelor
Photo courtesy of AstraZeneca
SAN DIEGO—New research suggests that adding the antiplatelet drug ticagrelor to aspirin as long-term therapy after a heart attack can significantly reduce the risk of cardiovascular death, heart attack, or stroke, but it can also increase the risk of major bleeding.
Marc S. Sabatine, MD, of Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, Massachusetts, presented these results at the American College of Cardiology’s 64th Annual Scientific Session (abstract 400-18). The findings were published in NEJM as well.
The research was sponsored by AstraZeneca, the company developing ticagrelor.
The trial, known as PEGASUS-TIMI 54, included 21,162 patients who had experienced a heart attack in the previous 1 to 3 years. Each had another factor, such as age or diabetes, that put them at risk for a second heart attack.
The patients were randomized to receive aspirin plus twice-daily doses of ticagrelor at 90 mg, ticagrelor at 60 mg, or placebo.
The twice-daily 90 mg dose of ticagrelor is already approved for patients with acute coronary syndrome. The researchers included a lower dose in this study to investigate whether platelet inhibition needed 2 years after a heart attack might be different from what is needed 2 hours after a heart attack.
The team found that both ticagrelor doses reduced the rate of the primary endpoint, which was a composite of cardiovascular death, heart attack, and stroke. At 3 years, the rate was 7.85% in the 90 mg group, 7.77% in the 60 mg group, and 9.04% in the placebo group (P=0.008 for 90 mg vs placebo and P=0.004 for 60 mg vs placebo).
“The benefit we saw was remarkably consistent across the individual components of the endpoint and in all the major subgroups of patients,” Dr Sabatine said. “Moreover, we followed patients for an average of just under 3 years, and our event curves continue to spread out over time, suggesting that the benefit continues to accrue over time.”
“Efficacy was virtually identical with both ticagrelor doses,” he added. “Risk of bleeding and dyspnea tended to be, as predicted, a bit more with the 90 mg than the 60 mg dose, but the trial wasn’t designed to compare those two dose levels.”
The rates of TIMI major bleeding were 2.60% in the 90 mg group, 2.30% in the 60 mg group, and 1.06% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for each ticagrelor dose vs placebo).
The rates of dyspnea were 18.93% in the 90 mg group, 15.84% in 60 mg group, and 6.38% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for each ticagrelor dose vs placebo).
The rates of dyspnea leading to treatment discontinuation were 6.5% in the 90 mg group, 4.55% in the 60 mg group, and 0.79% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for each ticagrelor dose vs placebo).
Although the differences in dyspnea and TIMI major bleeding between the 2 ticagrelor dose groups were not statistically significant, Dr Sabatine and his colleagues said the 60 mg dose may offer a more attractive benefit-risk profile.
“Now that we have the evidence, when faced with a patient who has had a heart attack, based on these data, I would continue treatment with ticagrelor as long as the patient tolerated it,” Dr Sabatine concluded.
Photo courtesy of AstraZeneca
SAN DIEGO—New research suggests that adding the antiplatelet drug ticagrelor to aspirin as long-term therapy after a heart attack can significantly reduce the risk of cardiovascular death, heart attack, or stroke, but it can also increase the risk of major bleeding.
Marc S. Sabatine, MD, of Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, Massachusetts, presented these results at the American College of Cardiology’s 64th Annual Scientific Session (abstract 400-18). The findings were published in NEJM as well.
The research was sponsored by AstraZeneca, the company developing ticagrelor.
The trial, known as PEGASUS-TIMI 54, included 21,162 patients who had experienced a heart attack in the previous 1 to 3 years. Each had another factor, such as age or diabetes, that put them at risk for a second heart attack.
The patients were randomized to receive aspirin plus twice-daily doses of ticagrelor at 90 mg, ticagrelor at 60 mg, or placebo.
The twice-daily 90 mg dose of ticagrelor is already approved for patients with acute coronary syndrome. The researchers included a lower dose in this study to investigate whether platelet inhibition needed 2 years after a heart attack might be different from what is needed 2 hours after a heart attack.
The team found that both ticagrelor doses reduced the rate of the primary endpoint, which was a composite of cardiovascular death, heart attack, and stroke. At 3 years, the rate was 7.85% in the 90 mg group, 7.77% in the 60 mg group, and 9.04% in the placebo group (P=0.008 for 90 mg vs placebo and P=0.004 for 60 mg vs placebo).
“The benefit we saw was remarkably consistent across the individual components of the endpoint and in all the major subgroups of patients,” Dr Sabatine said. “Moreover, we followed patients for an average of just under 3 years, and our event curves continue to spread out over time, suggesting that the benefit continues to accrue over time.”
“Efficacy was virtually identical with both ticagrelor doses,” he added. “Risk of bleeding and dyspnea tended to be, as predicted, a bit more with the 90 mg than the 60 mg dose, but the trial wasn’t designed to compare those two dose levels.”
The rates of TIMI major bleeding were 2.60% in the 90 mg group, 2.30% in the 60 mg group, and 1.06% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for each ticagrelor dose vs placebo).
The rates of dyspnea were 18.93% in the 90 mg group, 15.84% in 60 mg group, and 6.38% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for each ticagrelor dose vs placebo).
The rates of dyspnea leading to treatment discontinuation were 6.5% in the 90 mg group, 4.55% in the 60 mg group, and 0.79% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for each ticagrelor dose vs placebo).
Although the differences in dyspnea and TIMI major bleeding between the 2 ticagrelor dose groups were not statistically significant, Dr Sabatine and his colleagues said the 60 mg dose may offer a more attractive benefit-risk profile.
“Now that we have the evidence, when faced with a patient who has had a heart attack, based on these data, I would continue treatment with ticagrelor as long as the patient tolerated it,” Dr Sabatine concluded.
Photo courtesy of AstraZeneca
SAN DIEGO—New research suggests that adding the antiplatelet drug ticagrelor to aspirin as long-term therapy after a heart attack can significantly reduce the risk of cardiovascular death, heart attack, or stroke, but it can also increase the risk of major bleeding.
Marc S. Sabatine, MD, of Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, Massachusetts, presented these results at the American College of Cardiology’s 64th Annual Scientific Session (abstract 400-18). The findings were published in NEJM as well.
The research was sponsored by AstraZeneca, the company developing ticagrelor.
The trial, known as PEGASUS-TIMI 54, included 21,162 patients who had experienced a heart attack in the previous 1 to 3 years. Each had another factor, such as age or diabetes, that put them at risk for a second heart attack.
The patients were randomized to receive aspirin plus twice-daily doses of ticagrelor at 90 mg, ticagrelor at 60 mg, or placebo.
The twice-daily 90 mg dose of ticagrelor is already approved for patients with acute coronary syndrome. The researchers included a lower dose in this study to investigate whether platelet inhibition needed 2 years after a heart attack might be different from what is needed 2 hours after a heart attack.
The team found that both ticagrelor doses reduced the rate of the primary endpoint, which was a composite of cardiovascular death, heart attack, and stroke. At 3 years, the rate was 7.85% in the 90 mg group, 7.77% in the 60 mg group, and 9.04% in the placebo group (P=0.008 for 90 mg vs placebo and P=0.004 for 60 mg vs placebo).
“The benefit we saw was remarkably consistent across the individual components of the endpoint and in all the major subgroups of patients,” Dr Sabatine said. “Moreover, we followed patients for an average of just under 3 years, and our event curves continue to spread out over time, suggesting that the benefit continues to accrue over time.”
“Efficacy was virtually identical with both ticagrelor doses,” he added. “Risk of bleeding and dyspnea tended to be, as predicted, a bit more with the 90 mg than the 60 mg dose, but the trial wasn’t designed to compare those two dose levels.”
The rates of TIMI major bleeding were 2.60% in the 90 mg group, 2.30% in the 60 mg group, and 1.06% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for each ticagrelor dose vs placebo).
The rates of dyspnea were 18.93% in the 90 mg group, 15.84% in 60 mg group, and 6.38% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for each ticagrelor dose vs placebo).
The rates of dyspnea leading to treatment discontinuation were 6.5% in the 90 mg group, 4.55% in the 60 mg group, and 0.79% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for each ticagrelor dose vs placebo).
Although the differences in dyspnea and TIMI major bleeding between the 2 ticagrelor dose groups were not statistically significant, Dr Sabatine and his colleagues said the 60 mg dose may offer a more attractive benefit-risk profile.
“Now that we have the evidence, when faced with a patient who has had a heart attack, based on these data, I would continue treatment with ticagrelor as long as the patient tolerated it,” Dr Sabatine concluded.
Opioid Risk Measure for Hospitalization
Longer term and higher doses of opioid analgesics (OAs) have been associated with multiple adverse outcomes such as loss of work, cognitive decline, and poor function.[1, 2, 3, 4] One of the most widely reported complications of opioid therapy is drug overdose.[5, 6, 7, 8, 9] In population‐based studies, daily morphine equivalent doses >100 mg have been associated with significantly increased risk of drug overdose.[5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10] Among health maintenance organization (HMO) enrollees filling at least 2 prescriptions for opioids, our group reported that daily opioid doses 100 mg were associated with approximately threefold greater adjusted odds of drug overdose.[10] We also observed over a twofold increase in odds of drug overdose for lower daily doses of 50 to 99 mg if the patient also received a high total opioid dose (>1830 mg) over a 6‐month period. This analysis suggests that clinicians may need to monitor not only daily dose but also total dose of opioids to reduce the risk of drug overdose.
Yet drug overdose represents only a small subset of all hospitalizations for persons receiving long‐term or higher doses of opioids for noncancer pain. These patients have significant demand for urgent care services, including hospitalization, for diverse reasons such as adverse effects of opioids, underlying cause of chronic pain, and comorbidities such as mental health disorders.[11] In a cohort of elderly primary care patients who were high hospital utilizers, Freund and colleagues reported that chronic pain and depression were the most common conditions co‐occurring with their other comorbidities.[12] However, little is known about the association of opioid dose with the risk of all‐cause hospitalization for patients with noncancer pain.
In this article we examined hospitalizations for a national cohort of HMO enrollees with noncancer pain who filled at least 2 prescriptions for schedule II or III opioids over a 3.5‐year timeframe. This retrospective cohort analysis aims to identify clinically useful opioid dose measures for clinicians, administrators, and policymakers to use in identifying patients at increased risk of future hospitalization who may warrant interventions to reduce this risk.
METHODS
Study Sample
From Aetna administrative databases including enrollment files and paid claims for services, we identified 261,528 subjects aged 18 to 64 years who had at least 2 paid claims for schedule II or III noninjectable OA prescriptions from January 2009 through July 2012.[10] For individuals meeting these criteria, study cohort eligibility required at least 12 months of enrollment and complete data on demographics and OA prescriptions as well as clinical conditions from at least 1 encounter (see Supporting Information, Appendix 1, in the online version of this article).[10] We excluded subjects with a cancer diagnosis who have high hospital utilization and those younger than 45 years because of a higher likelihood of pregnancy‐related hospitalization. To afford sufficient observation time for outcomes, subjects with <12 months follow‐up after the first opioid prescription were excluded. The resultant study cohort totaled 87,688 subjects.
To capture the changing nature of medication utilization and clinical conditions in this longitudinal study, we divided the study timeframe into 6‐month intervals starting with the first opioid prescription and ending with the subject's last enrollment or end of the study (see Supporting Information, Appendix 2, in the online version of this article). Six‐month intervals were studied because this is the maximum duration of benefit from randomized trials of opioid therapy for noncancer pain.[13] This study was approved by the University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio's institutional review board.
Outcome Variables
Study outcomes were all‐cause hospitalization (binary) and hospital days (discrete) per 6‐month interval and were measured repeatedly for up to 6, 6‐month intervals.
Primary Independent Variables
We examined 2 opioid dose measures within a 6‐month interval and hospitalization outcomes in the next 6 months (see Supporting Information, Appendix 2, in the online version of this article). We did not examine OA use in the last 6 months of the study timeframe because subsequent hospitalization outcomes were not available. We defined the total morphine equivalent dose of OA prescriptions filled within a 6‐month interval based on the method used by Edlund et al.[14] and adapted by our group.[10] We also defined the daily dose of OAs that is a widely used metric used in chronic pain management guidelines.[10, 15]
To calculate the total opioid dose, all filled schedule II or III OA prescriptions (noninjectable formulations) were identified from claims for filled prescriptions for each 6‐month interval. The morphine equivalent dose for each opioid prescription was calculated from the number of pills dispensed multiplied by strength (in milligrams) and by a morphine equivalent conversion factor derived from several sources including published data,[16, 17] conversion tables from Internet sources, and drug information resources.[18, 19] A clinical pharmacist reviewed and finalized conversions. When an opioid prescription spanned two, 6‐month intervals, the dose was divided proportionate to time in each interval. The total dose for all opioid prescriptions within an interval was summed and categorized by quartile of nonzero total dose as: 1 to 190, 191 to 450, 451 to 1830, and >1830 mg.[10]
To calculate the daily opioid dose in each interval, the total dose was divided by total nonoverlapping days' supply covered by all prescriptions. The average daily dose was categorized as in other studies: 1 to 19, 20 to 49, 50 to 99, and 100 mg.[5, 6, 10] In each 6‐month interval, the percentage of days covered by filled prescriptions was calculated as total days' supply/180.
Other Independent Variables
Demographic data included age as of July 2012, sex, and US region. From available diagnosis codes for encounters, pain‐related conditions were identified including: back pain, other osteoarthritis, neuropathic pain, chronic pain unspecified, or chronic headache (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes available from authors). Mental health/substance use disorders were similarly identified: anxiety or post‐traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), depression, psychosis, drug abuse, and alcohol abuse. Once a psychiatric condition or substance use disorder was diagnosed, it was considered to persist because these are usually not transient. We examined filled prescriptions for psychoactive drugs in 6‐month intervals including: benzodiazepines (i.e., clonazepam, alprazolam, lorazepam, diazepam, chlordiazepine, temazepam, flurazepam), antidepressants (i.e., selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, serotonin and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors, tricyclics [complete list available from authors]), and sedatives (i.e., zolpidem, eszopiclone). For these drugs, time‐varying variables were created as follows: benzodiazepines (0, 130, 3190, 91180 days), sedatives (0, 130, 3190, 91180 days), and antidepressants (0, 160, 61180 days). Categories for duration of antidepressants differed because a clinical response can take up to 6 to 8 weeks.
Statistical Analyses
Descriptive statistics were examined for study cohort characteristics. For the binary all‐cause hospitalization outcome, repeated measures logistic regression models were estimated using generalized estimating equations (GEE) to examine associations of daily opioid dose, total opioid dose, and their interaction with all‐cause hospitalization. The fully adjusted model includes demographics, chronic pain conditions, mental health conditions, substance use disorders, other psychoactive drugs, and current hospitalization (yes/no). For the hospital days per 6‐month outcome, a series of repeated measures Poisson regressions were estimated using the GEE approach.
In a post hoc sensitivity analysis, we examined the association of the percentage of days covered by prescribed opioids, categorized based on approximate quartiles and clinical judgment, with hospitalization among subjects with a high total dose (>1830 mg). For this analysis, we created a composite measure of opioid treatment for each 6‐month interval that has 6 categories: (1) none, (2) low total dose 1 to 1830 mg, (3) high total dose >1830 mg with 50% of days on opioids, (4) total dose >1830 mg with >50% to 75% of days on opioids, (5) total dose >1830 mg with >75% to 90% of days on opioids, and (6) total dose >1830 mg and >90% of days on opioids. Adjusted regression analyses described above were repeated for both outcomes and included this composite measure. All statistical tests were performed with a 2‐sided significance level of 0.05, and analyses were conducted using SAS version 9.3 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).
RESULTS
Of 87,688 study subjects, 54.8% were women, and the mean age was 53.8 years (standard deviation [SD]=5.5). Nearly half of the cohort resided in Southern states (Table 1). In the baseline 6‐month interval, the most common chronic noncancer pain conditions were musculoskeletal involving large joint arthritis/arthralgia (38.4%) and back pain (28.2%). In regard to mental health and substance use conditions, both anxiety/PTSD and depression were diagnosed in approximately 7% of the cohort, whereas psychosis, and alcohol and other substance use disorders were each diagnosed in <2%. In the baseline interval, 12.7% of subjects were hospitalized. The majority of patients received a daily opioid dose of 20 to 49 mg, and the median total dose was 450 mg. The median percent of time exposed to opioids was 6.7% among all study subjects and 70% for those with a high total dose (>1830 mg).
In the 3 study years, an average of 12% of the cohort was hospitalized yearly (Table 2), or 1120 hospitalizations per 10,000 person‐years. Among those who were hospitalized, inpatient days averaged 6.5 (SD=8.5). The highest proportion of hospitalized subjects was 6.5%, occurring in the 6‐month interval immediately following the first opioid treatment interval. In subsequent 6‐month intervals, hospitalization rates were relatively stable, ranging from 5.2% to 6.1% (Table 2). As shown, future hospitalization rates increased monotonically, with increasing total or daily dose within each 6‐month interval.
Characteristics | Total, N=87,688 |
---|---|
| |
Demographics | |
Women, n (%) | 48,077 (54.8) |
Age, mean (SD) | 53.8 (5.5) |
US region, n (%) | |
Midwest | 4,609 (5.3) |
Northeast | 27,568 (31.4) |
South | 40,767 (46.5) |
West | 14,744 (16.8) |
Clinical conditions, n (%)b | |
Noncancer pain conditions | |
Back pain | 24,767 (28.2) |
Large joint arthritis, other musculoskeletalc | 33,689 (38.4) |
Neuropathy | 1,519 (1.7) |
Chronic pain (unspecified) | 3,229 (3.7) |
Headache | 2,837 (3.2) |
Mental health and substance use disorders | |
Anxiety or post‐traumatic stress disorder | 6,006 (6.9) |
Depression | 6,111 (7.0) |
Psychosis | 1,259 (1.4) |
Alcohol abuse | 877 (1.0) |
Other substance abuse | 615 (0.7) |
Current hospitalization, n (%) | 11,165 (12.7) |
Opioid measures, n (%) | |
Daily MED dose, mg | |
0 | |
119 | 9,870 (11.3) |
2049 | 50,050 (57.1) |
5099 | 21,188 (24.2) |
100 | 6,580 (7.5) |
Total MED dose, mg | |
0 | |
1190 | 20,276 (23.1) |
191450 | 26,000 (29.7) |
4511,830 | 23,551 (26.9) |
>1,830 | 17,861 (20.4) |
Percent time exposed to opioid therapy, median (Q1, Q3) | |
Among any total MED | 6.7 (2.8, 22.2) |
Among total MED >1,830 mg | 70 (42.8, 93.9) |
Subjects | 6‐Month Interval | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 (Baseline), N=87,688 | 2, N=65,835 | 3, N=46,041 | 4, N=31,550 | 5, N=18,915 | 6, N=3,502 | |
| ||||||
Overall (%) | 6.5 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 6.1 |
Opioid dose measure | ||||||
Daily dose (%) | ||||||
0 mg | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | |
119 mg | 5.9 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.4 |
2049 mg | 6.2 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 6.1 |
5099 mg | 6.8 | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 9.8 |
100 mg | 9.0 | 9.3 | 10.3 | 9.2 | 9.5 | 9.5 |
Total dose (%) a | ||||||
0 mg | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | |
1190 mg | 5.5 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 2.7 |
191450 mg | 5.1 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 3.2 |
4511,830 mg | 6.5 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 7.0 |
>1,830 mg | 9.8 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 8.8 | 9.0 |
In unadjusted analyses, a significant interaction between daily dose and total dose (P<0.001) revealed that, within each daily dose category, the odds of hospitalization differed by total dose (all P<0.05, Table 3). When the total dose was >1830 mg, the odds of future hospitalization rose monotonically with increasing daily dose (i.e., <20, 2049, 5099, 100 mg): 1.33, 1.84, 1.96, and 2.08 (P<0.05 for all comparisons vs no opioids). On the other hand, when the total dose was 450 mg or less, all daily dose categories including a very high daily dose (100 mg) were not associated with future hospitalization (all P>0.05 vs no opioids). When the total dose was 451 to 1830 mg, a nonlinear association with hospitalization appeared with higher odds for lower daily doses. For the outcome of hospital days per 6‐month interval, increasing daily dose was also associated with more hospital days per 6‐month interval when the total dose was high (>1830 mg), whereas for lower total doses, daily dose was weakly positive or even protective versus no opioids.
All‐Cause Hospitalization (Yes/No), Odds Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 19 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
Hospital Days per 6‐Month, Incident Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 119 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
| |||||
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 1.06 (0.95‐1.19) | 1.01 (0.95‐1.08) | 1.07 (0.95‐1.19) | 0.73 (0.44‐1.21) | |
191450 | 1.08 (0.96‐1.22) | 1.03 (0.96‐1.10) | 0.99 (0.9‐1.10) | 0.88 (0.67‐1.15) | |
4511,830 | 1.34 (1.21‐1.48)a | 1.37 (1.28‐1.46)a | 1.16 (1.05‐1.27)a | 1.25 (0.98‐1.59) | |
>1,830 | 1.33 (1.09‐1.62)a | 1.84 (1.73‐1.97)a | 1.96 (1.82‐2.11)a | 2.08 (1.93‐2.24)a | |
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 0.95 (0.79‐1.14) | 0.90 (0.82‐0.99)a | 1.03 (0.87‐1.23) | 0.63 (0.36‐1.12) | |
191450 | 0.92 (0.77‐1.10) | 0.93 (0.84‐1.02) | 0.79 (0.69‐0.91)a | 0.69 (0.49‐0.98)a | |
4511,830 | 1.31 (1.10‐1.57)a | 1.26 (1.13‐1.40)a | 1.01 (0.86‐1.19) | 0.99 (0.71‐1.37) | |
>1,830 | 1.32 (0.93‐1.89) | 1.79 (1.60‐2.01)a | 1.76 (1.54‐2.01)a | 2.09 (1.85‐2.36)a |
In the model adjusting for all covariates (Table 4), the interaction between total dose and daily dose was also significant (P=0.002). When the total dose was high (>1830 mg), the adjusted odds of future hospitalization were significantly increased by 35% to 44% for daily doses of 20 to 49 mg or greater versus no opioids (P<0.05 for all comparisons). When the total dose was <1830 mg, the majority of daily dose categories were not significantly associated with hospitalization. Similarly, in the fully adjusted analysis of hospital days, the number of inpatient days were increased by 28% to 48% when the total dose was >1830 mg and daily dose was >20 mg, but these associations were nonsignificant or protective when the total dose was lower.
All‐Cause Hospitalization (Yes/No), Odds Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 119 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
Hospital Days per 6‐Month, Incident Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 119 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
| |||||
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 1.09 (0.97‐1.23) | 1.07 (1.001.14) | 1.12 (1.001.26)b | 0.75 (0.45‐1.23) | |
191450 | 1.00 (0.88‐1.13) | 0.99 (0.92‐1.06) | 0.97 (0.88‐1.08) | 0.87 (0.68‐1.12) | |
4511,830 | 1.16 (1.04‐1.29) | 1.14 (1.07‐1.22) | 0.94 (0.85‐1.03) | 1.08 (0.85‐1.35) | |
>1,830 | 1.10 (0.90‐1.34) | 1.41 (1.32‐1.51) | 1.35 (1.25‐1.46) | 1.44 (1.34‐1.55) | |
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 0.97 (0.8‐1.18) | 0.94 (0.85‐1.04) | 1.06 (0.88‐1.27) | 0.60 (0.33‐1.1) | |
191450 | 0.85 (0.71‐1.02) | 0.88 (0.79‐0.98) | 0.75 (0.65‐0.86) | 0.65 (0.46‐0.92) | |
4511,830 | 1.16 (0.97‐1.4) | 1.09 (0.97‐1.22) | 0.83 (0.71‐0.98) | 0.81 (0.59‐1.13) | |
>1,830 | 1.12 (0.77‐1.63) | 1.41 (1.25‐1.58) | 1.28 (1.12‐1.46) | 1.48 (1.29‐1.69) |
In a sensitivity analysis, we examined the percentage of days covered by filled opioid prescriptions within a 6‐month interval for subjects receiving high‐dose therapy (Table 5). Compared with no opioid therapy, the adjusted odds of future hospitalization were 5% greater for low total opioid dose (11830 mg) and 21% greater for high total dose (>1830 mg) when the duration of treatment was shorter (50% of the 6‐month interval). However, the odds were increased by 41% to 51% for a high total dose (>1830 mg), with longer periods of treatment (>50% of the interval). For hospital days as the outcome, subjects with high total doses (>1830 mg) and longer periods of treatment (>50% of the interval) had 41% to 71% more hospital days per 6‐month interval than those with no opioid therapy.
Opioid Analgesic Category | All‐Cause Hospitalization | Hospital Days per 6 Months |
---|---|---|
Odds Ratio (95% CI) | Incident Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |
| ||
0 mg | 1 | 1 |
11,830 mg | 1.05 (1.001.10)b | 0.94 (0.87‐1.01) |
>1,830 mg and 50% days on opioids | 1.21 (1.11‐1.31)b | 1.10 (0.96‐1.26) |
>1,830 mg and >50 to 75% days on opioids | 1.51 (1.40‐1.64)b | 1.45 (1.26‐1.67) |
>1,830 mg and >75 to 90% days on opioids | 1.50 (1.38‐1.64)b | 1.71 (1.46‐1.99) |
>1,830 mg and >90% days on opioids | 1.41 (1.31‐1.52)b | 1.41 (1.26‐1.58) |
DISCUSSION
In a national cohort of HMO enrollees who filled at least 2 prescriptions for OAs, 12% were hospitalized annually. Other studies of opioid users have focused on only a fraction of these hospitalizations. For example, a recent Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality study reported that the rate of hospitalization for complications from accidental or deliberate overuse of opioids more than doubled from 11.7/10,000 in 1993 to 29.5/10,000 in 2010.[20] However, in our cohort, the all‐cause hospitalization rate was 1120 per 10,000 person‐years, or over 40 times greater than the rate for complications from overuse of opioids. By comparison, hospitalization for heart failure was only 32.8/10,000 nationally in 2010.[21] Thus, our study confirms the significant demand for hospital care by patients treated with opioids. A novel finding of our study is that the total dose of prescriptions filled over 6 months is significantly associated with an increased risk of future hospitalization. When the total dose within 6 months was in the top quartile (>1830 mg in our cohort), the adjusted odds of future hospitalization ranged from 35% to 44% greater than no opioids for daily opioid doses above 20 mg/day. On the other hand, when the total dose was 1830 mg, the daily opioid dose was only weakly associated with future hospitalization. These associations were similar for hospital days per 6‐month interval as the outcome.
Edlund and colleagues examined the total dose of opioids in a national cohort of veterans with chronic noncancer pain who filled at least 1 opioid prescription.[22] In 2011, the 60th percentile for the total opioid dose for these veterans was 3610 mg within a year, which is roughly equivalent to our top quartile (1830 mg) over a 6‐month interval. These data support replicating our study in veterans to evaluate whether a similarly increased risk of hospitalization appears for those with high total opioid doses. In support of a concern among veterans, a population‐based, cross‐sectional study of hospitalized veterans reported a high rate of chronic opioid therapy (90 days) in the 6 months prior to hospitalization.[23]
Other studies have reported increased risk of hospitalization with chronic opioid therapy. Among 1045 patients followed up to 1‐year post‐transplantation, long‐term opioids were associated with up to a sixfold greater risk of at least 4 admissions within that year.[24] Among 13,127 Danish adults on opioid therapy, the odds of future hospitalization from injuries were increased by 74% for long‐term therapy and 46% for short‐term therapy versus no opioids and by threefold and 1.6‐fold, respectively, for hospitalization due to toxicity/poisoning.[9] However, none of these studies examined the dose of opioids.
In a sensitivity analysis, we found that when a subject received a high total opioid dose within 6 months, treatment for more than 50% of the interval (i.e., >3 months) was associated with a significantly increased risk of future hospitalization and significantly more hospital days. Because the strongest evidence for the benefit of opioids for chronic noncancer pain comes from trials of <3 months,[25] these data lend additional support to recommendations to minimize both dose and duration of opioid therapy.
Our study has several limitations. First, we did not assess the immediate risk of hospitalization after starting opioid therapy. Second, our outcome of hospitalization represents only 1 measure of risk. Thus, our data should not be regarded as supporting short‐term use of high‐dose opioids over 100 to 120 mg per day.[26] In an earlier study, we reported that either a high daily dose (100 mg) or a moderately high daily dose (5099 mg) plus a high total dose (>1830 mg) increased the risk of drug overdose.[10] Third, we could not examine the reason for hospitalizations in this analysis. Therefore, we cannot presume that opioid therapy caused these hospitalizations, but it likely serves as a proxy for other factors such as disability and mental health disorders that increase risk of hospitalization. However, we did adjust for pain conditions as well as mental health and substance abuse disorders that are known to increase the risk of hospitalization in other cohorts.[27, 28, 29, 30] In a national veterans study, the most common clinical conditions associated with long‐term opioid therapy were major depression and PTSD.[22] Last, we did also not consider the number of prescribers of opioids. In a Medicare study, 1 versus 4 prescribers of OAs increased patients' annual hospitalization rate from 1.6% to 4.8%, respectively.[31]
Although the total opioid dose categories observed for our study population may differ from those in other cohorts, these data offer additional evidence for clinicians to consider this measure when assessing risk for hospitalization, and among subjects on high total doses, the percentage of time on opioids offers an additional measure of risk. Because opioid users with noncancer pain are heavy consumers of healthcare services,32,33 public health benefits and reductions in costs of care may be substantial if opportunities can be identified to reduce hospital utilization by persons treated with higher doses of OAs.
Disclosures
The work on this project was supported by an intramural grant from the National Center for Research Resources and the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, National Institutes of Health, through Grant 1UL TR001120. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the NIH. The authors report no conflicts of interest.
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- Opioid therapy for nonspecific low back pain and the outcome of chronic work loss. Pain. 2009;142:194–201. , , .
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- Evidence of specific cognitive deficits in patients with chronic low back pain under long‐term substitution treatment of opioids. Pain Physician. 2014;17:9–20. , , , et al.
- Opioid prescriptions for chronic pain and overdose: a cohort study. Ann Intern Med. 2010;152:85–92. , , , et al.
- Association between opioid prescribing patterns and opioid overdose‐related deaths. JAMA. 2011;305:1315–1321. , , , et al.
- Trends in opioid use and dosing among socio‐economically disadvantaged patients. Open Med. 2011;5:e13–e22. , , , , , .
- A history of being prescribed controlled substances and risk of drug overdose death. Pain Med. 2012;13:87–95. , , , et al.
- Chronic pain, opioid prescriptions and mortality in Denmark: a population‐based cohort study. Pain. 2014;155:2486–2490. , , , , .
- Assessing risk for drug overdose in a national cohort: Role for both daily and total opioid dose [published online ahead of print December 5, 2015]? J Pain. doi: 10.1016/j.jpain.2014.11.007. , .
- Institute of Medicine (US) Committee on Advancing Pain Research, Care, and Education. Relieving pain in America: a blueprint for transforming prevention, care, education, and research. Available at: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK91497. Accessed December 12, 2014.
- Patterns of multimorbidity in primary care patients at high risk of future hospitalization. Popul Health Manag. 2012;15:119–124. , , , , .
- Long‐term opioid management for chronic noncancer pain. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010;(1):CD006605. , , , et al.
- An analysis of heavy utilizers of opioids for chronic noncancer pain in the TROUP study. J Pain Symptom Manage. 2010;40:279–289. , , , , , .
- Opioid prescribing: a systematic review and critical appraisal of guidelines for chronic pain. Ann Intern Med. 2014;160:38–47. , , , et al.
- The treatment of cancer pain. N Engl J Med. 1985;313:84–95. .
- Opioid rotation in the management of chronic pain: where is the evidence? Pain Pract. 2010;10:85–93. , , , , .
- Palliative Care Perspectives. New York, NY: Oxford University Press; 2003:36–74. .
- Agency Medical Director's Group. Web‐based opioid dose calculator. Available at http://agencymeddirectors.wa.govmobile.html. Accessed April 7, 2014.
- Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. Hospital inpatient utilization related to opioid overuse among adults, 1993–2012. Available at: http://www.hcup-us.ahrq.gov/reports/statbriefs/sb177-Hospitalizations-for-Opioid-Overuse.pdf. Accessed December 12, 2014.
- National Center for Health Statistics. Hospitalization for congestive heart failure: United States, 2000–2010. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db108.htm#trends. Accessed December 12, 2014.
- Patterns of opioid use for chronic non‐cancer pain in the veterans health administration from 2009 to 2011. Pain. 2014;155:2337–2343. , , , et al.
- Prevalence and characteristics of hospitalized adults on chronic opioid therapy. J Hosp Med. 2014;9:82–87. , , , , , .
- Chronic opioid analgesic usage post‐kidney transplantation and clinical outcomes. Clin Transplant. 2014;28:1041–1046. , , , .
- A comparison between enriched and nonenriched enrollment randomized withdrawal trials of opioids for chronic noncancer pain. Pain Res Manag. 2011;16:337–351. , , , .
- Redesigning delivery of opioids to optimize pain management, improve outcomes, and contain costs. Pain Med. 2013;14:36–42. , , , , .
- Interaction of age and opioid dependence on length of hospital stay for spine surgery patients. Psychol Rep. 2009;105:361–364. , , , , .
- Sex, depression, and risk of hospitalization and mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Arch Intern Med. 2007;167:2345–2353. , , , et al.
- Risk of fractures requiring hospitalization after an initial prescription for zolpidem, alprazolam, lorazepam, or diazepam in older adults. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2011;59:1883–1890. , , , et al.
- Relationship between potential opioid‐related adverse effects and hospital length of stay in patients receiving opioids after orthopedic surgery. Pharmacotherapy. 2012;32:502–514. , , , et al.
- Opioid prescribing by multiple providers in Medicare: Retrospective observational study of insurance claims. BMJ. 2014;348:g1393. , , , .
- Analgesic usage for low back pain: Impact on health care costs and service use. Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 2005;30:1075–1081. , , , , , .
- Economic burden of prescription opioid misuse and abuse. J Manag Care Pharm. 2009;15:556–562. .
Longer term and higher doses of opioid analgesics (OAs) have been associated with multiple adverse outcomes such as loss of work, cognitive decline, and poor function.[1, 2, 3, 4] One of the most widely reported complications of opioid therapy is drug overdose.[5, 6, 7, 8, 9] In population‐based studies, daily morphine equivalent doses >100 mg have been associated with significantly increased risk of drug overdose.[5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10] Among health maintenance organization (HMO) enrollees filling at least 2 prescriptions for opioids, our group reported that daily opioid doses 100 mg were associated with approximately threefold greater adjusted odds of drug overdose.[10] We also observed over a twofold increase in odds of drug overdose for lower daily doses of 50 to 99 mg if the patient also received a high total opioid dose (>1830 mg) over a 6‐month period. This analysis suggests that clinicians may need to monitor not only daily dose but also total dose of opioids to reduce the risk of drug overdose.
Yet drug overdose represents only a small subset of all hospitalizations for persons receiving long‐term or higher doses of opioids for noncancer pain. These patients have significant demand for urgent care services, including hospitalization, for diverse reasons such as adverse effects of opioids, underlying cause of chronic pain, and comorbidities such as mental health disorders.[11] In a cohort of elderly primary care patients who were high hospital utilizers, Freund and colleagues reported that chronic pain and depression were the most common conditions co‐occurring with their other comorbidities.[12] However, little is known about the association of opioid dose with the risk of all‐cause hospitalization for patients with noncancer pain.
In this article we examined hospitalizations for a national cohort of HMO enrollees with noncancer pain who filled at least 2 prescriptions for schedule II or III opioids over a 3.5‐year timeframe. This retrospective cohort analysis aims to identify clinically useful opioid dose measures for clinicians, administrators, and policymakers to use in identifying patients at increased risk of future hospitalization who may warrant interventions to reduce this risk.
METHODS
Study Sample
From Aetna administrative databases including enrollment files and paid claims for services, we identified 261,528 subjects aged 18 to 64 years who had at least 2 paid claims for schedule II or III noninjectable OA prescriptions from January 2009 through July 2012.[10] For individuals meeting these criteria, study cohort eligibility required at least 12 months of enrollment and complete data on demographics and OA prescriptions as well as clinical conditions from at least 1 encounter (see Supporting Information, Appendix 1, in the online version of this article).[10] We excluded subjects with a cancer diagnosis who have high hospital utilization and those younger than 45 years because of a higher likelihood of pregnancy‐related hospitalization. To afford sufficient observation time for outcomes, subjects with <12 months follow‐up after the first opioid prescription were excluded. The resultant study cohort totaled 87,688 subjects.
To capture the changing nature of medication utilization and clinical conditions in this longitudinal study, we divided the study timeframe into 6‐month intervals starting with the first opioid prescription and ending with the subject's last enrollment or end of the study (see Supporting Information, Appendix 2, in the online version of this article). Six‐month intervals were studied because this is the maximum duration of benefit from randomized trials of opioid therapy for noncancer pain.[13] This study was approved by the University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio's institutional review board.
Outcome Variables
Study outcomes were all‐cause hospitalization (binary) and hospital days (discrete) per 6‐month interval and were measured repeatedly for up to 6, 6‐month intervals.
Primary Independent Variables
We examined 2 opioid dose measures within a 6‐month interval and hospitalization outcomes in the next 6 months (see Supporting Information, Appendix 2, in the online version of this article). We did not examine OA use in the last 6 months of the study timeframe because subsequent hospitalization outcomes were not available. We defined the total morphine equivalent dose of OA prescriptions filled within a 6‐month interval based on the method used by Edlund et al.[14] and adapted by our group.[10] We also defined the daily dose of OAs that is a widely used metric used in chronic pain management guidelines.[10, 15]
To calculate the total opioid dose, all filled schedule II or III OA prescriptions (noninjectable formulations) were identified from claims for filled prescriptions for each 6‐month interval. The morphine equivalent dose for each opioid prescription was calculated from the number of pills dispensed multiplied by strength (in milligrams) and by a morphine equivalent conversion factor derived from several sources including published data,[16, 17] conversion tables from Internet sources, and drug information resources.[18, 19] A clinical pharmacist reviewed and finalized conversions. When an opioid prescription spanned two, 6‐month intervals, the dose was divided proportionate to time in each interval. The total dose for all opioid prescriptions within an interval was summed and categorized by quartile of nonzero total dose as: 1 to 190, 191 to 450, 451 to 1830, and >1830 mg.[10]
To calculate the daily opioid dose in each interval, the total dose was divided by total nonoverlapping days' supply covered by all prescriptions. The average daily dose was categorized as in other studies: 1 to 19, 20 to 49, 50 to 99, and 100 mg.[5, 6, 10] In each 6‐month interval, the percentage of days covered by filled prescriptions was calculated as total days' supply/180.
Other Independent Variables
Demographic data included age as of July 2012, sex, and US region. From available diagnosis codes for encounters, pain‐related conditions were identified including: back pain, other osteoarthritis, neuropathic pain, chronic pain unspecified, or chronic headache (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes available from authors). Mental health/substance use disorders were similarly identified: anxiety or post‐traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), depression, psychosis, drug abuse, and alcohol abuse. Once a psychiatric condition or substance use disorder was diagnosed, it was considered to persist because these are usually not transient. We examined filled prescriptions for psychoactive drugs in 6‐month intervals including: benzodiazepines (i.e., clonazepam, alprazolam, lorazepam, diazepam, chlordiazepine, temazepam, flurazepam), antidepressants (i.e., selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, serotonin and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors, tricyclics [complete list available from authors]), and sedatives (i.e., zolpidem, eszopiclone). For these drugs, time‐varying variables were created as follows: benzodiazepines (0, 130, 3190, 91180 days), sedatives (0, 130, 3190, 91180 days), and antidepressants (0, 160, 61180 days). Categories for duration of antidepressants differed because a clinical response can take up to 6 to 8 weeks.
Statistical Analyses
Descriptive statistics were examined for study cohort characteristics. For the binary all‐cause hospitalization outcome, repeated measures logistic regression models were estimated using generalized estimating equations (GEE) to examine associations of daily opioid dose, total opioid dose, and their interaction with all‐cause hospitalization. The fully adjusted model includes demographics, chronic pain conditions, mental health conditions, substance use disorders, other psychoactive drugs, and current hospitalization (yes/no). For the hospital days per 6‐month outcome, a series of repeated measures Poisson regressions were estimated using the GEE approach.
In a post hoc sensitivity analysis, we examined the association of the percentage of days covered by prescribed opioids, categorized based on approximate quartiles and clinical judgment, with hospitalization among subjects with a high total dose (>1830 mg). For this analysis, we created a composite measure of opioid treatment for each 6‐month interval that has 6 categories: (1) none, (2) low total dose 1 to 1830 mg, (3) high total dose >1830 mg with 50% of days on opioids, (4) total dose >1830 mg with >50% to 75% of days on opioids, (5) total dose >1830 mg with >75% to 90% of days on opioids, and (6) total dose >1830 mg and >90% of days on opioids. Adjusted regression analyses described above were repeated for both outcomes and included this composite measure. All statistical tests were performed with a 2‐sided significance level of 0.05, and analyses were conducted using SAS version 9.3 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).
RESULTS
Of 87,688 study subjects, 54.8% were women, and the mean age was 53.8 years (standard deviation [SD]=5.5). Nearly half of the cohort resided in Southern states (Table 1). In the baseline 6‐month interval, the most common chronic noncancer pain conditions were musculoskeletal involving large joint arthritis/arthralgia (38.4%) and back pain (28.2%). In regard to mental health and substance use conditions, both anxiety/PTSD and depression were diagnosed in approximately 7% of the cohort, whereas psychosis, and alcohol and other substance use disorders were each diagnosed in <2%. In the baseline interval, 12.7% of subjects were hospitalized. The majority of patients received a daily opioid dose of 20 to 49 mg, and the median total dose was 450 mg. The median percent of time exposed to opioids was 6.7% among all study subjects and 70% for those with a high total dose (>1830 mg).
In the 3 study years, an average of 12% of the cohort was hospitalized yearly (Table 2), or 1120 hospitalizations per 10,000 person‐years. Among those who were hospitalized, inpatient days averaged 6.5 (SD=8.5). The highest proportion of hospitalized subjects was 6.5%, occurring in the 6‐month interval immediately following the first opioid treatment interval. In subsequent 6‐month intervals, hospitalization rates were relatively stable, ranging from 5.2% to 6.1% (Table 2). As shown, future hospitalization rates increased monotonically, with increasing total or daily dose within each 6‐month interval.
Characteristics | Total, N=87,688 |
---|---|
| |
Demographics | |
Women, n (%) | 48,077 (54.8) |
Age, mean (SD) | 53.8 (5.5) |
US region, n (%) | |
Midwest | 4,609 (5.3) |
Northeast | 27,568 (31.4) |
South | 40,767 (46.5) |
West | 14,744 (16.8) |
Clinical conditions, n (%)b | |
Noncancer pain conditions | |
Back pain | 24,767 (28.2) |
Large joint arthritis, other musculoskeletalc | 33,689 (38.4) |
Neuropathy | 1,519 (1.7) |
Chronic pain (unspecified) | 3,229 (3.7) |
Headache | 2,837 (3.2) |
Mental health and substance use disorders | |
Anxiety or post‐traumatic stress disorder | 6,006 (6.9) |
Depression | 6,111 (7.0) |
Psychosis | 1,259 (1.4) |
Alcohol abuse | 877 (1.0) |
Other substance abuse | 615 (0.7) |
Current hospitalization, n (%) | 11,165 (12.7) |
Opioid measures, n (%) | |
Daily MED dose, mg | |
0 | |
119 | 9,870 (11.3) |
2049 | 50,050 (57.1) |
5099 | 21,188 (24.2) |
100 | 6,580 (7.5) |
Total MED dose, mg | |
0 | |
1190 | 20,276 (23.1) |
191450 | 26,000 (29.7) |
4511,830 | 23,551 (26.9) |
>1,830 | 17,861 (20.4) |
Percent time exposed to opioid therapy, median (Q1, Q3) | |
Among any total MED | 6.7 (2.8, 22.2) |
Among total MED >1,830 mg | 70 (42.8, 93.9) |
Subjects | 6‐Month Interval | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 (Baseline), N=87,688 | 2, N=65,835 | 3, N=46,041 | 4, N=31,550 | 5, N=18,915 | 6, N=3,502 | |
| ||||||
Overall (%) | 6.5 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 6.1 |
Opioid dose measure | ||||||
Daily dose (%) | ||||||
0 mg | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | |
119 mg | 5.9 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.4 |
2049 mg | 6.2 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 6.1 |
5099 mg | 6.8 | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 9.8 |
100 mg | 9.0 | 9.3 | 10.3 | 9.2 | 9.5 | 9.5 |
Total dose (%) a | ||||||
0 mg | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | |
1190 mg | 5.5 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 2.7 |
191450 mg | 5.1 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 3.2 |
4511,830 mg | 6.5 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 7.0 |
>1,830 mg | 9.8 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 8.8 | 9.0 |
In unadjusted analyses, a significant interaction between daily dose and total dose (P<0.001) revealed that, within each daily dose category, the odds of hospitalization differed by total dose (all P<0.05, Table 3). When the total dose was >1830 mg, the odds of future hospitalization rose monotonically with increasing daily dose (i.e., <20, 2049, 5099, 100 mg): 1.33, 1.84, 1.96, and 2.08 (P<0.05 for all comparisons vs no opioids). On the other hand, when the total dose was 450 mg or less, all daily dose categories including a very high daily dose (100 mg) were not associated with future hospitalization (all P>0.05 vs no opioids). When the total dose was 451 to 1830 mg, a nonlinear association with hospitalization appeared with higher odds for lower daily doses. For the outcome of hospital days per 6‐month interval, increasing daily dose was also associated with more hospital days per 6‐month interval when the total dose was high (>1830 mg), whereas for lower total doses, daily dose was weakly positive or even protective versus no opioids.
All‐Cause Hospitalization (Yes/No), Odds Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 19 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
Hospital Days per 6‐Month, Incident Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 119 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
| |||||
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 1.06 (0.95‐1.19) | 1.01 (0.95‐1.08) | 1.07 (0.95‐1.19) | 0.73 (0.44‐1.21) | |
191450 | 1.08 (0.96‐1.22) | 1.03 (0.96‐1.10) | 0.99 (0.9‐1.10) | 0.88 (0.67‐1.15) | |
4511,830 | 1.34 (1.21‐1.48)a | 1.37 (1.28‐1.46)a | 1.16 (1.05‐1.27)a | 1.25 (0.98‐1.59) | |
>1,830 | 1.33 (1.09‐1.62)a | 1.84 (1.73‐1.97)a | 1.96 (1.82‐2.11)a | 2.08 (1.93‐2.24)a | |
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 0.95 (0.79‐1.14) | 0.90 (0.82‐0.99)a | 1.03 (0.87‐1.23) | 0.63 (0.36‐1.12) | |
191450 | 0.92 (0.77‐1.10) | 0.93 (0.84‐1.02) | 0.79 (0.69‐0.91)a | 0.69 (0.49‐0.98)a | |
4511,830 | 1.31 (1.10‐1.57)a | 1.26 (1.13‐1.40)a | 1.01 (0.86‐1.19) | 0.99 (0.71‐1.37) | |
>1,830 | 1.32 (0.93‐1.89) | 1.79 (1.60‐2.01)a | 1.76 (1.54‐2.01)a | 2.09 (1.85‐2.36)a |
In the model adjusting for all covariates (Table 4), the interaction between total dose and daily dose was also significant (P=0.002). When the total dose was high (>1830 mg), the adjusted odds of future hospitalization were significantly increased by 35% to 44% for daily doses of 20 to 49 mg or greater versus no opioids (P<0.05 for all comparisons). When the total dose was <1830 mg, the majority of daily dose categories were not significantly associated with hospitalization. Similarly, in the fully adjusted analysis of hospital days, the number of inpatient days were increased by 28% to 48% when the total dose was >1830 mg and daily dose was >20 mg, but these associations were nonsignificant or protective when the total dose was lower.
All‐Cause Hospitalization (Yes/No), Odds Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 119 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
Hospital Days per 6‐Month, Incident Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 119 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
| |||||
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 1.09 (0.97‐1.23) | 1.07 (1.001.14) | 1.12 (1.001.26)b | 0.75 (0.45‐1.23) | |
191450 | 1.00 (0.88‐1.13) | 0.99 (0.92‐1.06) | 0.97 (0.88‐1.08) | 0.87 (0.68‐1.12) | |
4511,830 | 1.16 (1.04‐1.29) | 1.14 (1.07‐1.22) | 0.94 (0.85‐1.03) | 1.08 (0.85‐1.35) | |
>1,830 | 1.10 (0.90‐1.34) | 1.41 (1.32‐1.51) | 1.35 (1.25‐1.46) | 1.44 (1.34‐1.55) | |
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 0.97 (0.8‐1.18) | 0.94 (0.85‐1.04) | 1.06 (0.88‐1.27) | 0.60 (0.33‐1.1) | |
191450 | 0.85 (0.71‐1.02) | 0.88 (0.79‐0.98) | 0.75 (0.65‐0.86) | 0.65 (0.46‐0.92) | |
4511,830 | 1.16 (0.97‐1.4) | 1.09 (0.97‐1.22) | 0.83 (0.71‐0.98) | 0.81 (0.59‐1.13) | |
>1,830 | 1.12 (0.77‐1.63) | 1.41 (1.25‐1.58) | 1.28 (1.12‐1.46) | 1.48 (1.29‐1.69) |
In a sensitivity analysis, we examined the percentage of days covered by filled opioid prescriptions within a 6‐month interval for subjects receiving high‐dose therapy (Table 5). Compared with no opioid therapy, the adjusted odds of future hospitalization were 5% greater for low total opioid dose (11830 mg) and 21% greater for high total dose (>1830 mg) when the duration of treatment was shorter (50% of the 6‐month interval). However, the odds were increased by 41% to 51% for a high total dose (>1830 mg), with longer periods of treatment (>50% of the interval). For hospital days as the outcome, subjects with high total doses (>1830 mg) and longer periods of treatment (>50% of the interval) had 41% to 71% more hospital days per 6‐month interval than those with no opioid therapy.
Opioid Analgesic Category | All‐Cause Hospitalization | Hospital Days per 6 Months |
---|---|---|
Odds Ratio (95% CI) | Incident Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |
| ||
0 mg | 1 | 1 |
11,830 mg | 1.05 (1.001.10)b | 0.94 (0.87‐1.01) |
>1,830 mg and 50% days on opioids | 1.21 (1.11‐1.31)b | 1.10 (0.96‐1.26) |
>1,830 mg and >50 to 75% days on opioids | 1.51 (1.40‐1.64)b | 1.45 (1.26‐1.67) |
>1,830 mg and >75 to 90% days on opioids | 1.50 (1.38‐1.64)b | 1.71 (1.46‐1.99) |
>1,830 mg and >90% days on opioids | 1.41 (1.31‐1.52)b | 1.41 (1.26‐1.58) |
DISCUSSION
In a national cohort of HMO enrollees who filled at least 2 prescriptions for OAs, 12% were hospitalized annually. Other studies of opioid users have focused on only a fraction of these hospitalizations. For example, a recent Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality study reported that the rate of hospitalization for complications from accidental or deliberate overuse of opioids more than doubled from 11.7/10,000 in 1993 to 29.5/10,000 in 2010.[20] However, in our cohort, the all‐cause hospitalization rate was 1120 per 10,000 person‐years, or over 40 times greater than the rate for complications from overuse of opioids. By comparison, hospitalization for heart failure was only 32.8/10,000 nationally in 2010.[21] Thus, our study confirms the significant demand for hospital care by patients treated with opioids. A novel finding of our study is that the total dose of prescriptions filled over 6 months is significantly associated with an increased risk of future hospitalization. When the total dose within 6 months was in the top quartile (>1830 mg in our cohort), the adjusted odds of future hospitalization ranged from 35% to 44% greater than no opioids for daily opioid doses above 20 mg/day. On the other hand, when the total dose was 1830 mg, the daily opioid dose was only weakly associated with future hospitalization. These associations were similar for hospital days per 6‐month interval as the outcome.
Edlund and colleagues examined the total dose of opioids in a national cohort of veterans with chronic noncancer pain who filled at least 1 opioid prescription.[22] In 2011, the 60th percentile for the total opioid dose for these veterans was 3610 mg within a year, which is roughly equivalent to our top quartile (1830 mg) over a 6‐month interval. These data support replicating our study in veterans to evaluate whether a similarly increased risk of hospitalization appears for those with high total opioid doses. In support of a concern among veterans, a population‐based, cross‐sectional study of hospitalized veterans reported a high rate of chronic opioid therapy (90 days) in the 6 months prior to hospitalization.[23]
Other studies have reported increased risk of hospitalization with chronic opioid therapy. Among 1045 patients followed up to 1‐year post‐transplantation, long‐term opioids were associated with up to a sixfold greater risk of at least 4 admissions within that year.[24] Among 13,127 Danish adults on opioid therapy, the odds of future hospitalization from injuries were increased by 74% for long‐term therapy and 46% for short‐term therapy versus no opioids and by threefold and 1.6‐fold, respectively, for hospitalization due to toxicity/poisoning.[9] However, none of these studies examined the dose of opioids.
In a sensitivity analysis, we found that when a subject received a high total opioid dose within 6 months, treatment for more than 50% of the interval (i.e., >3 months) was associated with a significantly increased risk of future hospitalization and significantly more hospital days. Because the strongest evidence for the benefit of opioids for chronic noncancer pain comes from trials of <3 months,[25] these data lend additional support to recommendations to minimize both dose and duration of opioid therapy.
Our study has several limitations. First, we did not assess the immediate risk of hospitalization after starting opioid therapy. Second, our outcome of hospitalization represents only 1 measure of risk. Thus, our data should not be regarded as supporting short‐term use of high‐dose opioids over 100 to 120 mg per day.[26] In an earlier study, we reported that either a high daily dose (100 mg) or a moderately high daily dose (5099 mg) plus a high total dose (>1830 mg) increased the risk of drug overdose.[10] Third, we could not examine the reason for hospitalizations in this analysis. Therefore, we cannot presume that opioid therapy caused these hospitalizations, but it likely serves as a proxy for other factors such as disability and mental health disorders that increase risk of hospitalization. However, we did adjust for pain conditions as well as mental health and substance abuse disorders that are known to increase the risk of hospitalization in other cohorts.[27, 28, 29, 30] In a national veterans study, the most common clinical conditions associated with long‐term opioid therapy were major depression and PTSD.[22] Last, we did also not consider the number of prescribers of opioids. In a Medicare study, 1 versus 4 prescribers of OAs increased patients' annual hospitalization rate from 1.6% to 4.8%, respectively.[31]
Although the total opioid dose categories observed for our study population may differ from those in other cohorts, these data offer additional evidence for clinicians to consider this measure when assessing risk for hospitalization, and among subjects on high total doses, the percentage of time on opioids offers an additional measure of risk. Because opioid users with noncancer pain are heavy consumers of healthcare services,32,33 public health benefits and reductions in costs of care may be substantial if opportunities can be identified to reduce hospital utilization by persons treated with higher doses of OAs.
Disclosures
The work on this project was supported by an intramural grant from the National Center for Research Resources and the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, National Institutes of Health, through Grant 1UL TR001120. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the NIH. The authors report no conflicts of interest.
Longer term and higher doses of opioid analgesics (OAs) have been associated with multiple adverse outcomes such as loss of work, cognitive decline, and poor function.[1, 2, 3, 4] One of the most widely reported complications of opioid therapy is drug overdose.[5, 6, 7, 8, 9] In population‐based studies, daily morphine equivalent doses >100 mg have been associated with significantly increased risk of drug overdose.[5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10] Among health maintenance organization (HMO) enrollees filling at least 2 prescriptions for opioids, our group reported that daily opioid doses 100 mg were associated with approximately threefold greater adjusted odds of drug overdose.[10] We also observed over a twofold increase in odds of drug overdose for lower daily doses of 50 to 99 mg if the patient also received a high total opioid dose (>1830 mg) over a 6‐month period. This analysis suggests that clinicians may need to monitor not only daily dose but also total dose of opioids to reduce the risk of drug overdose.
Yet drug overdose represents only a small subset of all hospitalizations for persons receiving long‐term or higher doses of opioids for noncancer pain. These patients have significant demand for urgent care services, including hospitalization, for diverse reasons such as adverse effects of opioids, underlying cause of chronic pain, and comorbidities such as mental health disorders.[11] In a cohort of elderly primary care patients who were high hospital utilizers, Freund and colleagues reported that chronic pain and depression were the most common conditions co‐occurring with their other comorbidities.[12] However, little is known about the association of opioid dose with the risk of all‐cause hospitalization for patients with noncancer pain.
In this article we examined hospitalizations for a national cohort of HMO enrollees with noncancer pain who filled at least 2 prescriptions for schedule II or III opioids over a 3.5‐year timeframe. This retrospective cohort analysis aims to identify clinically useful opioid dose measures for clinicians, administrators, and policymakers to use in identifying patients at increased risk of future hospitalization who may warrant interventions to reduce this risk.
METHODS
Study Sample
From Aetna administrative databases including enrollment files and paid claims for services, we identified 261,528 subjects aged 18 to 64 years who had at least 2 paid claims for schedule II or III noninjectable OA prescriptions from January 2009 through July 2012.[10] For individuals meeting these criteria, study cohort eligibility required at least 12 months of enrollment and complete data on demographics and OA prescriptions as well as clinical conditions from at least 1 encounter (see Supporting Information, Appendix 1, in the online version of this article).[10] We excluded subjects with a cancer diagnosis who have high hospital utilization and those younger than 45 years because of a higher likelihood of pregnancy‐related hospitalization. To afford sufficient observation time for outcomes, subjects with <12 months follow‐up after the first opioid prescription were excluded. The resultant study cohort totaled 87,688 subjects.
To capture the changing nature of medication utilization and clinical conditions in this longitudinal study, we divided the study timeframe into 6‐month intervals starting with the first opioid prescription and ending with the subject's last enrollment or end of the study (see Supporting Information, Appendix 2, in the online version of this article). Six‐month intervals were studied because this is the maximum duration of benefit from randomized trials of opioid therapy for noncancer pain.[13] This study was approved by the University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio's institutional review board.
Outcome Variables
Study outcomes were all‐cause hospitalization (binary) and hospital days (discrete) per 6‐month interval and were measured repeatedly for up to 6, 6‐month intervals.
Primary Independent Variables
We examined 2 opioid dose measures within a 6‐month interval and hospitalization outcomes in the next 6 months (see Supporting Information, Appendix 2, in the online version of this article). We did not examine OA use in the last 6 months of the study timeframe because subsequent hospitalization outcomes were not available. We defined the total morphine equivalent dose of OA prescriptions filled within a 6‐month interval based on the method used by Edlund et al.[14] and adapted by our group.[10] We also defined the daily dose of OAs that is a widely used metric used in chronic pain management guidelines.[10, 15]
To calculate the total opioid dose, all filled schedule II or III OA prescriptions (noninjectable formulations) were identified from claims for filled prescriptions for each 6‐month interval. The morphine equivalent dose for each opioid prescription was calculated from the number of pills dispensed multiplied by strength (in milligrams) and by a morphine equivalent conversion factor derived from several sources including published data,[16, 17] conversion tables from Internet sources, and drug information resources.[18, 19] A clinical pharmacist reviewed and finalized conversions. When an opioid prescription spanned two, 6‐month intervals, the dose was divided proportionate to time in each interval. The total dose for all opioid prescriptions within an interval was summed and categorized by quartile of nonzero total dose as: 1 to 190, 191 to 450, 451 to 1830, and >1830 mg.[10]
To calculate the daily opioid dose in each interval, the total dose was divided by total nonoverlapping days' supply covered by all prescriptions. The average daily dose was categorized as in other studies: 1 to 19, 20 to 49, 50 to 99, and 100 mg.[5, 6, 10] In each 6‐month interval, the percentage of days covered by filled prescriptions was calculated as total days' supply/180.
Other Independent Variables
Demographic data included age as of July 2012, sex, and US region. From available diagnosis codes for encounters, pain‐related conditions were identified including: back pain, other osteoarthritis, neuropathic pain, chronic pain unspecified, or chronic headache (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes available from authors). Mental health/substance use disorders were similarly identified: anxiety or post‐traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), depression, psychosis, drug abuse, and alcohol abuse. Once a psychiatric condition or substance use disorder was diagnosed, it was considered to persist because these are usually not transient. We examined filled prescriptions for psychoactive drugs in 6‐month intervals including: benzodiazepines (i.e., clonazepam, alprazolam, lorazepam, diazepam, chlordiazepine, temazepam, flurazepam), antidepressants (i.e., selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, serotonin and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors, tricyclics [complete list available from authors]), and sedatives (i.e., zolpidem, eszopiclone). For these drugs, time‐varying variables were created as follows: benzodiazepines (0, 130, 3190, 91180 days), sedatives (0, 130, 3190, 91180 days), and antidepressants (0, 160, 61180 days). Categories for duration of antidepressants differed because a clinical response can take up to 6 to 8 weeks.
Statistical Analyses
Descriptive statistics were examined for study cohort characteristics. For the binary all‐cause hospitalization outcome, repeated measures logistic regression models were estimated using generalized estimating equations (GEE) to examine associations of daily opioid dose, total opioid dose, and their interaction with all‐cause hospitalization. The fully adjusted model includes demographics, chronic pain conditions, mental health conditions, substance use disorders, other psychoactive drugs, and current hospitalization (yes/no). For the hospital days per 6‐month outcome, a series of repeated measures Poisson regressions were estimated using the GEE approach.
In a post hoc sensitivity analysis, we examined the association of the percentage of days covered by prescribed opioids, categorized based on approximate quartiles and clinical judgment, with hospitalization among subjects with a high total dose (>1830 mg). For this analysis, we created a composite measure of opioid treatment for each 6‐month interval that has 6 categories: (1) none, (2) low total dose 1 to 1830 mg, (3) high total dose >1830 mg with 50% of days on opioids, (4) total dose >1830 mg with >50% to 75% of days on opioids, (5) total dose >1830 mg with >75% to 90% of days on opioids, and (6) total dose >1830 mg and >90% of days on opioids. Adjusted regression analyses described above were repeated for both outcomes and included this composite measure. All statistical tests were performed with a 2‐sided significance level of 0.05, and analyses were conducted using SAS version 9.3 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).
RESULTS
Of 87,688 study subjects, 54.8% were women, and the mean age was 53.8 years (standard deviation [SD]=5.5). Nearly half of the cohort resided in Southern states (Table 1). In the baseline 6‐month interval, the most common chronic noncancer pain conditions were musculoskeletal involving large joint arthritis/arthralgia (38.4%) and back pain (28.2%). In regard to mental health and substance use conditions, both anxiety/PTSD and depression were diagnosed in approximately 7% of the cohort, whereas psychosis, and alcohol and other substance use disorders were each diagnosed in <2%. In the baseline interval, 12.7% of subjects were hospitalized. The majority of patients received a daily opioid dose of 20 to 49 mg, and the median total dose was 450 mg. The median percent of time exposed to opioids was 6.7% among all study subjects and 70% for those with a high total dose (>1830 mg).
In the 3 study years, an average of 12% of the cohort was hospitalized yearly (Table 2), or 1120 hospitalizations per 10,000 person‐years. Among those who were hospitalized, inpatient days averaged 6.5 (SD=8.5). The highest proportion of hospitalized subjects was 6.5%, occurring in the 6‐month interval immediately following the first opioid treatment interval. In subsequent 6‐month intervals, hospitalization rates were relatively stable, ranging from 5.2% to 6.1% (Table 2). As shown, future hospitalization rates increased monotonically, with increasing total or daily dose within each 6‐month interval.
Characteristics | Total, N=87,688 |
---|---|
| |
Demographics | |
Women, n (%) | 48,077 (54.8) |
Age, mean (SD) | 53.8 (5.5) |
US region, n (%) | |
Midwest | 4,609 (5.3) |
Northeast | 27,568 (31.4) |
South | 40,767 (46.5) |
West | 14,744 (16.8) |
Clinical conditions, n (%)b | |
Noncancer pain conditions | |
Back pain | 24,767 (28.2) |
Large joint arthritis, other musculoskeletalc | 33,689 (38.4) |
Neuropathy | 1,519 (1.7) |
Chronic pain (unspecified) | 3,229 (3.7) |
Headache | 2,837 (3.2) |
Mental health and substance use disorders | |
Anxiety or post‐traumatic stress disorder | 6,006 (6.9) |
Depression | 6,111 (7.0) |
Psychosis | 1,259 (1.4) |
Alcohol abuse | 877 (1.0) |
Other substance abuse | 615 (0.7) |
Current hospitalization, n (%) | 11,165 (12.7) |
Opioid measures, n (%) | |
Daily MED dose, mg | |
0 | |
119 | 9,870 (11.3) |
2049 | 50,050 (57.1) |
5099 | 21,188 (24.2) |
100 | 6,580 (7.5) |
Total MED dose, mg | |
0 | |
1190 | 20,276 (23.1) |
191450 | 26,000 (29.7) |
4511,830 | 23,551 (26.9) |
>1,830 | 17,861 (20.4) |
Percent time exposed to opioid therapy, median (Q1, Q3) | |
Among any total MED | 6.7 (2.8, 22.2) |
Among total MED >1,830 mg | 70 (42.8, 93.9) |
Subjects | 6‐Month Interval | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 (Baseline), N=87,688 | 2, N=65,835 | 3, N=46,041 | 4, N=31,550 | 5, N=18,915 | 6, N=3,502 | |
| ||||||
Overall (%) | 6.5 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 6.1 |
Opioid dose measure | ||||||
Daily dose (%) | ||||||
0 mg | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | |
119 mg | 5.9 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.4 |
2049 mg | 6.2 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 6.1 |
5099 mg | 6.8 | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 9.8 |
100 mg | 9.0 | 9.3 | 10.3 | 9.2 | 9.5 | 9.5 |
Total dose (%) a | ||||||
0 mg | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | |
1190 mg | 5.5 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 2.7 |
191450 mg | 5.1 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 3.2 |
4511,830 mg | 6.5 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 7.0 |
>1,830 mg | 9.8 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 8.8 | 9.0 |
In unadjusted analyses, a significant interaction between daily dose and total dose (P<0.001) revealed that, within each daily dose category, the odds of hospitalization differed by total dose (all P<0.05, Table 3). When the total dose was >1830 mg, the odds of future hospitalization rose monotonically with increasing daily dose (i.e., <20, 2049, 5099, 100 mg): 1.33, 1.84, 1.96, and 2.08 (P<0.05 for all comparisons vs no opioids). On the other hand, when the total dose was 450 mg or less, all daily dose categories including a very high daily dose (100 mg) were not associated with future hospitalization (all P>0.05 vs no opioids). When the total dose was 451 to 1830 mg, a nonlinear association with hospitalization appeared with higher odds for lower daily doses. For the outcome of hospital days per 6‐month interval, increasing daily dose was also associated with more hospital days per 6‐month interval when the total dose was high (>1830 mg), whereas for lower total doses, daily dose was weakly positive or even protective versus no opioids.
All‐Cause Hospitalization (Yes/No), Odds Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 19 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
Hospital Days per 6‐Month, Incident Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 119 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
| |||||
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 1.06 (0.95‐1.19) | 1.01 (0.95‐1.08) | 1.07 (0.95‐1.19) | 0.73 (0.44‐1.21) | |
191450 | 1.08 (0.96‐1.22) | 1.03 (0.96‐1.10) | 0.99 (0.9‐1.10) | 0.88 (0.67‐1.15) | |
4511,830 | 1.34 (1.21‐1.48)a | 1.37 (1.28‐1.46)a | 1.16 (1.05‐1.27)a | 1.25 (0.98‐1.59) | |
>1,830 | 1.33 (1.09‐1.62)a | 1.84 (1.73‐1.97)a | 1.96 (1.82‐2.11)a | 2.08 (1.93‐2.24)a | |
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 0.95 (0.79‐1.14) | 0.90 (0.82‐0.99)a | 1.03 (0.87‐1.23) | 0.63 (0.36‐1.12) | |
191450 | 0.92 (0.77‐1.10) | 0.93 (0.84‐1.02) | 0.79 (0.69‐0.91)a | 0.69 (0.49‐0.98)a | |
4511,830 | 1.31 (1.10‐1.57)a | 1.26 (1.13‐1.40)a | 1.01 (0.86‐1.19) | 0.99 (0.71‐1.37) | |
>1,830 | 1.32 (0.93‐1.89) | 1.79 (1.60‐2.01)a | 1.76 (1.54‐2.01)a | 2.09 (1.85‐2.36)a |
In the model adjusting for all covariates (Table 4), the interaction between total dose and daily dose was also significant (P=0.002). When the total dose was high (>1830 mg), the adjusted odds of future hospitalization were significantly increased by 35% to 44% for daily doses of 20 to 49 mg or greater versus no opioids (P<0.05 for all comparisons). When the total dose was <1830 mg, the majority of daily dose categories were not significantly associated with hospitalization. Similarly, in the fully adjusted analysis of hospital days, the number of inpatient days were increased by 28% to 48% when the total dose was >1830 mg and daily dose was >20 mg, but these associations were nonsignificant or protective when the total dose was lower.
All‐Cause Hospitalization (Yes/No), Odds Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 119 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
Hospital Days per 6‐Month, Incident Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
Total Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | Daily Morphine Equivalent Dose, mg | ||||
0 | 119 | 2049 | 5099 | 100 | |
| |||||
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 1.09 (0.97‐1.23) | 1.07 (1.001.14) | 1.12 (1.001.26)b | 0.75 (0.45‐1.23) | |
191450 | 1.00 (0.88‐1.13) | 0.99 (0.92‐1.06) | 0.97 (0.88‐1.08) | 0.87 (0.68‐1.12) | |
4511,830 | 1.16 (1.04‐1.29) | 1.14 (1.07‐1.22) | 0.94 (0.85‐1.03) | 1.08 (0.85‐1.35) | |
>1,830 | 1.10 (0.90‐1.34) | 1.41 (1.32‐1.51) | 1.35 (1.25‐1.46) | 1.44 (1.34‐1.55) | |
0 | 1 | ||||
1190 | 0.97 (0.8‐1.18) | 0.94 (0.85‐1.04) | 1.06 (0.88‐1.27) | 0.60 (0.33‐1.1) | |
191450 | 0.85 (0.71‐1.02) | 0.88 (0.79‐0.98) | 0.75 (0.65‐0.86) | 0.65 (0.46‐0.92) | |
4511,830 | 1.16 (0.97‐1.4) | 1.09 (0.97‐1.22) | 0.83 (0.71‐0.98) | 0.81 (0.59‐1.13) | |
>1,830 | 1.12 (0.77‐1.63) | 1.41 (1.25‐1.58) | 1.28 (1.12‐1.46) | 1.48 (1.29‐1.69) |
In a sensitivity analysis, we examined the percentage of days covered by filled opioid prescriptions within a 6‐month interval for subjects receiving high‐dose therapy (Table 5). Compared with no opioid therapy, the adjusted odds of future hospitalization were 5% greater for low total opioid dose (11830 mg) and 21% greater for high total dose (>1830 mg) when the duration of treatment was shorter (50% of the 6‐month interval). However, the odds were increased by 41% to 51% for a high total dose (>1830 mg), with longer periods of treatment (>50% of the interval). For hospital days as the outcome, subjects with high total doses (>1830 mg) and longer periods of treatment (>50% of the interval) had 41% to 71% more hospital days per 6‐month interval than those with no opioid therapy.
Opioid Analgesic Category | All‐Cause Hospitalization | Hospital Days per 6 Months |
---|---|---|
Odds Ratio (95% CI) | Incident Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |
| ||
0 mg | 1 | 1 |
11,830 mg | 1.05 (1.001.10)b | 0.94 (0.87‐1.01) |
>1,830 mg and 50% days on opioids | 1.21 (1.11‐1.31)b | 1.10 (0.96‐1.26) |
>1,830 mg and >50 to 75% days on opioids | 1.51 (1.40‐1.64)b | 1.45 (1.26‐1.67) |
>1,830 mg and >75 to 90% days on opioids | 1.50 (1.38‐1.64)b | 1.71 (1.46‐1.99) |
>1,830 mg and >90% days on opioids | 1.41 (1.31‐1.52)b | 1.41 (1.26‐1.58) |
DISCUSSION
In a national cohort of HMO enrollees who filled at least 2 prescriptions for OAs, 12% were hospitalized annually. Other studies of opioid users have focused on only a fraction of these hospitalizations. For example, a recent Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality study reported that the rate of hospitalization for complications from accidental or deliberate overuse of opioids more than doubled from 11.7/10,000 in 1993 to 29.5/10,000 in 2010.[20] However, in our cohort, the all‐cause hospitalization rate was 1120 per 10,000 person‐years, or over 40 times greater than the rate for complications from overuse of opioids. By comparison, hospitalization for heart failure was only 32.8/10,000 nationally in 2010.[21] Thus, our study confirms the significant demand for hospital care by patients treated with opioids. A novel finding of our study is that the total dose of prescriptions filled over 6 months is significantly associated with an increased risk of future hospitalization. When the total dose within 6 months was in the top quartile (>1830 mg in our cohort), the adjusted odds of future hospitalization ranged from 35% to 44% greater than no opioids for daily opioid doses above 20 mg/day. On the other hand, when the total dose was 1830 mg, the daily opioid dose was only weakly associated with future hospitalization. These associations were similar for hospital days per 6‐month interval as the outcome.
Edlund and colleagues examined the total dose of opioids in a national cohort of veterans with chronic noncancer pain who filled at least 1 opioid prescription.[22] In 2011, the 60th percentile for the total opioid dose for these veterans was 3610 mg within a year, which is roughly equivalent to our top quartile (1830 mg) over a 6‐month interval. These data support replicating our study in veterans to evaluate whether a similarly increased risk of hospitalization appears for those with high total opioid doses. In support of a concern among veterans, a population‐based, cross‐sectional study of hospitalized veterans reported a high rate of chronic opioid therapy (90 days) in the 6 months prior to hospitalization.[23]
Other studies have reported increased risk of hospitalization with chronic opioid therapy. Among 1045 patients followed up to 1‐year post‐transplantation, long‐term opioids were associated with up to a sixfold greater risk of at least 4 admissions within that year.[24] Among 13,127 Danish adults on opioid therapy, the odds of future hospitalization from injuries were increased by 74% for long‐term therapy and 46% for short‐term therapy versus no opioids and by threefold and 1.6‐fold, respectively, for hospitalization due to toxicity/poisoning.[9] However, none of these studies examined the dose of opioids.
In a sensitivity analysis, we found that when a subject received a high total opioid dose within 6 months, treatment for more than 50% of the interval (i.e., >3 months) was associated with a significantly increased risk of future hospitalization and significantly more hospital days. Because the strongest evidence for the benefit of opioids for chronic noncancer pain comes from trials of <3 months,[25] these data lend additional support to recommendations to minimize both dose and duration of opioid therapy.
Our study has several limitations. First, we did not assess the immediate risk of hospitalization after starting opioid therapy. Second, our outcome of hospitalization represents only 1 measure of risk. Thus, our data should not be regarded as supporting short‐term use of high‐dose opioids over 100 to 120 mg per day.[26] In an earlier study, we reported that either a high daily dose (100 mg) or a moderately high daily dose (5099 mg) plus a high total dose (>1830 mg) increased the risk of drug overdose.[10] Third, we could not examine the reason for hospitalizations in this analysis. Therefore, we cannot presume that opioid therapy caused these hospitalizations, but it likely serves as a proxy for other factors such as disability and mental health disorders that increase risk of hospitalization. However, we did adjust for pain conditions as well as mental health and substance abuse disorders that are known to increase the risk of hospitalization in other cohorts.[27, 28, 29, 30] In a national veterans study, the most common clinical conditions associated with long‐term opioid therapy were major depression and PTSD.[22] Last, we did also not consider the number of prescribers of opioids. In a Medicare study, 1 versus 4 prescribers of OAs increased patients' annual hospitalization rate from 1.6% to 4.8%, respectively.[31]
Although the total opioid dose categories observed for our study population may differ from those in other cohorts, these data offer additional evidence for clinicians to consider this measure when assessing risk for hospitalization, and among subjects on high total doses, the percentage of time on opioids offers an additional measure of risk. Because opioid users with noncancer pain are heavy consumers of healthcare services,32,33 public health benefits and reductions in costs of care may be substantial if opportunities can be identified to reduce hospital utilization by persons treated with higher doses of OAs.
Disclosures
The work on this project was supported by an intramural grant from the National Center for Research Resources and the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, National Institutes of Health, through Grant 1UL TR001120. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the NIH. The authors report no conflicts of interest.
- Higher opioid doses predict poorer functional outcome in patients with chronic disabling occupational musculoskeletal disorders. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 2009;91:919–927. , , .
- Opioid therapy for nonspecific low back pain and the outcome of chronic work loss. Pain. 2009;142:194–201. , , .
- The comparative safety of analgesics in older adults with arthritis. Arch Intern Med. 2010;170:1968–1976. , , , , , .
- Evidence of specific cognitive deficits in patients with chronic low back pain under long‐term substitution treatment of opioids. Pain Physician. 2014;17:9–20. , , , et al.
- Opioid prescriptions for chronic pain and overdose: a cohort study. Ann Intern Med. 2010;152:85–92. , , , et al.
- Association between opioid prescribing patterns and opioid overdose‐related deaths. JAMA. 2011;305:1315–1321. , , , et al.
- Trends in opioid use and dosing among socio‐economically disadvantaged patients. Open Med. 2011;5:e13–e22. , , , , , .
- A history of being prescribed controlled substances and risk of drug overdose death. Pain Med. 2012;13:87–95. , , , et al.
- Chronic pain, opioid prescriptions and mortality in Denmark: a population‐based cohort study. Pain. 2014;155:2486–2490. , , , , .
- Assessing risk for drug overdose in a national cohort: Role for both daily and total opioid dose [published online ahead of print December 5, 2015]? J Pain. doi: 10.1016/j.jpain.2014.11.007. , .
- Institute of Medicine (US) Committee on Advancing Pain Research, Care, and Education. Relieving pain in America: a blueprint for transforming prevention, care, education, and research. Available at: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK91497. Accessed December 12, 2014.
- Patterns of multimorbidity in primary care patients at high risk of future hospitalization. Popul Health Manag. 2012;15:119–124. , , , , .
- Long‐term opioid management for chronic noncancer pain. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010;(1):CD006605. , , , et al.
- An analysis of heavy utilizers of opioids for chronic noncancer pain in the TROUP study. J Pain Symptom Manage. 2010;40:279–289. , , , , , .
- Opioid prescribing: a systematic review and critical appraisal of guidelines for chronic pain. Ann Intern Med. 2014;160:38–47. , , , et al.
- The treatment of cancer pain. N Engl J Med. 1985;313:84–95. .
- Opioid rotation in the management of chronic pain: where is the evidence? Pain Pract. 2010;10:85–93. , , , , .
- Palliative Care Perspectives. New York, NY: Oxford University Press; 2003:36–74. .
- Agency Medical Director's Group. Web‐based opioid dose calculator. Available at http://agencymeddirectors.wa.govmobile.html. Accessed April 7, 2014.
- Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. Hospital inpatient utilization related to opioid overuse among adults, 1993–2012. Available at: http://www.hcup-us.ahrq.gov/reports/statbriefs/sb177-Hospitalizations-for-Opioid-Overuse.pdf. Accessed December 12, 2014.
- National Center for Health Statistics. Hospitalization for congestive heart failure: United States, 2000–2010. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db108.htm#trends. Accessed December 12, 2014.
- Patterns of opioid use for chronic non‐cancer pain in the veterans health administration from 2009 to 2011. Pain. 2014;155:2337–2343. , , , et al.
- Prevalence and characteristics of hospitalized adults on chronic opioid therapy. J Hosp Med. 2014;9:82–87. , , , , , .
- Chronic opioid analgesic usage post‐kidney transplantation and clinical outcomes. Clin Transplant. 2014;28:1041–1046. , , , .
- A comparison between enriched and nonenriched enrollment randomized withdrawal trials of opioids for chronic noncancer pain. Pain Res Manag. 2011;16:337–351. , , , .
- Redesigning delivery of opioids to optimize pain management, improve outcomes, and contain costs. Pain Med. 2013;14:36–42. , , , , .
- Interaction of age and opioid dependence on length of hospital stay for spine surgery patients. Psychol Rep. 2009;105:361–364. , , , , .
- Sex, depression, and risk of hospitalization and mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Arch Intern Med. 2007;167:2345–2353. , , , et al.
- Risk of fractures requiring hospitalization after an initial prescription for zolpidem, alprazolam, lorazepam, or diazepam in older adults. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2011;59:1883–1890. , , , et al.
- Relationship between potential opioid‐related adverse effects and hospital length of stay in patients receiving opioids after orthopedic surgery. Pharmacotherapy. 2012;32:502–514. , , , et al.
- Opioid prescribing by multiple providers in Medicare: Retrospective observational study of insurance claims. BMJ. 2014;348:g1393. , , , .
- Analgesic usage for low back pain: Impact on health care costs and service use. Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 2005;30:1075–1081. , , , , , .
- Economic burden of prescription opioid misuse and abuse. J Manag Care Pharm. 2009;15:556–562. .
- Higher opioid doses predict poorer functional outcome in patients with chronic disabling occupational musculoskeletal disorders. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 2009;91:919–927. , , .
- Opioid therapy for nonspecific low back pain and the outcome of chronic work loss. Pain. 2009;142:194–201. , , .
- The comparative safety of analgesics in older adults with arthritis. Arch Intern Med. 2010;170:1968–1976. , , , , , .
- Evidence of specific cognitive deficits in patients with chronic low back pain under long‐term substitution treatment of opioids. Pain Physician. 2014;17:9–20. , , , et al.
- Opioid prescriptions for chronic pain and overdose: a cohort study. Ann Intern Med. 2010;152:85–92. , , , et al.
- Association between opioid prescribing patterns and opioid overdose‐related deaths. JAMA. 2011;305:1315–1321. , , , et al.
- Trends in opioid use and dosing among socio‐economically disadvantaged patients. Open Med. 2011;5:e13–e22. , , , , , .
- A history of being prescribed controlled substances and risk of drug overdose death. Pain Med. 2012;13:87–95. , , , et al.
- Chronic pain, opioid prescriptions and mortality in Denmark: a population‐based cohort study. Pain. 2014;155:2486–2490. , , , , .
- Assessing risk for drug overdose in a national cohort: Role for both daily and total opioid dose [published online ahead of print December 5, 2015]? J Pain. doi: 10.1016/j.jpain.2014.11.007. , .
- Institute of Medicine (US) Committee on Advancing Pain Research, Care, and Education. Relieving pain in America: a blueprint for transforming prevention, care, education, and research. Available at: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK91497. Accessed December 12, 2014.
- Patterns of multimorbidity in primary care patients at high risk of future hospitalization. Popul Health Manag. 2012;15:119–124. , , , , .
- Long‐term opioid management for chronic noncancer pain. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010;(1):CD006605. , , , et al.
- An analysis of heavy utilizers of opioids for chronic noncancer pain in the TROUP study. J Pain Symptom Manage. 2010;40:279–289. , , , , , .
- Opioid prescribing: a systematic review and critical appraisal of guidelines for chronic pain. Ann Intern Med. 2014;160:38–47. , , , et al.
- The treatment of cancer pain. N Engl J Med. 1985;313:84–95. .
- Opioid rotation in the management of chronic pain: where is the evidence? Pain Pract. 2010;10:85–93. , , , , .
- Palliative Care Perspectives. New York, NY: Oxford University Press; 2003:36–74. .
- Agency Medical Director's Group. Web‐based opioid dose calculator. Available at http://agencymeddirectors.wa.govmobile.html. Accessed April 7, 2014.
- Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. Hospital inpatient utilization related to opioid overuse among adults, 1993–2012. Available at: http://www.hcup-us.ahrq.gov/reports/statbriefs/sb177-Hospitalizations-for-Opioid-Overuse.pdf. Accessed December 12, 2014.
- National Center for Health Statistics. Hospitalization for congestive heart failure: United States, 2000–2010. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db108.htm#trends. Accessed December 12, 2014.
- Patterns of opioid use for chronic non‐cancer pain in the veterans health administration from 2009 to 2011. Pain. 2014;155:2337–2343. , , , et al.
- Prevalence and characteristics of hospitalized adults on chronic opioid therapy. J Hosp Med. 2014;9:82–87. , , , , , .
- Chronic opioid analgesic usage post‐kidney transplantation and clinical outcomes. Clin Transplant. 2014;28:1041–1046. , , , .
- A comparison between enriched and nonenriched enrollment randomized withdrawal trials of opioids for chronic noncancer pain. Pain Res Manag. 2011;16:337–351. , , , .
- Redesigning delivery of opioids to optimize pain management, improve outcomes, and contain costs. Pain Med. 2013;14:36–42. , , , , .
- Interaction of age and opioid dependence on length of hospital stay for spine surgery patients. Psychol Rep. 2009;105:361–364. , , , , .
- Sex, depression, and risk of hospitalization and mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Arch Intern Med. 2007;167:2345–2353. , , , et al.
- Risk of fractures requiring hospitalization after an initial prescription for zolpidem, alprazolam, lorazepam, or diazepam in older adults. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2011;59:1883–1890. , , , et al.
- Relationship between potential opioid‐related adverse effects and hospital length of stay in patients receiving opioids after orthopedic surgery. Pharmacotherapy. 2012;32:502–514. , , , et al.
- Opioid prescribing by multiple providers in Medicare: Retrospective observational study of insurance claims. BMJ. 2014;348:g1393. , , , .
- Analgesic usage for low back pain: Impact on health care costs and service use. Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 2005;30:1075–1081. , , , , , .
- Economic burden of prescription opioid misuse and abuse. J Manag Care Pharm. 2009;15:556–562. .
© 2015 Society of Hospital Medicine
Novel Configuration of a Traditional RRT
Cardiopulmonary arrest (CPA) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, both in the out‐of‐hospital environment as well as the inpatient setting.[1, 2] Unlike the out‐of‐hospital environment, inpatient CPA is unique in that healthcare providers are present during the prearrest period. In theory, this allows the opportunity to intervene and potentially prevent arrest. However, multiple investigators have demonstrated that the vast majority of inpatient CPA victims demonstrate abnormal vital signs prior to arrest without antecedent therapeutic intervention.[3, 4, 5]
Rapid response teams (RRTs) were created to institutionalize the response to at‐risk patients based on chief complaint or vital sign abnormalities. Early evaluation by a critical care team and initiation of appropriate therapy based on defined activation criteria should prevent deterioration in a substantial portion of patients at risk for CPA. Unfortunately, RRTs have not consistently demonstrated improved outcomes on the incidence of CPA and hospital mortality.[6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14] Although some investigators have reported a decrease in nonintensive care unit (ICU) arrests, it has been posited that this finding appears to be highly associated with either an increase in ICU arrests or more aggressive do not attempt resuscitation (DNAR) orders.[8]
Another potential explanation is an absence of training models that focus on the primary inpatient healthcare providers who are directly responsible for the afferent portion of an RRT program. Here we describe our experience with a novel RRT curriculum, in which unit managers (ie, charge nurse) play an essential role, and substantial education is directed toward primary responders such as bedside nurses and respiratory therapists. This approach is implemented through our novel resuscitation curriculum, which represents a comprehensive approach to inpatient resuscitation management built around critical links between continuous quality improvement (CQI) data, training, and special initiatives.
METHODS
Setting
This study was conducted in 2 urban university hospitals totaling approximately 500 medical/surgical beds starting fiscal year June 2005 through June 2011. Beds in the emergency department were not included. The primary medical center is comprised of 392 inpatient beds, whereas the sister campus consists of 119 inpatient beds. Waiver of informed consent was granted from our investigational review board. In 2007, our hospitals implemented the advanced resuscitation training (ART) program as an alternative to Advanced Cardiac Life Support and Basic Life Support. The ART program at the University of California San Diego consists of 5 key components: an institutional algorithm for arrest and nonarrest resuscitation, annual advanced resuscitation training for inpatient providers, the RRT as described below, an aggressive CQI program linked with training and inpatient special projects, and advanced defibrillators (Zoll E Series; Zoll Corp, Chelmsford, MA). By end of postimplementation year 1, all inpatient providers were required to have undergone training.
In November 2007, the RRT was initiated and is comprised of a dedicated critical care nurse and respiratory therapist. The third member of the team is the unit charge nurse who is not a dedicated primary responder but rather acts only if the response is activated in their specific unit. As part of our curriculum, it is the responsibility of the charge nurse on each inpatient unit to conduct rounds on at‐risk patients throughout each shift. Additionally, each inpatient provider undergoes several hours of RRT education on patient surveillance and the recognition of deterioration as part of annual training in our novel hospital‐wide resuscitation curriculum. The content of this training is frequently modified based on institutional CQI data. Instructors include critical care physicians and designated Code Blue/RRT nurses with extensive training and exposure to our novel curriculum. A conceptual model is used to present RRT activation criteria, with specific parameters provided as a guide (see Supporting Table 1 in the online version of this article). The Code Blue physician leader is available to the primary RRT responders based on their initial assessment. Emergency standing orders allow the RRT nurse to implement particular therapies under institutional protocols.
Data Collection
Data from all inpatient Code Blue and RRT activations are entered into an electronic CQI database by the responding nurse. Rapid response data include the etiology or chief complaint for the activation, relevant clinical findings, therapeutic interventions, disposition, and duration of the response. Additional clinical data, including a comprehensive process of classification and targeted CQI data collection, are provided by a dedicated resuscitation CQI team. Outcomes are obtained from the electronic patient care record and from hospital admissions so that all events can be normalized to patient discharge volume.
Data Analysis
To evaluate the effectiveness of the RRT, we compared the yearly incidence of non‐ICU CPA (per 1000 patient discharges) on all units starting fiscal year July 2005 through June 2011. Hospital discharge and mortality data were available after July 2006, whereas complete Code Blue activation data were available starting fiscal year July 2005. The incidence of ICU arrests was also determined to assess the RRT impact on the ICU and overall hospital mortality. The number and year‐over‐year change in RRT versus Code Blue activations for each individual inpatient unit starting November (quarter [Q] 3) 2007 through 20011 were compared using linear regression and described by Pearson correlation coefficient.[15] Patient acuity over the course of observation was monitored hospital wide through case mix index (CMI).[16, 17, 18] StatsDirect (StatsDirect Software Inc., Ashwell, UK) statistical software was used for all comparisons. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
RESULTS
Starting preimplementation year 2006 through postimplementation years 2007 to 2011, the incidence of non‐ICU CPA decreased from 2.7 to 1.1 arrests per 1000 discharges (P<0.0001). The incidence of ICU CPA remained unchanged following program implementation (P=0.532) (Figure 1). Overall hospital mortality also decreased over the study period 2006 to 2011 (2.12%1.74%, P<0.001) (Figure 2). Overall hospital CMI for fiscal years 2005/2006 through 2011/2012 were significantly different (1.47 vs 1.67, P<0.0001). No difference was observed in the pre‐ and postimplementation period likelihood of DNAR status among nonsurvivors with initial return of spontaneous circulation at the time of CPA resuscitation (76% vs 75%, P=0.841).


Starting fiscal year 2005to 2011, there were a total of 546 total CPAs with 247 non‐ICU CPAs observed between both hospital systems. Since its implementation starting at Q3 of 2007, a total of 1729 RRT activations throughout all inpatient areas were observed through 2011. The overall relationship between Code Blue activations starting July 2005 and the RRT since its implementation is displayed in Figure 3. No relationship was detected between the number of Code Blue and RRT activations on each unit (r=0.17, P=0.242). However, the year‐over‐year (fiscal years 2007/20082008/2009) change in RRT activations for each unit was inversely related to the change in Code Blue activations; the individual units with an increase in RRT activations experienced a decrease in Code Blue activations, and units with a decrease in RRT activations experienced an increase in Code Blue activations (r=0.68, P<0.001) (Figure 4).


The time per RRT activation appeared to stabilize after the first program year, whereas the number of RRT activations per month has increased over time. The RRT activation etiologies based on chief complaint reported to the RRT nurse are displayed in Figure 5. Only 3% of activations resulted in no intervention; most of these represented seizures that resolved prior to RRT arrival or syncope episodes for noninpatients. The most common interventions were airway management (27%), fluid therapy (18%), and respiratory treatments (15%). The vast majority of patients (99%) survived the RRT response. A total of 56% of RRT activations resulted in disposition to a higher level of care (43% upgraded to ICU status, 13% upgraded to intermediate care unit status), whereas the remaining 44% of patients stayed on their original unit.

DISCUSSION
One of the primary rationales for hospital admission is the ability to observe and monitor patients to identify deterioration and prevent CPA. Thus, the failure of RRT programs to consistently demonstrate improvements in overall hospital mortality is somewhat perplexing. Here we present 4 years of data starting at the initiation of our RRT program. During our period of observation, we noted a significant inverse relationship between the activations of the RRT and incidence of CPA. Additionally, we noticed a significant decrease in non‐ICU arrests and in overall hospital mortality that appears to be associated with initiation of our novel RRT (Figures 1 and 2, respectively). In postintervention year 1, the unadjusted implementation of our RRT was associated with approximately 57% of the improvement of in‐hospital mortality. We noted a decrease of non‐ICU mortality from 45 deaths in fiscal year 2006 to 2007 to 21 deaths in fiscal year 2007 to 2008. Additionally, the number of non‐ICU Code Blue activations also declined during this period, from 56 to 34, with a survival to hospital discharge rate of 38% (fiscal year 2007 to 2008). In the second full year postimplementation, the activation of the RRT appears to be associated with a similar amount of reduction in in‐hospital mortality (52%) (see Supporting Table 2 in the online version of this article). We do not believe that initiation of our novel RRT accounts for all the variance in reduction of overall mortality. However, we posit that much of our success likely reflects our unique combined approach to a multifaceted life‐support training curriculum. Finally, though not statistically investigated, RRT activation etiology appears to be relatively uniform with respiratory, suspected cardiovascular, and clinical intuition accounting for a large majority of activations through the study period (Figure 5).
Multiple potential explanations exist to account for the lack of outcomes data to fully support RRT programs, with a failure to follow published RRT activation guidelines listed as a key factor.[7, 8, 19] It is unclear whether this reflects inconsistent activation protocols, as many hospitals lack specific published guidelines, whereas others may have more have rigid protocols. Another consideration is possible reluctance to activate a specialized team by primary in‐hospital caregivers due in part to intimidation or a lack of specific training. Interestingly, the routine presence of a physician with RRT activations has been postulated to be inhibitory in this regard and result in critical delays to resuscitative care.[20, 21, 22]
The vast majority of our RRT activations survived the initial response. This is an important metric not only for determining the competency of RRT providers in initiating therapies but also reflects the willingness of inpatient staff to activate RRT early in the course of a patient's deterioration, as delayed activation has been previously associated with increased mortality.[23, 24, 25] The relatively high RRT survival rate could be interpreted as reflecting some degree of overactivation. Of note, based upon hospital CMI, overall patient acuity appeared to continuously increase during and after the observation period. However, the incidence of RRT activations in which no therapies were initiated was extremely low, and more than half of patients were transferred to a higher level of care. We posit that benchmarking such metrics in the future may help institutions guide their resuscitation programs.
Our current RRT configuration of a dedicated critical care trained nurse and respiratory therapist plus unit manager (ie, charge nurse) is a departure from the traditional RRT historically consisting of a dedicated critical care trained nurse and/or respiratory therapist, and physician(s).[26] Perhaps more important than team configuration is our novel concept of individual unit managers regularly rounding on their own most at‐risk patients, which may add a layer of familiarity and increased likelihood of identifying even subtle changes associated with eventual decompensation. Unfortunately, we did not assess the charge nurse decision‐making process regarding RRT activation. This approach differs from Gerdik et al., who have demonstrated a positive association with the ability of the patient and/or family to activate the RRT. [27] Though similar, our approach also differs from the strategy of a dedicated RRT nurse rounding on high risk patients identified through physician and nurse surveys that have also shown a significant reduction in admission deaths.[26, 28, 29] Although the strategies may differ on the specific team members initiating the deployment of the RRT, what they appear to have in common is the proactive component of the identification of at‐risk patients. Additionally, we employ an annual RRT educational seminar for potential primary responders including bedside nurses, respiratory therapists, and physical therapists. Our novel resuscitation program and RRT education allows modulation of the life‐support curriculum to emphasize the importance of early recognition and response to at‐risk patients based upon our activation criteria and evaluation of activation trends (see Supporting Table 1 in the online version of this article). Finally, the presence of the charge nurse as part of the RRT is important, not only as part of the afferent arm of the program but also to enhance unit responsibility for detecting deterioration. It is our belief that an aggressive resuscitation CQI program with efferent links to unit managers amplifies the perception of ownership by primary providers and enhances the culture of resuscitation.
A lack of understanding as to the etiology of CPA in the inpatient environment may also limit the effectiveness of protocol and monitoring strategies. Our current resuscitation program places great emphasis on the taxonomy of our in‐hospital cardiac arrests and classifying inpatient events to help guide CQI efforts. These classifications provide a scaffolding for life‐support education and can result in changes to treatment algorithms or initiate new programs to target particular patient populations. An example includes the implementation of respiratory monitoring strategies in perioperative patients at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea.
Several limitations to this analysis must be considered. The study was not a randomized prospective trial and lacks internal validation. The before‐and‐after study was limited by the inclusion of only 1 complete preimplementation year (2006), which may have introduced a bias related to the inherent inability to properly evaluate secular trends. As such, this study cannot compare the relative effectiveness of our novel RRT participants and curriculum versus the traditional RRTs previously described.[26] Additionally, we also excluded data from both the emergency department and operating arena. Both are reported to have overall higher survival rates due to differences in arrest etiology, monitoring, anticipation, and available personal.[30, 31] We used CMI coefficients to explore the possibility of a decrease in patient acuity during the study. However, we noticed an increasing case‐mix coefficient value suggesting higher patient acuity, which would predict increased mortality rather than the decrease we observed.
One must also consider how the introduction of an RRT may increase DNAR orders and subsequently affect overall mortality by artificially lowering it.[32] Trends in DNAR during our period of observation were not significantly different. However, if an increase in DNAR orders did artificially improve non‐ICU CPA outcomes, one would expect unchanged or increased overall hospital mortality. In contrast, we found improvement in all outcomes including overall hospital mortality (Figure 2).
CONCLUSIONS
Our novel RRT program, with an emphasis on inclusion of non‐ICU charge nurses as part of the team and universal RRT education integrated within life support training, appears to be effective at decreasing the incidence of non‐ICU CPA and overall hospital mortality.
Disclosure: Nothing to report.
- Heart disease and stroke statistics—2009 update: a report from the American Heart Association Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee. Circulation. 2009;119:480–486. , , , et al.
- Out‐of‐hospital cardiac arrest surveillance—Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival (CARES), United States, October 1, 2005—December 31, 2010. MMWR Surveill Summ. 2011;60:1–19. , , , et al.
- Antecedent bradycardia and in‐hospital cardiopulmonary arrest mortality in telemetry‐monitored patients outside the ICU. Resuscitation. 2012;83:1106–1110. , , , et al.
- In‐hospital cardiac arrest: impact of monitoring and witnessed event on patient survival and neurologic status at hospital discharge. Resuscitation. 2011;82:845–852. , , , , .
- ST changes on continuous telemetry monitoring before in‐hospital cardiac arrests. Paper presented at: Resuscitation Science Symposium, Los Angeles, Ca. November 3–4, 2012. , , , , .
- Rapid‐response systems as a patient safety strategy: a systematic review. Ann Intern Med. 2013;158:417–425. , , , , , .
- Introduction of the medical emergency team (MET) system: a cluster‐randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2005;365:2091–2097. , , , et al.
- Evaluation of a medical emergency team one year after implementation. Resuscitation. 2004;61:257–263. , , , .
- Rapid response teams: a systematic review and meta‐analysis. Arch Intern Med. 2010;170:18–26. , , , , .
- Hospital‐wide code rates and mortality before and after implementation of a rapid response team. JAMA. 2008;300:2506–2513. , , , , , .
- Rapid response team implementation and in‐hospital mortality. Crit Care Med. 2014;42(9):2001–2006. , , , , .
- Effect of a rapid response team on patient outcomes in a community‐based teaching hospital. J Grad Med Educ. 2014;6:61–64. , , , , , .
- Reduction in hospital‐wide mortality after implementation of a rapid response team: a long‐term cohort study. Crit Care. 2011;15:R269. , , , , .
- Rapid response systems: a systematic review. Crit Care Med. 2007;35:1238–1243. , , , , , .
- Baseline hospital performance and the impact of medical emergency teams: modelling vs. conventional subgroup analysis. Trials. 2009;10:117. , , , , .
- The evolution of case‐mix measurement using DRGs: past, present and future. Stud Health Technol Inform. 1994;14:75–83. .
- Variability in case‐mix adjusted in‐hospital cardiac arrest rates. Med Care. 2012;50:124–130. , , , et al.
- Impact of socioeconomic adjustment on physicians' relative cost of care. Med Care. 2013;51:454–460. , , , , .
- Reducing in‐hospital cardiac arrests and hospital mortality by introducing a medical emergency team. Intensive Care Med. 2010;36:100–106. , , , , , .
- Barriers to calling for urgent assistance despite a comprehensive pediatric rapid response system. Am J Crit Care. 2014;23:223–229. , , , et al.
- What stops hospital clinical staff from following protocols? An analysis of the incidence and factors behind the failure of bedside clinical staff to activate the rapid response system in a multi‐campus Australian metropolitan healthcare service. BMJ Qual Saf. 2012;21:569–575. , , , et al.
- Effects of a medical emergency team on reduction of incidence of and mortality from unexpected cardiac arrests in hospital: preliminary study. BMJ. 2002;324:387–390. , , , , , .
- The relationship between early emergency team calls and serious adverse events. Crit Care Med. 2009;37:148–153. , , , , .
- Characteristics and outcomes of patients receiving a medical emergency team review for acute change in conscious state or arrhythmias. Crit Care Med. 2008;36:477–481. , , , , , .
- Characteristics and outcomes of patients receiving a medical emergency team review for respiratory distress or hypotension. J Crit Care. 2008;23:325–331. , , , , , .
- Proactive rounding by the rapid response team reduces inpatient cardiac arrests. Resuscitation. 2013;84:1668–1673. , , , et al.
- Successful implementation of a family and patient activated rapid response team in an adult level 1 trauma center. Resuscitation. 2014;81:1676–1681. , , , , , .
- Effect of the critical care outreach team on patient survival to discharge from hospital and readmission to critical care: non‐randomised population based study. BMJ. 2003;327:1014. , , .
- Beyond rapid response teams: instituting a “rover team” improves the management of at‐risk patients, facilitates proactive interventions, and improves outcomes. In: Henriksen K, Battles JB, Keyes MA, Grady ML, eds. Advances in Patient Safety: New Directions and Alternative Approaches. Vol. 3. Performance and Tools. Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; 2008:1–12. , , , , , .
- Cardiac arrest in the emergency department: a report from the National Registry of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation. Resuscitation. 2008;78:151–160. , , .
- Delayed time to defibrillation after intraoperative and periprocedural cardiac arrest. Anesthesiology. 2010;113:782–793. , , , , .
- The Medical Emergency Team System and not‐for‐resuscitation orders: results from the MERIT study. Resuscitation. 2008;79:391–397. , , , , .
Cardiopulmonary arrest (CPA) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, both in the out‐of‐hospital environment as well as the inpatient setting.[1, 2] Unlike the out‐of‐hospital environment, inpatient CPA is unique in that healthcare providers are present during the prearrest period. In theory, this allows the opportunity to intervene and potentially prevent arrest. However, multiple investigators have demonstrated that the vast majority of inpatient CPA victims demonstrate abnormal vital signs prior to arrest without antecedent therapeutic intervention.[3, 4, 5]
Rapid response teams (RRTs) were created to institutionalize the response to at‐risk patients based on chief complaint or vital sign abnormalities. Early evaluation by a critical care team and initiation of appropriate therapy based on defined activation criteria should prevent deterioration in a substantial portion of patients at risk for CPA. Unfortunately, RRTs have not consistently demonstrated improved outcomes on the incidence of CPA and hospital mortality.[6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14] Although some investigators have reported a decrease in nonintensive care unit (ICU) arrests, it has been posited that this finding appears to be highly associated with either an increase in ICU arrests or more aggressive do not attempt resuscitation (DNAR) orders.[8]
Another potential explanation is an absence of training models that focus on the primary inpatient healthcare providers who are directly responsible for the afferent portion of an RRT program. Here we describe our experience with a novel RRT curriculum, in which unit managers (ie, charge nurse) play an essential role, and substantial education is directed toward primary responders such as bedside nurses and respiratory therapists. This approach is implemented through our novel resuscitation curriculum, which represents a comprehensive approach to inpatient resuscitation management built around critical links between continuous quality improvement (CQI) data, training, and special initiatives.
METHODS
Setting
This study was conducted in 2 urban university hospitals totaling approximately 500 medical/surgical beds starting fiscal year June 2005 through June 2011. Beds in the emergency department were not included. The primary medical center is comprised of 392 inpatient beds, whereas the sister campus consists of 119 inpatient beds. Waiver of informed consent was granted from our investigational review board. In 2007, our hospitals implemented the advanced resuscitation training (ART) program as an alternative to Advanced Cardiac Life Support and Basic Life Support. The ART program at the University of California San Diego consists of 5 key components: an institutional algorithm for arrest and nonarrest resuscitation, annual advanced resuscitation training for inpatient providers, the RRT as described below, an aggressive CQI program linked with training and inpatient special projects, and advanced defibrillators (Zoll E Series; Zoll Corp, Chelmsford, MA). By end of postimplementation year 1, all inpatient providers were required to have undergone training.
In November 2007, the RRT was initiated and is comprised of a dedicated critical care nurse and respiratory therapist. The third member of the team is the unit charge nurse who is not a dedicated primary responder but rather acts only if the response is activated in their specific unit. As part of our curriculum, it is the responsibility of the charge nurse on each inpatient unit to conduct rounds on at‐risk patients throughout each shift. Additionally, each inpatient provider undergoes several hours of RRT education on patient surveillance and the recognition of deterioration as part of annual training in our novel hospital‐wide resuscitation curriculum. The content of this training is frequently modified based on institutional CQI data. Instructors include critical care physicians and designated Code Blue/RRT nurses with extensive training and exposure to our novel curriculum. A conceptual model is used to present RRT activation criteria, with specific parameters provided as a guide (see Supporting Table 1 in the online version of this article). The Code Blue physician leader is available to the primary RRT responders based on their initial assessment. Emergency standing orders allow the RRT nurse to implement particular therapies under institutional protocols.
Data Collection
Data from all inpatient Code Blue and RRT activations are entered into an electronic CQI database by the responding nurse. Rapid response data include the etiology or chief complaint for the activation, relevant clinical findings, therapeutic interventions, disposition, and duration of the response. Additional clinical data, including a comprehensive process of classification and targeted CQI data collection, are provided by a dedicated resuscitation CQI team. Outcomes are obtained from the electronic patient care record and from hospital admissions so that all events can be normalized to patient discharge volume.
Data Analysis
To evaluate the effectiveness of the RRT, we compared the yearly incidence of non‐ICU CPA (per 1000 patient discharges) on all units starting fiscal year July 2005 through June 2011. Hospital discharge and mortality data were available after July 2006, whereas complete Code Blue activation data were available starting fiscal year July 2005. The incidence of ICU arrests was also determined to assess the RRT impact on the ICU and overall hospital mortality. The number and year‐over‐year change in RRT versus Code Blue activations for each individual inpatient unit starting November (quarter [Q] 3) 2007 through 20011 were compared using linear regression and described by Pearson correlation coefficient.[15] Patient acuity over the course of observation was monitored hospital wide through case mix index (CMI).[16, 17, 18] StatsDirect (StatsDirect Software Inc., Ashwell, UK) statistical software was used for all comparisons. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
RESULTS
Starting preimplementation year 2006 through postimplementation years 2007 to 2011, the incidence of non‐ICU CPA decreased from 2.7 to 1.1 arrests per 1000 discharges (P<0.0001). The incidence of ICU CPA remained unchanged following program implementation (P=0.532) (Figure 1). Overall hospital mortality also decreased over the study period 2006 to 2011 (2.12%1.74%, P<0.001) (Figure 2). Overall hospital CMI for fiscal years 2005/2006 through 2011/2012 were significantly different (1.47 vs 1.67, P<0.0001). No difference was observed in the pre‐ and postimplementation period likelihood of DNAR status among nonsurvivors with initial return of spontaneous circulation at the time of CPA resuscitation (76% vs 75%, P=0.841).


Starting fiscal year 2005to 2011, there were a total of 546 total CPAs with 247 non‐ICU CPAs observed between both hospital systems. Since its implementation starting at Q3 of 2007, a total of 1729 RRT activations throughout all inpatient areas were observed through 2011. The overall relationship between Code Blue activations starting July 2005 and the RRT since its implementation is displayed in Figure 3. No relationship was detected between the number of Code Blue and RRT activations on each unit (r=0.17, P=0.242). However, the year‐over‐year (fiscal years 2007/20082008/2009) change in RRT activations for each unit was inversely related to the change in Code Blue activations; the individual units with an increase in RRT activations experienced a decrease in Code Blue activations, and units with a decrease in RRT activations experienced an increase in Code Blue activations (r=0.68, P<0.001) (Figure 4).


The time per RRT activation appeared to stabilize after the first program year, whereas the number of RRT activations per month has increased over time. The RRT activation etiologies based on chief complaint reported to the RRT nurse are displayed in Figure 5. Only 3% of activations resulted in no intervention; most of these represented seizures that resolved prior to RRT arrival or syncope episodes for noninpatients. The most common interventions were airway management (27%), fluid therapy (18%), and respiratory treatments (15%). The vast majority of patients (99%) survived the RRT response. A total of 56% of RRT activations resulted in disposition to a higher level of care (43% upgraded to ICU status, 13% upgraded to intermediate care unit status), whereas the remaining 44% of patients stayed on their original unit.

DISCUSSION
One of the primary rationales for hospital admission is the ability to observe and monitor patients to identify deterioration and prevent CPA. Thus, the failure of RRT programs to consistently demonstrate improvements in overall hospital mortality is somewhat perplexing. Here we present 4 years of data starting at the initiation of our RRT program. During our period of observation, we noted a significant inverse relationship between the activations of the RRT and incidence of CPA. Additionally, we noticed a significant decrease in non‐ICU arrests and in overall hospital mortality that appears to be associated with initiation of our novel RRT (Figures 1 and 2, respectively). In postintervention year 1, the unadjusted implementation of our RRT was associated with approximately 57% of the improvement of in‐hospital mortality. We noted a decrease of non‐ICU mortality from 45 deaths in fiscal year 2006 to 2007 to 21 deaths in fiscal year 2007 to 2008. Additionally, the number of non‐ICU Code Blue activations also declined during this period, from 56 to 34, with a survival to hospital discharge rate of 38% (fiscal year 2007 to 2008). In the second full year postimplementation, the activation of the RRT appears to be associated with a similar amount of reduction in in‐hospital mortality (52%) (see Supporting Table 2 in the online version of this article). We do not believe that initiation of our novel RRT accounts for all the variance in reduction of overall mortality. However, we posit that much of our success likely reflects our unique combined approach to a multifaceted life‐support training curriculum. Finally, though not statistically investigated, RRT activation etiology appears to be relatively uniform with respiratory, suspected cardiovascular, and clinical intuition accounting for a large majority of activations through the study period (Figure 5).
Multiple potential explanations exist to account for the lack of outcomes data to fully support RRT programs, with a failure to follow published RRT activation guidelines listed as a key factor.[7, 8, 19] It is unclear whether this reflects inconsistent activation protocols, as many hospitals lack specific published guidelines, whereas others may have more have rigid protocols. Another consideration is possible reluctance to activate a specialized team by primary in‐hospital caregivers due in part to intimidation or a lack of specific training. Interestingly, the routine presence of a physician with RRT activations has been postulated to be inhibitory in this regard and result in critical delays to resuscitative care.[20, 21, 22]
The vast majority of our RRT activations survived the initial response. This is an important metric not only for determining the competency of RRT providers in initiating therapies but also reflects the willingness of inpatient staff to activate RRT early in the course of a patient's deterioration, as delayed activation has been previously associated with increased mortality.[23, 24, 25] The relatively high RRT survival rate could be interpreted as reflecting some degree of overactivation. Of note, based upon hospital CMI, overall patient acuity appeared to continuously increase during and after the observation period. However, the incidence of RRT activations in which no therapies were initiated was extremely low, and more than half of patients were transferred to a higher level of care. We posit that benchmarking such metrics in the future may help institutions guide their resuscitation programs.
Our current RRT configuration of a dedicated critical care trained nurse and respiratory therapist plus unit manager (ie, charge nurse) is a departure from the traditional RRT historically consisting of a dedicated critical care trained nurse and/or respiratory therapist, and physician(s).[26] Perhaps more important than team configuration is our novel concept of individual unit managers regularly rounding on their own most at‐risk patients, which may add a layer of familiarity and increased likelihood of identifying even subtle changes associated with eventual decompensation. Unfortunately, we did not assess the charge nurse decision‐making process regarding RRT activation. This approach differs from Gerdik et al., who have demonstrated a positive association with the ability of the patient and/or family to activate the RRT. [27] Though similar, our approach also differs from the strategy of a dedicated RRT nurse rounding on high risk patients identified through physician and nurse surveys that have also shown a significant reduction in admission deaths.[26, 28, 29] Although the strategies may differ on the specific team members initiating the deployment of the RRT, what they appear to have in common is the proactive component of the identification of at‐risk patients. Additionally, we employ an annual RRT educational seminar for potential primary responders including bedside nurses, respiratory therapists, and physical therapists. Our novel resuscitation program and RRT education allows modulation of the life‐support curriculum to emphasize the importance of early recognition and response to at‐risk patients based upon our activation criteria and evaluation of activation trends (see Supporting Table 1 in the online version of this article). Finally, the presence of the charge nurse as part of the RRT is important, not only as part of the afferent arm of the program but also to enhance unit responsibility for detecting deterioration. It is our belief that an aggressive resuscitation CQI program with efferent links to unit managers amplifies the perception of ownership by primary providers and enhances the culture of resuscitation.
A lack of understanding as to the etiology of CPA in the inpatient environment may also limit the effectiveness of protocol and monitoring strategies. Our current resuscitation program places great emphasis on the taxonomy of our in‐hospital cardiac arrests and classifying inpatient events to help guide CQI efforts. These classifications provide a scaffolding for life‐support education and can result in changes to treatment algorithms or initiate new programs to target particular patient populations. An example includes the implementation of respiratory monitoring strategies in perioperative patients at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea.
Several limitations to this analysis must be considered. The study was not a randomized prospective trial and lacks internal validation. The before‐and‐after study was limited by the inclusion of only 1 complete preimplementation year (2006), which may have introduced a bias related to the inherent inability to properly evaluate secular trends. As such, this study cannot compare the relative effectiveness of our novel RRT participants and curriculum versus the traditional RRTs previously described.[26] Additionally, we also excluded data from both the emergency department and operating arena. Both are reported to have overall higher survival rates due to differences in arrest etiology, monitoring, anticipation, and available personal.[30, 31] We used CMI coefficients to explore the possibility of a decrease in patient acuity during the study. However, we noticed an increasing case‐mix coefficient value suggesting higher patient acuity, which would predict increased mortality rather than the decrease we observed.
One must also consider how the introduction of an RRT may increase DNAR orders and subsequently affect overall mortality by artificially lowering it.[32] Trends in DNAR during our period of observation were not significantly different. However, if an increase in DNAR orders did artificially improve non‐ICU CPA outcomes, one would expect unchanged or increased overall hospital mortality. In contrast, we found improvement in all outcomes including overall hospital mortality (Figure 2).
CONCLUSIONS
Our novel RRT program, with an emphasis on inclusion of non‐ICU charge nurses as part of the team and universal RRT education integrated within life support training, appears to be effective at decreasing the incidence of non‐ICU CPA and overall hospital mortality.
Disclosure: Nothing to report.
Cardiopulmonary arrest (CPA) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, both in the out‐of‐hospital environment as well as the inpatient setting.[1, 2] Unlike the out‐of‐hospital environment, inpatient CPA is unique in that healthcare providers are present during the prearrest period. In theory, this allows the opportunity to intervene and potentially prevent arrest. However, multiple investigators have demonstrated that the vast majority of inpatient CPA victims demonstrate abnormal vital signs prior to arrest without antecedent therapeutic intervention.[3, 4, 5]
Rapid response teams (RRTs) were created to institutionalize the response to at‐risk patients based on chief complaint or vital sign abnormalities. Early evaluation by a critical care team and initiation of appropriate therapy based on defined activation criteria should prevent deterioration in a substantial portion of patients at risk for CPA. Unfortunately, RRTs have not consistently demonstrated improved outcomes on the incidence of CPA and hospital mortality.[6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14] Although some investigators have reported a decrease in nonintensive care unit (ICU) arrests, it has been posited that this finding appears to be highly associated with either an increase in ICU arrests or more aggressive do not attempt resuscitation (DNAR) orders.[8]
Another potential explanation is an absence of training models that focus on the primary inpatient healthcare providers who are directly responsible for the afferent portion of an RRT program. Here we describe our experience with a novel RRT curriculum, in which unit managers (ie, charge nurse) play an essential role, and substantial education is directed toward primary responders such as bedside nurses and respiratory therapists. This approach is implemented through our novel resuscitation curriculum, which represents a comprehensive approach to inpatient resuscitation management built around critical links between continuous quality improvement (CQI) data, training, and special initiatives.
METHODS
Setting
This study was conducted in 2 urban university hospitals totaling approximately 500 medical/surgical beds starting fiscal year June 2005 through June 2011. Beds in the emergency department were not included. The primary medical center is comprised of 392 inpatient beds, whereas the sister campus consists of 119 inpatient beds. Waiver of informed consent was granted from our investigational review board. In 2007, our hospitals implemented the advanced resuscitation training (ART) program as an alternative to Advanced Cardiac Life Support and Basic Life Support. The ART program at the University of California San Diego consists of 5 key components: an institutional algorithm for arrest and nonarrest resuscitation, annual advanced resuscitation training for inpatient providers, the RRT as described below, an aggressive CQI program linked with training and inpatient special projects, and advanced defibrillators (Zoll E Series; Zoll Corp, Chelmsford, MA). By end of postimplementation year 1, all inpatient providers were required to have undergone training.
In November 2007, the RRT was initiated and is comprised of a dedicated critical care nurse and respiratory therapist. The third member of the team is the unit charge nurse who is not a dedicated primary responder but rather acts only if the response is activated in their specific unit. As part of our curriculum, it is the responsibility of the charge nurse on each inpatient unit to conduct rounds on at‐risk patients throughout each shift. Additionally, each inpatient provider undergoes several hours of RRT education on patient surveillance and the recognition of deterioration as part of annual training in our novel hospital‐wide resuscitation curriculum. The content of this training is frequently modified based on institutional CQI data. Instructors include critical care physicians and designated Code Blue/RRT nurses with extensive training and exposure to our novel curriculum. A conceptual model is used to present RRT activation criteria, with specific parameters provided as a guide (see Supporting Table 1 in the online version of this article). The Code Blue physician leader is available to the primary RRT responders based on their initial assessment. Emergency standing orders allow the RRT nurse to implement particular therapies under institutional protocols.
Data Collection
Data from all inpatient Code Blue and RRT activations are entered into an electronic CQI database by the responding nurse. Rapid response data include the etiology or chief complaint for the activation, relevant clinical findings, therapeutic interventions, disposition, and duration of the response. Additional clinical data, including a comprehensive process of classification and targeted CQI data collection, are provided by a dedicated resuscitation CQI team. Outcomes are obtained from the electronic patient care record and from hospital admissions so that all events can be normalized to patient discharge volume.
Data Analysis
To evaluate the effectiveness of the RRT, we compared the yearly incidence of non‐ICU CPA (per 1000 patient discharges) on all units starting fiscal year July 2005 through June 2011. Hospital discharge and mortality data were available after July 2006, whereas complete Code Blue activation data were available starting fiscal year July 2005. The incidence of ICU arrests was also determined to assess the RRT impact on the ICU and overall hospital mortality. The number and year‐over‐year change in RRT versus Code Blue activations for each individual inpatient unit starting November (quarter [Q] 3) 2007 through 20011 were compared using linear regression and described by Pearson correlation coefficient.[15] Patient acuity over the course of observation was monitored hospital wide through case mix index (CMI).[16, 17, 18] StatsDirect (StatsDirect Software Inc., Ashwell, UK) statistical software was used for all comparisons. P values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
RESULTS
Starting preimplementation year 2006 through postimplementation years 2007 to 2011, the incidence of non‐ICU CPA decreased from 2.7 to 1.1 arrests per 1000 discharges (P<0.0001). The incidence of ICU CPA remained unchanged following program implementation (P=0.532) (Figure 1). Overall hospital mortality also decreased over the study period 2006 to 2011 (2.12%1.74%, P<0.001) (Figure 2). Overall hospital CMI for fiscal years 2005/2006 through 2011/2012 were significantly different (1.47 vs 1.67, P<0.0001). No difference was observed in the pre‐ and postimplementation period likelihood of DNAR status among nonsurvivors with initial return of spontaneous circulation at the time of CPA resuscitation (76% vs 75%, P=0.841).


Starting fiscal year 2005to 2011, there were a total of 546 total CPAs with 247 non‐ICU CPAs observed between both hospital systems. Since its implementation starting at Q3 of 2007, a total of 1729 RRT activations throughout all inpatient areas were observed through 2011. The overall relationship between Code Blue activations starting July 2005 and the RRT since its implementation is displayed in Figure 3. No relationship was detected between the number of Code Blue and RRT activations on each unit (r=0.17, P=0.242). However, the year‐over‐year (fiscal years 2007/20082008/2009) change in RRT activations for each unit was inversely related to the change in Code Blue activations; the individual units with an increase in RRT activations experienced a decrease in Code Blue activations, and units with a decrease in RRT activations experienced an increase in Code Blue activations (r=0.68, P<0.001) (Figure 4).


The time per RRT activation appeared to stabilize after the first program year, whereas the number of RRT activations per month has increased over time. The RRT activation etiologies based on chief complaint reported to the RRT nurse are displayed in Figure 5. Only 3% of activations resulted in no intervention; most of these represented seizures that resolved prior to RRT arrival or syncope episodes for noninpatients. The most common interventions were airway management (27%), fluid therapy (18%), and respiratory treatments (15%). The vast majority of patients (99%) survived the RRT response. A total of 56% of RRT activations resulted in disposition to a higher level of care (43% upgraded to ICU status, 13% upgraded to intermediate care unit status), whereas the remaining 44% of patients stayed on their original unit.

DISCUSSION
One of the primary rationales for hospital admission is the ability to observe and monitor patients to identify deterioration and prevent CPA. Thus, the failure of RRT programs to consistently demonstrate improvements in overall hospital mortality is somewhat perplexing. Here we present 4 years of data starting at the initiation of our RRT program. During our period of observation, we noted a significant inverse relationship between the activations of the RRT and incidence of CPA. Additionally, we noticed a significant decrease in non‐ICU arrests and in overall hospital mortality that appears to be associated with initiation of our novel RRT (Figures 1 and 2, respectively). In postintervention year 1, the unadjusted implementation of our RRT was associated with approximately 57% of the improvement of in‐hospital mortality. We noted a decrease of non‐ICU mortality from 45 deaths in fiscal year 2006 to 2007 to 21 deaths in fiscal year 2007 to 2008. Additionally, the number of non‐ICU Code Blue activations also declined during this period, from 56 to 34, with a survival to hospital discharge rate of 38% (fiscal year 2007 to 2008). In the second full year postimplementation, the activation of the RRT appears to be associated with a similar amount of reduction in in‐hospital mortality (52%) (see Supporting Table 2 in the online version of this article). We do not believe that initiation of our novel RRT accounts for all the variance in reduction of overall mortality. However, we posit that much of our success likely reflects our unique combined approach to a multifaceted life‐support training curriculum. Finally, though not statistically investigated, RRT activation etiology appears to be relatively uniform with respiratory, suspected cardiovascular, and clinical intuition accounting for a large majority of activations through the study period (Figure 5).
Multiple potential explanations exist to account for the lack of outcomes data to fully support RRT programs, with a failure to follow published RRT activation guidelines listed as a key factor.[7, 8, 19] It is unclear whether this reflects inconsistent activation protocols, as many hospitals lack specific published guidelines, whereas others may have more have rigid protocols. Another consideration is possible reluctance to activate a specialized team by primary in‐hospital caregivers due in part to intimidation or a lack of specific training. Interestingly, the routine presence of a physician with RRT activations has been postulated to be inhibitory in this regard and result in critical delays to resuscitative care.[20, 21, 22]
The vast majority of our RRT activations survived the initial response. This is an important metric not only for determining the competency of RRT providers in initiating therapies but also reflects the willingness of inpatient staff to activate RRT early in the course of a patient's deterioration, as delayed activation has been previously associated with increased mortality.[23, 24, 25] The relatively high RRT survival rate could be interpreted as reflecting some degree of overactivation. Of note, based upon hospital CMI, overall patient acuity appeared to continuously increase during and after the observation period. However, the incidence of RRT activations in which no therapies were initiated was extremely low, and more than half of patients were transferred to a higher level of care. We posit that benchmarking such metrics in the future may help institutions guide their resuscitation programs.
Our current RRT configuration of a dedicated critical care trained nurse and respiratory therapist plus unit manager (ie, charge nurse) is a departure from the traditional RRT historically consisting of a dedicated critical care trained nurse and/or respiratory therapist, and physician(s).[26] Perhaps more important than team configuration is our novel concept of individual unit managers regularly rounding on their own most at‐risk patients, which may add a layer of familiarity and increased likelihood of identifying even subtle changes associated with eventual decompensation. Unfortunately, we did not assess the charge nurse decision‐making process regarding RRT activation. This approach differs from Gerdik et al., who have demonstrated a positive association with the ability of the patient and/or family to activate the RRT. [27] Though similar, our approach also differs from the strategy of a dedicated RRT nurse rounding on high risk patients identified through physician and nurse surveys that have also shown a significant reduction in admission deaths.[26, 28, 29] Although the strategies may differ on the specific team members initiating the deployment of the RRT, what they appear to have in common is the proactive component of the identification of at‐risk patients. Additionally, we employ an annual RRT educational seminar for potential primary responders including bedside nurses, respiratory therapists, and physical therapists. Our novel resuscitation program and RRT education allows modulation of the life‐support curriculum to emphasize the importance of early recognition and response to at‐risk patients based upon our activation criteria and evaluation of activation trends (see Supporting Table 1 in the online version of this article). Finally, the presence of the charge nurse as part of the RRT is important, not only as part of the afferent arm of the program but also to enhance unit responsibility for detecting deterioration. It is our belief that an aggressive resuscitation CQI program with efferent links to unit managers amplifies the perception of ownership by primary providers and enhances the culture of resuscitation.
A lack of understanding as to the etiology of CPA in the inpatient environment may also limit the effectiveness of protocol and monitoring strategies. Our current resuscitation program places great emphasis on the taxonomy of our in‐hospital cardiac arrests and classifying inpatient events to help guide CQI efforts. These classifications provide a scaffolding for life‐support education and can result in changes to treatment algorithms or initiate new programs to target particular patient populations. An example includes the implementation of respiratory monitoring strategies in perioperative patients at high risk for obstructive sleep apnea.
Several limitations to this analysis must be considered. The study was not a randomized prospective trial and lacks internal validation. The before‐and‐after study was limited by the inclusion of only 1 complete preimplementation year (2006), which may have introduced a bias related to the inherent inability to properly evaluate secular trends. As such, this study cannot compare the relative effectiveness of our novel RRT participants and curriculum versus the traditional RRTs previously described.[26] Additionally, we also excluded data from both the emergency department and operating arena. Both are reported to have overall higher survival rates due to differences in arrest etiology, monitoring, anticipation, and available personal.[30, 31] We used CMI coefficients to explore the possibility of a decrease in patient acuity during the study. However, we noticed an increasing case‐mix coefficient value suggesting higher patient acuity, which would predict increased mortality rather than the decrease we observed.
One must also consider how the introduction of an RRT may increase DNAR orders and subsequently affect overall mortality by artificially lowering it.[32] Trends in DNAR during our period of observation were not significantly different. However, if an increase in DNAR orders did artificially improve non‐ICU CPA outcomes, one would expect unchanged or increased overall hospital mortality. In contrast, we found improvement in all outcomes including overall hospital mortality (Figure 2).
CONCLUSIONS
Our novel RRT program, with an emphasis on inclusion of non‐ICU charge nurses as part of the team and universal RRT education integrated within life support training, appears to be effective at decreasing the incidence of non‐ICU CPA and overall hospital mortality.
Disclosure: Nothing to report.
- Heart disease and stroke statistics—2009 update: a report from the American Heart Association Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee. Circulation. 2009;119:480–486. , , , et al.
- Out‐of‐hospital cardiac arrest surveillance—Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival (CARES), United States, October 1, 2005—December 31, 2010. MMWR Surveill Summ. 2011;60:1–19. , , , et al.
- Antecedent bradycardia and in‐hospital cardiopulmonary arrest mortality in telemetry‐monitored patients outside the ICU. Resuscitation. 2012;83:1106–1110. , , , et al.
- In‐hospital cardiac arrest: impact of monitoring and witnessed event on patient survival and neurologic status at hospital discharge. Resuscitation. 2011;82:845–852. , , , , .
- ST changes on continuous telemetry monitoring before in‐hospital cardiac arrests. Paper presented at: Resuscitation Science Symposium, Los Angeles, Ca. November 3–4, 2012. , , , , .
- Rapid‐response systems as a patient safety strategy: a systematic review. Ann Intern Med. 2013;158:417–425. , , , , , .
- Introduction of the medical emergency team (MET) system: a cluster‐randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2005;365:2091–2097. , , , et al.
- Evaluation of a medical emergency team one year after implementation. Resuscitation. 2004;61:257–263. , , , .
- Rapid response teams: a systematic review and meta‐analysis. Arch Intern Med. 2010;170:18–26. , , , , .
- Hospital‐wide code rates and mortality before and after implementation of a rapid response team. JAMA. 2008;300:2506–2513. , , , , , .
- Rapid response team implementation and in‐hospital mortality. Crit Care Med. 2014;42(9):2001–2006. , , , , .
- Effect of a rapid response team on patient outcomes in a community‐based teaching hospital. J Grad Med Educ. 2014;6:61–64. , , , , , .
- Reduction in hospital‐wide mortality after implementation of a rapid response team: a long‐term cohort study. Crit Care. 2011;15:R269. , , , , .
- Rapid response systems: a systematic review. Crit Care Med. 2007;35:1238–1243. , , , , , .
- Baseline hospital performance and the impact of medical emergency teams: modelling vs. conventional subgroup analysis. Trials. 2009;10:117. , , , , .
- The evolution of case‐mix measurement using DRGs: past, present and future. Stud Health Technol Inform. 1994;14:75–83. .
- Variability in case‐mix adjusted in‐hospital cardiac arrest rates. Med Care. 2012;50:124–130. , , , et al.
- Impact of socioeconomic adjustment on physicians' relative cost of care. Med Care. 2013;51:454–460. , , , , .
- Reducing in‐hospital cardiac arrests and hospital mortality by introducing a medical emergency team. Intensive Care Med. 2010;36:100–106. , , , , , .
- Barriers to calling for urgent assistance despite a comprehensive pediatric rapid response system. Am J Crit Care. 2014;23:223–229. , , , et al.
- What stops hospital clinical staff from following protocols? An analysis of the incidence and factors behind the failure of bedside clinical staff to activate the rapid response system in a multi‐campus Australian metropolitan healthcare service. BMJ Qual Saf. 2012;21:569–575. , , , et al.
- Effects of a medical emergency team on reduction of incidence of and mortality from unexpected cardiac arrests in hospital: preliminary study. BMJ. 2002;324:387–390. , , , , , .
- The relationship between early emergency team calls and serious adverse events. Crit Care Med. 2009;37:148–153. , , , , .
- Characteristics and outcomes of patients receiving a medical emergency team review for acute change in conscious state or arrhythmias. Crit Care Med. 2008;36:477–481. , , , , , .
- Characteristics and outcomes of patients receiving a medical emergency team review for respiratory distress or hypotension. J Crit Care. 2008;23:325–331. , , , , , .
- Proactive rounding by the rapid response team reduces inpatient cardiac arrests. Resuscitation. 2013;84:1668–1673. , , , et al.
- Successful implementation of a family and patient activated rapid response team in an adult level 1 trauma center. Resuscitation. 2014;81:1676–1681. , , , , , .
- Effect of the critical care outreach team on patient survival to discharge from hospital and readmission to critical care: non‐randomised population based study. BMJ. 2003;327:1014. , , .
- Beyond rapid response teams: instituting a “rover team” improves the management of at‐risk patients, facilitates proactive interventions, and improves outcomes. In: Henriksen K, Battles JB, Keyes MA, Grady ML, eds. Advances in Patient Safety: New Directions and Alternative Approaches. Vol. 3. Performance and Tools. Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; 2008:1–12. , , , , , .
- Cardiac arrest in the emergency department: a report from the National Registry of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation. Resuscitation. 2008;78:151–160. , , .
- Delayed time to defibrillation after intraoperative and periprocedural cardiac arrest. Anesthesiology. 2010;113:782–793. , , , , .
- The Medical Emergency Team System and not‐for‐resuscitation orders: results from the MERIT study. Resuscitation. 2008;79:391–397. , , , , .
- Heart disease and stroke statistics—2009 update: a report from the American Heart Association Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee. Circulation. 2009;119:480–486. , , , et al.
- Out‐of‐hospital cardiac arrest surveillance—Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival (CARES), United States, October 1, 2005—December 31, 2010. MMWR Surveill Summ. 2011;60:1–19. , , , et al.
- Antecedent bradycardia and in‐hospital cardiopulmonary arrest mortality in telemetry‐monitored patients outside the ICU. Resuscitation. 2012;83:1106–1110. , , , et al.
- In‐hospital cardiac arrest: impact of monitoring and witnessed event on patient survival and neurologic status at hospital discharge. Resuscitation. 2011;82:845–852. , , , , .
- ST changes on continuous telemetry monitoring before in‐hospital cardiac arrests. Paper presented at: Resuscitation Science Symposium, Los Angeles, Ca. November 3–4, 2012. , , , , .
- Rapid‐response systems as a patient safety strategy: a systematic review. Ann Intern Med. 2013;158:417–425. , , , , , .
- Introduction of the medical emergency team (MET) system: a cluster‐randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2005;365:2091–2097. , , , et al.
- Evaluation of a medical emergency team one year after implementation. Resuscitation. 2004;61:257–263. , , , .
- Rapid response teams: a systematic review and meta‐analysis. Arch Intern Med. 2010;170:18–26. , , , , .
- Hospital‐wide code rates and mortality before and after implementation of a rapid response team. JAMA. 2008;300:2506–2513. , , , , , .
- Rapid response team implementation and in‐hospital mortality. Crit Care Med. 2014;42(9):2001–2006. , , , , .
- Effect of a rapid response team on patient outcomes in a community‐based teaching hospital. J Grad Med Educ. 2014;6:61–64. , , , , , .
- Reduction in hospital‐wide mortality after implementation of a rapid response team: a long‐term cohort study. Crit Care. 2011;15:R269. , , , , .
- Rapid response systems: a systematic review. Crit Care Med. 2007;35:1238–1243. , , , , , .
- Baseline hospital performance and the impact of medical emergency teams: modelling vs. conventional subgroup analysis. Trials. 2009;10:117. , , , , .
- The evolution of case‐mix measurement using DRGs: past, present and future. Stud Health Technol Inform. 1994;14:75–83. .
- Variability in case‐mix adjusted in‐hospital cardiac arrest rates. Med Care. 2012;50:124–130. , , , et al.
- Impact of socioeconomic adjustment on physicians' relative cost of care. Med Care. 2013;51:454–460. , , , , .
- Reducing in‐hospital cardiac arrests and hospital mortality by introducing a medical emergency team. Intensive Care Med. 2010;36:100–106. , , , , , .
- Barriers to calling for urgent assistance despite a comprehensive pediatric rapid response system. Am J Crit Care. 2014;23:223–229. , , , et al.
- What stops hospital clinical staff from following protocols? An analysis of the incidence and factors behind the failure of bedside clinical staff to activate the rapid response system in a multi‐campus Australian metropolitan healthcare service. BMJ Qual Saf. 2012;21:569–575. , , , et al.
- Effects of a medical emergency team on reduction of incidence of and mortality from unexpected cardiac arrests in hospital: preliminary study. BMJ. 2002;324:387–390. , , , , , .
- The relationship between early emergency team calls and serious adverse events. Crit Care Med. 2009;37:148–153. , , , , .
- Characteristics and outcomes of patients receiving a medical emergency team review for acute change in conscious state or arrhythmias. Crit Care Med. 2008;36:477–481. , , , , , .
- Characteristics and outcomes of patients receiving a medical emergency team review for respiratory distress or hypotension. J Crit Care. 2008;23:325–331. , , , , , .
- Proactive rounding by the rapid response team reduces inpatient cardiac arrests. Resuscitation. 2013;84:1668–1673. , , , et al.
- Successful implementation of a family and patient activated rapid response team in an adult level 1 trauma center. Resuscitation. 2014;81:1676–1681. , , , , , .
- Effect of the critical care outreach team on patient survival to discharge from hospital and readmission to critical care: non‐randomised population based study. BMJ. 2003;327:1014. , , .
- Beyond rapid response teams: instituting a “rover team” improves the management of at‐risk patients, facilitates proactive interventions, and improves outcomes. In: Henriksen K, Battles JB, Keyes MA, Grady ML, eds. Advances in Patient Safety: New Directions and Alternative Approaches. Vol. 3. Performance and Tools. Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; 2008:1–12. , , , , , .
- Cardiac arrest in the emergency department: a report from the National Registry of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation. Resuscitation. 2008;78:151–160. , , .
- Delayed time to defibrillation after intraoperative and periprocedural cardiac arrest. Anesthesiology. 2010;113:782–793. , , , , .
- The Medical Emergency Team System and not‐for‐resuscitation orders: results from the MERIT study. Resuscitation. 2008;79:391–397. , , , , .
© 2015 Society of Hospital Medicine
Optimal Rapid Response System Bundle
The theory behind rapid response teams (RRTs), namely to provide critical care resources to patients with clinical deterioration on the wards, is such common sense that failure to do so seems unethical. This idea, combined with evidence that many cardiac arrests on the wards are predictable and potentially preventable events, led to the proliferation of RRTs across the country and a Joint Commission mandate.[1] However, data from clinical trials have failed to consistently confirm the value of these teams, likely a product of the wide variability in implementation practices across institutions.[2]
In this issue of the Journal of Hospital Medicine, Davis and colleagues demonstrate improvements in both mortality and cardiac arrest rates outside the intensive care unit (ICU) following implementation of their rapid response system in 2 hospitals.[3] Although several other studies have shown similar results, what makes this implementation unique is the bundle approach that included proactive rounding by the charge nurse from each unit, annual focused training of team members and staff, and an integrated, continuous, quality‐improvement feedback loop. Bundles are common in successful quality‐improvement work, but can be challenging for deciphering which of the individual components are driving the results, leaving readers to venture an educated guess. In the current bundle, the novel use of the charge nurse has some significant appeal as a candidate primary driver of the impact, because it likely had 2 distinct actions: (1) proactive rounding and (2) promoting a culture change, both of which are well supported in the literature.4,5
Several studies, including this one, have demonstrated a dose‐response association between the number of RRT activations and patient outcomes, with a low number of RRT activations deemed a major contributor to the neutral results of the large multicenter, randomized, controlled MERIT trial.[6, 7] Additionally, delays in treatment and transfer to the ICU for unstable patients are known to increase mortality.[8] One way to increase the number of patients seen by the RRT and decrease activation delays is by instituting proactive rounding by the team on high‐risk patients. This was the strategy employed in a landmark ward‐randomized trial by Priestley and colleagues, which demonstrated a significant improvement in mortality from proactive rounding on patients deemed to be at high risk of clinical deterioration as calculated by an early warning score or due to caregiver concern.4
Identification of at‐risk patients for proactive rounding can be accomplished with gestalt, as was done by the charge nurse in the current study, or using specific individual criteria such as recent discharge from an ICU. Alternatively, this can be accomplished using composite vital signbased risk scores, such as the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS).[9] Recently, several newer algorithms that integrate vital signs, laboratory data, and demographics have been shown to outperform the MEWS.[10, 11] Such systems promise an exciting age of real‐time computer‐generated risk stratification, with the ability to automate and standardize the selection of patients for proactive rounding across institutions.
Interestingly, the selection of the charge nurse, rather than someone who did not reside on the unit, to conduct the surveillance rounds likely had another benefit: expediting and facilitating the culture change necessary for a successful implementation. The integration of the charge nurse into the RRT likely led to a local reinforcement of important cultural changes that were already happening at the institutional level. It is clear that culture change is essential in any quality improvement endeavor, and previous literature on RRTs supports this notion.[5]
Rapid response systems are complex and include the activation criteria, team composition and training, and an administrative component. A multifaceted, bundled approach is likely to be required for success. Furthermore, regardless of what risk stratification criteria are used, proactive rounding on high‐risk patients is likely to increase the yield. Utilizing the charge nurse in that effort is a creative use of a preexisting local resource and is worthy of future study.
Disclosures: Dr. Churpek is supported by a career development award from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (K08 HL121080) and has received honoraria from CHEST for invited speaking engagements. Drs. Churpek and Edelson have a patent pending (ARCD.P0535US.P2) for risk stratification algorithms for hospitalized patients, and Dr. Edelson has an ownership interest in Quant HC (Chicago, IL), which seeks to commercialize those algorithms.
- Rapid‐response teams. N Engl J Med. 2011;365(2):139–146. , , .
- Rapid response teams: a systematic review and meta‐analysis. Arch Intern Med. 2010;170(1):18–26. , , , , .
- A novel configuration of a traditional rapid response team decreases non‐ICU arrests and overall hospital mortality. J Hosp Med. 2015;10(6):352–357 , , , et al.
- Introducing Critical Care Outreach: a ward‐randomised trial of phased introduction in a general hospital. Intensive Care Med. 2004;30(7):1398–1404. , , , et al.
- Long‐term culture change related to rapid response system implementation. Med Educ. 2014;48(12):1211–1219. , , , , , .
- Introduction of the medical emergency team (MET) system: a cluster‐randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2005;365(9477):2091–2097. , , , et al.
- Effectiveness of the Medical Emergency Team: the importance of dose. Crit Care. 2009;13(5):313. , , .
- Inpatient transfers to the intensive care unit: delays are associated with increased mortality and morbidity. J Gen Intern Med. 2003;18(2):77–83. , , , , .
- Validation of a modified Early Warning Score in medical admissions. QJM. 2001;94(10):521–526. , , , .
- Multicenter development and validation of a risk stratification tool for ward patients. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2014;190(6):649–655. , , , et al.
- Early detection of impending physiologic deterioration among patients who are not in intensive care: development of predictive models using data from an automated electronic medical record. J Hosp Med. 2012;7(5):388–395. , , , , , .
The theory behind rapid response teams (RRTs), namely to provide critical care resources to patients with clinical deterioration on the wards, is such common sense that failure to do so seems unethical. This idea, combined with evidence that many cardiac arrests on the wards are predictable and potentially preventable events, led to the proliferation of RRTs across the country and a Joint Commission mandate.[1] However, data from clinical trials have failed to consistently confirm the value of these teams, likely a product of the wide variability in implementation practices across institutions.[2]
In this issue of the Journal of Hospital Medicine, Davis and colleagues demonstrate improvements in both mortality and cardiac arrest rates outside the intensive care unit (ICU) following implementation of their rapid response system in 2 hospitals.[3] Although several other studies have shown similar results, what makes this implementation unique is the bundle approach that included proactive rounding by the charge nurse from each unit, annual focused training of team members and staff, and an integrated, continuous, quality‐improvement feedback loop. Bundles are common in successful quality‐improvement work, but can be challenging for deciphering which of the individual components are driving the results, leaving readers to venture an educated guess. In the current bundle, the novel use of the charge nurse has some significant appeal as a candidate primary driver of the impact, because it likely had 2 distinct actions: (1) proactive rounding and (2) promoting a culture change, both of which are well supported in the literature.4,5
Several studies, including this one, have demonstrated a dose‐response association between the number of RRT activations and patient outcomes, with a low number of RRT activations deemed a major contributor to the neutral results of the large multicenter, randomized, controlled MERIT trial.[6, 7] Additionally, delays in treatment and transfer to the ICU for unstable patients are known to increase mortality.[8] One way to increase the number of patients seen by the RRT and decrease activation delays is by instituting proactive rounding by the team on high‐risk patients. This was the strategy employed in a landmark ward‐randomized trial by Priestley and colleagues, which demonstrated a significant improvement in mortality from proactive rounding on patients deemed to be at high risk of clinical deterioration as calculated by an early warning score or due to caregiver concern.4
Identification of at‐risk patients for proactive rounding can be accomplished with gestalt, as was done by the charge nurse in the current study, or using specific individual criteria such as recent discharge from an ICU. Alternatively, this can be accomplished using composite vital signbased risk scores, such as the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS).[9] Recently, several newer algorithms that integrate vital signs, laboratory data, and demographics have been shown to outperform the MEWS.[10, 11] Such systems promise an exciting age of real‐time computer‐generated risk stratification, with the ability to automate and standardize the selection of patients for proactive rounding across institutions.
Interestingly, the selection of the charge nurse, rather than someone who did not reside on the unit, to conduct the surveillance rounds likely had another benefit: expediting and facilitating the culture change necessary for a successful implementation. The integration of the charge nurse into the RRT likely led to a local reinforcement of important cultural changes that were already happening at the institutional level. It is clear that culture change is essential in any quality improvement endeavor, and previous literature on RRTs supports this notion.[5]
Rapid response systems are complex and include the activation criteria, team composition and training, and an administrative component. A multifaceted, bundled approach is likely to be required for success. Furthermore, regardless of what risk stratification criteria are used, proactive rounding on high‐risk patients is likely to increase the yield. Utilizing the charge nurse in that effort is a creative use of a preexisting local resource and is worthy of future study.
Disclosures: Dr. Churpek is supported by a career development award from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (K08 HL121080) and has received honoraria from CHEST for invited speaking engagements. Drs. Churpek and Edelson have a patent pending (ARCD.P0535US.P2) for risk stratification algorithms for hospitalized patients, and Dr. Edelson has an ownership interest in Quant HC (Chicago, IL), which seeks to commercialize those algorithms.
The theory behind rapid response teams (RRTs), namely to provide critical care resources to patients with clinical deterioration on the wards, is such common sense that failure to do so seems unethical. This idea, combined with evidence that many cardiac arrests on the wards are predictable and potentially preventable events, led to the proliferation of RRTs across the country and a Joint Commission mandate.[1] However, data from clinical trials have failed to consistently confirm the value of these teams, likely a product of the wide variability in implementation practices across institutions.[2]
In this issue of the Journal of Hospital Medicine, Davis and colleagues demonstrate improvements in both mortality and cardiac arrest rates outside the intensive care unit (ICU) following implementation of their rapid response system in 2 hospitals.[3] Although several other studies have shown similar results, what makes this implementation unique is the bundle approach that included proactive rounding by the charge nurse from each unit, annual focused training of team members and staff, and an integrated, continuous, quality‐improvement feedback loop. Bundles are common in successful quality‐improvement work, but can be challenging for deciphering which of the individual components are driving the results, leaving readers to venture an educated guess. In the current bundle, the novel use of the charge nurse has some significant appeal as a candidate primary driver of the impact, because it likely had 2 distinct actions: (1) proactive rounding and (2) promoting a culture change, both of which are well supported in the literature.4,5
Several studies, including this one, have demonstrated a dose‐response association between the number of RRT activations and patient outcomes, with a low number of RRT activations deemed a major contributor to the neutral results of the large multicenter, randomized, controlled MERIT trial.[6, 7] Additionally, delays in treatment and transfer to the ICU for unstable patients are known to increase mortality.[8] One way to increase the number of patients seen by the RRT and decrease activation delays is by instituting proactive rounding by the team on high‐risk patients. This was the strategy employed in a landmark ward‐randomized trial by Priestley and colleagues, which demonstrated a significant improvement in mortality from proactive rounding on patients deemed to be at high risk of clinical deterioration as calculated by an early warning score or due to caregiver concern.4
Identification of at‐risk patients for proactive rounding can be accomplished with gestalt, as was done by the charge nurse in the current study, or using specific individual criteria such as recent discharge from an ICU. Alternatively, this can be accomplished using composite vital signbased risk scores, such as the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS).[9] Recently, several newer algorithms that integrate vital signs, laboratory data, and demographics have been shown to outperform the MEWS.[10, 11] Such systems promise an exciting age of real‐time computer‐generated risk stratification, with the ability to automate and standardize the selection of patients for proactive rounding across institutions.
Interestingly, the selection of the charge nurse, rather than someone who did not reside on the unit, to conduct the surveillance rounds likely had another benefit: expediting and facilitating the culture change necessary for a successful implementation. The integration of the charge nurse into the RRT likely led to a local reinforcement of important cultural changes that were already happening at the institutional level. It is clear that culture change is essential in any quality improvement endeavor, and previous literature on RRTs supports this notion.[5]
Rapid response systems are complex and include the activation criteria, team composition and training, and an administrative component. A multifaceted, bundled approach is likely to be required for success. Furthermore, regardless of what risk stratification criteria are used, proactive rounding on high‐risk patients is likely to increase the yield. Utilizing the charge nurse in that effort is a creative use of a preexisting local resource and is worthy of future study.
Disclosures: Dr. Churpek is supported by a career development award from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (K08 HL121080) and has received honoraria from CHEST for invited speaking engagements. Drs. Churpek and Edelson have a patent pending (ARCD.P0535US.P2) for risk stratification algorithms for hospitalized patients, and Dr. Edelson has an ownership interest in Quant HC (Chicago, IL), which seeks to commercialize those algorithms.
- Rapid‐response teams. N Engl J Med. 2011;365(2):139–146. , , .
- Rapid response teams: a systematic review and meta‐analysis. Arch Intern Med. 2010;170(1):18–26. , , , , .
- A novel configuration of a traditional rapid response team decreases non‐ICU arrests and overall hospital mortality. J Hosp Med. 2015;10(6):352–357 , , , et al.
- Introducing Critical Care Outreach: a ward‐randomised trial of phased introduction in a general hospital. Intensive Care Med. 2004;30(7):1398–1404. , , , et al.
- Long‐term culture change related to rapid response system implementation. Med Educ. 2014;48(12):1211–1219. , , , , , .
- Introduction of the medical emergency team (MET) system: a cluster‐randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2005;365(9477):2091–2097. , , , et al.
- Effectiveness of the Medical Emergency Team: the importance of dose. Crit Care. 2009;13(5):313. , , .
- Inpatient transfers to the intensive care unit: delays are associated with increased mortality and morbidity. J Gen Intern Med. 2003;18(2):77–83. , , , , .
- Validation of a modified Early Warning Score in medical admissions. QJM. 2001;94(10):521–526. , , , .
- Multicenter development and validation of a risk stratification tool for ward patients. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2014;190(6):649–655. , , , et al.
- Early detection of impending physiologic deterioration among patients who are not in intensive care: development of predictive models using data from an automated electronic medical record. J Hosp Med. 2012;7(5):388–395. , , , , , .
- Rapid‐response teams. N Engl J Med. 2011;365(2):139–146. , , .
- Rapid response teams: a systematic review and meta‐analysis. Arch Intern Med. 2010;170(1):18–26. , , , , .
- A novel configuration of a traditional rapid response team decreases non‐ICU arrests and overall hospital mortality. J Hosp Med. 2015;10(6):352–357 , , , et al.
- Introducing Critical Care Outreach: a ward‐randomised trial of phased introduction in a general hospital. Intensive Care Med. 2004;30(7):1398–1404. , , , et al.
- Long‐term culture change related to rapid response system implementation. Med Educ. 2014;48(12):1211–1219. , , , , , .
- Introduction of the medical emergency team (MET) system: a cluster‐randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2005;365(9477):2091–2097. , , , et al.
- Effectiveness of the Medical Emergency Team: the importance of dose. Crit Care. 2009;13(5):313. , , .
- Inpatient transfers to the intensive care unit: delays are associated with increased mortality and morbidity. J Gen Intern Med. 2003;18(2):77–83. , , , , .
- Validation of a modified Early Warning Score in medical admissions. QJM. 2001;94(10):521–526. , , , .
- Multicenter development and validation of a risk stratification tool for ward patients. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2014;190(6):649–655. , , , et al.
- Early detection of impending physiologic deterioration among patients who are not in intensive care: development of predictive models using data from an automated electronic medical record. J Hosp Med. 2012;7(5):388–395. , , , , , .
Cardiovascular event rates similar in PCI and CABG after 5 years
Percutaneous coronary intervention with a sirolimus-eluting stent showed comparable rates of death, myocardial infarction and stroke to coronary artery bypass grafting in patients with coronary artery stenosis after 5 years in a randomized trial.
The PRECOMBAT (Premier of Randomized Comparison of Bypass Surgery versus Angioplasty Using Sirolimus-Eluting Stent in Patients with Left Main Coronary Artery Disease) study randomized trial in 600 patients with unprotected left main coronary artery stenosis – 300 of whom were randomized to PCI and the rest to CABG – showed no significant difference in major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.90; P = 0.26), according to a presentation at the American College of Cardiology meeting in San Diego.
However, the study did observe a twofold increase in the rate of ischemia-driven target vessel revascularization among patients treated with PCI, compared to those who underwent CABG (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.16-3.84; P = 0.012), although the authors pointed out that this did not appear to impact the study’s harder endpoints.
“Given a higher rate of repeat revascularization even after the use of second-generation drug-eluting stents for unprotected left main coronary artery stenosis, frequent repeat revascularization could be an inherent weakness of stent-related treatments,” wrote Dr. Jung-Min Ahn, from the Asan Medical Center, Seoul, and coauthors (J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2015; March 15 [doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2015.03.033]).
The study was supported by the CardioVascular Research Foundation, Cordis, Johnson and Johnson, and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare. No conflicts of interest were disclosed.
Percutaneous coronary intervention with a sirolimus-eluting stent showed comparable rates of death, myocardial infarction and stroke to coronary artery bypass grafting in patients with coronary artery stenosis after 5 years in a randomized trial.
The PRECOMBAT (Premier of Randomized Comparison of Bypass Surgery versus Angioplasty Using Sirolimus-Eluting Stent in Patients with Left Main Coronary Artery Disease) study randomized trial in 600 patients with unprotected left main coronary artery stenosis – 300 of whom were randomized to PCI and the rest to CABG – showed no significant difference in major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.90; P = 0.26), according to a presentation at the American College of Cardiology meeting in San Diego.
However, the study did observe a twofold increase in the rate of ischemia-driven target vessel revascularization among patients treated with PCI, compared to those who underwent CABG (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.16-3.84; P = 0.012), although the authors pointed out that this did not appear to impact the study’s harder endpoints.
“Given a higher rate of repeat revascularization even after the use of second-generation drug-eluting stents for unprotected left main coronary artery stenosis, frequent repeat revascularization could be an inherent weakness of stent-related treatments,” wrote Dr. Jung-Min Ahn, from the Asan Medical Center, Seoul, and coauthors (J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2015; March 15 [doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2015.03.033]).
The study was supported by the CardioVascular Research Foundation, Cordis, Johnson and Johnson, and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare. No conflicts of interest were disclosed.
Percutaneous coronary intervention with a sirolimus-eluting stent showed comparable rates of death, myocardial infarction and stroke to coronary artery bypass grafting in patients with coronary artery stenosis after 5 years in a randomized trial.
The PRECOMBAT (Premier of Randomized Comparison of Bypass Surgery versus Angioplasty Using Sirolimus-Eluting Stent in Patients with Left Main Coronary Artery Disease) study randomized trial in 600 patients with unprotected left main coronary artery stenosis – 300 of whom were randomized to PCI and the rest to CABG – showed no significant difference in major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.90; P = 0.26), according to a presentation at the American College of Cardiology meeting in San Diego.
However, the study did observe a twofold increase in the rate of ischemia-driven target vessel revascularization among patients treated with PCI, compared to those who underwent CABG (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.16-3.84; P = 0.012), although the authors pointed out that this did not appear to impact the study’s harder endpoints.
“Given a higher rate of repeat revascularization even after the use of second-generation drug-eluting stents for unprotected left main coronary artery stenosis, frequent repeat revascularization could be an inherent weakness of stent-related treatments,” wrote Dr. Jung-Min Ahn, from the Asan Medical Center, Seoul, and coauthors (J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2015; March 15 [doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2015.03.033]).
The study was supported by the CardioVascular Research Foundation, Cordis, Johnson and Johnson, and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare. No conflicts of interest were disclosed.
FROM ACC 2015
Key clinical point: Percutaneous coronary intervention with sirolimus-eluting stents shows comparable rates of death, myocardial infarction and stroke to coronary artery bypass grafting after 5 years.
Major finding: There were no significant differences in major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events between PCI and CABG in patients with unprotected left main coronary artery stenosis.
Data source: PRECOMBAT, A randomized trial in 600 patients with unprotected left main coronary artery stenosis.
Disclosures: The study was supported by the CardioVascular Research Foundation, Cordis, Johnson&Johnson, and the Korean Ministry of Health & Welfare. No conflicts of interest were disclosed.
Long-term DAPT offers ongoing post-MI benefit
SAN DIEGO – The idea that patients with established coronary disease can derive important, secondary-prevention benefit from prolonged dual-antiplatelet therapy received a major boost with the results of a major, international, controlled trial with more than 21,000 patients.
Results from the PEGASUS-TIMI 54 (Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Prior Heart Attack Using Ticagrelor Compared to Placebo on a Background of Aspirin-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 54) showed putting post-myocardial infarction patients on dual-antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with aspirin and the thienopyridine ticagrelor (Brilinta) for a median of 33 months cut the combined incidence of cardiovascular death, MI, or stroke by a relative 15%, compared with patients on aspirin alone as well as the other standard treatments used for post-MI patients, Dr. Marc S. Sabatine reported at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology.
The findings added to the growing body of evidence that long-term – and possibly lifelong – DAPT is a key part of secondary prevention. Last year, results from the DAPT (Dual Antiplatelet Therapy) trial (N. Engl. J. Med. 2014;371:2155-66) supplied evidence for this in acute coronary syndrome patients who had undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The PEGASUS-TIMI 54 trial did not require that enrolled post-MI patients had undergone PCI, but the reality is that this is the way most MI patients get managed, and in PEGASUS-TIMI 54 roughly 83% of the patients had a PCI history.
The new findings also highlighted the risk-benefit trade-off that DAPT means for patients. In PEGASUS-TIMI 54 the increased incidence of major bleeding events roughly matched the decreased rate of major cardiovascular events prevented. But while the incidence of bleeds categorized as TIMI major bleeds more than doubled in the patients randomized to DAPT compared with those on aspirin only, the prolonged treatment with ticagrelor did not result in an increase in fatal bleeds or in intracranial hemorrhages, the two most feared types of TIMI major bleeds.
“I’d much rather prevent cardiovascular deaths, MIs, and strokes even at the expense of causing reversible, nonfatal bleeding events,” said Dr. Sabatine, professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School in Boston and chairman of the TIMI Study Group at Brigham and Women’s Hospital.
Another notable adverse effect from ticagrelor treatment was a roughly threefold increased incidence of dyspnea, which led to drug discontinuation in 5%-7% of patients, depending on whether they received ticagrelor at 60 mg b.i.d. or 90 mg b.i.d. The study results showed a reduced rate of both bleeding and dyspnea in patients randomized to receive the 60-mg b.i.d. dosage, compared with those who received the 90-mg b.i.d. dosage, which is the standard ticagrelor dosage and the formulation now sold. At the same time, the efficacy of the 60-mg b.i.d. dosage for preventing ischemic events equaled that of the higher dosage. But as of today, it is impossible for a physician to prescribe a 60-mg formulation of ticagrelor because the manufacturer does not sell it.
Several cardiologists PEGASUS-TIMI 54 at the meeting said that they agreed with Dr. Sabatine and felt that the benefits from prolonged DAPT with ticagrelor outweighed the downside of an increased bleeding risk.
“I think that the benefit is greater than the risk. None of us wants to see patients experience bleeding, but I was encouraged that fatal bleeds and intracranial hemorrhages were no different,” commented Dr. Elliott M. Antman, a professor of medicine at Harvard.
“The benefits outweigh the bleeding risk, but I wouldn’t trivialize the bleeding risk. Assessing a patient’s bleeding risk is really important,” commented Dr. Robert Harrington, professor of medicine at Stanford (Calif.) University.
But others at the meeting said that the elevated bleeding risk gave them pause. “There clearly is a price to be paid even if extended-duration DAPT reduces MI and stent thrombosis. I believe only the highest risk patients – those with acute coronary syndrome and ST-elevation MI – are the ones for whom I’d even consider it. Unless we can reduce bleeding risk, maybe with even lower doses [of ticagrelor], stopping aspirin, or using a reversal agent, we will be causing bleeds that are very relevant to patients,” commented Dr. Ajay J. Kirtane, an interventional cardiologist at Columbia University in New York.
Dr. Kirtane also questioned whether TIMI major bleeds was the appropriate measure of bleeding risk in the context of a study like PEGASUS-TIMI 54. “Historically, TIMI major bleeding was derived from studies of acute heart attack patients getting fibrinolytic therapy. That is a very different population from this one. In my mind, the combination of TIMI major and minor bleeding would be more encompassing, and for patients the bleeding risks of these therapies are real and have been associated with bad sequelae,” he said in an interview.
When placed in the context of prior reports the new findings also raise the possibility that the generic, and hence much cheaper, thienopyridine clopidogrel might provide roughly the same long-term benefit as more expensive ticagrelor, especially for patients without a genetic profile that makes them poor clopidogrel metabolizers. This may be an attractive option for patients who have a problem paying for ticagrelor long term.
“I’d rather prescribe a patient a cheaper medication that might be a bit less effective than create an economic hardship,” Dr. Harrington said in an interview. The results from the DAPT trial, which included some post-PCI patients who received long-term DAPT with clopidogrel plus aspirin “give you a certain comfort” with the idea of substituting clopidogrel for ticagrelor when affordability is a major concern, Dr. Harrington noted.
PEGASUS-TIMI 54 enrolled 21, 162 patients who were 1-3 years out from a prior myocardial infarction at 1,161 sites in 31 countries. Enrolled patients also had to be at least 50 years old, and have at least one additional risk factor for ischemic events such as age 65 years or older, diabetes, multivessel coronary artery disease, or chronic renal dysfunction. The enrolled patients averaged 1.7 years out from their index MI. Randomization assigned patients to treatment with 90 mg ticagrelor b.i.d., 60 mg ticagrelor b.i.d., or placebo, and all patients also received daily treatment with 75-150 mg aspirin.
After a median follow-up of 33 months on treatment, the combined rate of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke – the study’s primary endpoint – occurred in 7.85% of patients on the 90-mg ticagrelor dosage, 7.77% of those on the 60-mg dosage, and in 9.04% of patients on placebo receiving aspirin only, statistically significant differences for the study’s primary endpoint for each of the two ticagrelor dosages. Concurrent with the report at the meeting the results also appeared online (N. Engl. J. Med. 2015; [doi:10.1056/nejmoa1500857]). This translated into hazard ratios of 0.85 for the 90 mg dosage and 0.84 for the 60 mg dosage compared with placebo.
The study’s primary safety outcome was the incidence of TIMI major bleeding events, which occurred in 2.60% of patients on the higher ticagrelor dosage, 2.30% of those on the 60 mg dosage, and in 1.06% of those on placebo, which converted into hazard ratios of 2.69 for the 90-mg dosage and 2.32 for the lower dosage for TIMI major bleeds compared with aspirin alone.
On Twitter @mitchelzoler
The results from PEGASUS-TIMI 54 provide a powerful message for secondary prevention: Patients who have had a prior myocardial infarction remain at an increased risk for subsequent ischemic events, even when maintained on what is currently standard therapy and even when they are several years out from their event.
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Dr. Richard C. Becker |
We have no perfect antiplatelet drugs. Treating patients like those enrolled in the trial with an agent like ticagrelor further reduced their risk for ischemic events, but at the price of increasing their risk for major bleeds. The good news was that the rates of fatal bleeds and intracranial hemorrhages did not increase with ticagrelor treatment. Selecting the right patients to treat with prolonged dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) requires good judgment as well as understanding the patient’s values and preferences. From the clinician’s perspective it is the fatal bleeds or intracranial hemorrhages that are most comparable to cardiovascular deaths, myocardial infarctions or strokes. Although I do not want to minimize the impact of other major or minor bleeds that might require transfusions, these are not considered as important for patient well being as the ischemic events that ticagrelor treatment reduced.
I believe that the findings from PEGASUS-TIMI 54 will work their way into everyday practice with clinicians increasingly keeping patients on prolonged DAPT following percutaneous coronary interventions or a myocardial infarction. Problems with bleeding or dyspnea usually appear relatively early for patients on DAPT. The new findings give us increased confidence that once these patients get to a year out from the onset of treatment they can safely continue treatment and derive ongoing benefit from it, especially higher-risk patients, even though the 60-mg formulation of ticagrelor is not currently available. The new results complement those reported last year from the DAPT trial, which also addressed the safety and incremental value of more prolonged DAPT for higher-risk MI and acute coronary syndrome patients.
Richard C. Becker, M.D. is professor and director of the University of Cincinnati Heart, Lung and Vascular Institute. He has been a consultant to and received research grants from AstraZeneca, the company that sponsored PEGASUS-TIMI 54 and that markets ticagrelor (Brilinta). He made these comments in an interview.
The results from PEGASUS-TIMI 54 provide a powerful message for secondary prevention: Patients who have had a prior myocardial infarction remain at an increased risk for subsequent ischemic events, even when maintained on what is currently standard therapy and even when they are several years out from their event.
![]() |
Dr. Richard C. Becker |
We have no perfect antiplatelet drugs. Treating patients like those enrolled in the trial with an agent like ticagrelor further reduced their risk for ischemic events, but at the price of increasing their risk for major bleeds. The good news was that the rates of fatal bleeds and intracranial hemorrhages did not increase with ticagrelor treatment. Selecting the right patients to treat with prolonged dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) requires good judgment as well as understanding the patient’s values and preferences. From the clinician’s perspective it is the fatal bleeds or intracranial hemorrhages that are most comparable to cardiovascular deaths, myocardial infarctions or strokes. Although I do not want to minimize the impact of other major or minor bleeds that might require transfusions, these are not considered as important for patient well being as the ischemic events that ticagrelor treatment reduced.
I believe that the findings from PEGASUS-TIMI 54 will work their way into everyday practice with clinicians increasingly keeping patients on prolonged DAPT following percutaneous coronary interventions or a myocardial infarction. Problems with bleeding or dyspnea usually appear relatively early for patients on DAPT. The new findings give us increased confidence that once these patients get to a year out from the onset of treatment they can safely continue treatment and derive ongoing benefit from it, especially higher-risk patients, even though the 60-mg formulation of ticagrelor is not currently available. The new results complement those reported last year from the DAPT trial, which also addressed the safety and incremental value of more prolonged DAPT for higher-risk MI and acute coronary syndrome patients.
Richard C. Becker, M.D. is professor and director of the University of Cincinnati Heart, Lung and Vascular Institute. He has been a consultant to and received research grants from AstraZeneca, the company that sponsored PEGASUS-TIMI 54 and that markets ticagrelor (Brilinta). He made these comments in an interview.
The results from PEGASUS-TIMI 54 provide a powerful message for secondary prevention: Patients who have had a prior myocardial infarction remain at an increased risk for subsequent ischemic events, even when maintained on what is currently standard therapy and even when they are several years out from their event.
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Dr. Richard C. Becker |
We have no perfect antiplatelet drugs. Treating patients like those enrolled in the trial with an agent like ticagrelor further reduced their risk for ischemic events, but at the price of increasing their risk for major bleeds. The good news was that the rates of fatal bleeds and intracranial hemorrhages did not increase with ticagrelor treatment. Selecting the right patients to treat with prolonged dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) requires good judgment as well as understanding the patient’s values and preferences. From the clinician’s perspective it is the fatal bleeds or intracranial hemorrhages that are most comparable to cardiovascular deaths, myocardial infarctions or strokes. Although I do not want to minimize the impact of other major or minor bleeds that might require transfusions, these are not considered as important for patient well being as the ischemic events that ticagrelor treatment reduced.
I believe that the findings from PEGASUS-TIMI 54 will work their way into everyday practice with clinicians increasingly keeping patients on prolonged DAPT following percutaneous coronary interventions or a myocardial infarction. Problems with bleeding or dyspnea usually appear relatively early for patients on DAPT. The new findings give us increased confidence that once these patients get to a year out from the onset of treatment they can safely continue treatment and derive ongoing benefit from it, especially higher-risk patients, even though the 60-mg formulation of ticagrelor is not currently available. The new results complement those reported last year from the DAPT trial, which also addressed the safety and incremental value of more prolonged DAPT for higher-risk MI and acute coronary syndrome patients.
Richard C. Becker, M.D. is professor and director of the University of Cincinnati Heart, Lung and Vascular Institute. He has been a consultant to and received research grants from AstraZeneca, the company that sponsored PEGASUS-TIMI 54 and that markets ticagrelor (Brilinta). He made these comments in an interview.
SAN DIEGO – The idea that patients with established coronary disease can derive important, secondary-prevention benefit from prolonged dual-antiplatelet therapy received a major boost with the results of a major, international, controlled trial with more than 21,000 patients.
Results from the PEGASUS-TIMI 54 (Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Prior Heart Attack Using Ticagrelor Compared to Placebo on a Background of Aspirin-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 54) showed putting post-myocardial infarction patients on dual-antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with aspirin and the thienopyridine ticagrelor (Brilinta) for a median of 33 months cut the combined incidence of cardiovascular death, MI, or stroke by a relative 15%, compared with patients on aspirin alone as well as the other standard treatments used for post-MI patients, Dr. Marc S. Sabatine reported at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology.
The findings added to the growing body of evidence that long-term – and possibly lifelong – DAPT is a key part of secondary prevention. Last year, results from the DAPT (Dual Antiplatelet Therapy) trial (N. Engl. J. Med. 2014;371:2155-66) supplied evidence for this in acute coronary syndrome patients who had undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The PEGASUS-TIMI 54 trial did not require that enrolled post-MI patients had undergone PCI, but the reality is that this is the way most MI patients get managed, and in PEGASUS-TIMI 54 roughly 83% of the patients had a PCI history.
The new findings also highlighted the risk-benefit trade-off that DAPT means for patients. In PEGASUS-TIMI 54 the increased incidence of major bleeding events roughly matched the decreased rate of major cardiovascular events prevented. But while the incidence of bleeds categorized as TIMI major bleeds more than doubled in the patients randomized to DAPT compared with those on aspirin only, the prolonged treatment with ticagrelor did not result in an increase in fatal bleeds or in intracranial hemorrhages, the two most feared types of TIMI major bleeds.
“I’d much rather prevent cardiovascular deaths, MIs, and strokes even at the expense of causing reversible, nonfatal bleeding events,” said Dr. Sabatine, professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School in Boston and chairman of the TIMI Study Group at Brigham and Women’s Hospital.
Another notable adverse effect from ticagrelor treatment was a roughly threefold increased incidence of dyspnea, which led to drug discontinuation in 5%-7% of patients, depending on whether they received ticagrelor at 60 mg b.i.d. or 90 mg b.i.d. The study results showed a reduced rate of both bleeding and dyspnea in patients randomized to receive the 60-mg b.i.d. dosage, compared with those who received the 90-mg b.i.d. dosage, which is the standard ticagrelor dosage and the formulation now sold. At the same time, the efficacy of the 60-mg b.i.d. dosage for preventing ischemic events equaled that of the higher dosage. But as of today, it is impossible for a physician to prescribe a 60-mg formulation of ticagrelor because the manufacturer does not sell it.
Several cardiologists PEGASUS-TIMI 54 at the meeting said that they agreed with Dr. Sabatine and felt that the benefits from prolonged DAPT with ticagrelor outweighed the downside of an increased bleeding risk.
“I think that the benefit is greater than the risk. None of us wants to see patients experience bleeding, but I was encouraged that fatal bleeds and intracranial hemorrhages were no different,” commented Dr. Elliott M. Antman, a professor of medicine at Harvard.
“The benefits outweigh the bleeding risk, but I wouldn’t trivialize the bleeding risk. Assessing a patient’s bleeding risk is really important,” commented Dr. Robert Harrington, professor of medicine at Stanford (Calif.) University.
But others at the meeting said that the elevated bleeding risk gave them pause. “There clearly is a price to be paid even if extended-duration DAPT reduces MI and stent thrombosis. I believe only the highest risk patients – those with acute coronary syndrome and ST-elevation MI – are the ones for whom I’d even consider it. Unless we can reduce bleeding risk, maybe with even lower doses [of ticagrelor], stopping aspirin, or using a reversal agent, we will be causing bleeds that are very relevant to patients,” commented Dr. Ajay J. Kirtane, an interventional cardiologist at Columbia University in New York.
Dr. Kirtane also questioned whether TIMI major bleeds was the appropriate measure of bleeding risk in the context of a study like PEGASUS-TIMI 54. “Historically, TIMI major bleeding was derived from studies of acute heart attack patients getting fibrinolytic therapy. That is a very different population from this one. In my mind, the combination of TIMI major and minor bleeding would be more encompassing, and for patients the bleeding risks of these therapies are real and have been associated with bad sequelae,” he said in an interview.
When placed in the context of prior reports the new findings also raise the possibility that the generic, and hence much cheaper, thienopyridine clopidogrel might provide roughly the same long-term benefit as more expensive ticagrelor, especially for patients without a genetic profile that makes them poor clopidogrel metabolizers. This may be an attractive option for patients who have a problem paying for ticagrelor long term.
“I’d rather prescribe a patient a cheaper medication that might be a bit less effective than create an economic hardship,” Dr. Harrington said in an interview. The results from the DAPT trial, which included some post-PCI patients who received long-term DAPT with clopidogrel plus aspirin “give you a certain comfort” with the idea of substituting clopidogrel for ticagrelor when affordability is a major concern, Dr. Harrington noted.
PEGASUS-TIMI 54 enrolled 21, 162 patients who were 1-3 years out from a prior myocardial infarction at 1,161 sites in 31 countries. Enrolled patients also had to be at least 50 years old, and have at least one additional risk factor for ischemic events such as age 65 years or older, diabetes, multivessel coronary artery disease, or chronic renal dysfunction. The enrolled patients averaged 1.7 years out from their index MI. Randomization assigned patients to treatment with 90 mg ticagrelor b.i.d., 60 mg ticagrelor b.i.d., or placebo, and all patients also received daily treatment with 75-150 mg aspirin.
After a median follow-up of 33 months on treatment, the combined rate of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke – the study’s primary endpoint – occurred in 7.85% of patients on the 90-mg ticagrelor dosage, 7.77% of those on the 60-mg dosage, and in 9.04% of patients on placebo receiving aspirin only, statistically significant differences for the study’s primary endpoint for each of the two ticagrelor dosages. Concurrent with the report at the meeting the results also appeared online (N. Engl. J. Med. 2015; [doi:10.1056/nejmoa1500857]). This translated into hazard ratios of 0.85 for the 90 mg dosage and 0.84 for the 60 mg dosage compared with placebo.
The study’s primary safety outcome was the incidence of TIMI major bleeding events, which occurred in 2.60% of patients on the higher ticagrelor dosage, 2.30% of those on the 60 mg dosage, and in 1.06% of those on placebo, which converted into hazard ratios of 2.69 for the 90-mg dosage and 2.32 for the lower dosage for TIMI major bleeds compared with aspirin alone.
On Twitter @mitchelzoler
SAN DIEGO – The idea that patients with established coronary disease can derive important, secondary-prevention benefit from prolonged dual-antiplatelet therapy received a major boost with the results of a major, international, controlled trial with more than 21,000 patients.
Results from the PEGASUS-TIMI 54 (Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Prior Heart Attack Using Ticagrelor Compared to Placebo on a Background of Aspirin-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 54) showed putting post-myocardial infarction patients on dual-antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with aspirin and the thienopyridine ticagrelor (Brilinta) for a median of 33 months cut the combined incidence of cardiovascular death, MI, or stroke by a relative 15%, compared with patients on aspirin alone as well as the other standard treatments used for post-MI patients, Dr. Marc S. Sabatine reported at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology.
The findings added to the growing body of evidence that long-term – and possibly lifelong – DAPT is a key part of secondary prevention. Last year, results from the DAPT (Dual Antiplatelet Therapy) trial (N. Engl. J. Med. 2014;371:2155-66) supplied evidence for this in acute coronary syndrome patients who had undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The PEGASUS-TIMI 54 trial did not require that enrolled post-MI patients had undergone PCI, but the reality is that this is the way most MI patients get managed, and in PEGASUS-TIMI 54 roughly 83% of the patients had a PCI history.
The new findings also highlighted the risk-benefit trade-off that DAPT means for patients. In PEGASUS-TIMI 54 the increased incidence of major bleeding events roughly matched the decreased rate of major cardiovascular events prevented. But while the incidence of bleeds categorized as TIMI major bleeds more than doubled in the patients randomized to DAPT compared with those on aspirin only, the prolonged treatment with ticagrelor did not result in an increase in fatal bleeds or in intracranial hemorrhages, the two most feared types of TIMI major bleeds.
“I’d much rather prevent cardiovascular deaths, MIs, and strokes even at the expense of causing reversible, nonfatal bleeding events,” said Dr. Sabatine, professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School in Boston and chairman of the TIMI Study Group at Brigham and Women’s Hospital.
Another notable adverse effect from ticagrelor treatment was a roughly threefold increased incidence of dyspnea, which led to drug discontinuation in 5%-7% of patients, depending on whether they received ticagrelor at 60 mg b.i.d. or 90 mg b.i.d. The study results showed a reduced rate of both bleeding and dyspnea in patients randomized to receive the 60-mg b.i.d. dosage, compared with those who received the 90-mg b.i.d. dosage, which is the standard ticagrelor dosage and the formulation now sold. At the same time, the efficacy of the 60-mg b.i.d. dosage for preventing ischemic events equaled that of the higher dosage. But as of today, it is impossible for a physician to prescribe a 60-mg formulation of ticagrelor because the manufacturer does not sell it.
Several cardiologists PEGASUS-TIMI 54 at the meeting said that they agreed with Dr. Sabatine and felt that the benefits from prolonged DAPT with ticagrelor outweighed the downside of an increased bleeding risk.
“I think that the benefit is greater than the risk. None of us wants to see patients experience bleeding, but I was encouraged that fatal bleeds and intracranial hemorrhages were no different,” commented Dr. Elliott M. Antman, a professor of medicine at Harvard.
“The benefits outweigh the bleeding risk, but I wouldn’t trivialize the bleeding risk. Assessing a patient’s bleeding risk is really important,” commented Dr. Robert Harrington, professor of medicine at Stanford (Calif.) University.
But others at the meeting said that the elevated bleeding risk gave them pause. “There clearly is a price to be paid even if extended-duration DAPT reduces MI and stent thrombosis. I believe only the highest risk patients – those with acute coronary syndrome and ST-elevation MI – are the ones for whom I’d even consider it. Unless we can reduce bleeding risk, maybe with even lower doses [of ticagrelor], stopping aspirin, or using a reversal agent, we will be causing bleeds that are very relevant to patients,” commented Dr. Ajay J. Kirtane, an interventional cardiologist at Columbia University in New York.
Dr. Kirtane also questioned whether TIMI major bleeds was the appropriate measure of bleeding risk in the context of a study like PEGASUS-TIMI 54. “Historically, TIMI major bleeding was derived from studies of acute heart attack patients getting fibrinolytic therapy. That is a very different population from this one. In my mind, the combination of TIMI major and minor bleeding would be more encompassing, and for patients the bleeding risks of these therapies are real and have been associated with bad sequelae,” he said in an interview.
When placed in the context of prior reports the new findings also raise the possibility that the generic, and hence much cheaper, thienopyridine clopidogrel might provide roughly the same long-term benefit as more expensive ticagrelor, especially for patients without a genetic profile that makes them poor clopidogrel metabolizers. This may be an attractive option for patients who have a problem paying for ticagrelor long term.
“I’d rather prescribe a patient a cheaper medication that might be a bit less effective than create an economic hardship,” Dr. Harrington said in an interview. The results from the DAPT trial, which included some post-PCI patients who received long-term DAPT with clopidogrel plus aspirin “give you a certain comfort” with the idea of substituting clopidogrel for ticagrelor when affordability is a major concern, Dr. Harrington noted.
PEGASUS-TIMI 54 enrolled 21, 162 patients who were 1-3 years out from a prior myocardial infarction at 1,161 sites in 31 countries. Enrolled patients also had to be at least 50 years old, and have at least one additional risk factor for ischemic events such as age 65 years or older, diabetes, multivessel coronary artery disease, or chronic renal dysfunction. The enrolled patients averaged 1.7 years out from their index MI. Randomization assigned patients to treatment with 90 mg ticagrelor b.i.d., 60 mg ticagrelor b.i.d., or placebo, and all patients also received daily treatment with 75-150 mg aspirin.
After a median follow-up of 33 months on treatment, the combined rate of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke – the study’s primary endpoint – occurred in 7.85% of patients on the 90-mg ticagrelor dosage, 7.77% of those on the 60-mg dosage, and in 9.04% of patients on placebo receiving aspirin only, statistically significant differences for the study’s primary endpoint for each of the two ticagrelor dosages. Concurrent with the report at the meeting the results also appeared online (N. Engl. J. Med. 2015; [doi:10.1056/nejmoa1500857]). This translated into hazard ratios of 0.85 for the 90 mg dosage and 0.84 for the 60 mg dosage compared with placebo.
The study’s primary safety outcome was the incidence of TIMI major bleeding events, which occurred in 2.60% of patients on the higher ticagrelor dosage, 2.30% of those on the 60 mg dosage, and in 1.06% of those on placebo, which converted into hazard ratios of 2.69 for the 90-mg dosage and 2.32 for the lower dosage for TIMI major bleeds compared with aspirin alone.
On Twitter @mitchelzoler
AT ACC 15
Key clinical point: Myocardial infarction patients 1-3 years out from their event who took long-term dual-antiplatelet therapy with aspirin and ticagrelor had significantly fewer major ischemic events but also significantly more major bleeding events.
Major finding: Treatment with ticagrelor plus aspirin for 3 years cut major ischemic events by a relative 15% compared with aspirin alone.
Data source: PEGASUS-TIMI 54, a multicenter, randomized trial with 21,162 patients.
Disclosures: PEGASUS-TIMI 54 was sponsored by AstraZeneca, the company that markets ticagrelor (Brilinta). Dr. Sabatine has received research support from AstraZeneca and from several other companies, and has been a consultant to several drug companies. Dr. Antman has received research support from AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly, and Daiichi Sankyo. Dr. Harrington was an investigator for the trial that led to ticagrelor’s marketing approval and received research support from AstraZeneca and several other companies. Dr. Kirtane has received research support from AstraZeneca and six other companies.
MI survivors face higher cancer risk
SAN DIEGO– The risk of developing cancer is significantly higher in survivors of an acute MI compared to the general population, according to a large Danish national registry study.
“Greater focus on long-term cancer risk is warranted in MI survivors. This could potentially have implications on future patient care for MI patients, outpatient follow-up strategies, and distribution of health care resources,” Morten Winther Malmborg said at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology.
He presented a nationwide cohort study including 3,005,734 Danish adults with no baseline history of MI or cancer who were followed for up to 17 years in the comprehensive Danish National Patient Registry. During the study period, 125,926 of these individuals had a nonfatal MI.
The subsequent incidence of cancer in the MI survivors was 167 cases per 10,000 person-years compared with 95 per 10,000 person-years in the control group, reported Mr. Malmborg, a fourth-year medical student at the University of Copenhagen.
Cancer diagnoses of all types were highest by far in the first 6 months post-MI, which he attributed to surveillance bias, since that was a period of increased medical contact. However, after he and his coinvestigators excluded the cancers diagnosed during that initial 6-month period, the post-MI group still had a highly significant 11% increased relative risk for cancer overall during the period from 6 months through 17 years post-MI.
The younger a patient was when the MI occurred, the greater the subsequent cancer risk. Individuals who had a nonfatal MI at age 30-54 had a 44% greater risk of cancer overall at 6 months–17 years post-MI compared, with the control group. Those who had an MI at age 55-69 had a 19% increased cancer risk compared to controls, while those whose MI occurred at age 70-99 had a modest but still statistically significant 5% increase in cancer risk.
Particularly striking, according to Mr. Malmborg, was the MI survivors’ 44% increased relative risk for lung cancer and 31% increase in bladder cancer during the period from 6 months–17 years post-MI compared with the general population. In contrast, rates of breast, prostate, and colon cancer weren’t significantly different between MI survivors and the general population with no history of MI.
This observational study didn’t address the mechanisms involved in MI survivors’ increased cancer risk. Although the Danish registry didn’t include information of smoking status, Mr. Malmborg speculated that smoking may figure prominently, since it is a major shared risk factor for cardiovascular disease as well as lung and bladder cancer in particular. Other shared risk factors for cardiovascular disease and cancer include obesity, sedentary lifestyle, and excessive alcohol use.
This is the first large-scale study to look at cancer risk post-MI. It’s an increasingly relevant issue because the advances in cardiac care that have brought improved long-term survival following acute MI means more patients with a history of MI are likely to die from noncardiac causes, Mr. Malmborg observed.
He and his coinvestigators are now performing a number-needed-to-screen analysis to help them determine whether structured, formal creening for cancer following an MI should be done routinely.
The study was supported by Danish national medical research funds. The presenter reported having no financial conflicts.
SAN DIEGO– The risk of developing cancer is significantly higher in survivors of an acute MI compared to the general population, according to a large Danish national registry study.
“Greater focus on long-term cancer risk is warranted in MI survivors. This could potentially have implications on future patient care for MI patients, outpatient follow-up strategies, and distribution of health care resources,” Morten Winther Malmborg said at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology.
He presented a nationwide cohort study including 3,005,734 Danish adults with no baseline history of MI or cancer who were followed for up to 17 years in the comprehensive Danish National Patient Registry. During the study period, 125,926 of these individuals had a nonfatal MI.
The subsequent incidence of cancer in the MI survivors was 167 cases per 10,000 person-years compared with 95 per 10,000 person-years in the control group, reported Mr. Malmborg, a fourth-year medical student at the University of Copenhagen.
Cancer diagnoses of all types were highest by far in the first 6 months post-MI, which he attributed to surveillance bias, since that was a period of increased medical contact. However, after he and his coinvestigators excluded the cancers diagnosed during that initial 6-month period, the post-MI group still had a highly significant 11% increased relative risk for cancer overall during the period from 6 months through 17 years post-MI.
The younger a patient was when the MI occurred, the greater the subsequent cancer risk. Individuals who had a nonfatal MI at age 30-54 had a 44% greater risk of cancer overall at 6 months–17 years post-MI compared, with the control group. Those who had an MI at age 55-69 had a 19% increased cancer risk compared to controls, while those whose MI occurred at age 70-99 had a modest but still statistically significant 5% increase in cancer risk.
Particularly striking, according to Mr. Malmborg, was the MI survivors’ 44% increased relative risk for lung cancer and 31% increase in bladder cancer during the period from 6 months–17 years post-MI compared with the general population. In contrast, rates of breast, prostate, and colon cancer weren’t significantly different between MI survivors and the general population with no history of MI.
This observational study didn’t address the mechanisms involved in MI survivors’ increased cancer risk. Although the Danish registry didn’t include information of smoking status, Mr. Malmborg speculated that smoking may figure prominently, since it is a major shared risk factor for cardiovascular disease as well as lung and bladder cancer in particular. Other shared risk factors for cardiovascular disease and cancer include obesity, sedentary lifestyle, and excessive alcohol use.
This is the first large-scale study to look at cancer risk post-MI. It’s an increasingly relevant issue because the advances in cardiac care that have brought improved long-term survival following acute MI means more patients with a history of MI are likely to die from noncardiac causes, Mr. Malmborg observed.
He and his coinvestigators are now performing a number-needed-to-screen analysis to help them determine whether structured, formal creening for cancer following an MI should be done routinely.
The study was supported by Danish national medical research funds. The presenter reported having no financial conflicts.
SAN DIEGO– The risk of developing cancer is significantly higher in survivors of an acute MI compared to the general population, according to a large Danish national registry study.
“Greater focus on long-term cancer risk is warranted in MI survivors. This could potentially have implications on future patient care for MI patients, outpatient follow-up strategies, and distribution of health care resources,” Morten Winther Malmborg said at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology.
He presented a nationwide cohort study including 3,005,734 Danish adults with no baseline history of MI or cancer who were followed for up to 17 years in the comprehensive Danish National Patient Registry. During the study period, 125,926 of these individuals had a nonfatal MI.
The subsequent incidence of cancer in the MI survivors was 167 cases per 10,000 person-years compared with 95 per 10,000 person-years in the control group, reported Mr. Malmborg, a fourth-year medical student at the University of Copenhagen.
Cancer diagnoses of all types were highest by far in the first 6 months post-MI, which he attributed to surveillance bias, since that was a period of increased medical contact. However, after he and his coinvestigators excluded the cancers diagnosed during that initial 6-month period, the post-MI group still had a highly significant 11% increased relative risk for cancer overall during the period from 6 months through 17 years post-MI.
The younger a patient was when the MI occurred, the greater the subsequent cancer risk. Individuals who had a nonfatal MI at age 30-54 had a 44% greater risk of cancer overall at 6 months–17 years post-MI compared, with the control group. Those who had an MI at age 55-69 had a 19% increased cancer risk compared to controls, while those whose MI occurred at age 70-99 had a modest but still statistically significant 5% increase in cancer risk.
Particularly striking, according to Mr. Malmborg, was the MI survivors’ 44% increased relative risk for lung cancer and 31% increase in bladder cancer during the period from 6 months–17 years post-MI compared with the general population. In contrast, rates of breast, prostate, and colon cancer weren’t significantly different between MI survivors and the general population with no history of MI.
This observational study didn’t address the mechanisms involved in MI survivors’ increased cancer risk. Although the Danish registry didn’t include information of smoking status, Mr. Malmborg speculated that smoking may figure prominently, since it is a major shared risk factor for cardiovascular disease as well as lung and bladder cancer in particular. Other shared risk factors for cardiovascular disease and cancer include obesity, sedentary lifestyle, and excessive alcohol use.
This is the first large-scale study to look at cancer risk post-MI. It’s an increasingly relevant issue because the advances in cardiac care that have brought improved long-term survival following acute MI means more patients with a history of MI are likely to die from noncardiac causes, Mr. Malmborg observed.
He and his coinvestigators are now performing a number-needed-to-screen analysis to help them determine whether structured, formal creening for cancer following an MI should be done routinely.
The study was supported by Danish national medical research funds. The presenter reported having no financial conflicts.
AT ACC 15
Key clinical point: Closer monitoring for development of cancer in MI survivors may be warranted.
Major finding: The incidence of cancer overall was 167 cases per 10,000 person-years in acute MI survivors, compared with 95 per 10,000 person-years in the general population without a history of MI or prior cancer.
Data source: An observational study of more than 3 million adults enrolled in the Danish National Patient Registry, roughly 126,000 of whom were diagnosed with a first nonfatal MI during the study period.
Disclosures: The study was supported by Danish national medical research funds. The presenter reported having no financial conflicts.
Research paves way for new SCID treatment
Image courtesy of the Salk
Institute of Biological Studies
Researchers say they have devised a way to correct a genetic defect in cells from a patient with X-linked severe combined immunodeficiency (SCID-X1).
The group generated induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) using a sample from an infant with SCID-X1, then used the gene-editing technique TALEN to correct the defect in those iPSCs.
And this allowed the iPSCs to generate mature natural killer (NK) cells and T-cell precursors.
The researchers said this is the first evidence of genomic correction of iPSCs derived from a patient with SCID-X1 that resulted in the regeneration of mature lymphoid cells in vitro.
And the work, which is published in Cell Stem Cell, holds promise for the development of new treatments for this disease.
“This work demonstrates a new method that could lead to a more effective and less invasive treatment for this devastating disease,” said study author Inder Verma, PhD, of The Salk Institute of Biological Studies in La Jolla, California.
“It also has the potential to lay the foundation to cure other deadly and rare blood disorders.”
Dr Verma and his colleagues began this research by securing a sample of bone marrow from a deceased infant with SCID-X1. The subject harbored a novel splice-site mutation (c.468+3A > C) of the IL-2Rγ gene, which results in a lack of functional NK and T cells.
The researchers used the subject’s sample to create iPSC lines and used TALEN to correct the mutation in those iPSCs.
“We use TALEN-based genome editing to change just one nucleotide in one gene to correct the deficiency,” said study author Tushar Menon, PhD, also of the Salk Institute. “The technique is literally that precise.”
The team then compared the corrected iPSCs to uncorrected SCID-X1 iPSCs and control iPSCs generated from cord-blood-derived endothelial cells and dermal fibroblasts.
Like control cells, the corrected iPSCs were able to differentiate into mature NK cells that expressed both inhibitory and activating receptors (KIR/CD158b and CD16, respectively).
The corrected iPSCs could also differentiate into T-cell precursors but not mature T cells. The researchers are currently working on producing mature T cells.
“Ultimately, we hope these efforts will help lead to the ‘holy grail’ in the field: the ability to create stem cells from iPSCs capable of generating all types of blood and immune cells,” Dr Verma said.
He and his colleagues noted, however, that further improvements of their protocol will be needed to obtain sufficient cells for clinical use.
Image courtesy of the Salk
Institute of Biological Studies
Researchers say they have devised a way to correct a genetic defect in cells from a patient with X-linked severe combined immunodeficiency (SCID-X1).
The group generated induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) using a sample from an infant with SCID-X1, then used the gene-editing technique TALEN to correct the defect in those iPSCs.
And this allowed the iPSCs to generate mature natural killer (NK) cells and T-cell precursors.
The researchers said this is the first evidence of genomic correction of iPSCs derived from a patient with SCID-X1 that resulted in the regeneration of mature lymphoid cells in vitro.
And the work, which is published in Cell Stem Cell, holds promise for the development of new treatments for this disease.
“This work demonstrates a new method that could lead to a more effective and less invasive treatment for this devastating disease,” said study author Inder Verma, PhD, of The Salk Institute of Biological Studies in La Jolla, California.
“It also has the potential to lay the foundation to cure other deadly and rare blood disorders.”
Dr Verma and his colleagues began this research by securing a sample of bone marrow from a deceased infant with SCID-X1. The subject harbored a novel splice-site mutation (c.468+3A > C) of the IL-2Rγ gene, which results in a lack of functional NK and T cells.
The researchers used the subject’s sample to create iPSC lines and used TALEN to correct the mutation in those iPSCs.
“We use TALEN-based genome editing to change just one nucleotide in one gene to correct the deficiency,” said study author Tushar Menon, PhD, also of the Salk Institute. “The technique is literally that precise.”
The team then compared the corrected iPSCs to uncorrected SCID-X1 iPSCs and control iPSCs generated from cord-blood-derived endothelial cells and dermal fibroblasts.
Like control cells, the corrected iPSCs were able to differentiate into mature NK cells that expressed both inhibitory and activating receptors (KIR/CD158b and CD16, respectively).
The corrected iPSCs could also differentiate into T-cell precursors but not mature T cells. The researchers are currently working on producing mature T cells.
“Ultimately, we hope these efforts will help lead to the ‘holy grail’ in the field: the ability to create stem cells from iPSCs capable of generating all types of blood and immune cells,” Dr Verma said.
He and his colleagues noted, however, that further improvements of their protocol will be needed to obtain sufficient cells for clinical use.
Image courtesy of the Salk
Institute of Biological Studies
Researchers say they have devised a way to correct a genetic defect in cells from a patient with X-linked severe combined immunodeficiency (SCID-X1).
The group generated induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) using a sample from an infant with SCID-X1, then used the gene-editing technique TALEN to correct the defect in those iPSCs.
And this allowed the iPSCs to generate mature natural killer (NK) cells and T-cell precursors.
The researchers said this is the first evidence of genomic correction of iPSCs derived from a patient with SCID-X1 that resulted in the regeneration of mature lymphoid cells in vitro.
And the work, which is published in Cell Stem Cell, holds promise for the development of new treatments for this disease.
“This work demonstrates a new method that could lead to a more effective and less invasive treatment for this devastating disease,” said study author Inder Verma, PhD, of The Salk Institute of Biological Studies in La Jolla, California.
“It also has the potential to lay the foundation to cure other deadly and rare blood disorders.”
Dr Verma and his colleagues began this research by securing a sample of bone marrow from a deceased infant with SCID-X1. The subject harbored a novel splice-site mutation (c.468+3A > C) of the IL-2Rγ gene, which results in a lack of functional NK and T cells.
The researchers used the subject’s sample to create iPSC lines and used TALEN to correct the mutation in those iPSCs.
“We use TALEN-based genome editing to change just one nucleotide in one gene to correct the deficiency,” said study author Tushar Menon, PhD, also of the Salk Institute. “The technique is literally that precise.”
The team then compared the corrected iPSCs to uncorrected SCID-X1 iPSCs and control iPSCs generated from cord-blood-derived endothelial cells and dermal fibroblasts.
Like control cells, the corrected iPSCs were able to differentiate into mature NK cells that expressed both inhibitory and activating receptors (KIR/CD158b and CD16, respectively).
The corrected iPSCs could also differentiate into T-cell precursors but not mature T cells. The researchers are currently working on producing mature T cells.
“Ultimately, we hope these efforts will help lead to the ‘holy grail’ in the field: the ability to create stem cells from iPSCs capable of generating all types of blood and immune cells,” Dr Verma said.
He and his colleagues noted, however, that further improvements of their protocol will be needed to obtain sufficient cells for clinical use.
VIDEO: Growing evidence supports prolonged DAPT for ACS
SAN DIEGO – Current guidelines call for treating acute coronary syndrome patients with dual antiplatelet therapy (aspirin plus a thienopyridine) for at least 1 year following their event, but results from recent large, randomized trials suggest that many patients continue to benefit from treatment that extends beyond the first year, Dr. Richard C. Becker said during an interview at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology.
New results reported at the meeting from the PEGASUS-TIMI (Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Prior Heart Attack Using Ticagrelor Compared to Placebo on a Background of Aspirin-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction) 54 trial highlight the long-term risk for ischemic events faced by patients following an acute coronary syndrome (N. Engl. J. Med. 2025;[doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0904327]. The results also underscore the importance of risk assessment, and the importance of tailoring treatment to ACS patients based not only on their long-term risk from their cardiovascular disease but also their risk for adverse bleeding events secondary to prolonged, aggressive antiplatelet therapy. The PEGASUS-TIMI 54 results complement the findings reported last year from the DAPT (Dual Antiplatelet Therapy) trial (N. Engl. J. Med. 2014;371:2155-66), he said.
The video associated with this article is no longer available on this site. Please view all of our videos on the MDedge YouTube channel
Based on the accumulated evidence, ACS patients who have done well clinically on DAPT after 1 year and are deemed at low risk for bleeding and other complications are good candidates for more prolonged DAPT treatment, said Dr. Becker, professor and director of the University of Cincinnati Heart, Lung & Vascular Institute.
PEGASUS-TIMI 54 ws sponsored by AstraZeneca, which markets ticagrelor (Brilinta). Dr. Becker has been a consultant to and received research support from AstraZeneca.
On Twitter @mitchelzoler
SAN DIEGO – Current guidelines call for treating acute coronary syndrome patients with dual antiplatelet therapy (aspirin plus a thienopyridine) for at least 1 year following their event, but results from recent large, randomized trials suggest that many patients continue to benefit from treatment that extends beyond the first year, Dr. Richard C. Becker said during an interview at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology.
New results reported at the meeting from the PEGASUS-TIMI (Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Prior Heart Attack Using Ticagrelor Compared to Placebo on a Background of Aspirin-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction) 54 trial highlight the long-term risk for ischemic events faced by patients following an acute coronary syndrome (N. Engl. J. Med. 2025;[doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0904327]. The results also underscore the importance of risk assessment, and the importance of tailoring treatment to ACS patients based not only on their long-term risk from their cardiovascular disease but also their risk for adverse bleeding events secondary to prolonged, aggressive antiplatelet therapy. The PEGASUS-TIMI 54 results complement the findings reported last year from the DAPT (Dual Antiplatelet Therapy) trial (N. Engl. J. Med. 2014;371:2155-66), he said.
The video associated with this article is no longer available on this site. Please view all of our videos on the MDedge YouTube channel
Based on the accumulated evidence, ACS patients who have done well clinically on DAPT after 1 year and are deemed at low risk for bleeding and other complications are good candidates for more prolonged DAPT treatment, said Dr. Becker, professor and director of the University of Cincinnati Heart, Lung & Vascular Institute.
PEGASUS-TIMI 54 ws sponsored by AstraZeneca, which markets ticagrelor (Brilinta). Dr. Becker has been a consultant to and received research support from AstraZeneca.
On Twitter @mitchelzoler
SAN DIEGO – Current guidelines call for treating acute coronary syndrome patients with dual antiplatelet therapy (aspirin plus a thienopyridine) for at least 1 year following their event, but results from recent large, randomized trials suggest that many patients continue to benefit from treatment that extends beyond the first year, Dr. Richard C. Becker said during an interview at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology.
New results reported at the meeting from the PEGASUS-TIMI (Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Prior Heart Attack Using Ticagrelor Compared to Placebo on a Background of Aspirin-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction) 54 trial highlight the long-term risk for ischemic events faced by patients following an acute coronary syndrome (N. Engl. J. Med. 2025;[doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0904327]. The results also underscore the importance of risk assessment, and the importance of tailoring treatment to ACS patients based not only on their long-term risk from their cardiovascular disease but also their risk for adverse bleeding events secondary to prolonged, aggressive antiplatelet therapy. The PEGASUS-TIMI 54 results complement the findings reported last year from the DAPT (Dual Antiplatelet Therapy) trial (N. Engl. J. Med. 2014;371:2155-66), he said.
The video associated with this article is no longer available on this site. Please view all of our videos on the MDedge YouTube channel
Based on the accumulated evidence, ACS patients who have done well clinically on DAPT after 1 year and are deemed at low risk for bleeding and other complications are good candidates for more prolonged DAPT treatment, said Dr. Becker, professor and director of the University of Cincinnati Heart, Lung & Vascular Institute.
PEGASUS-TIMI 54 ws sponsored by AstraZeneca, which markets ticagrelor (Brilinta). Dr. Becker has been a consultant to and received research support from AstraZeneca.
On Twitter @mitchelzoler
AT ACC 15
Digoxin linked to higher mortality in AF
SAN DIEGO – Digoxin increases the risk of death by 27% in patients with atrial fibrillation, a meta-analysis of 19 studies showed.
Patients with AF and kidney failure faced a 60% to 70 % increase in mortality compared to their counterparts not taking digoxin, according to a press release on the study.
A weaker association between digoxin and death was observed in AF patients who also had heart failure, a finding the authors suggest warrants further investigation.
“Until further research can be done, I would suggest physicians use caution when prescribing digoxin for patients with atrial fibrillation, especially given that there are alternative drugs available that might be safer,” lead author Dr. Waqas Qureshi said in a statement.
The results were released in advance of their March 15 presentation at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology in San Diego.
About 5.6 million Americans have atrial fibrillation (AF) and roughly 1 in 5 are prescribed digoxin for heart rate control.
Current guidelines recommend digoxin as first-line therapy in patients who aren’t physically active and as a second-line drug for more active patients.
“Based on consistent results coming out of many studies, our results suggest digoxin should be downgraded from its position as a front-line agent for certain patients with atrial fibrillation,” Dr. Qureshi, a clinical and research cardiology fellow at Wake Forest School of Medicine in Winston-Salem, N.C., recommended.
The authors reviewed 19 studies including five cohort and randomized controlled trials involving 501,681 patients. Of these, 458,311 patients had AF and 111,978 were prescribed digoxin.
In a random effects model, digoxin was associated with an increased risk of mortality, with a pooled hazard ratio of 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.19-1.36; P value < .001).
Several studies in the meta-analysis suggest that higher blood levels of digoxin increase the risk of death. The mechanism behind the increased mortality is not known, although previous studies have suggested digoxin increases the risk of thromboembolism.
The meta-analysis accounted for risk factors and co-morbidities reported in the various studies, but it’s possible that some confounding factors may not have been accounted for, the authors acknowledge.
“The study points to the need for a well-structured, targeted trial to investigate digoxin’s safety,” Dr. Qureshi stated.
Digoxin remains a commonly used agent for control of ventricular rate in atrial fibrillation (AF) and is accepted as a valid therapy. Despite endorsement of digoxin in clinical practice guidelines for rate control in atrial fibrillation, there are only limited, conflicting, and mostly older observational data on the safety of digoxin in AF. There have been no appropriately designed clinical trials to assess the safety of digoxin in any patient population. In heart failure cohorts, the effectiveness and safety of digoxin has been shown to vary by serum digoxin concentrations, indicating possible moderation by kidney function.
The meta-analysis of five cohort studies and randomized controlled trials by Dr. Qureshi and colleagues concludes that digoxin is associated with a 27% increased risk of mortality in patients with AF. These results confirm another recently published analysis with similar conclusions, TREAT-AF (J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2014;64:660-8).
The TREAT-AF study was a retrospective analysis of patients with newly diagnosed AF. In this study, treatment with digoxin was independently associated with mortality, regardless of age, sex, kidney function, heart failure status, concomitant therapies, or drug adherence. Sensitivity analyses to assess the possible impact of unmeasured confounders make it highly unlikely that any influenced the result of the TREAT-AF Study.
Prospective studies are needed to confirm the findings of these observational reports and to explore the mechanisms responsible for the increased risk of mortality in patients with AF treated with digoxin. In the meantime, physicians should consider alternatives to digoxin in managing patients with AF.
N.A. Mark Estes III, MD, is professor of medicine at Tufts University, Boston. He has no relevant disclosures.
Digoxin remains a commonly used agent for control of ventricular rate in atrial fibrillation (AF) and is accepted as a valid therapy. Despite endorsement of digoxin in clinical practice guidelines for rate control in atrial fibrillation, there are only limited, conflicting, and mostly older observational data on the safety of digoxin in AF. There have been no appropriately designed clinical trials to assess the safety of digoxin in any patient population. In heart failure cohorts, the effectiveness and safety of digoxin has been shown to vary by serum digoxin concentrations, indicating possible moderation by kidney function.
The meta-analysis of five cohort studies and randomized controlled trials by Dr. Qureshi and colleagues concludes that digoxin is associated with a 27% increased risk of mortality in patients with AF. These results confirm another recently published analysis with similar conclusions, TREAT-AF (J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2014;64:660-8).
The TREAT-AF study was a retrospective analysis of patients with newly diagnosed AF. In this study, treatment with digoxin was independently associated with mortality, regardless of age, sex, kidney function, heart failure status, concomitant therapies, or drug adherence. Sensitivity analyses to assess the possible impact of unmeasured confounders make it highly unlikely that any influenced the result of the TREAT-AF Study.
Prospective studies are needed to confirm the findings of these observational reports and to explore the mechanisms responsible for the increased risk of mortality in patients with AF treated with digoxin. In the meantime, physicians should consider alternatives to digoxin in managing patients with AF.
N.A. Mark Estes III, MD, is professor of medicine at Tufts University, Boston. He has no relevant disclosures.
Digoxin remains a commonly used agent for control of ventricular rate in atrial fibrillation (AF) and is accepted as a valid therapy. Despite endorsement of digoxin in clinical practice guidelines for rate control in atrial fibrillation, there are only limited, conflicting, and mostly older observational data on the safety of digoxin in AF. There have been no appropriately designed clinical trials to assess the safety of digoxin in any patient population. In heart failure cohorts, the effectiveness and safety of digoxin has been shown to vary by serum digoxin concentrations, indicating possible moderation by kidney function.
The meta-analysis of five cohort studies and randomized controlled trials by Dr. Qureshi and colleagues concludes that digoxin is associated with a 27% increased risk of mortality in patients with AF. These results confirm another recently published analysis with similar conclusions, TREAT-AF (J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 2014;64:660-8).
The TREAT-AF study was a retrospective analysis of patients with newly diagnosed AF. In this study, treatment with digoxin was independently associated with mortality, regardless of age, sex, kidney function, heart failure status, concomitant therapies, or drug adherence. Sensitivity analyses to assess the possible impact of unmeasured confounders make it highly unlikely that any influenced the result of the TREAT-AF Study.
Prospective studies are needed to confirm the findings of these observational reports and to explore the mechanisms responsible for the increased risk of mortality in patients with AF treated with digoxin. In the meantime, physicians should consider alternatives to digoxin in managing patients with AF.
N.A. Mark Estes III, MD, is professor of medicine at Tufts University, Boston. He has no relevant disclosures.
SAN DIEGO – Digoxin increases the risk of death by 27% in patients with atrial fibrillation, a meta-analysis of 19 studies showed.
Patients with AF and kidney failure faced a 60% to 70 % increase in mortality compared to their counterparts not taking digoxin, according to a press release on the study.
A weaker association between digoxin and death was observed in AF patients who also had heart failure, a finding the authors suggest warrants further investigation.
“Until further research can be done, I would suggest physicians use caution when prescribing digoxin for patients with atrial fibrillation, especially given that there are alternative drugs available that might be safer,” lead author Dr. Waqas Qureshi said in a statement.
The results were released in advance of their March 15 presentation at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology in San Diego.
About 5.6 million Americans have atrial fibrillation (AF) and roughly 1 in 5 are prescribed digoxin for heart rate control.
Current guidelines recommend digoxin as first-line therapy in patients who aren’t physically active and as a second-line drug for more active patients.
“Based on consistent results coming out of many studies, our results suggest digoxin should be downgraded from its position as a front-line agent for certain patients with atrial fibrillation,” Dr. Qureshi, a clinical and research cardiology fellow at Wake Forest School of Medicine in Winston-Salem, N.C., recommended.
The authors reviewed 19 studies including five cohort and randomized controlled trials involving 501,681 patients. Of these, 458,311 patients had AF and 111,978 were prescribed digoxin.
In a random effects model, digoxin was associated with an increased risk of mortality, with a pooled hazard ratio of 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.19-1.36; P value < .001).
Several studies in the meta-analysis suggest that higher blood levels of digoxin increase the risk of death. The mechanism behind the increased mortality is not known, although previous studies have suggested digoxin increases the risk of thromboembolism.
The meta-analysis accounted for risk factors and co-morbidities reported in the various studies, but it’s possible that some confounding factors may not have been accounted for, the authors acknowledge.
“The study points to the need for a well-structured, targeted trial to investigate digoxin’s safety,” Dr. Qureshi stated.
SAN DIEGO – Digoxin increases the risk of death by 27% in patients with atrial fibrillation, a meta-analysis of 19 studies showed.
Patients with AF and kidney failure faced a 60% to 70 % increase in mortality compared to their counterparts not taking digoxin, according to a press release on the study.
A weaker association between digoxin and death was observed in AF patients who also had heart failure, a finding the authors suggest warrants further investigation.
“Until further research can be done, I would suggest physicians use caution when prescribing digoxin for patients with atrial fibrillation, especially given that there are alternative drugs available that might be safer,” lead author Dr. Waqas Qureshi said in a statement.
The results were released in advance of their March 15 presentation at the annual meeting of the American College of Cardiology in San Diego.
About 5.6 million Americans have atrial fibrillation (AF) and roughly 1 in 5 are prescribed digoxin for heart rate control.
Current guidelines recommend digoxin as first-line therapy in patients who aren’t physically active and as a second-line drug for more active patients.
“Based on consistent results coming out of many studies, our results suggest digoxin should be downgraded from its position as a front-line agent for certain patients with atrial fibrillation,” Dr. Qureshi, a clinical and research cardiology fellow at Wake Forest School of Medicine in Winston-Salem, N.C., recommended.
The authors reviewed 19 studies including five cohort and randomized controlled trials involving 501,681 patients. Of these, 458,311 patients had AF and 111,978 were prescribed digoxin.
In a random effects model, digoxin was associated with an increased risk of mortality, with a pooled hazard ratio of 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.19-1.36; P value < .001).
Several studies in the meta-analysis suggest that higher blood levels of digoxin increase the risk of death. The mechanism behind the increased mortality is not known, although previous studies have suggested digoxin increases the risk of thromboembolism.
The meta-analysis accounted for risk factors and co-morbidities reported in the various studies, but it’s possible that some confounding factors may not have been accounted for, the authors acknowledge.
“The study points to the need for a well-structured, targeted trial to investigate digoxin’s safety,” Dr. Qureshi stated.
FROM ACC 2015
Key clinical point: Alternatives to digoxin should be considered when prescribing for patients with atrial fibrillation.
Major finding: Digoxin was associated with an increased risk of mortality in patients with AF (Hazard ratio, 1.27; P < 001).
Data source: Pooled analysis of 19 studies involving 501,681 patients, 458,311 with atrial fibrillation.
Disclosures: Dr. Qureshi and his co-authors reported having no financial disclosures.