Richard Mark Kirkner

Acute flaccid myelitis (AFM), a polio-like neuroinfectious disorder, is misdiagnosed in the majority of cases, and that can result in loss of valuable time to admit patients and begin treatment to get ahead of the virus that may cause the disease.

At the 2020 CNS-ICNA Conjoint Meeting, held virtually this year, Leslie H. Hayes, MD, of Boston Children’s Hospital presented findings of a retrospective case series from 13 institutions in the United States and Canada that determined 78% of patients eventually found to have AFM were initially misdiagnosed. About 62% were given an alternate diagnosis or multiple diagnoses, and 60% did not get a referral for further care or evaluation. The study included 175 children aged 18 years and younger when symptoms first appeared from 2014 to 2018 and who met the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention case definition of AFM.

“As it becomes more evident that AFM outbreaks are driven by enterovirus infections, treatments targeting the viral infection are likely to be most effective very early in the course of disease, necessitating a precise and early diagnosis,” Dr. Hayes said. “Thus awareness is needed to help recognize the signs of symptoms of AFM, particularly among frontline clinicians.”

One reason for misdiagnosis is that AFM has features that overlap with other neuroinflammatory disorders, she said. “In many cases the patients are misdiagnosed as having benign or self-limiting processes that would not prompt the same monitoring and level of care.”

Numbness and prodromal illnesses were associated with misdiagnosis, she said, but otherwise most presenting symptoms were similar between the misdiagnosed and correctly diagnosed patients.

Neurologic disorders with similar features to AFM that the study identified were Guillain-Barré syndrome, spinal cord pathologies such as transverse myelitis, brain pathologies including acute disseminating encephalomyelitis, acute inclusion body encephalitis and stroke, and other neuroinflammatory conditions.

“There were also many patients diagnosed as having processes that in many cases would not prompt inpatient admission, would not involve neurology consultation, and would not be treated in a similar fashion to AFM,” Dr. Hayes said.

Those diagnoses included plexopathy, neuritis, Bell’s palsy, meningoencephalitis, nonspecific infectious illness or parainfectious autoimmune disease, or musculoskeletal problems including toxic or transient synovitis, myositis, fracture or sprain, or torticollis.

“We identified preceding illness and numbness as two features associated with misdiagnosis,” Dr. Hayes said.

“We evaluated illness severity by evaluating the need for invasive and noninvasive ventilation and found that, while not statistically significant, misdiagnosed patients had a trend toward higher need for such respiratory support,” she noted. Specifically, 31.6% of misdiagnosed patients required noninvasive ventilation versus 15.8% of promptly diagnosed patients (P = .06).

Dr. Hayes characterized the rates of ICU admissions between the two groups as not statistically significant: 52.5% and 36.8% for the misdiagnosed and promptly diagnosed groups, respectively (P = .1).

Both groups of patients received intravenous immunoglobulin in similar rates (77.9% and 81.6%, respectively, P = .63), but the misdiagnosed patients were much more likely to receive steroids, 68.2% versus 44.7% (P = .008). That’s likely because steroids are the standard treatment for the neuroinflammatory disorders that they were misdiagnosed with, Dr. Hayes said.

Timely diagnosis and treatment was more of an issue for the misdiagnosed patients; their diagnosis was made on average 5 days after the onset of symptoms versus 3 days (P < .001). “We found that time to treatment, particularly time to IVIg, was significantly longer in the misdiagnosed group,” Dr. Hayes said, at 5 versus 2 days (P < .001).

Dr. Hayes has no relevant financial relationships to disclose.

Acute flaccid myelitis (AFM), a polio-like neuroinfectious disorder, is misdiagnosed in the majority of cases, and that can result in loss of valuable time to admit patients and begin treatment to get ahead of the virus that may cause the disease.

At the 2020 CNS-ICNA Conjoint Meeting, held virtually this year, Leslie H. Hayes, MD, of Boston Children’s Hospital presented findings of a retrospective case series from 13 institutions in the United States and Canada that determined 78% of patients eventually found to have AFM were initially misdiagnosed. About 62% were given an alternate diagnosis or multiple diagnoses, and 60% did not get a referral for further care or evaluation. The study included 175 children aged 18 years and younger when symptoms first appeared from 2014 to 2018 and who met the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention case definition of AFM.

“As it becomes more evident that AFM outbreaks are driven by enterovirus infections, treatments targeting the viral infection are likely to be most effective very early in the course of disease, necessitating a precise and early diagnosis,” Dr. Hayes said. “Thus awareness is needed to help recognize the signs of symptoms of AFM, particularly among frontline clinicians.”

One reason for misdiagnosis is that AFM has features that overlap with other neuroinflammatory disorders, she said. “In many cases the patients are misdiagnosed as having benign or self-limiting processes that would not prompt the same monitoring and level of care.”

Numbness and prodromal illnesses were associated with misdiagnosis, she said, but otherwise most presenting symptoms were similar between the misdiagnosed and correctly diagnosed patients.

Neurologic disorders with similar features to AFM that the study identified were Guillain-Barré syndrome, spinal cord pathologies such as transverse myelitis, brain pathologies including acute disseminating encephalomyelitis, acute inclusion body encephalitis and stroke, and other neuroinflammatory conditions.

“There were also many patients diagnosed as having processes that in many cases would not prompt inpatient admission, would not involve neurology consultation, and would not be treated in a similar fashion to AFM,” Dr. Hayes said.

Those diagnoses included plexopathy, neuritis, Bell’s palsy, meningoencephalitis, nonspecific infectious illness or parainfectious autoimmune disease, or musculoskeletal problems including toxic or transient synovitis, myositis, fracture or sprain, or torticollis.

“We identified preceding illness and numbness as two features associated with misdiagnosis,” Dr. Hayes said.

“We evaluated illness severity by evaluating the need for invasive and noninvasive ventilation and found that, while not statistically significant, misdiagnosed patients had a trend toward higher need for such respiratory support,” she noted. Specifically, 31.6% of misdiagnosed patients required noninvasive ventilation versus 15.8% of promptly diagnosed patients (P = .06).

Dr. Hayes characterized the rates of ICU admissions between the two groups as not statistically significant: 52.5% and 36.8% for the misdiagnosed and promptly diagnosed groups, respectively (P = .1).

Both groups of patients received intravenous immunoglobulin in similar rates (77.9% and 81.6%, respectively, P = .63), but the misdiagnosed patients were much more likely to receive steroids, 68.2% versus 44.7% (P = .008). That’s likely because steroids are the standard treatment for the neuroinflammatory disorders that they were misdiagnosed with, Dr. Hayes said.

Timely diagnosis and treatment was more of an issue for the misdiagnosed patients; their diagnosis was made on average 5 days after the onset of symptoms versus 3 days (P < .001). “We found that time to treatment, particularly time to IVIg, was significantly longer in the misdiagnosed group,” Dr. Hayes said, at 5 versus 2 days (P < .001).

Dr. Hayes has no relevant financial relationships to disclose.

Acute flaccid myelitis (AFM), a polio-like neuroinfectious disorder, is misdiagnosed in the majority of cases, and that can result in loss of valuable time to admit patients and begin treatment to get ahead of the virus that may cause the disease.

At the 2020 CNS-ICNA Conjoint Meeting, held virtually this year, Leslie H. Hayes, MD, of Boston Children’s Hospital presented findings of a retrospective case series from 13 institutions in the United States and Canada that determined 78% of patients eventually found to have AFM were initially misdiagnosed. About 62% were given an alternate diagnosis or multiple diagnoses, and 60% did not get a referral for further care or evaluation. The study included 175 children aged 18 years and younger when symptoms first appeared from 2014 to 2018 and who met the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention case definition of AFM.

“As it becomes more evident that AFM outbreaks are driven by enterovirus infections, treatments targeting the viral infection are likely to be most effective very early in the course of disease, necessitating a precise and early diagnosis,” Dr. Hayes said. “Thus awareness is needed to help recognize the signs of symptoms of AFM, particularly among frontline clinicians.”

One reason for misdiagnosis is that AFM has features that overlap with other neuroinflammatory disorders, she said. “In many cases the patients are misdiagnosed as having benign or self-limiting processes that would not prompt the same monitoring and level of care.”

Numbness and prodromal illnesses were associated with misdiagnosis, she said, but otherwise most presenting symptoms were similar between the misdiagnosed and correctly diagnosed patients.

Neurologic disorders with similar features to AFM that the study identified were Guillain-Barré syndrome, spinal cord pathologies such as transverse myelitis, brain pathologies including acute disseminating encephalomyelitis, acute inclusion body encephalitis and stroke, and other neuroinflammatory conditions.

“There were also many patients diagnosed as having processes that in many cases would not prompt inpatient admission, would not involve neurology consultation, and would not be treated in a similar fashion to AFM,” Dr. Hayes said.

Those diagnoses included plexopathy, neuritis, Bell’s palsy, meningoencephalitis, nonspecific infectious illness or parainfectious autoimmune disease, or musculoskeletal problems including toxic or transient synovitis, myositis, fracture or sprain, or torticollis.

“We identified preceding illness and numbness as two features associated with misdiagnosis,” Dr. Hayes said.

“We evaluated illness severity by evaluating the need for invasive and noninvasive ventilation and found that, while not statistically significant, misdiagnosed patients had a trend toward higher need for such respiratory support,” she noted. Specifically, 31.6% of misdiagnosed patients required noninvasive ventilation versus 15.8% of promptly diagnosed patients (P = .06).

Dr. Hayes characterized the rates of ICU admissions between the two groups as not statistically significant: 52.5% and 36.8% for the misdiagnosed and promptly diagnosed groups, respectively (P = .1).

Both groups of patients received intravenous immunoglobulin in similar rates (77.9% and 81.6%, respectively, P = .63), but the misdiagnosed patients were much more likely to receive steroids, 68.2% versus 44.7% (P = .008). That’s likely because steroids are the standard treatment for the neuroinflammatory disorders that they were misdiagnosed with, Dr. Hayes said.

Timely diagnosis and treatment was more of an issue for the misdiagnosed patients; their diagnosis was made on average 5 days after the onset of symptoms versus 3 days (P < .001). “We found that time to treatment, particularly time to IVIg, was significantly longer in the misdiagnosed group,” Dr. Hayes said, at 5 versus 2 days (P < .001).

Dr. Hayes has no relevant financial relationships to disclose.

Two recently completed analyses of highly purified cannabidiol (CBD) used to reduce seizures in Lennox Gastaut syndrome (LGS) have shown the formulation as an add-on treatment is effective in reducing seizures out to 3 years but that it can also cause thrombocytopenia in children on concurrent valproic acid therapy.

At the 2020 CNS-ICNA Conjoint Meeting, held virtually this year, Anul Patel, MD, section chief of Pediatric neurology at Nationwide Children’s and associate professor of clinical pediatrics and neurology at the Ohio State University, both in Columbus, Ohio, reported 156-week results of an open-label extension trial called GWPCARE5 that showed patients with LGS taking Epidiolex had a 60% or greater average reduction in seizures, compared with baseline. Epidiolex, a highly purified form of CBD, was approved by the Food and Drug Administration in 2018 for LGS and Dravet syndrome.

In a separate presentation, Nancy A. McNamara, MD, an assistant professor at the C.S. Mott Children’s Hospital at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, said that more than one-third of patients taking both Epidiolex and valproic acid (VPA) developed thrombocytopenia after starting CBD therapy. The single-center chart review she reported on included 83 patients.

Daniel Friedman, MD, an epilepsy specialist at New York University who’s researched CBD in children with autism spectrum disorder, said, “These studies show that, while purified CBD has durable effects on the most disabling seizures in children and adults with LGS, like all treatments, it is not without risks that warrant attention and monitoring.” 
 

Open-label extension study

The open-label extension study included 366 patients who participated in the two previous clinical trials. They were given varying doses of CBD titrated over 2 weeks with 20 mg/kg as the target dose, Dr. Patel said. The most common concurrent therapies they were taking were clobazam, valproate or VPA, lamotrigine, levetiracetam, and rufinamide. At weeks 145-156, 67% of patients had a 50% or greater reduction in seizures, 44% had a 75% or greater reduction, and 9% stopped having seizures altogether, Dr. Patel said.

“CBD treatment had a similar safety profile to what was observed in the completed parent randomized clinical trials,” Dr. Patel said. “Sustained reductions in drop and total seizures were observed up to the 156-week follow-up point. So these results demonstrate the potential long-term benefits of CBD treatment for patients with LGS as it relates to reduction of their seizures.”

Adverse event profiles in this analysis were similar to previous clinical trials, he noted. The three most common adverse events were diarrhea (38%), convulsion (38%) and pyrexia (34%), but high percentages of those adverse events resolved during follow-up: 78%, 80%, and 96%, respectively.

Dr. Patel also noted that 31% of patients had elevated liver enzymes (alanine aminotransferase or aspartate aminotransferase), but most of these patients – 78 of 113, or 69% – were on concomitant VPA. “Importantly, no patient met the standard criteria for severe drug-induced liver injury, known as Hy’s law,” he said.

Retention rates for patients were 81% at 1 year, 69% at 2 years and 65% at 3 years, Dr. Patel said.
 

“An urgent systemic review”

Dr. McNamara’s research drilled down into the interaction of CBD and VPA. “Over the past several months we have made observations that several patients that had been started on CBD, also known as Epidiolex, had developed thrombocytopenia, some of which were symptomatic,” she said. Symptoms included hematuria, easy bruising, and gingival bleeding.

That prompted what Dr. McNamara called “an urgent systemic review” of all patients on CBD. Of 83 patients started on CBD for LGS from January to August 2019, 9 (11%) developed thrombocytopenia. “All of these patients were on concurrent VPA and no patients started on CBD without VPA developed thrombocytopenia,” she said. In all, 23 patients were taking CBD concurrently with VPA. Four of nine cases were symptomatic.

“The thrombocytopenia was reversible in all patients with reduction of medication and one patient recovered spontaneously without intervention,” Dr. McNamara noted.

“This was an important finding because this was not something that had come out of the clinical trials prior to FDA approval,” Dr. McNamara said. “This requires closer monitoring for patients who are started on CBD who are already on VPA.”

Of the 23 patients taking concurrent VPA, 10 had low platelet counts after starting CBD. In six patients, platelet counts dropped from normal before CBD therapy to low afterward.

The study used a McNemar test to determine if an observed adverse event occurred by chance or was related to starting a drug, which yielded a P value of .125, Dr. McNamara said. “While this did not achieve statistical significance, we suggest that prescribers closely monitor platelet levels after starting CBD, particularly when a patient is also on concurrent VPA,” she said.

Her group obtained a complete blood count at baseline and then at 1, 3, and 6 months after starting the patient on CBD, along with evaluation of alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase. “We believe that this is helpful because most of the patients that develop low platelets did so within 3 months of starting cannabidiol,” Dr. McNamara said.

She acknowledged the limits of the single-center study. “Future research will need to be done with larger cohorts with standardized surveillance labs,” she said in an interview.

Dr. Patel disclosed financial relationships with GW Research and Greenwich Biosciences. Dr. McNamara has no relevant disclosures.

Two recently completed analyses of highly purified cannabidiol (CBD) used to reduce seizures in Lennox Gastaut syndrome (LGS) have shown the formulation as an add-on treatment is effective in reducing seizures out to 3 years but that it can also cause thrombocytopenia in children on concurrent valproic acid therapy.

At the 2020 CNS-ICNA Conjoint Meeting, held virtually this year, Anul Patel, MD, section chief of Pediatric neurology at Nationwide Children’s and associate professor of clinical pediatrics and neurology at the Ohio State University, both in Columbus, Ohio, reported 156-week results of an open-label extension trial called GWPCARE5 that showed patients with LGS taking Epidiolex had a 60% or greater average reduction in seizures, compared with baseline. Epidiolex, a highly purified form of CBD, was approved by the Food and Drug Administration in 2018 for LGS and Dravet syndrome.

In a separate presentation, Nancy A. McNamara, MD, an assistant professor at the C.S. Mott Children’s Hospital at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, said that more than one-third of patients taking both Epidiolex and valproic acid (VPA) developed thrombocytopenia after starting CBD therapy. The single-center chart review she reported on included 83 patients.

Daniel Friedman, MD, an epilepsy specialist at New York University who’s researched CBD in children with autism spectrum disorder, said, “These studies show that, while purified CBD has durable effects on the most disabling seizures in children and adults with LGS, like all treatments, it is not without risks that warrant attention and monitoring.” 
 

Open-label extension study

The open-label extension study included 366 patients who participated in the two previous clinical trials. They were given varying doses of CBD titrated over 2 weeks with 20 mg/kg as the target dose, Dr. Patel said. The most common concurrent therapies they were taking were clobazam, valproate or VPA, lamotrigine, levetiracetam, and rufinamide. At weeks 145-156, 67% of patients had a 50% or greater reduction in seizures, 44% had a 75% or greater reduction, and 9% stopped having seizures altogether, Dr. Patel said.

“CBD treatment had a similar safety profile to what was observed in the completed parent randomized clinical trials,” Dr. Patel said. “Sustained reductions in drop and total seizures were observed up to the 156-week follow-up point. So these results demonstrate the potential long-term benefits of CBD treatment for patients with LGS as it relates to reduction of their seizures.”

Adverse event profiles in this analysis were similar to previous clinical trials, he noted. The three most common adverse events were diarrhea (38%), convulsion (38%) and pyrexia (34%), but high percentages of those adverse events resolved during follow-up: 78%, 80%, and 96%, respectively.

Dr. Patel also noted that 31% of patients had elevated liver enzymes (alanine aminotransferase or aspartate aminotransferase), but most of these patients – 78 of 113, or 69% – were on concomitant VPA. “Importantly, no patient met the standard criteria for severe drug-induced liver injury, known as Hy’s law,” he said.

Retention rates for patients were 81% at 1 year, 69% at 2 years and 65% at 3 years, Dr. Patel said.
 

“An urgent systemic review”

Dr. McNamara’s research drilled down into the interaction of CBD and VPA. “Over the past several months we have made observations that several patients that had been started on CBD, also known as Epidiolex, had developed thrombocytopenia, some of which were symptomatic,” she said. Symptoms included hematuria, easy bruising, and gingival bleeding.

That prompted what Dr. McNamara called “an urgent systemic review” of all patients on CBD. Of 83 patients started on CBD for LGS from January to August 2019, 9 (11%) developed thrombocytopenia. “All of these patients were on concurrent VPA and no patients started on CBD without VPA developed thrombocytopenia,” she said. In all, 23 patients were taking CBD concurrently with VPA. Four of nine cases were symptomatic.

“The thrombocytopenia was reversible in all patients with reduction of medication and one patient recovered spontaneously without intervention,” Dr. McNamara noted.

“This was an important finding because this was not something that had come out of the clinical trials prior to FDA approval,” Dr. McNamara said. “This requires closer monitoring for patients who are started on CBD who are already on VPA.”

Of the 23 patients taking concurrent VPA, 10 had low platelet counts after starting CBD. In six patients, platelet counts dropped from normal before CBD therapy to low afterward.

The study used a McNemar test to determine if an observed adverse event occurred by chance or was related to starting a drug, which yielded a P value of .125, Dr. McNamara said. “While this did not achieve statistical significance, we suggest that prescribers closely monitor platelet levels after starting CBD, particularly when a patient is also on concurrent VPA,” she said.

Her group obtained a complete blood count at baseline and then at 1, 3, and 6 months after starting the patient on CBD, along with evaluation of alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase. “We believe that this is helpful because most of the patients that develop low platelets did so within 3 months of starting cannabidiol,” Dr. McNamara said.

She acknowledged the limits of the single-center study. “Future research will need to be done with larger cohorts with standardized surveillance labs,” she said in an interview.

Dr. Patel disclosed financial relationships with GW Research and Greenwich Biosciences. Dr. McNamara has no relevant disclosures.

Two recently completed analyses of highly purified cannabidiol (CBD) used to reduce seizures in Lennox Gastaut syndrome (LGS) have shown the formulation as an add-on treatment is effective in reducing seizures out to 3 years but that it can also cause thrombocytopenia in children on concurrent valproic acid therapy.

At the 2020 CNS-ICNA Conjoint Meeting, held virtually this year, Anul Patel, MD, section chief of Pediatric neurology at Nationwide Children’s and associate professor of clinical pediatrics and neurology at the Ohio State University, both in Columbus, Ohio, reported 156-week results of an open-label extension trial called GWPCARE5 that showed patients with LGS taking Epidiolex had a 60% or greater average reduction in seizures, compared with baseline. Epidiolex, a highly purified form of CBD, was approved by the Food and Drug Administration in 2018 for LGS and Dravet syndrome.

In a separate presentation, Nancy A. McNamara, MD, an assistant professor at the C.S. Mott Children’s Hospital at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, said that more than one-third of patients taking both Epidiolex and valproic acid (VPA) developed thrombocytopenia after starting CBD therapy. The single-center chart review she reported on included 83 patients.

Daniel Friedman, MD, an epilepsy specialist at New York University who’s researched CBD in children with autism spectrum disorder, said, “These studies show that, while purified CBD has durable effects on the most disabling seizures in children and adults with LGS, like all treatments, it is not without risks that warrant attention and monitoring.” 
 

Open-label extension study

The open-label extension study included 366 patients who participated in the two previous clinical trials. They were given varying doses of CBD titrated over 2 weeks with 20 mg/kg as the target dose, Dr. Patel said. The most common concurrent therapies they were taking were clobazam, valproate or VPA, lamotrigine, levetiracetam, and rufinamide. At weeks 145-156, 67% of patients had a 50% or greater reduction in seizures, 44% had a 75% or greater reduction, and 9% stopped having seizures altogether, Dr. Patel said.

“CBD treatment had a similar safety profile to what was observed in the completed parent randomized clinical trials,” Dr. Patel said. “Sustained reductions in drop and total seizures were observed up to the 156-week follow-up point. So these results demonstrate the potential long-term benefits of CBD treatment for patients with LGS as it relates to reduction of their seizures.”

Adverse event profiles in this analysis were similar to previous clinical trials, he noted. The three most common adverse events were diarrhea (38%), convulsion (38%) and pyrexia (34%), but high percentages of those adverse events resolved during follow-up: 78%, 80%, and 96%, respectively.

Dr. Patel also noted that 31% of patients had elevated liver enzymes (alanine aminotransferase or aspartate aminotransferase), but most of these patients – 78 of 113, or 69% – were on concomitant VPA. “Importantly, no patient met the standard criteria for severe drug-induced liver injury, known as Hy’s law,” he said.

Retention rates for patients were 81% at 1 year, 69% at 2 years and 65% at 3 years, Dr. Patel said.
 

“An urgent systemic review”

Dr. McNamara’s research drilled down into the interaction of CBD and VPA. “Over the past several months we have made observations that several patients that had been started on CBD, also known as Epidiolex, had developed thrombocytopenia, some of which were symptomatic,” she said. Symptoms included hematuria, easy bruising, and gingival bleeding.

That prompted what Dr. McNamara called “an urgent systemic review” of all patients on CBD. Of 83 patients started on CBD for LGS from January to August 2019, 9 (11%) developed thrombocytopenia. “All of these patients were on concurrent VPA and no patients started on CBD without VPA developed thrombocytopenia,” she said. In all, 23 patients were taking CBD concurrently with VPA. Four of nine cases were symptomatic.

“The thrombocytopenia was reversible in all patients with reduction of medication and one patient recovered spontaneously without intervention,” Dr. McNamara noted.

“This was an important finding because this was not something that had come out of the clinical trials prior to FDA approval,” Dr. McNamara said. “This requires closer monitoring for patients who are started on CBD who are already on VPA.”

Of the 23 patients taking concurrent VPA, 10 had low platelet counts after starting CBD. In six patients, platelet counts dropped from normal before CBD therapy to low afterward.

The study used a McNemar test to determine if an observed adverse event occurred by chance or was related to starting a drug, which yielded a P value of .125, Dr. McNamara said. “While this did not achieve statistical significance, we suggest that prescribers closely monitor platelet levels after starting CBD, particularly when a patient is also on concurrent VPA,” she said.

Her group obtained a complete blood count at baseline and then at 1, 3, and 6 months after starting the patient on CBD, along with evaluation of alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase. “We believe that this is helpful because most of the patients that develop low platelets did so within 3 months of starting cannabidiol,” Dr. McNamara said.

She acknowledged the limits of the single-center study. “Future research will need to be done with larger cohorts with standardized surveillance labs,” she said in an interview.

Dr. Patel disclosed financial relationships with GW Research and Greenwich Biosciences. Dr. McNamara has no relevant disclosures.

A systematic review of nine studies provided limited evidence that off-label oral nonselective beta-blockers can be an effective treatment for facial erythema and flushing in rosacea, while at the same time underscoring the paucity of evidence supporting their use, investigators reported.

“The evidence was highest for carvedilol and propranolol, two nonselective beta-blockers,” wrote the authors of the review, Jade G.M. Logger, MD, of the department of dermatology, Radboud University Medical Center in Nijmegen, the Netherlands, and coauthors. Their review is in the Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology.

The systematic review included a case control study of 53,927 patients and an equal number of controls that evaluated beta-blockers in general, but the remaining studies and case reports included only 106 patients in total. The largest was a prospective cohort study of propranolol in 63 patients. Other studies included a 15-patient randomized clinical trial of nadolol published 31 years ago and three single-patient case reports.

The studies included patients with a history of failed therapies; only a small number of beta-blockers were evaluated. Outcomes reported in the studies varied widely, which ruled out doing a meta-analysis. “Erythema and flushing were assessed by using a wide spectrum of mostly subjective clinical and patient-based scores, and method standardization was often missing,” the researchers stated.

“Most studies showed improved erythema and flushing after initiation of oral beta-blockers,” Dr. Logger and colleagues wrote. Treatment of facial erythema and flushing remains a clinical challenge despite approved therapies, for which poor response and reactivation are common. “Diminishing erythema and flushing in rosacea is challenging because it hardly responds to conventional anti-inflammatory treatment,” they noted.

“The study adds no new evidence to support the use of beta-blockers,” Diane M. Thiboutot, MD, professor of dermatology at Penn State University, Hershey, said in an interview. “As the authors point out, the nine studies reviewed were of low quality with a variety of outcome measures that precluded generation of a meta-analysis, which would have represented new information.”

Dr. Thiboutot is lead author of a 2019 update of management options for rosacea published by the National Rosacea Society Expert Committee last year.. Beta blockers are among the drugs that are sometimes prescribed off label to help rosacea-associated flushing, along with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, antihistamines, and clonidine, according to the update.

Dr. Logger and coauthors noted that beta-blockers come with risks, and can aggravate asthma and psoriasis and are contraindicated in patients with heart failure, cardiogenic shock, and other cardiovascular diseases, along with hyperactive airway and Raynaud’s disease. “It is important to monitor patients for adverse effects, especially blood pressure and heart rate,” they stated. Carvedilol and propranolol may have more antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties than other nonselective beta-blockers that may curtail rosacea manifestations, they wrote.

They called for large, prospective clinical trials to more accurately assess the efficacy of beta-blockers in rosacea patients. “Researchers should further focus on the determination of the optimal dosage, treatment duration, and long-term therapeutic effects for adequate treatment of erythema and flushing in rosacea,” they said.

Getting those trials is challenging, Dr. Thiboutot said. “Objective and even subjective measurement of transient and persistent facial erythema is extremely challenging, particularly in the setting of a prospective clinical trial.” The trials would have to control for a number of variables, including room conditions, patient diet, and timing of medication, and large trials require multiple sites,” which could add to the variability of the data,” she said in the interview. Funding such trials would be difficult because adding an indication for rosacea-related symptoms would have limited commercial potential, she added.

Nonetheless, the studies would be welcome, Dr. Thiboutot said. “If standardized outcome measures for facial erythema were to be developed, a study would be more feasible.”

Dr. Logger disclosed financial relationships with Galderma, AbbVie, Novartis, Janssen, and LEO Pharma; one author disclosed conducting clinical trials for AbbVie and Novartis; the third author disclosed relationships with Galderma, Cutanea Life Sciences, AbbVie, Novartis, and Janssen, with fees paid to his institution. Dr. Thiboutot disclosed a financial relationship with Galderma.
 

SOURCE: Logger JGM et al. J Am Acad Dermatol. 2020 Oct;83(4):1088-97.

A systematic review of nine studies provided limited evidence that off-label oral nonselective beta-blockers can be an effective treatment for facial erythema and flushing in rosacea, while at the same time underscoring the paucity of evidence supporting their use, investigators reported.

“The evidence was highest for carvedilol and propranolol, two nonselective beta-blockers,” wrote the authors of the review, Jade G.M. Logger, MD, of the department of dermatology, Radboud University Medical Center in Nijmegen, the Netherlands, and coauthors. Their review is in the Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology.

The systematic review included a case control study of 53,927 patients and an equal number of controls that evaluated beta-blockers in general, but the remaining studies and case reports included only 106 patients in total. The largest was a prospective cohort study of propranolol in 63 patients. Other studies included a 15-patient randomized clinical trial of nadolol published 31 years ago and three single-patient case reports.

The studies included patients with a history of failed therapies; only a small number of beta-blockers were evaluated. Outcomes reported in the studies varied widely, which ruled out doing a meta-analysis. “Erythema and flushing were assessed by using a wide spectrum of mostly subjective clinical and patient-based scores, and method standardization was often missing,” the researchers stated.

“Most studies showed improved erythema and flushing after initiation of oral beta-blockers,” Dr. Logger and colleagues wrote. Treatment of facial erythema and flushing remains a clinical challenge despite approved therapies, for which poor response and reactivation are common. “Diminishing erythema and flushing in rosacea is challenging because it hardly responds to conventional anti-inflammatory treatment,” they noted.

“The study adds no new evidence to support the use of beta-blockers,” Diane M. Thiboutot, MD, professor of dermatology at Penn State University, Hershey, said in an interview. “As the authors point out, the nine studies reviewed were of low quality with a variety of outcome measures that precluded generation of a meta-analysis, which would have represented new information.”

Dr. Thiboutot is lead author of a 2019 update of management options for rosacea published by the National Rosacea Society Expert Committee last year.. Beta blockers are among the drugs that are sometimes prescribed off label to help rosacea-associated flushing, along with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, antihistamines, and clonidine, according to the update.

Dr. Logger and coauthors noted that beta-blockers come with risks, and can aggravate asthma and psoriasis and are contraindicated in patients with heart failure, cardiogenic shock, and other cardiovascular diseases, along with hyperactive airway and Raynaud’s disease. “It is important to monitor patients for adverse effects, especially blood pressure and heart rate,” they stated. Carvedilol and propranolol may have more antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties than other nonselective beta-blockers that may curtail rosacea manifestations, they wrote.

They called for large, prospective clinical trials to more accurately assess the efficacy of beta-blockers in rosacea patients. “Researchers should further focus on the determination of the optimal dosage, treatment duration, and long-term therapeutic effects for adequate treatment of erythema and flushing in rosacea,” they said.

Getting those trials is challenging, Dr. Thiboutot said. “Objective and even subjective measurement of transient and persistent facial erythema is extremely challenging, particularly in the setting of a prospective clinical trial.” The trials would have to control for a number of variables, including room conditions, patient diet, and timing of medication, and large trials require multiple sites,” which could add to the variability of the data,” she said in the interview. Funding such trials would be difficult because adding an indication for rosacea-related symptoms would have limited commercial potential, she added.

Nonetheless, the studies would be welcome, Dr. Thiboutot said. “If standardized outcome measures for facial erythema were to be developed, a study would be more feasible.”

Dr. Logger disclosed financial relationships with Galderma, AbbVie, Novartis, Janssen, and LEO Pharma; one author disclosed conducting clinical trials for AbbVie and Novartis; the third author disclosed relationships with Galderma, Cutanea Life Sciences, AbbVie, Novartis, and Janssen, with fees paid to his institution. Dr. Thiboutot disclosed a financial relationship with Galderma.
 

SOURCE: Logger JGM et al. J Am Acad Dermatol. 2020 Oct;83(4):1088-97.

A systematic review of nine studies provided limited evidence that off-label oral nonselective beta-blockers can be an effective treatment for facial erythema and flushing in rosacea, while at the same time underscoring the paucity of evidence supporting their use, investigators reported.

“The evidence was highest for carvedilol and propranolol, two nonselective beta-blockers,” wrote the authors of the review, Jade G.M. Logger, MD, of the department of dermatology, Radboud University Medical Center in Nijmegen, the Netherlands, and coauthors. Their review is in the Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology.

The systematic review included a case control study of 53,927 patients and an equal number of controls that evaluated beta-blockers in general, but the remaining studies and case reports included only 106 patients in total. The largest was a prospective cohort study of propranolol in 63 patients. Other studies included a 15-patient randomized clinical trial of nadolol published 31 years ago and three single-patient case reports.

The studies included patients with a history of failed therapies; only a small number of beta-blockers were evaluated. Outcomes reported in the studies varied widely, which ruled out doing a meta-analysis. “Erythema and flushing were assessed by using a wide spectrum of mostly subjective clinical and patient-based scores, and method standardization was often missing,” the researchers stated.

“Most studies showed improved erythema and flushing after initiation of oral beta-blockers,” Dr. Logger and colleagues wrote. Treatment of facial erythema and flushing remains a clinical challenge despite approved therapies, for which poor response and reactivation are common. “Diminishing erythema and flushing in rosacea is challenging because it hardly responds to conventional anti-inflammatory treatment,” they noted.

“The study adds no new evidence to support the use of beta-blockers,” Diane M. Thiboutot, MD, professor of dermatology at Penn State University, Hershey, said in an interview. “As the authors point out, the nine studies reviewed were of low quality with a variety of outcome measures that precluded generation of a meta-analysis, which would have represented new information.”

Dr. Thiboutot is lead author of a 2019 update of management options for rosacea published by the National Rosacea Society Expert Committee last year.. Beta blockers are among the drugs that are sometimes prescribed off label to help rosacea-associated flushing, along with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, antihistamines, and clonidine, according to the update.

Dr. Logger and coauthors noted that beta-blockers come with risks, and can aggravate asthma and psoriasis and are contraindicated in patients with heart failure, cardiogenic shock, and other cardiovascular diseases, along with hyperactive airway and Raynaud’s disease. “It is important to monitor patients for adverse effects, especially blood pressure and heart rate,” they stated. Carvedilol and propranolol may have more antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties than other nonselective beta-blockers that may curtail rosacea manifestations, they wrote.

They called for large, prospective clinical trials to more accurately assess the efficacy of beta-blockers in rosacea patients. “Researchers should further focus on the determination of the optimal dosage, treatment duration, and long-term therapeutic effects for adequate treatment of erythema and flushing in rosacea,” they said.

Getting those trials is challenging, Dr. Thiboutot said. “Objective and even subjective measurement of transient and persistent facial erythema is extremely challenging, particularly in the setting of a prospective clinical trial.” The trials would have to control for a number of variables, including room conditions, patient diet, and timing of medication, and large trials require multiple sites,” which could add to the variability of the data,” she said in the interview. Funding such trials would be difficult because adding an indication for rosacea-related symptoms would have limited commercial potential, she added.

Nonetheless, the studies would be welcome, Dr. Thiboutot said. “If standardized outcome measures for facial erythema were to be developed, a study would be more feasible.”

Dr. Logger disclosed financial relationships with Galderma, AbbVie, Novartis, Janssen, and LEO Pharma; one author disclosed conducting clinical trials for AbbVie and Novartis; the third author disclosed relationships with Galderma, Cutanea Life Sciences, AbbVie, Novartis, and Janssen, with fees paid to his institution. Dr. Thiboutot disclosed a financial relationship with Galderma.
 

SOURCE: Logger JGM et al. J Am Acad Dermatol. 2020 Oct;83(4):1088-97.

Atrial fibrillation has been known to confer an increased risk for poor outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement, but there’s been no evidence of how the etiology of AFib can influence post-TAVR outcomes.

enot-poloskun/Getty Images

Now, a group of researchers from Bern (Switzerland) University are reporting that valvular AFib almost triples the risk of death or debilitating stroke, compared with patients with no AFib, and significantly increases the risk over nonvalvular AFib.*

“The present findings may have implications for risk stratification in patients undergoing TAVR,” wrote Taishi Okuno, MD, and colleagues in what they said is the first study “to appreciate the combined effect” of AFib and mitral stenosis in TAVR. “The identification of valvular AFib may refine the estimated risk for adverse clinical outcomes in patients undergoing TAVR,” they wrote in JACC: Cardiovascular Interventions.

“The fact that valvular AFib seems to confer a higher risk is an interesting finding,” Fred Welt, MD, professor of cardiology at the University of Utah, Salt Lake City, said in an interview. “I think it helps to a certain extent in prognostication because we can say to patients who have concomitant mitral valve disease that they are at higher risk.” Dr. Welt is also chair of the American College of Cardiology Interventional Council.

The analysis included 1,472 patients with aortic stenosis who had TAVR at Bern University Hospital between August 2007 and June 2018, 32% of whom (465) had atrial fibrillation, subcategorized as nonvalvular (26%, 376) and valvular (6%, 89). The primary endpoint, a composite of cardiovascular death or disabling stroke 1 year after TAVR, occurred in 9.3% of patients with no AFib, 14.5% of those with nonvalvular AFib and 24.2% of patients with valvular AFib.

In terms of hazard ratios, patients with nonvalvular AFib had a 57% greater risk of poor outcomes (P = .009) and those with valvular AFib had a 275% greater risk (P < .001), compared with patients with no AFib. Patients with valvular AFib had a 77% higher rate of cardiovascular death or stroke than those with nonvalvular AFib (P = .027).**

In their analysis, Dr. Okuno and colleagues acknowledged that the definition of valvular AFib used in guidelines and clinical trials isn’t uniform. Valvular atrial fibrillation was defined as AFib with mitral stenosis or a mitral valve prosthesis.

To account for the varying definitions of valvular and nonvalvular AFib, the researchers performed a sensitivity analysis of AFib patients with significant valve disease other than mitral stenosis; 42% of patients in the nonvalvular group fit this definition. Patients with AFib and valvular disease other than mitral stenosis had almost twice the risk of cardiovascular death or disabling stroke at 1 year, compared with patients who had AFib but no significant disease of any valve (20.1% vs. 10.9%, P = .03).

Furthermore, when they excluded patients with mild mitral stenosis from the valvular AFib group, “the effect of an increased risk for cardiovascular death or disabling stroke was no longer statistically significant.”

When the researchers separated out the two elements of the composite endpoint, they found valvular AFib carried a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular death – 21.1% (P < .002) vs. 7% for no AFib and 12.3% (P = .003) for nonvalvular AFib. However, the incidence of cardiovascular events – disabling stroke, nondisabling stroke and transient ischemic attack – showed no significant difference across the three groups, Dr. Okuno and colleagues noted. Specifically, the rates of disabling stroke were 3.8%, 3.7% and 5.7% in the no-AFib, nonvalvular-AFib, and valvular-AFib groups, respectively

In an invited editorial, Bernard Iung, MD, and Vincent Algalarrondo, MD, PhD, noted the problems with the definitions for valvular and nonvalvular AFib. “The term valvular AFib now frequently refers to patients with AFib associated with moderate or severe mitral stenosis or a mechanical heart valve,” they wrote. The definition is justified, they noted, because there’s little evidence on the use of non–vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in patients with mitral stenosis.

They noted the term nonvalvular is “ambiguous” because it doesn’t exclude valvular disease but rather only a subset defined by the restrictive use of a class of anticoagulants. Hence, the definition of valvular AFib “is subject to criticisms and remains not standardized.”

“The individualization of valvular AFib in patients undergoing TAVR is debatable, and the definition used in the present study also included mild mitral stenosis and bioprostheses, thereby highlighting again the lack of a clear and uniform definition of the concept of valvular AFib,” they wrote.

While Dr. Welt said the findings may help in stratifying risk in patients with valvular AFib, he’s not certain how that would influence treatment decisions. “In most cases when we’re considering TAVR in these patients it’s because they have severe symptomatic aortic stenosis,” he said.

Surgery as an alternative is fraught with consequences, he said. “Would it be because you would want to repair the mitral valve as well?” he said. “And once you get into that territory, you’re talking about double-valve surgery, which is a much riskier operation than isolated aortic valve replacement.”

The study raises important questions about patients with valvular AFib, Dr. Welt added. “Why are these patients dying at higher rate? Is it some other arrhythmia or some other hemodynamic problem? Are there other things we can learn about these patients that would help us to better treat patients?”

But exploring these findings further with a randomized clinical trial may not be practical, he added. “The number of patients in whom this is an issue is in the scheme of things rather low: 6%,” he said.

Dr. Okuno has no relevant financial disclosures. Dr. Iung is a consultant for Edwards Lifesciences. Dr. Algalarrondo has been a consultant for Pfizer and Alnylam. Dr. Welt disclosed a relationship with Medtronic.

SOURCE: Okuno T et al. JACC Cardiovasc Interv. 2020 Sep 21. doi: 10.1016/j.jcin.2020.05.049.

Corrections, 9/29/20: An earlier version of this article misstated the increase in risk of (*) death or debilitating stroke and of (**) a poor outcome in those with valvular Afib.

Atrial fibrillation has been known to confer an increased risk for poor outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement, but there’s been no evidence of how the etiology of AFib can influence post-TAVR outcomes.

enot-poloskun/Getty Images

Now, a group of researchers from Bern (Switzerland) University are reporting that valvular AFib almost triples the risk of death or debilitating stroke, compared with patients with no AFib, and significantly increases the risk over nonvalvular AFib.*

“The present findings may have implications for risk stratification in patients undergoing TAVR,” wrote Taishi Okuno, MD, and colleagues in what they said is the first study “to appreciate the combined effect” of AFib and mitral stenosis in TAVR. “The identification of valvular AFib may refine the estimated risk for adverse clinical outcomes in patients undergoing TAVR,” they wrote in JACC: Cardiovascular Interventions.

“The fact that valvular AFib seems to confer a higher risk is an interesting finding,” Fred Welt, MD, professor of cardiology at the University of Utah, Salt Lake City, said in an interview. “I think it helps to a certain extent in prognostication because we can say to patients who have concomitant mitral valve disease that they are at higher risk.” Dr. Welt is also chair of the American College of Cardiology Interventional Council.

The analysis included 1,472 patients with aortic stenosis who had TAVR at Bern University Hospital between August 2007 and June 2018, 32% of whom (465) had atrial fibrillation, subcategorized as nonvalvular (26%, 376) and valvular (6%, 89). The primary endpoint, a composite of cardiovascular death or disabling stroke 1 year after TAVR, occurred in 9.3% of patients with no AFib, 14.5% of those with nonvalvular AFib and 24.2% of patients with valvular AFib.

In terms of hazard ratios, patients with nonvalvular AFib had a 57% greater risk of poor outcomes (P = .009) and those with valvular AFib had a 275% greater risk (P < .001), compared with patients with no AFib. Patients with valvular AFib had a 77% higher rate of cardiovascular death or stroke than those with nonvalvular AFib (P = .027).**

In their analysis, Dr. Okuno and colleagues acknowledged that the definition of valvular AFib used in guidelines and clinical trials isn’t uniform. Valvular atrial fibrillation was defined as AFib with mitral stenosis or a mitral valve prosthesis.

To account for the varying definitions of valvular and nonvalvular AFib, the researchers performed a sensitivity analysis of AFib patients with significant valve disease other than mitral stenosis; 42% of patients in the nonvalvular group fit this definition. Patients with AFib and valvular disease other than mitral stenosis had almost twice the risk of cardiovascular death or disabling stroke at 1 year, compared with patients who had AFib but no significant disease of any valve (20.1% vs. 10.9%, P = .03).

Furthermore, when they excluded patients with mild mitral stenosis from the valvular AFib group, “the effect of an increased risk for cardiovascular death or disabling stroke was no longer statistically significant.”

When the researchers separated out the two elements of the composite endpoint, they found valvular AFib carried a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular death – 21.1% (P < .002) vs. 7% for no AFib and 12.3% (P = .003) for nonvalvular AFib. However, the incidence of cardiovascular events – disabling stroke, nondisabling stroke and transient ischemic attack – showed no significant difference across the three groups, Dr. Okuno and colleagues noted. Specifically, the rates of disabling stroke were 3.8%, 3.7% and 5.7% in the no-AFib, nonvalvular-AFib, and valvular-AFib groups, respectively

In an invited editorial, Bernard Iung, MD, and Vincent Algalarrondo, MD, PhD, noted the problems with the definitions for valvular and nonvalvular AFib. “The term valvular AFib now frequently refers to patients with AFib associated with moderate or severe mitral stenosis or a mechanical heart valve,” they wrote. The definition is justified, they noted, because there’s little evidence on the use of non–vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in patients with mitral stenosis.

They noted the term nonvalvular is “ambiguous” because it doesn’t exclude valvular disease but rather only a subset defined by the restrictive use of a class of anticoagulants. Hence, the definition of valvular AFib “is subject to criticisms and remains not standardized.”

“The individualization of valvular AFib in patients undergoing TAVR is debatable, and the definition used in the present study also included mild mitral stenosis and bioprostheses, thereby highlighting again the lack of a clear and uniform definition of the concept of valvular AFib,” they wrote.

While Dr. Welt said the findings may help in stratifying risk in patients with valvular AFib, he’s not certain how that would influence treatment decisions. “In most cases when we’re considering TAVR in these patients it’s because they have severe symptomatic aortic stenosis,” he said.

Surgery as an alternative is fraught with consequences, he said. “Would it be because you would want to repair the mitral valve as well?” he said. “And once you get into that territory, you’re talking about double-valve surgery, which is a much riskier operation than isolated aortic valve replacement.”

The study raises important questions about patients with valvular AFib, Dr. Welt added. “Why are these patients dying at higher rate? Is it some other arrhythmia or some other hemodynamic problem? Are there other things we can learn about these patients that would help us to better treat patients?”

But exploring these findings further with a randomized clinical trial may not be practical, he added. “The number of patients in whom this is an issue is in the scheme of things rather low: 6%,” he said.

Dr. Okuno has no relevant financial disclosures. Dr. Iung is a consultant for Edwards Lifesciences. Dr. Algalarrondo has been a consultant for Pfizer and Alnylam. Dr. Welt disclosed a relationship with Medtronic.

SOURCE: Okuno T et al. JACC Cardiovasc Interv. 2020 Sep 21. doi: 10.1016/j.jcin.2020.05.049.

Corrections, 9/29/20: An earlier version of this article misstated the increase in risk of (*) death or debilitating stroke and of (**) a poor outcome in those with valvular Afib.

Atrial fibrillation has been known to confer an increased risk for poor outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement, but there’s been no evidence of how the etiology of AFib can influence post-TAVR outcomes.

enot-poloskun/Getty Images

Now, a group of researchers from Bern (Switzerland) University are reporting that valvular AFib almost triples the risk of death or debilitating stroke, compared with patients with no AFib, and significantly increases the risk over nonvalvular AFib.*

“The present findings may have implications for risk stratification in patients undergoing TAVR,” wrote Taishi Okuno, MD, and colleagues in what they said is the first study “to appreciate the combined effect” of AFib and mitral stenosis in TAVR. “The identification of valvular AFib may refine the estimated risk for adverse clinical outcomes in patients undergoing TAVR,” they wrote in JACC: Cardiovascular Interventions.

“The fact that valvular AFib seems to confer a higher risk is an interesting finding,” Fred Welt, MD, professor of cardiology at the University of Utah, Salt Lake City, said in an interview. “I think it helps to a certain extent in prognostication because we can say to patients who have concomitant mitral valve disease that they are at higher risk.” Dr. Welt is also chair of the American College of Cardiology Interventional Council.

The analysis included 1,472 patients with aortic stenosis who had TAVR at Bern University Hospital between August 2007 and June 2018, 32% of whom (465) had atrial fibrillation, subcategorized as nonvalvular (26%, 376) and valvular (6%, 89). The primary endpoint, a composite of cardiovascular death or disabling stroke 1 year after TAVR, occurred in 9.3% of patients with no AFib, 14.5% of those with nonvalvular AFib and 24.2% of patients with valvular AFib.

In terms of hazard ratios, patients with nonvalvular AFib had a 57% greater risk of poor outcomes (P = .009) and those with valvular AFib had a 275% greater risk (P < .001), compared with patients with no AFib. Patients with valvular AFib had a 77% higher rate of cardiovascular death or stroke than those with nonvalvular AFib (P = .027).**

In their analysis, Dr. Okuno and colleagues acknowledged that the definition of valvular AFib used in guidelines and clinical trials isn’t uniform. Valvular atrial fibrillation was defined as AFib with mitral stenosis or a mitral valve prosthesis.

To account for the varying definitions of valvular and nonvalvular AFib, the researchers performed a sensitivity analysis of AFib patients with significant valve disease other than mitral stenosis; 42% of patients in the nonvalvular group fit this definition. Patients with AFib and valvular disease other than mitral stenosis had almost twice the risk of cardiovascular death or disabling stroke at 1 year, compared with patients who had AFib but no significant disease of any valve (20.1% vs. 10.9%, P = .03).

Furthermore, when they excluded patients with mild mitral stenosis from the valvular AFib group, “the effect of an increased risk for cardiovascular death or disabling stroke was no longer statistically significant.”

When the researchers separated out the two elements of the composite endpoint, they found valvular AFib carried a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular death – 21.1% (P < .002) vs. 7% for no AFib and 12.3% (P = .003) for nonvalvular AFib. However, the incidence of cardiovascular events – disabling stroke, nondisabling stroke and transient ischemic attack – showed no significant difference across the three groups, Dr. Okuno and colleagues noted. Specifically, the rates of disabling stroke were 3.8%, 3.7% and 5.7% in the no-AFib, nonvalvular-AFib, and valvular-AFib groups, respectively

In an invited editorial, Bernard Iung, MD, and Vincent Algalarrondo, MD, PhD, noted the problems with the definitions for valvular and nonvalvular AFib. “The term valvular AFib now frequently refers to patients with AFib associated with moderate or severe mitral stenosis or a mechanical heart valve,” they wrote. The definition is justified, they noted, because there’s little evidence on the use of non–vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in patients with mitral stenosis.

They noted the term nonvalvular is “ambiguous” because it doesn’t exclude valvular disease but rather only a subset defined by the restrictive use of a class of anticoagulants. Hence, the definition of valvular AFib “is subject to criticisms and remains not standardized.”

“The individualization of valvular AFib in patients undergoing TAVR is debatable, and the definition used in the present study also included mild mitral stenosis and bioprostheses, thereby highlighting again the lack of a clear and uniform definition of the concept of valvular AFib,” they wrote.

While Dr. Welt said the findings may help in stratifying risk in patients with valvular AFib, he’s not certain how that would influence treatment decisions. “In most cases when we’re considering TAVR in these patients it’s because they have severe symptomatic aortic stenosis,” he said.

Surgery as an alternative is fraught with consequences, he said. “Would it be because you would want to repair the mitral valve as well?” he said. “And once you get into that territory, you’re talking about double-valve surgery, which is a much riskier operation than isolated aortic valve replacement.”

The study raises important questions about patients with valvular AFib, Dr. Welt added. “Why are these patients dying at higher rate? Is it some other arrhythmia or some other hemodynamic problem? Are there other things we can learn about these patients that would help us to better treat patients?”

But exploring these findings further with a randomized clinical trial may not be practical, he added. “The number of patients in whom this is an issue is in the scheme of things rather low: 6%,” he said.

Dr. Okuno has no relevant financial disclosures. Dr. Iung is a consultant for Edwards Lifesciences. Dr. Algalarrondo has been a consultant for Pfizer and Alnylam. Dr. Welt disclosed a relationship with Medtronic.

SOURCE: Okuno T et al. JACC Cardiovasc Interv. 2020 Sep 21. doi: 10.1016/j.jcin.2020.05.049.

Corrections, 9/29/20: An earlier version of this article misstated the increase in risk of (*) death or debilitating stroke and of (**) a poor outcome in those with valvular Afib.

Patients with multisystem inflammatory syndrome caused by COVID-19 typically seem to avoid coronary artery dilation early on, but they may be prone to cardiac injury and dysfunction longer term that requires a more discerning diagnostic approach to sort out.

The findings were revealed in a study of 28 children with COVID-19–related multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C) at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. The study reported that cardiac injury and dysfunction are common in these patients – even those who have preserved ejection fraction – and that diastolic dysfunction is persistent. For comparison, the study also included 20 healthy controls and 20 patients with classic Kawasaki disease (KD).

The study analyzed echocardiography findings in the patients, reporting left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function were worse than in classic Kawasaki disease (KD), which MIS-C mimics. Lead author Daisuke Matsubara, MD, PhD, and colleagues reported that four markers – LV global longitudinal strain, LV circumferential strain rate, right ventricular strain, and left atrial strain – were the strongest predictors of myocardial injury in these patients. After the acute phase, systolic function tended to recover, but diastolic dysfunction persisted.
 

‘Strain’ measurement boosts accuracy

While echocardiography has been reported to be valuable in evaluating coronary artery function in MIS-C patients, Dr. Matsubara of the division of cardiology at CHOP, said in an interview that study is the first to use the newer echocardiography indexes, known as “strain,” to assess heart function.

“Strain is a more sensitive tool than more conventional indexes and can detect subtle decrease in heart function, even when ejection fraction is preserved,” he said. “Numerous publications have reached conclusions that strain improves the prognostic and diagnostic accuracy of echocardiography in a wide variety of cardiac pathologies causing LV dysfunction.”

Dr. Matsubara noted that the coronary arteries were mostly unaffected in the acute stage of MIS-C, as only one patient in their MIS-C cohort had coronary artery involvement, which normalized during early follow-up. “On the other hand, 20% of our classic KD patients had coronary abnormalities, including two with aneurysms.”

By using positive troponin I or elevated brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) to assess cardiac injury, they found a “high” (60%) incidence of myocardial injury in their MIS-C cohort. During early follow-up, most of the MIS-C patients showed normalization of systolic function, although diastolic dysfunction persisted.

When compared with the classic KD group, MIS-C patients had higher rates of mitral regurgitation (46% vs. 15%, P = .06), more pericardial effusion (32% vs. 15%, P = 0.46), and more pleural effusion (39% vs. 0%, P = .004). MIS-C patients with suspected myocardial injury show these findings more frequently than those with actual myocardial injury.

Compared with the healthy controls, the MIS-C patients showed both LV systolic and diastolic dysfunction as well as significantly lower left atrium (LA) strain and peak right ventricle (RV) free-wall longitudinal strain.

“In addition to the left ventricle, two other chambers of the heart, the LA and the RV that are often labeled as the ‘forgotten chambers’ of the heart, were also affected by MIS-C,” Dr. Matsubara said. “Both LA and RV strains were markedly reduced in MIS-C patients, compared to normal and KD patients.”

The study also indicates that elevated troponin I levels may not be as dire in children as they are in adults. Dr. Matsubara cited a study of more than 2,700 adult COVID-19 patients that found that even mild increases in troponin I level were associated with increased death during hospitalization (J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76:533-46).

However, most of the patients in the CHOP study, even those with elevated troponin I levels, recovered systolic function quickly. “We speculate that the elevation in cardiac troponins may have less dire implications in children, likely due to a more transient type of cardiac injury and less comorbidities in children,” he said. “Clearly further studies are needed before a definitive statement can be made.”

Dr. Matsubara added that recovered COVID-19 patients may be able to participate in sports as some schools reopen. “We are not saying restrict sport participation, but we are merely urging caution.”

Comprehensive LV evaluation needed

The findings reinforce that myocardial involvement is more frequent and sometimes more severe in MIS-C than previously thought, said Kevin G. Friedman, MD, a pediatrician at Harvard Medical School, Boston, and an attending physician in the department of cardiology at Boston Children’s Hospital. “We are underestimating it by using just traditional measures like ejection fraction. It requires a comprehensive evaluation of left ventricular function; it really affects all aspects of the ventricle, both the systolic function and the diastolic function.”

This study supports that MIS-C patients should have a more detailed analysis than EF on echocardiography, including strain imaging. “Probably these patients should all be followed at centers where they can evaluate a more detailed analysis of the LV and RV function,” he said. Patients with ongoing CA enlargement and LV dysfunction should have follow-up cardiac care indefinitely. Patients who have no cardiac symptoms during the acute phase probably don’t need long-term follow-up.

“We’re just trying to learn more about this disease, and it’s certainly concerning that so many kids are having cardiac involvement,” Dr. Friedman said. “Fortunately they’re getting better; we’re just trying to find out what this means for the long term.”

Dr. Matsubara and Dr. Friedman have no relevant financial disclosures.

SOURCE: Matsubara D et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020 Sep 2. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2020.08.056.

Patients with multisystem inflammatory syndrome caused by COVID-19 typically seem to avoid coronary artery dilation early on, but they may be prone to cardiac injury and dysfunction longer term that requires a more discerning diagnostic approach to sort out.

The findings were revealed in a study of 28 children with COVID-19–related multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C) at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. The study reported that cardiac injury and dysfunction are common in these patients – even those who have preserved ejection fraction – and that diastolic dysfunction is persistent. For comparison, the study also included 20 healthy controls and 20 patients with classic Kawasaki disease (KD).

The study analyzed echocardiography findings in the patients, reporting left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function were worse than in classic Kawasaki disease (KD), which MIS-C mimics. Lead author Daisuke Matsubara, MD, PhD, and colleagues reported that four markers – LV global longitudinal strain, LV circumferential strain rate, right ventricular strain, and left atrial strain – were the strongest predictors of myocardial injury in these patients. After the acute phase, systolic function tended to recover, but diastolic dysfunction persisted.
 

‘Strain’ measurement boosts accuracy

While echocardiography has been reported to be valuable in evaluating coronary artery function in MIS-C patients, Dr. Matsubara of the division of cardiology at CHOP, said in an interview that study is the first to use the newer echocardiography indexes, known as “strain,” to assess heart function.

“Strain is a more sensitive tool than more conventional indexes and can detect subtle decrease in heart function, even when ejection fraction is preserved,” he said. “Numerous publications have reached conclusions that strain improves the prognostic and diagnostic accuracy of echocardiography in a wide variety of cardiac pathologies causing LV dysfunction.”

Dr. Matsubara noted that the coronary arteries were mostly unaffected in the acute stage of MIS-C, as only one patient in their MIS-C cohort had coronary artery involvement, which normalized during early follow-up. “On the other hand, 20% of our classic KD patients had coronary abnormalities, including two with aneurysms.”

By using positive troponin I or elevated brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) to assess cardiac injury, they found a “high” (60%) incidence of myocardial injury in their MIS-C cohort. During early follow-up, most of the MIS-C patients showed normalization of systolic function, although diastolic dysfunction persisted.

When compared with the classic KD group, MIS-C patients had higher rates of mitral regurgitation (46% vs. 15%, P = .06), more pericardial effusion (32% vs. 15%, P = 0.46), and more pleural effusion (39% vs. 0%, P = .004). MIS-C patients with suspected myocardial injury show these findings more frequently than those with actual myocardial injury.

Compared with the healthy controls, the MIS-C patients showed both LV systolic and diastolic dysfunction as well as significantly lower left atrium (LA) strain and peak right ventricle (RV) free-wall longitudinal strain.

“In addition to the left ventricle, two other chambers of the heart, the LA and the RV that are often labeled as the ‘forgotten chambers’ of the heart, were also affected by MIS-C,” Dr. Matsubara said. “Both LA and RV strains were markedly reduced in MIS-C patients, compared to normal and KD patients.”

The study also indicates that elevated troponin I levels may not be as dire in children as they are in adults. Dr. Matsubara cited a study of more than 2,700 adult COVID-19 patients that found that even mild increases in troponin I level were associated with increased death during hospitalization (J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76:533-46).

However, most of the patients in the CHOP study, even those with elevated troponin I levels, recovered systolic function quickly. “We speculate that the elevation in cardiac troponins may have less dire implications in children, likely due to a more transient type of cardiac injury and less comorbidities in children,” he said. “Clearly further studies are needed before a definitive statement can be made.”

Dr. Matsubara added that recovered COVID-19 patients may be able to participate in sports as some schools reopen. “We are not saying restrict sport participation, but we are merely urging caution.”

Comprehensive LV evaluation needed

The findings reinforce that myocardial involvement is more frequent and sometimes more severe in MIS-C than previously thought, said Kevin G. Friedman, MD, a pediatrician at Harvard Medical School, Boston, and an attending physician in the department of cardiology at Boston Children’s Hospital. “We are underestimating it by using just traditional measures like ejection fraction. It requires a comprehensive evaluation of left ventricular function; it really affects all aspects of the ventricle, both the systolic function and the diastolic function.”

This study supports that MIS-C patients should have a more detailed analysis than EF on echocardiography, including strain imaging. “Probably these patients should all be followed at centers where they can evaluate a more detailed analysis of the LV and RV function,” he said. Patients with ongoing CA enlargement and LV dysfunction should have follow-up cardiac care indefinitely. Patients who have no cardiac symptoms during the acute phase probably don’t need long-term follow-up.

“We’re just trying to learn more about this disease, and it’s certainly concerning that so many kids are having cardiac involvement,” Dr. Friedman said. “Fortunately they’re getting better; we’re just trying to find out what this means for the long term.”

Dr. Matsubara and Dr. Friedman have no relevant financial disclosures.

SOURCE: Matsubara D et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020 Sep 2. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2020.08.056.

Patients with multisystem inflammatory syndrome caused by COVID-19 typically seem to avoid coronary artery dilation early on, but they may be prone to cardiac injury and dysfunction longer term that requires a more discerning diagnostic approach to sort out.

The findings were revealed in a study of 28 children with COVID-19–related multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C) at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. The study reported that cardiac injury and dysfunction are common in these patients – even those who have preserved ejection fraction – and that diastolic dysfunction is persistent. For comparison, the study also included 20 healthy controls and 20 patients with classic Kawasaki disease (KD).

The study analyzed echocardiography findings in the patients, reporting left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function were worse than in classic Kawasaki disease (KD), which MIS-C mimics. Lead author Daisuke Matsubara, MD, PhD, and colleagues reported that four markers – LV global longitudinal strain, LV circumferential strain rate, right ventricular strain, and left atrial strain – were the strongest predictors of myocardial injury in these patients. After the acute phase, systolic function tended to recover, but diastolic dysfunction persisted.
 

‘Strain’ measurement boosts accuracy

While echocardiography has been reported to be valuable in evaluating coronary artery function in MIS-C patients, Dr. Matsubara of the division of cardiology at CHOP, said in an interview that study is the first to use the newer echocardiography indexes, known as “strain,” to assess heart function.

“Strain is a more sensitive tool than more conventional indexes and can detect subtle decrease in heart function, even when ejection fraction is preserved,” he said. “Numerous publications have reached conclusions that strain improves the prognostic and diagnostic accuracy of echocardiography in a wide variety of cardiac pathologies causing LV dysfunction.”

Dr. Matsubara noted that the coronary arteries were mostly unaffected in the acute stage of MIS-C, as only one patient in their MIS-C cohort had coronary artery involvement, which normalized during early follow-up. “On the other hand, 20% of our classic KD patients had coronary abnormalities, including two with aneurysms.”

By using positive troponin I or elevated brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) to assess cardiac injury, they found a “high” (60%) incidence of myocardial injury in their MIS-C cohort. During early follow-up, most of the MIS-C patients showed normalization of systolic function, although diastolic dysfunction persisted.

When compared with the classic KD group, MIS-C patients had higher rates of mitral regurgitation (46% vs. 15%, P = .06), more pericardial effusion (32% vs. 15%, P = 0.46), and more pleural effusion (39% vs. 0%, P = .004). MIS-C patients with suspected myocardial injury show these findings more frequently than those with actual myocardial injury.

Compared with the healthy controls, the MIS-C patients showed both LV systolic and diastolic dysfunction as well as significantly lower left atrium (LA) strain and peak right ventricle (RV) free-wall longitudinal strain.

“In addition to the left ventricle, two other chambers of the heart, the LA and the RV that are often labeled as the ‘forgotten chambers’ of the heart, were also affected by MIS-C,” Dr. Matsubara said. “Both LA and RV strains were markedly reduced in MIS-C patients, compared to normal and KD patients.”

The study also indicates that elevated troponin I levels may not be as dire in children as they are in adults. Dr. Matsubara cited a study of more than 2,700 adult COVID-19 patients that found that even mild increases in troponin I level were associated with increased death during hospitalization (J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76:533-46).

However, most of the patients in the CHOP study, even those with elevated troponin I levels, recovered systolic function quickly. “We speculate that the elevation in cardiac troponins may have less dire implications in children, likely due to a more transient type of cardiac injury and less comorbidities in children,” he said. “Clearly further studies are needed before a definitive statement can be made.”

Dr. Matsubara added that recovered COVID-19 patients may be able to participate in sports as some schools reopen. “We are not saying restrict sport participation, but we are merely urging caution.”

Comprehensive LV evaluation needed

The findings reinforce that myocardial involvement is more frequent and sometimes more severe in MIS-C than previously thought, said Kevin G. Friedman, MD, a pediatrician at Harvard Medical School, Boston, and an attending physician in the department of cardiology at Boston Children’s Hospital. “We are underestimating it by using just traditional measures like ejection fraction. It requires a comprehensive evaluation of left ventricular function; it really affects all aspects of the ventricle, both the systolic function and the diastolic function.”

This study supports that MIS-C patients should have a more detailed analysis than EF on echocardiography, including strain imaging. “Probably these patients should all be followed at centers where they can evaluate a more detailed analysis of the LV and RV function,” he said. Patients with ongoing CA enlargement and LV dysfunction should have follow-up cardiac care indefinitely. Patients who have no cardiac symptoms during the acute phase probably don’t need long-term follow-up.

“We’re just trying to learn more about this disease, and it’s certainly concerning that so many kids are having cardiac involvement,” Dr. Friedman said. “Fortunately they’re getting better; we’re just trying to find out what this means for the long term.”

Dr. Matsubara and Dr. Friedman have no relevant financial disclosures.

SOURCE: Matsubara D et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020 Sep 2. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2020.08.056.

The medical community is about to find out how prepared it is for the double whammy of influenza and COVID-19 that has been predicted for the fall of 2020. The complexities of diagnosis, management of vulnerable patients, and overflowing medical centers that have made the COVID-19 crisis so brutal may all be exacerbated by the arrival of seasonal influenza.

Lewis Jay Kaplan, MD, FCCP, a critical care surgeon at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, has seen his share of critically ill COVID-19 patients in the surgical ICU that he oversees. He’s approaching the upcoming flu season, poised to collide with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, ready to listen to each patient’s story to distinguish one from the other and determine treatment.

“The patients that have underlying comorbidities all have a story, and it’s up to you to figure out which chapter you’re in and how far along you happen to be,” he said. “It’s a very interesting approach to care, medical storytelling.”

With flu season closing in, pulmonologists are ruminating about how they’ll distinguish symptoms of COVID-19 and traditional influenza and how they’ll manage the most vulnerable patients, namely those with underlying respiratory disease and children. Influenza kills 12,000-61,000 people a year, according to the Centers for Disease Control, and results in 140,000-810,00 hospitalizations. Having a flu season in the midst of a pandemic of a disease with multiple overlapping symptoms threatens to overwhelm practitioners, hospitals, and the health system.

Dr. Kaplan said each patient’s story can point to the correct clinical approach. “Instead of just sharing data when you are on rounds, you’re really telling someone’s story.” It arises from a series of questions about how the disease has impacted them, specifics of their presentation, how their signs and symptoms differ from the usual, and how they responded to treatment. “It also helps you to then take what you’re doing, which can seem very, very complicated to individuals who are not medically sophisticated, and then help them to understand why you’re doing what you’re doing at this point.”

That can help get through to a patient with respiratory disease who insists he or she has or doesn’t have COVID-19 rather than the flu. “They form a different group that brings with them different fears and concerns, and you have to help them navigate that, too: all of this data and your decision-making around testing and admissions, and what you can omit doing and what you must do help them to navigate their own story,” Dr. Kaplan said.

Benjamin D. Singer, MD, a pulmonologist at Northwestern University, Chicago, authored an editorial in Science Advances that addressed four factors that will determine the scope of flu spread in the upcoming season: rate of transmission; vaccination rates; coinfection rates; and health disparities in minority populations, which are prone to higher rates of flu as well as COVID-19.
 

Flu vaccine ‘extra important’

The convergence of COVID-19 and influenza has the potential to overwhelm the health system, said Daniel A. Solomon, MD, of Brigham and Women’s in Boston. He coauthored a JAMA Insights clinical update on flu season during the COVID-19 pandemic that lists distinguishing and overlapping signs and symptoms of the two diseases.

The flu vaccine, he said, is “extra important this year,” especially in patients with existing respiratory disease, but COVID-19 has thrown up barriers to vaccination. Telemedicine has supplanted office visits. “People may miss that easy-touch opportunity to get the flu vaccine, so we have to be creative about making the flu vaccine highly accessible, maybe in nontraditional ways,” Dr. Solomon said. Some ideas he offered are pop-up vaccine fairs at schools and churches.

But just as COVID-19 may hinder flu vaccines, it may also be helping to mitigate flu transmission. “The interesting thing about transmission of the flu is that it’s transmitted the same way COVID is, so if we actually know how to decrease transmission of COVID, which we do – we’ve done it – we can actually decrease transmission of influenza as well,” Dr. Solomon said. Studies out of Hong Kong and Japan have reported a reduction in influenza cases during COVID-19 outbreaks in those places (Lancet Public Health. 2020;5:e279-88; JAMA. 2020;323:1969-71).
 

Risks of coinfection

About one in four COVID-19 patients have been diagnosed with an additional respiratory infection, including influenza (JAMA. 2020:323:2085-6). Pulmonologists must keep that in mind when managing COVID-19 suspects, said Dr. Singer.

“While it is true that most of the time COVID-19 travels alone, we have numerous examples in the literature and in our own experience that COVID-19 is accompanied by either another virus or another bacterial infection, including influenza,” Dr. Singer said. “The distinction is important. One is just for diagnostic reasons and public reporting reasons, but also because flu and COVID-19 have different requirements for how you care for patients in terms of the health system.”

Clinical suspicion for coinfection should remain high if the community spread of both COVID-19 and influenza is high, said Megan Conroy, MD, chief pulmonary and critical care fellow at Ohio State University, Columbus. “As the coronavirus first took hold in the United States in March 2020, we were at the tail end of influenza season, so it’s hard to predict what the upcoming influenza season will really look like with regards to coinfection.”
 

Distinguishing COVID-19 from flu

Multiple signs and symptoms between COVID-19 and the flu overlap. They include fever, chills, headache, myalgia, cough, and fatigue. Nasal congestion and sore throat are characteristic of the flu; shortness of breath and loss of the sense of smell have been widely reported in COVID-19. “While many upper respiratory infections can result in loss of smell, this may be more prevalent in COVID-19,” Dr. Conroy said. Other symptoms unique to COVID-19 are GI symptoms such as diarrhea and skin rashes such as acral ischemia.

Testing, however, is the cornerstone of the differential diagnosis. “You can’t confidently distinguish between them on symptoms alone,” Dr. Conroy added.

“I think the challenge we’ll face as clinicians, is caring for people with nonspecific symptoms of a respiratory viral illness, especially in the early phase of the illness,” said Dr. Solomon.

But even after that, symptoms can be difficult to distinguish.

“Later in the illness, COVID is more associated with a hypercoagulable state,” he said. “It is more associated with viral pneumonia on chest imaging, like the diffuse ground-glass infiltrates that we’ve all gotten used to seeing – but flu can do both of those things as well. So, without a test, it’s impossible to distinguish between the two infections in the clinic.”

But testing can have its shortcomings when flu season clashes with the COVID-19 pandemic. “Getting the test is not the same as getting the test results,” Dr. Solomon added. “Though a lot of people can get a test, if it takes 7 or 8 days to get the test result back, the result is useless.”

Widespread, rapid testing also depends on having adequate supplies of viral media transport and swabs. “I think that this is what we should be focusing on now: scaling up access to rapid turnaround testing,” he said. Distinguishing between the two is also important to preserve hospital resources. COVID-19 has more rigorous standards than flu for personal protective equipment and isolation of patients within the hospital.

Having chronic lung disease isn’t necessarily a risk factor for contracting COVID-19 or the flu, or both, Dr. Solomon said. “It’s a risk factor for having severe disease.” Again, he noted that flu vaccines are still necessary in these patients, as well as patients of advanced age and underlying medical conditions such as heart disease, diabetes, and obesity.

In managing children, it’s important to keep in mind that they communicate differently about their illnesses than adults, said Dr. Kaplan. “They may not have the words to tell you the same kind of thing that the adult tells you.” That’s where family members can help to flesh out the history. “They may present with an initially much milder form, if you will, where they’re not as critical up front, but then that small proportion of them comes back with the multi-inflammatory syndrome and then they are profoundly ill.”

Younger people make up a larger share of COVID-19 patients now, compared with the initial wave that hit the Northeast in the spring, Dr. Kaplan said. “We don’t know if that’s because the virus is a little different or the people that are getting sick are a little bit different.”

The COVID-19 strain now emerging may be less virulent than the strain that hit in early spring, he said. “That doesn’t mean that there aren’t still profoundly critical ill people with COVID of many different age ranges, that is true, but there are a lot of people that we now see will test positive, but aren’t really as profoundly ill as when it first landed here in the United States.”

That may be somewhat welcome as flu season arrives.

The physicians interviewed have no relevant disclosures.

The medical community is about to find out how prepared it is for the double whammy of influenza and COVID-19 that has been predicted for the fall of 2020. The complexities of diagnosis, management of vulnerable patients, and overflowing medical centers that have made the COVID-19 crisis so brutal may all be exacerbated by the arrival of seasonal influenza.

Lewis Jay Kaplan, MD, FCCP, a critical care surgeon at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, has seen his share of critically ill COVID-19 patients in the surgical ICU that he oversees. He’s approaching the upcoming flu season, poised to collide with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, ready to listen to each patient’s story to distinguish one from the other and determine treatment.

“The patients that have underlying comorbidities all have a story, and it’s up to you to figure out which chapter you’re in and how far along you happen to be,” he said. “It’s a very interesting approach to care, medical storytelling.”

With flu season closing in, pulmonologists are ruminating about how they’ll distinguish symptoms of COVID-19 and traditional influenza and how they’ll manage the most vulnerable patients, namely those with underlying respiratory disease and children. Influenza kills 12,000-61,000 people a year, according to the Centers for Disease Control, and results in 140,000-810,00 hospitalizations. Having a flu season in the midst of a pandemic of a disease with multiple overlapping symptoms threatens to overwhelm practitioners, hospitals, and the health system.

Dr. Kaplan said each patient’s story can point to the correct clinical approach. “Instead of just sharing data when you are on rounds, you’re really telling someone’s story.” It arises from a series of questions about how the disease has impacted them, specifics of their presentation, how their signs and symptoms differ from the usual, and how they responded to treatment. “It also helps you to then take what you’re doing, which can seem very, very complicated to individuals who are not medically sophisticated, and then help them to understand why you’re doing what you’re doing at this point.”

That can help get through to a patient with respiratory disease who insists he or she has or doesn’t have COVID-19 rather than the flu. “They form a different group that brings with them different fears and concerns, and you have to help them navigate that, too: all of this data and your decision-making around testing and admissions, and what you can omit doing and what you must do help them to navigate their own story,” Dr. Kaplan said.

Benjamin D. Singer, MD, a pulmonologist at Northwestern University, Chicago, authored an editorial in Science Advances that addressed four factors that will determine the scope of flu spread in the upcoming season: rate of transmission; vaccination rates; coinfection rates; and health disparities in minority populations, which are prone to higher rates of flu as well as COVID-19.
 

Flu vaccine ‘extra important’

The convergence of COVID-19 and influenza has the potential to overwhelm the health system, said Daniel A. Solomon, MD, of Brigham and Women’s in Boston. He coauthored a JAMA Insights clinical update on flu season during the COVID-19 pandemic that lists distinguishing and overlapping signs and symptoms of the two diseases.

The flu vaccine, he said, is “extra important this year,” especially in patients with existing respiratory disease, but COVID-19 has thrown up barriers to vaccination. Telemedicine has supplanted office visits. “People may miss that easy-touch opportunity to get the flu vaccine, so we have to be creative about making the flu vaccine highly accessible, maybe in nontraditional ways,” Dr. Solomon said. Some ideas he offered are pop-up vaccine fairs at schools and churches.

But just as COVID-19 may hinder flu vaccines, it may also be helping to mitigate flu transmission. “The interesting thing about transmission of the flu is that it’s transmitted the same way COVID is, so if we actually know how to decrease transmission of COVID, which we do – we’ve done it – we can actually decrease transmission of influenza as well,” Dr. Solomon said. Studies out of Hong Kong and Japan have reported a reduction in influenza cases during COVID-19 outbreaks in those places (Lancet Public Health. 2020;5:e279-88; JAMA. 2020;323:1969-71).
 

Risks of coinfection

About one in four COVID-19 patients have been diagnosed with an additional respiratory infection, including influenza (JAMA. 2020:323:2085-6). Pulmonologists must keep that in mind when managing COVID-19 suspects, said Dr. Singer.

“While it is true that most of the time COVID-19 travels alone, we have numerous examples in the literature and in our own experience that COVID-19 is accompanied by either another virus or another bacterial infection, including influenza,” Dr. Singer said. “The distinction is important. One is just for diagnostic reasons and public reporting reasons, but also because flu and COVID-19 have different requirements for how you care for patients in terms of the health system.”

Clinical suspicion for coinfection should remain high if the community spread of both COVID-19 and influenza is high, said Megan Conroy, MD, chief pulmonary and critical care fellow at Ohio State University, Columbus. “As the coronavirus first took hold in the United States in March 2020, we were at the tail end of influenza season, so it’s hard to predict what the upcoming influenza season will really look like with regards to coinfection.”
 

Distinguishing COVID-19 from flu

Multiple signs and symptoms between COVID-19 and the flu overlap. They include fever, chills, headache, myalgia, cough, and fatigue. Nasal congestion and sore throat are characteristic of the flu; shortness of breath and loss of the sense of smell have been widely reported in COVID-19. “While many upper respiratory infections can result in loss of smell, this may be more prevalent in COVID-19,” Dr. Conroy said. Other symptoms unique to COVID-19 are GI symptoms such as diarrhea and skin rashes such as acral ischemia.

Testing, however, is the cornerstone of the differential diagnosis. “You can’t confidently distinguish between them on symptoms alone,” Dr. Conroy added.

“I think the challenge we’ll face as clinicians, is caring for people with nonspecific symptoms of a respiratory viral illness, especially in the early phase of the illness,” said Dr. Solomon.

But even after that, symptoms can be difficult to distinguish.

“Later in the illness, COVID is more associated with a hypercoagulable state,” he said. “It is more associated with viral pneumonia on chest imaging, like the diffuse ground-glass infiltrates that we’ve all gotten used to seeing – but flu can do both of those things as well. So, without a test, it’s impossible to distinguish between the two infections in the clinic.”

But testing can have its shortcomings when flu season clashes with the COVID-19 pandemic. “Getting the test is not the same as getting the test results,” Dr. Solomon added. “Though a lot of people can get a test, if it takes 7 or 8 days to get the test result back, the result is useless.”

Widespread, rapid testing also depends on having adequate supplies of viral media transport and swabs. “I think that this is what we should be focusing on now: scaling up access to rapid turnaround testing,” he said. Distinguishing between the two is also important to preserve hospital resources. COVID-19 has more rigorous standards than flu for personal protective equipment and isolation of patients within the hospital.

Having chronic lung disease isn’t necessarily a risk factor for contracting COVID-19 or the flu, or both, Dr. Solomon said. “It’s a risk factor for having severe disease.” Again, he noted that flu vaccines are still necessary in these patients, as well as patients of advanced age and underlying medical conditions such as heart disease, diabetes, and obesity.

In managing children, it’s important to keep in mind that they communicate differently about their illnesses than adults, said Dr. Kaplan. “They may not have the words to tell you the same kind of thing that the adult tells you.” That’s where family members can help to flesh out the history. “They may present with an initially much milder form, if you will, where they’re not as critical up front, but then that small proportion of them comes back with the multi-inflammatory syndrome and then they are profoundly ill.”

Younger people make up a larger share of COVID-19 patients now, compared with the initial wave that hit the Northeast in the spring, Dr. Kaplan said. “We don’t know if that’s because the virus is a little different or the people that are getting sick are a little bit different.”

The COVID-19 strain now emerging may be less virulent than the strain that hit in early spring, he said. “That doesn’t mean that there aren’t still profoundly critical ill people with COVID of many different age ranges, that is true, but there are a lot of people that we now see will test positive, but aren’t really as profoundly ill as when it first landed here in the United States.”

That may be somewhat welcome as flu season arrives.

The physicians interviewed have no relevant disclosures.

The medical community is about to find out how prepared it is for the double whammy of influenza and COVID-19 that has been predicted for the fall of 2020. The complexities of diagnosis, management of vulnerable patients, and overflowing medical centers that have made the COVID-19 crisis so brutal may all be exacerbated by the arrival of seasonal influenza.

Lewis Jay Kaplan, MD, FCCP, a critical care surgeon at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, has seen his share of critically ill COVID-19 patients in the surgical ICU that he oversees. He’s approaching the upcoming flu season, poised to collide with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, ready to listen to each patient’s story to distinguish one from the other and determine treatment.

“The patients that have underlying comorbidities all have a story, and it’s up to you to figure out which chapter you’re in and how far along you happen to be,” he said. “It’s a very interesting approach to care, medical storytelling.”

With flu season closing in, pulmonologists are ruminating about how they’ll distinguish symptoms of COVID-19 and traditional influenza and how they’ll manage the most vulnerable patients, namely those with underlying respiratory disease and children. Influenza kills 12,000-61,000 people a year, according to the Centers for Disease Control, and results in 140,000-810,00 hospitalizations. Having a flu season in the midst of a pandemic of a disease with multiple overlapping symptoms threatens to overwhelm practitioners, hospitals, and the health system.

Dr. Kaplan said each patient’s story can point to the correct clinical approach. “Instead of just sharing data when you are on rounds, you’re really telling someone’s story.” It arises from a series of questions about how the disease has impacted them, specifics of their presentation, how their signs and symptoms differ from the usual, and how they responded to treatment. “It also helps you to then take what you’re doing, which can seem very, very complicated to individuals who are not medically sophisticated, and then help them to understand why you’re doing what you’re doing at this point.”

That can help get through to a patient with respiratory disease who insists he or she has or doesn’t have COVID-19 rather than the flu. “They form a different group that brings with them different fears and concerns, and you have to help them navigate that, too: all of this data and your decision-making around testing and admissions, and what you can omit doing and what you must do help them to navigate their own story,” Dr. Kaplan said.

Benjamin D. Singer, MD, a pulmonologist at Northwestern University, Chicago, authored an editorial in Science Advances that addressed four factors that will determine the scope of flu spread in the upcoming season: rate of transmission; vaccination rates; coinfection rates; and health disparities in minority populations, which are prone to higher rates of flu as well as COVID-19.
 

Flu vaccine ‘extra important’

The convergence of COVID-19 and influenza has the potential to overwhelm the health system, said Daniel A. Solomon, MD, of Brigham and Women’s in Boston. He coauthored a JAMA Insights clinical update on flu season during the COVID-19 pandemic that lists distinguishing and overlapping signs and symptoms of the two diseases.

The flu vaccine, he said, is “extra important this year,” especially in patients with existing respiratory disease, but COVID-19 has thrown up barriers to vaccination. Telemedicine has supplanted office visits. “People may miss that easy-touch opportunity to get the flu vaccine, so we have to be creative about making the flu vaccine highly accessible, maybe in nontraditional ways,” Dr. Solomon said. Some ideas he offered are pop-up vaccine fairs at schools and churches.

But just as COVID-19 may hinder flu vaccines, it may also be helping to mitigate flu transmission. “The interesting thing about transmission of the flu is that it’s transmitted the same way COVID is, so if we actually know how to decrease transmission of COVID, which we do – we’ve done it – we can actually decrease transmission of influenza as well,” Dr. Solomon said. Studies out of Hong Kong and Japan have reported a reduction in influenza cases during COVID-19 outbreaks in those places (Lancet Public Health. 2020;5:e279-88; JAMA. 2020;323:1969-71).
 

Risks of coinfection

About one in four COVID-19 patients have been diagnosed with an additional respiratory infection, including influenza (JAMA. 2020:323:2085-6). Pulmonologists must keep that in mind when managing COVID-19 suspects, said Dr. Singer.

“While it is true that most of the time COVID-19 travels alone, we have numerous examples in the literature and in our own experience that COVID-19 is accompanied by either another virus or another bacterial infection, including influenza,” Dr. Singer said. “The distinction is important. One is just for diagnostic reasons and public reporting reasons, but also because flu and COVID-19 have different requirements for how you care for patients in terms of the health system.”

Clinical suspicion for coinfection should remain high if the community spread of both COVID-19 and influenza is high, said Megan Conroy, MD, chief pulmonary and critical care fellow at Ohio State University, Columbus. “As the coronavirus first took hold in the United States in March 2020, we were at the tail end of influenza season, so it’s hard to predict what the upcoming influenza season will really look like with regards to coinfection.”
 

Distinguishing COVID-19 from flu

Multiple signs and symptoms between COVID-19 and the flu overlap. They include fever, chills, headache, myalgia, cough, and fatigue. Nasal congestion and sore throat are characteristic of the flu; shortness of breath and loss of the sense of smell have been widely reported in COVID-19. “While many upper respiratory infections can result in loss of smell, this may be more prevalent in COVID-19,” Dr. Conroy said. Other symptoms unique to COVID-19 are GI symptoms such as diarrhea and skin rashes such as acral ischemia.

Testing, however, is the cornerstone of the differential diagnosis. “You can’t confidently distinguish between them on symptoms alone,” Dr. Conroy added.

“I think the challenge we’ll face as clinicians, is caring for people with nonspecific symptoms of a respiratory viral illness, especially in the early phase of the illness,” said Dr. Solomon.

But even after that, symptoms can be difficult to distinguish.

“Later in the illness, COVID is more associated with a hypercoagulable state,” he said. “It is more associated with viral pneumonia on chest imaging, like the diffuse ground-glass infiltrates that we’ve all gotten used to seeing – but flu can do both of those things as well. So, without a test, it’s impossible to distinguish between the two infections in the clinic.”

But testing can have its shortcomings when flu season clashes with the COVID-19 pandemic. “Getting the test is not the same as getting the test results,” Dr. Solomon added. “Though a lot of people can get a test, if it takes 7 or 8 days to get the test result back, the result is useless.”

Widespread, rapid testing also depends on having adequate supplies of viral media transport and swabs. “I think that this is what we should be focusing on now: scaling up access to rapid turnaround testing,” he said. Distinguishing between the two is also important to preserve hospital resources. COVID-19 has more rigorous standards than flu for personal protective equipment and isolation of patients within the hospital.

Having chronic lung disease isn’t necessarily a risk factor for contracting COVID-19 or the flu, or both, Dr. Solomon said. “It’s a risk factor for having severe disease.” Again, he noted that flu vaccines are still necessary in these patients, as well as patients of advanced age and underlying medical conditions such as heart disease, diabetes, and obesity.

In managing children, it’s important to keep in mind that they communicate differently about their illnesses than adults, said Dr. Kaplan. “They may not have the words to tell you the same kind of thing that the adult tells you.” That’s where family members can help to flesh out the history. “They may present with an initially much milder form, if you will, where they’re not as critical up front, but then that small proportion of them comes back with the multi-inflammatory syndrome and then they are profoundly ill.”

Younger people make up a larger share of COVID-19 patients now, compared with the initial wave that hit the Northeast in the spring, Dr. Kaplan said. “We don’t know if that’s because the virus is a little different or the people that are getting sick are a little bit different.”

The COVID-19 strain now emerging may be less virulent than the strain that hit in early spring, he said. “That doesn’t mean that there aren’t still profoundly critical ill people with COVID of many different age ranges, that is true, but there are a lot of people that we now see will test positive, but aren’t really as profoundly ill as when it first landed here in the United States.”

That may be somewhat welcome as flu season arrives.

The physicians interviewed have no relevant disclosures.

A machine-learning model that uses readily available clinical and electrocardiography data may have the potential to identify left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction, a key biomarker in predicting heart failure, without echocardiography, but a workable clinical platform is still far off, a team of North American researchers reported.

“This cost-effective strategy may be a valuable first clinical step for assessing the presence of LV dysfunction and may potentially aid in the early diagnosis and management of heart failure patients,” Nobuyuki Kagiyama, MD, PhD, of West Virginia University, Morgantown, and colleagues, wrote in the Journal of the American Academy of Cardiology.

The researchers reported on a multicenter, prospective study that evaluated 1,202 patients from three centers in the United States and one in Canada. To develop machine-learning models, the study pooled 814 patients from the U.S. institutions as an internal cohort. They were then randomly divided into a training set and an internal test set on an 80:20 basis (651 and 163). The 388 Canadian patients were reserved as an external set to test the model.

All patients had 12-lead ECG and simultaneous body surface signal-processed ECG (spECG) along with comprehensive two-dimensional Doppler ECG on the same day.
 

How the model works

The machine-learning model estimated echocardiographic LV relaxation velocities (e’) values using traditional ECG and spECG features. The model also took into account 10 basic clinical features: age; sex; systolic and diastolic blood pressure; and comorbid conditions such as cerebrovascular and cardiovascular disease, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney disease.

Patient characteristics were starkly different between the internal (United States) and external (Canadian) cohorts, with the latter being 10 years older on average (65 vs. 44; P < .001), predominantly male (58.2% vs. 47.3%; P < .001) and with significantly lower rates of coronary artery disease (1.8% vs. 21.1%; P < .001), although average blood pressure was similar between the two groups.

The study used area under the curve (AUC) to calculate the predictability of the machine-learning estimated e’ values versus the guideline-based reduced e’, finding close correlation between the internal (AUC, 0.83; sensitivity, 78%; specificity, 77%; negative predictive value, 73%; and positive predictive value, 82%) and external test sets (AUC, 0.84; sensitivity, 90%; specificity, 61%; NPV, 81%; and PPV, 77%).

Similar variations between the two cohorts were reported for global LV diastolic dysfunction and reduced LV ejection fraction.

The final model used 18 features in all, including 3 clinical features (age, dyslipidemia, and hypertension), 7 scores from spECG features, and 8 from traditional ECG features.
 

Interpreting the results

Dr. Kagiyama and colleagues noted that, because impaired myocardial relaxation is an early sign of cardiac tissue deterioration, screening for it can aid in early detection of subclinical LVDD and earlier treatment for hypertension and diabetes. But they acknowledged that further studies are needed.

In an invited editorial, Khurram Nasir, MD, MPH, MSc, of Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center and Rohan Khera, MD, MS, of Yale University, New Haven, Conn., wrote that the machine-learning model has a way to go.

They noted that the 73%-77% accuracy of the model in identifying diastolic dysfunction impedes its imminent use. “Although we are excited about the prospects of such developments, we hold out for better evidence for their actual use,” they wrote, adding that the algorithms have limited use in the clinic because most patients already get “definitive testing” if they need it.

Developing a machine-learning model that obviates the need for ECG for evaluating LV diastolic dysfunction seems dubious at this time, said Luigi Di Biase, MD, PhD, section head of electrophysiology and director of arrhythmia services at Montefiore Medical Center and professor at Albert Einstein College of Medicine, both in New York. “The echo is not a difficult test. It’s the most proven usable tool that we have in cardiology because it’s easy to reproduce, low cost, and noninvasive – so we have all that we want in medicine.”

But machine learning does have potential, added Dr. Di Biase, who’s also a member of the American College of Cardiology’s Electrophysiology Section Leadership Council. “If this application could predict the people that would develop diastolic dysfunction that leads to heart failure – because an echo at that time may be negative but there may be other features that tell me this patient will develop disease – then it would have a much different clinical impact.”

The National Science Foundation provided funding for the study. Heart Test Laboratories, doing business as Heart Sciences, provided funding and spECG devices. Dr. Kagiyama reported receiving a research grant from Hitachi Healthcare. A coauthor disclosed financial relationships with Heart Sciences, Ultronics, and Kencor Health.

Dr. Nasir, Dr. Khera, and Dr. Di Biase have no relevant financial relationships to disclose.

SOURCE: Kagiyama N et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76:930-41.

A machine-learning model that uses readily available clinical and electrocardiography data may have the potential to identify left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction, a key biomarker in predicting heart failure, without echocardiography, but a workable clinical platform is still far off, a team of North American researchers reported.

“This cost-effective strategy may be a valuable first clinical step for assessing the presence of LV dysfunction and may potentially aid in the early diagnosis and management of heart failure patients,” Nobuyuki Kagiyama, MD, PhD, of West Virginia University, Morgantown, and colleagues, wrote in the Journal of the American Academy of Cardiology.

The researchers reported on a multicenter, prospective study that evaluated 1,202 patients from three centers in the United States and one in Canada. To develop machine-learning models, the study pooled 814 patients from the U.S. institutions as an internal cohort. They were then randomly divided into a training set and an internal test set on an 80:20 basis (651 and 163). The 388 Canadian patients were reserved as an external set to test the model.

All patients had 12-lead ECG and simultaneous body surface signal-processed ECG (spECG) along with comprehensive two-dimensional Doppler ECG on the same day.
 

How the model works

The machine-learning model estimated echocardiographic LV relaxation velocities (e’) values using traditional ECG and spECG features. The model also took into account 10 basic clinical features: age; sex; systolic and diastolic blood pressure; and comorbid conditions such as cerebrovascular and cardiovascular disease, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney disease.

Patient characteristics were starkly different between the internal (United States) and external (Canadian) cohorts, with the latter being 10 years older on average (65 vs. 44; P < .001), predominantly male (58.2% vs. 47.3%; P < .001) and with significantly lower rates of coronary artery disease (1.8% vs. 21.1%; P < .001), although average blood pressure was similar between the two groups.

The study used area under the curve (AUC) to calculate the predictability of the machine-learning estimated e’ values versus the guideline-based reduced e’, finding close correlation between the internal (AUC, 0.83; sensitivity, 78%; specificity, 77%; negative predictive value, 73%; and positive predictive value, 82%) and external test sets (AUC, 0.84; sensitivity, 90%; specificity, 61%; NPV, 81%; and PPV, 77%).

Similar variations between the two cohorts were reported for global LV diastolic dysfunction and reduced LV ejection fraction.

The final model used 18 features in all, including 3 clinical features (age, dyslipidemia, and hypertension), 7 scores from spECG features, and 8 from traditional ECG features.
 

Interpreting the results

Dr. Kagiyama and colleagues noted that, because impaired myocardial relaxation is an early sign of cardiac tissue deterioration, screening for it can aid in early detection of subclinical LVDD and earlier treatment for hypertension and diabetes. But they acknowledged that further studies are needed.

In an invited editorial, Khurram Nasir, MD, MPH, MSc, of Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center and Rohan Khera, MD, MS, of Yale University, New Haven, Conn., wrote that the machine-learning model has a way to go.

They noted that the 73%-77% accuracy of the model in identifying diastolic dysfunction impedes its imminent use. “Although we are excited about the prospects of such developments, we hold out for better evidence for their actual use,” they wrote, adding that the algorithms have limited use in the clinic because most patients already get “definitive testing” if they need it.

Developing a machine-learning model that obviates the need for ECG for evaluating LV diastolic dysfunction seems dubious at this time, said Luigi Di Biase, MD, PhD, section head of electrophysiology and director of arrhythmia services at Montefiore Medical Center and professor at Albert Einstein College of Medicine, both in New York. “The echo is not a difficult test. It’s the most proven usable tool that we have in cardiology because it’s easy to reproduce, low cost, and noninvasive – so we have all that we want in medicine.”

But machine learning does have potential, added Dr. Di Biase, who’s also a member of the American College of Cardiology’s Electrophysiology Section Leadership Council. “If this application could predict the people that would develop diastolic dysfunction that leads to heart failure – because an echo at that time may be negative but there may be other features that tell me this patient will develop disease – then it would have a much different clinical impact.”

The National Science Foundation provided funding for the study. Heart Test Laboratories, doing business as Heart Sciences, provided funding and spECG devices. Dr. Kagiyama reported receiving a research grant from Hitachi Healthcare. A coauthor disclosed financial relationships with Heart Sciences, Ultronics, and Kencor Health.

Dr. Nasir, Dr. Khera, and Dr. Di Biase have no relevant financial relationships to disclose.

SOURCE: Kagiyama N et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76:930-41.

A machine-learning model that uses readily available clinical and electrocardiography data may have the potential to identify left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction, a key biomarker in predicting heart failure, without echocardiography, but a workable clinical platform is still far off, a team of North American researchers reported.

“This cost-effective strategy may be a valuable first clinical step for assessing the presence of LV dysfunction and may potentially aid in the early diagnosis and management of heart failure patients,” Nobuyuki Kagiyama, MD, PhD, of West Virginia University, Morgantown, and colleagues, wrote in the Journal of the American Academy of Cardiology.

The researchers reported on a multicenter, prospective study that evaluated 1,202 patients from three centers in the United States and one in Canada. To develop machine-learning models, the study pooled 814 patients from the U.S. institutions as an internal cohort. They were then randomly divided into a training set and an internal test set on an 80:20 basis (651 and 163). The 388 Canadian patients were reserved as an external set to test the model.

All patients had 12-lead ECG and simultaneous body surface signal-processed ECG (spECG) along with comprehensive two-dimensional Doppler ECG on the same day.
 

How the model works

The machine-learning model estimated echocardiographic LV relaxation velocities (e’) values using traditional ECG and spECG features. The model also took into account 10 basic clinical features: age; sex; systolic and diastolic blood pressure; and comorbid conditions such as cerebrovascular and cardiovascular disease, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney disease.

Patient characteristics were starkly different between the internal (United States) and external (Canadian) cohorts, with the latter being 10 years older on average (65 vs. 44; P < .001), predominantly male (58.2% vs. 47.3%; P < .001) and with significantly lower rates of coronary artery disease (1.8% vs. 21.1%; P < .001), although average blood pressure was similar between the two groups.

The study used area under the curve (AUC) to calculate the predictability of the machine-learning estimated e’ values versus the guideline-based reduced e’, finding close correlation between the internal (AUC, 0.83; sensitivity, 78%; specificity, 77%; negative predictive value, 73%; and positive predictive value, 82%) and external test sets (AUC, 0.84; sensitivity, 90%; specificity, 61%; NPV, 81%; and PPV, 77%).

Similar variations between the two cohorts were reported for global LV diastolic dysfunction and reduced LV ejection fraction.

The final model used 18 features in all, including 3 clinical features (age, dyslipidemia, and hypertension), 7 scores from spECG features, and 8 from traditional ECG features.
 

Interpreting the results

Dr. Kagiyama and colleagues noted that, because impaired myocardial relaxation is an early sign of cardiac tissue deterioration, screening for it can aid in early detection of subclinical LVDD and earlier treatment for hypertension and diabetes. But they acknowledged that further studies are needed.

In an invited editorial, Khurram Nasir, MD, MPH, MSc, of Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center and Rohan Khera, MD, MS, of Yale University, New Haven, Conn., wrote that the machine-learning model has a way to go.

They noted that the 73%-77% accuracy of the model in identifying diastolic dysfunction impedes its imminent use. “Although we are excited about the prospects of such developments, we hold out for better evidence for their actual use,” they wrote, adding that the algorithms have limited use in the clinic because most patients already get “definitive testing” if they need it.

Developing a machine-learning model that obviates the need for ECG for evaluating LV diastolic dysfunction seems dubious at this time, said Luigi Di Biase, MD, PhD, section head of electrophysiology and director of arrhythmia services at Montefiore Medical Center and professor at Albert Einstein College of Medicine, both in New York. “The echo is not a difficult test. It’s the most proven usable tool that we have in cardiology because it’s easy to reproduce, low cost, and noninvasive – so we have all that we want in medicine.”

But machine learning does have potential, added Dr. Di Biase, who’s also a member of the American College of Cardiology’s Electrophysiology Section Leadership Council. “If this application could predict the people that would develop diastolic dysfunction that leads to heart failure – because an echo at that time may be negative but there may be other features that tell me this patient will develop disease – then it would have a much different clinical impact.”

The National Science Foundation provided funding for the study. Heart Test Laboratories, doing business as Heart Sciences, provided funding and spECG devices. Dr. Kagiyama reported receiving a research grant from Hitachi Healthcare. A coauthor disclosed financial relationships with Heart Sciences, Ultronics, and Kencor Health.

Dr. Nasir, Dr. Khera, and Dr. Di Biase have no relevant financial relationships to disclose.

SOURCE: Kagiyama N et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76:930-41.

A study of patients with pulmonary hypertension suggests a reconsideration of the accepted benchmark for pulmonary vascular hypertension as a predictor of heart failure may be warranted.

An elevated pulmonary vascular resistance of 3.0 Wood units or greater has been used as a prognostic marker for death and heart failure in pulmonary hypertension subgroups. But a large, multiyear study of a veterans population suggests that shifting that threshold to 2.2 Wood units in patients with right-heart catheterization may be justified.

Bradley A. Maron, MD, of the Veterans Affairs Boston Healthcare System and Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, and colleagues evaluated 40,082 veterans in the VA Clinical Assessment, Reporting and Tracking (CART) program who had right-heart catheterization (RHC) in the VA system from Oct. 1, 2007, to Sept. 30, 2016.

“To our knowledge, these data provide the first evidence-based information on the continuum of clinical risk related to PVR in patients with elevated pulmonary artery pressure,” the researchers wrote. Their report was published online in Lancet Respiratory Medicine (2020 Jul 27. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30317-9).

The retrospective cohort study found that all-cause mortality hazard ratio (HR), when adjusted for clinical variables, and mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) increased progressively beginning at around 2.0 Wood units (WU). Clinically significant mortality HR emerged at 2.2 WU, with an adjusted risk 9% greater than a PVR of 2.1 Wood units (P < .0034), which the study considered the upper limit of normal PVR in health adults of a similar age range (61.5 to 73.5 years) as the study cohort. The researchers noted that a PVR of 3.0 WU has been the standard for forecasting outcomes in pulmonary hypertension (PH) (Eur Heart J. 2010;31:2915-57).

“Overall, these results suggest that reconsidering the hemodynamic parameters that define pulmonary hypertension in patients with cardiopulmonary disease is warranted, and they identify a need for early detection strategies to capture this large and vulnerable population,” the researchers wrote.

A subsequent analysis focused on patients with an mPAP of >19 mm HG (n = 32,725) and found that all-cause death when adjusted over a wide range of clinical variables that included PVR of 2.2 WU increased to a 25% HR. “However,” the researchers added, “a median cardiac output of < 4.0 L/min, which has been shown to be independently associated with adverse outcome, was present only when PVR was more than 4.0 Wood units.”

For a PVR of 2.2-3.0 WU, the median cardiac output was 4.87 L/min; for > 3.0 WU, it was 4.13 L/min. Among the patients with PVR > 2.2 WU (n = 15,780), 13.6% (n = 2,147) had an mPAP of 19-24 mm Hg.

In all patients with mPAP > 19 mm HG, pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) became a determining risk factor, with 15 mm HG the demarcation between low and high PAWP. At PVR of 2.2 WU, low-PAWP patients had a 52% greater adjusted risk of death and high-PAWP a 23% greater risk. At 4.0 WU, those adjusted risks rose dramatically – to 272% and 58%, for the low- and high-PAWP subgroups, respectively (P < .0001).

“Stratification of patients by PAWP had a major effect on outcome estimates in our study, illustrating the limitations of using the same PVR level to define clinical risk between precapillary and postcapillary pulmonary hypertension,” the researchers wrote.

They called for further study into how these findings impact people with PH but lower levels of cardiopulmonary disease than the cohort. “Overall, these findings support reconsidering the combination of hemodynamic variables used to identify patients with pulmonary hypertension,” the researchers stated.

The analyses of the VA CART database makes this “an interesting study,” said G. Hossein Almassi, MD, FCCP, of the Medical College of Wisconsin and Zablocki VA Medical Center in Milwaukee. “Within its limitation as a retrospective cohort study, the findings of a lower PVR and a lower mean PAP of > 19 mm being associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization are significant.”

He added: “Time will tell whether this will be an impetus for the clinicians to consider earlier therapeutic interventions in addition to lifestyle modification such as smoking cessation in this group of patients.”

Dr. Maron disclosed a financial relationship with Actelion.

SOURCE: Maron BA et al. Lancet Respir Med. 2020 Jul 27. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30317-9.

A study of patients with pulmonary hypertension suggests a reconsideration of the accepted benchmark for pulmonary vascular hypertension as a predictor of heart failure may be warranted.

An elevated pulmonary vascular resistance of 3.0 Wood units or greater has been used as a prognostic marker for death and heart failure in pulmonary hypertension subgroups. But a large, multiyear study of a veterans population suggests that shifting that threshold to 2.2 Wood units in patients with right-heart catheterization may be justified.

Bradley A. Maron, MD, of the Veterans Affairs Boston Healthcare System and Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, and colleagues evaluated 40,082 veterans in the VA Clinical Assessment, Reporting and Tracking (CART) program who had right-heart catheterization (RHC) in the VA system from Oct. 1, 2007, to Sept. 30, 2016.

“To our knowledge, these data provide the first evidence-based information on the continuum of clinical risk related to PVR in patients with elevated pulmonary artery pressure,” the researchers wrote. Their report was published online in Lancet Respiratory Medicine (2020 Jul 27. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30317-9).

The retrospective cohort study found that all-cause mortality hazard ratio (HR), when adjusted for clinical variables, and mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) increased progressively beginning at around 2.0 Wood units (WU). Clinically significant mortality HR emerged at 2.2 WU, with an adjusted risk 9% greater than a PVR of 2.1 Wood units (P < .0034), which the study considered the upper limit of normal PVR in health adults of a similar age range (61.5 to 73.5 years) as the study cohort. The researchers noted that a PVR of 3.0 WU has been the standard for forecasting outcomes in pulmonary hypertension (PH) (Eur Heart J. 2010;31:2915-57).

“Overall, these results suggest that reconsidering the hemodynamic parameters that define pulmonary hypertension in patients with cardiopulmonary disease is warranted, and they identify a need for early detection strategies to capture this large and vulnerable population,” the researchers wrote.

A subsequent analysis focused on patients with an mPAP of >19 mm HG (n = 32,725) and found that all-cause death when adjusted over a wide range of clinical variables that included PVR of 2.2 WU increased to a 25% HR. “However,” the researchers added, “a median cardiac output of < 4.0 L/min, which has been shown to be independently associated with adverse outcome, was present only when PVR was more than 4.0 Wood units.”

For a PVR of 2.2-3.0 WU, the median cardiac output was 4.87 L/min; for > 3.0 WU, it was 4.13 L/min. Among the patients with PVR > 2.2 WU (n = 15,780), 13.6% (n = 2,147) had an mPAP of 19-24 mm Hg.

In all patients with mPAP > 19 mm HG, pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) became a determining risk factor, with 15 mm HG the demarcation between low and high PAWP. At PVR of 2.2 WU, low-PAWP patients had a 52% greater adjusted risk of death and high-PAWP a 23% greater risk. At 4.0 WU, those adjusted risks rose dramatically – to 272% and 58%, for the low- and high-PAWP subgroups, respectively (P < .0001).

“Stratification of patients by PAWP had a major effect on outcome estimates in our study, illustrating the limitations of using the same PVR level to define clinical risk between precapillary and postcapillary pulmonary hypertension,” the researchers wrote.

They called for further study into how these findings impact people with PH but lower levels of cardiopulmonary disease than the cohort. “Overall, these findings support reconsidering the combination of hemodynamic variables used to identify patients with pulmonary hypertension,” the researchers stated.

The analyses of the VA CART database makes this “an interesting study,” said G. Hossein Almassi, MD, FCCP, of the Medical College of Wisconsin and Zablocki VA Medical Center in Milwaukee. “Within its limitation as a retrospective cohort study, the findings of a lower PVR and a lower mean PAP of > 19 mm being associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization are significant.”

He added: “Time will tell whether this will be an impetus for the clinicians to consider earlier therapeutic interventions in addition to lifestyle modification such as smoking cessation in this group of patients.”

Dr. Maron disclosed a financial relationship with Actelion.

SOURCE: Maron BA et al. Lancet Respir Med. 2020 Jul 27. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30317-9.

A study of patients with pulmonary hypertension suggests a reconsideration of the accepted benchmark for pulmonary vascular hypertension as a predictor of heart failure may be warranted.

An elevated pulmonary vascular resistance of 3.0 Wood units or greater has been used as a prognostic marker for death and heart failure in pulmonary hypertension subgroups. But a large, multiyear study of a veterans population suggests that shifting that threshold to 2.2 Wood units in patients with right-heart catheterization may be justified.

Bradley A. Maron, MD, of the Veterans Affairs Boston Healthcare System and Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, and colleagues evaluated 40,082 veterans in the VA Clinical Assessment, Reporting and Tracking (CART) program who had right-heart catheterization (RHC) in the VA system from Oct. 1, 2007, to Sept. 30, 2016.

“To our knowledge, these data provide the first evidence-based information on the continuum of clinical risk related to PVR in patients with elevated pulmonary artery pressure,” the researchers wrote. Their report was published online in Lancet Respiratory Medicine (2020 Jul 27. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30317-9).

The retrospective cohort study found that all-cause mortality hazard ratio (HR), when adjusted for clinical variables, and mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) increased progressively beginning at around 2.0 Wood units (WU). Clinically significant mortality HR emerged at 2.2 WU, with an adjusted risk 9% greater than a PVR of 2.1 Wood units (P < .0034), which the study considered the upper limit of normal PVR in health adults of a similar age range (61.5 to 73.5 years) as the study cohort. The researchers noted that a PVR of 3.0 WU has been the standard for forecasting outcomes in pulmonary hypertension (PH) (Eur Heart J. 2010;31:2915-57).

“Overall, these results suggest that reconsidering the hemodynamic parameters that define pulmonary hypertension in patients with cardiopulmonary disease is warranted, and they identify a need for early detection strategies to capture this large and vulnerable population,” the researchers wrote.

A subsequent analysis focused on patients with an mPAP of >19 mm HG (n = 32,725) and found that all-cause death when adjusted over a wide range of clinical variables that included PVR of 2.2 WU increased to a 25% HR. “However,” the researchers added, “a median cardiac output of < 4.0 L/min, which has been shown to be independently associated with adverse outcome, was present only when PVR was more than 4.0 Wood units.”

For a PVR of 2.2-3.0 WU, the median cardiac output was 4.87 L/min; for > 3.0 WU, it was 4.13 L/min. Among the patients with PVR > 2.2 WU (n = 15,780), 13.6% (n = 2,147) had an mPAP of 19-24 mm Hg.

In all patients with mPAP > 19 mm HG, pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) became a determining risk factor, with 15 mm HG the demarcation between low and high PAWP. At PVR of 2.2 WU, low-PAWP patients had a 52% greater adjusted risk of death and high-PAWP a 23% greater risk. At 4.0 WU, those adjusted risks rose dramatically – to 272% and 58%, for the low- and high-PAWP subgroups, respectively (P < .0001).

“Stratification of patients by PAWP had a major effect on outcome estimates in our study, illustrating the limitations of using the same PVR level to define clinical risk between precapillary and postcapillary pulmonary hypertension,” the researchers wrote.

They called for further study into how these findings impact people with PH but lower levels of cardiopulmonary disease than the cohort. “Overall, these findings support reconsidering the combination of hemodynamic variables used to identify patients with pulmonary hypertension,” the researchers stated.

The analyses of the VA CART database makes this “an interesting study,” said G. Hossein Almassi, MD, FCCP, of the Medical College of Wisconsin and Zablocki VA Medical Center in Milwaukee. “Within its limitation as a retrospective cohort study, the findings of a lower PVR and a lower mean PAP of > 19 mm being associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization are significant.”

He added: “Time will tell whether this will be an impetus for the clinicians to consider earlier therapeutic interventions in addition to lifestyle modification such as smoking cessation in this group of patients.”

Dr. Maron disclosed a financial relationship with Actelion.

SOURCE: Maron BA et al. Lancet Respir Med. 2020 Jul 27. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30317-9.

An observational cohort study of a prospective international database of patients with multiple sclerosis has reported that medical therapy can reduce disability progression in patients with active secondary progressive MS (SPMS) who are prone to inflammatory relapses.

Brian Hoyle/MDedge News

The international researchers, led by Nathanial Lizak, MMBS, of the University of Melbourne, conducted the cohort study of 1,621 patients with SPMS from the MSBase international registry, which prospectively collected the information from 1995 to 2018. Their findings were published in JAMA Neurology.

“Among patients who experienced superimposed relapses during SPMS, greater receipt of disease-modifying therapies was significantly associated with a reduced rate of disability progression and a lower risk of becoming wheelchair dependent,” wrote Dr. Lizak and colleagues of the MSBase Study Group.
 

Therapy’s impact on disease progression

To ensure that they had timely data on the early disease course of all study patients, they researchers only included patients whose diagnosis and first documented Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score were no more than 24 months apart. At SPMS conversion, 1,494 patients had an EDSS score of less than 7 (on a scale of 0-10); during the follow-up period, 267 of them (17.9%) crossed over the threshold of 7.

Dr. Lizak and colleagues noted that early treatment during relapsing remitting MS didn’t impact outcomes after SPMS conversion.

For evaluating the MS Severity Score (MSSS), the study split the cohort into three groups depending on the efficacy of therapy: low-efficacy treatments, mostly consisting of interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate; medium-efficacy treatments, mostly fingolimod and dimethyl fumarate; and high-efficacy treatments, predominately natalizumab and mitoxantrone.

The MSSS progression slope in the cohort had an average reduction of 0.02 points per year. “For patients who experienced superimposed relapses during SPMS, a reduced MSSS progression slope during SPMS was observed among those who received disease-modifying therapies for a greater proportion of time during SPMS,” Dr. Lizak and colleagues wrote.

MSSS progression slope reduction was more pronounced in the medium- and high-efficacy groups, with a reduction of beta 0.22 (P = .06) and 0.034 (P = .002), respectively.

“Based on our models, the level of disability in patients with active SPMS who are continuously treated with high-efficacy immunotherapies would progress more slowly in comparison with the general population with MS by a mean (standard deviation) of 1.56 (4.60) deciles over 10 years,” Dr. Lizak and colleagues wrote.

While the researchers cited a number of studies that didn’t support immunotherapy for SPMS, they also did cite the EXPAND trial to support treatment with siponimod in SPMS patients (Lancet. 2018;391:1263-73). The ASCEND trial of natalizumab enrolled a largely relapse-free cohort and found no link between treatment and disability progression in SPMS (Lancet Neurol. 2018;17:405-15), and a previous report by the MSBase Study Group found no benefit of therapy when adjusted for SPMS relapse rates (Neurology. 2017;89:1050-9).

“Together with the present study, the existing data converge on the suggestion that relapses during SPMS provide a therapeutic target and a marker of future response to immunotherapy during SPMS,” Dr. Lizak and colleagues wrote.
 

Challenging dogma

Commenting on the research, Mark Freedman, HBSc, MSc, MD, said that the MSBase study makes an important contribution to the literature on management of SPMS. “Up until this point we’ve been basing our assumptions on secondary progressive MS on natural history studies, which are actually quite old, dating back 20-30 years.” Dr. Freedman is senior scientist in the Neuroscience Program at the Ottawa Hospital Research Institute and professor of medicine in neurology at the University of Ottawa.

He said “the most damaging” of those studies was by the late Christian Confavreaux, MD, and colleagues in Lyon, France (N Engl J Med. 2000;343:1430-8), that reported relapses didn’t alter the progression of disability. “In other words, once you’re in EDSS of 4, it’s a runaway train; it doesn’t matter what you do,” Dr. Freedman said.

“That was kind of dogma for years,” he said. “The reason this publication is important is because it’s suggesting that’s not the case.” In other words, the MSBase cohort study is validating what neurologists have been doing in the real world for years: treating patients with SPMS who have relapses.

Dr Lizak reported receiving travel compensation from Merck outside the scope of the study. His coauthors reported numerous financial relationships.

SOURCE: Lizak N et al. JAMA Neurol. 2020 Jul 27. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2020.2453

An observational cohort study of a prospective international database of patients with multiple sclerosis has reported that medical therapy can reduce disability progression in patients with active secondary progressive MS (SPMS) who are prone to inflammatory relapses.

Brian Hoyle/MDedge News

The international researchers, led by Nathanial Lizak, MMBS, of the University of Melbourne, conducted the cohort study of 1,621 patients with SPMS from the MSBase international registry, which prospectively collected the information from 1995 to 2018. Their findings were published in JAMA Neurology.

“Among patients who experienced superimposed relapses during SPMS, greater receipt of disease-modifying therapies was significantly associated with a reduced rate of disability progression and a lower risk of becoming wheelchair dependent,” wrote Dr. Lizak and colleagues of the MSBase Study Group.
 

Therapy’s impact on disease progression

To ensure that they had timely data on the early disease course of all study patients, they researchers only included patients whose diagnosis and first documented Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score were no more than 24 months apart. At SPMS conversion, 1,494 patients had an EDSS score of less than 7 (on a scale of 0-10); during the follow-up period, 267 of them (17.9%) crossed over the threshold of 7.

Dr. Lizak and colleagues noted that early treatment during relapsing remitting MS didn’t impact outcomes after SPMS conversion.

For evaluating the MS Severity Score (MSSS), the study split the cohort into three groups depending on the efficacy of therapy: low-efficacy treatments, mostly consisting of interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate; medium-efficacy treatments, mostly fingolimod and dimethyl fumarate; and high-efficacy treatments, predominately natalizumab and mitoxantrone.

The MSSS progression slope in the cohort had an average reduction of 0.02 points per year. “For patients who experienced superimposed relapses during SPMS, a reduced MSSS progression slope during SPMS was observed among those who received disease-modifying therapies for a greater proportion of time during SPMS,” Dr. Lizak and colleagues wrote.

MSSS progression slope reduction was more pronounced in the medium- and high-efficacy groups, with a reduction of beta 0.22 (P = .06) and 0.034 (P = .002), respectively.

“Based on our models, the level of disability in patients with active SPMS who are continuously treated with high-efficacy immunotherapies would progress more slowly in comparison with the general population with MS by a mean (standard deviation) of 1.56 (4.60) deciles over 10 years,” Dr. Lizak and colleagues wrote.

While the researchers cited a number of studies that didn’t support immunotherapy for SPMS, they also did cite the EXPAND trial to support treatment with siponimod in SPMS patients (Lancet. 2018;391:1263-73). The ASCEND trial of natalizumab enrolled a largely relapse-free cohort and found no link between treatment and disability progression in SPMS (Lancet Neurol. 2018;17:405-15), and a previous report by the MSBase Study Group found no benefit of therapy when adjusted for SPMS relapse rates (Neurology. 2017;89:1050-9).

“Together with the present study, the existing data converge on the suggestion that relapses during SPMS provide a therapeutic target and a marker of future response to immunotherapy during SPMS,” Dr. Lizak and colleagues wrote.
 

Challenging dogma

Commenting on the research, Mark Freedman, HBSc, MSc, MD, said that the MSBase study makes an important contribution to the literature on management of SPMS. “Up until this point we’ve been basing our assumptions on secondary progressive MS on natural history studies, which are actually quite old, dating back 20-30 years.” Dr. Freedman is senior scientist in the Neuroscience Program at the Ottawa Hospital Research Institute and professor of medicine in neurology at the University of Ottawa.

He said “the most damaging” of those studies was by the late Christian Confavreaux, MD, and colleagues in Lyon, France (N Engl J Med. 2000;343:1430-8), that reported relapses didn’t alter the progression of disability. “In other words, once you’re in EDSS of 4, it’s a runaway train; it doesn’t matter what you do,” Dr. Freedman said.

“That was kind of dogma for years,” he said. “The reason this publication is important is because it’s suggesting that’s not the case.” In other words, the MSBase cohort study is validating what neurologists have been doing in the real world for years: treating patients with SPMS who have relapses.

Dr Lizak reported receiving travel compensation from Merck outside the scope of the study. His coauthors reported numerous financial relationships.

SOURCE: Lizak N et al. JAMA Neurol. 2020 Jul 27. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2020.2453

An observational cohort study of a prospective international database of patients with multiple sclerosis has reported that medical therapy can reduce disability progression in patients with active secondary progressive MS (SPMS) who are prone to inflammatory relapses.

Brian Hoyle/MDedge News

The international researchers, led by Nathanial Lizak, MMBS, of the University of Melbourne, conducted the cohort study of 1,621 patients with SPMS from the MSBase international registry, which prospectively collected the information from 1995 to 2018. Their findings were published in JAMA Neurology.

“Among patients who experienced superimposed relapses during SPMS, greater receipt of disease-modifying therapies was significantly associated with a reduced rate of disability progression and a lower risk of becoming wheelchair dependent,” wrote Dr. Lizak and colleagues of the MSBase Study Group.
 

Therapy’s impact on disease progression

To ensure that they had timely data on the early disease course of all study patients, they researchers only included patients whose diagnosis and first documented Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score were no more than 24 months apart. At SPMS conversion, 1,494 patients had an EDSS score of less than 7 (on a scale of 0-10); during the follow-up period, 267 of them (17.9%) crossed over the threshold of 7.

Dr. Lizak and colleagues noted that early treatment during relapsing remitting MS didn’t impact outcomes after SPMS conversion.

For evaluating the MS Severity Score (MSSS), the study split the cohort into three groups depending on the efficacy of therapy: low-efficacy treatments, mostly consisting of interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate; medium-efficacy treatments, mostly fingolimod and dimethyl fumarate; and high-efficacy treatments, predominately natalizumab and mitoxantrone.

The MSSS progression slope in the cohort had an average reduction of 0.02 points per year. “For patients who experienced superimposed relapses during SPMS, a reduced MSSS progression slope during SPMS was observed among those who received disease-modifying therapies for a greater proportion of time during SPMS,” Dr. Lizak and colleagues wrote.

MSSS progression slope reduction was more pronounced in the medium- and high-efficacy groups, with a reduction of beta 0.22 (P = .06) and 0.034 (P = .002), respectively.

“Based on our models, the level of disability in patients with active SPMS who are continuously treated with high-efficacy immunotherapies would progress more slowly in comparison with the general population with MS by a mean (standard deviation) of 1.56 (4.60) deciles over 10 years,” Dr. Lizak and colleagues wrote.

While the researchers cited a number of studies that didn’t support immunotherapy for SPMS, they also did cite the EXPAND trial to support treatment with siponimod in SPMS patients (Lancet. 2018;391:1263-73). The ASCEND trial of natalizumab enrolled a largely relapse-free cohort and found no link between treatment and disability progression in SPMS (Lancet Neurol. 2018;17:405-15), and a previous report by the MSBase Study Group found no benefit of therapy when adjusted for SPMS relapse rates (Neurology. 2017;89:1050-9).

“Together with the present study, the existing data converge on the suggestion that relapses during SPMS provide a therapeutic target and a marker of future response to immunotherapy during SPMS,” Dr. Lizak and colleagues wrote.
 

Challenging dogma

Commenting on the research, Mark Freedman, HBSc, MSc, MD, said that the MSBase study makes an important contribution to the literature on management of SPMS. “Up until this point we’ve been basing our assumptions on secondary progressive MS on natural history studies, which are actually quite old, dating back 20-30 years.” Dr. Freedman is senior scientist in the Neuroscience Program at the Ottawa Hospital Research Institute and professor of medicine in neurology at the University of Ottawa.

He said “the most damaging” of those studies was by the late Christian Confavreaux, MD, and colleagues in Lyon, France (N Engl J Med. 2000;343:1430-8), that reported relapses didn’t alter the progression of disability. “In other words, once you’re in EDSS of 4, it’s a runaway train; it doesn’t matter what you do,” Dr. Freedman said.

“That was kind of dogma for years,” he said. “The reason this publication is important is because it’s suggesting that’s not the case.” In other words, the MSBase cohort study is validating what neurologists have been doing in the real world for years: treating patients with SPMS who have relapses.

Dr Lizak reported receiving travel compensation from Merck outside the scope of the study. His coauthors reported numerous financial relationships.

SOURCE: Lizak N et al. JAMA Neurol. 2020 Jul 27. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2020.2453

Because heart failure patients with recovered ejection fraction are a complex and diverse group, little consensus has emerged on how to define, diagnose, and manage this growing population.

To provide some clarity for identifying and treating these patients, a Journal of the American College of Cardiology scientific expert panel has issued a consensus document. Published Aug. 3 in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology, it provides a working definition of heart failure with recovered ejection fraction (HFrecEF) and recommends approaches for treatment and follow-up.
 

Defining a new class of HF

“Part of the impetus of this was to bring attention to what we think is a new class of heart failure, and it requires different treatment modalities and different ways of thinking about it,” expert panel member Douglas L. Mann, MD, cardiologist-in-chief at Barnes Jewish Hospital in St. Louis, said in an interview. “It’s a newly discovered HF biology about which we know very little and it’s very confusing to just go on the ejection fraction alone.”

The panel, led by Jane E. Wilcox, MD, of Northwestern University, Chicago, recommends three components for a working definition of HFrecEF: 1) documentation of a decreased left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) of less than 40% at baseline; 2) a 10% or greater absolute improvement in LVEF; and 3) a second measurement of LVEF >40%.

“We try to give it a nomenclature that clearly indicates what it is,” Dr. Mann said. “There has been a lot of confusing terminology.” Among the terms the panel calls out in the lexicon of modestly recovered EF, in addition to HFrecEF, are HF improved EF, HF with preserved EF (HFpEF), borderline HFpEF and HF with mid-range EF (HFmrEF).

The panel also recommends that guideline-based medical and device therapies for HFrecEF should continue indefinitely until there’s a better understanding of the biology and clinical epidemiology of HFrecEF, and that these patients should have close clinical follow-up because of the high risk of HF relapse.

Determining EF’s ‘trajectory’

The findings presented in the statement should help cardiologists distinguish HFrecEF from HFpEF, Dr. Mann noted. “Because EF is moving, we also have to emphasize the importance of following the trajectory of EF,” he said. “It’s not enough to know where the EF is; you have to know where it came from – if it had been from a higher number or a lower number – because that will help inform you about the patient’s disease.”

In that regard, the panel states that the level of change in LVEF – the “trajectory” – will provide clues to the nature and extent of myocardial injury, degree and duration of LV remodeling, and the type of therapy that’s indicated. Clinicians should consider HFmrEF, a description the European Society of Cardiology has endorsed, as an entity different from HFrecEF without data on LVEF trajectory.

The statement delves into the biology of HFrecEF, defining reverse LV remodeling as the restoration of some normalization to cardiac myocyte size and LV chamber geometry that results in a leftward shift toward normalization of end-diastolic pressure volume. The panel also noted that cardiac remodeling in reverse LV remodeling and recovery of LV function is bidirectional and involves multiple molecular and cellular changes that contribute to changes in the heart’s size, shape and function, and explains the role gene expression has in HF-related LV changes.

The statement explores the recovery of LV function, noting that spontaneous recovery often occurs when the cause of the myocardial dysfunction resolves. Common causes are chronic tachycardia and thyroid disease.

That panel noted that “super responders” to cardiac resynchronization therapy can provide insight into HFrecEF. Favorable responders include women, patients with nonischemic HF, very wide ECG ventricular depolarization wavelength with left-bundle branch block morphology, and dyssynchrony on ECG.

Bruce Jancin/MDedge News

The panel states that, “regardless of the definition of HFrecEF,” the evidence suggests that younger patients, women, and those with nonischemic disease, shorter disease duration, and relatively few comorbidities are more likely to recover LVEF – and their outcomes are typically better than those of patients with HF reduced EF (HFrEF) and HFpEF.

Clinicians should bear in mind, however, that patients on guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) who achieve complete normalization of LV structure and function are prone to recurrent LV dysfunction and HF. The panel explored the role of potential treatment for three different etiologies of HF. Little is known about Takotsubo cardiomyopathy, considered a transient form of LV dysfunction, in terms of how many of these patients will develop HFrEF or if they’ll benefit from GDMT. Alcohol-induced cardiomyopathy patients should continue on medical therapy even if they have HFrecEF, as should patients with fulminant and nonfulminant myocarditis.
 

Managing HFrecEF

Management should include assessment of jugular vein distention and signs of volume overload – “particularly concerning in HFrecEF” – the panel noted. ECG is cost effective, and signs of left-bundle branch block are predictors of low success with GDMT alone. The panel also recommended a family history going back three generations and consideration of genetic testing to determine the risk for sudden cardiac death. Two-dimensional ECG can help predict GDMT response and cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging can provide information about myocardial substrate at the time of diagnosis of HFrEF.

The panel suggested four areas for future research: 1) improved phenotyping of HFrEF; 2) use of inception cohorts to better understand the natural history of HFrecEF; 3) clinical trials to better define those clinical care components most effective at maintaining remission; and 4) basic studies to better define the biology of HFrecEF. “The goal,” wrote Dr. Wilcox and colleagues, “is to develop new therapeutic targets that will enable patients with HFrecEF to experience a durable remission from HF.”

Dr. Wilcox reported receiving funding from the National Institutes of Health and the American Heart Association, and financial relationships with Abbott, Medtronic, and Cytokinetics. Dr. Mann has received funding from NIH and reports financial relationships with MyoKardia and Novartis. Coauthors reported funding from NIH and AHA and financial relationships with Novartis, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Thoratec Corporation (Abbott), Sanofi, Pfizer, MyoKardia and American Regent.

SOURCE: Wilcox JE et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76:719-34.

Because heart failure patients with recovered ejection fraction are a complex and diverse group, little consensus has emerged on how to define, diagnose, and manage this growing population.

To provide some clarity for identifying and treating these patients, a Journal of the American College of Cardiology scientific expert panel has issued a consensus document. Published Aug. 3 in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology, it provides a working definition of heart failure with recovered ejection fraction (HFrecEF) and recommends approaches for treatment and follow-up.
 

Defining a new class of HF

“Part of the impetus of this was to bring attention to what we think is a new class of heart failure, and it requires different treatment modalities and different ways of thinking about it,” expert panel member Douglas L. Mann, MD, cardiologist-in-chief at Barnes Jewish Hospital in St. Louis, said in an interview. “It’s a newly discovered HF biology about which we know very little and it’s very confusing to just go on the ejection fraction alone.”

The panel, led by Jane E. Wilcox, MD, of Northwestern University, Chicago, recommends three components for a working definition of HFrecEF: 1) documentation of a decreased left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) of less than 40% at baseline; 2) a 10% or greater absolute improvement in LVEF; and 3) a second measurement of LVEF >40%.

“We try to give it a nomenclature that clearly indicates what it is,” Dr. Mann said. “There has been a lot of confusing terminology.” Among the terms the panel calls out in the lexicon of modestly recovered EF, in addition to HFrecEF, are HF improved EF, HF with preserved EF (HFpEF), borderline HFpEF and HF with mid-range EF (HFmrEF).

The panel also recommends that guideline-based medical and device therapies for HFrecEF should continue indefinitely until there’s a better understanding of the biology and clinical epidemiology of HFrecEF, and that these patients should have close clinical follow-up because of the high risk of HF relapse.

Determining EF’s ‘trajectory’

The findings presented in the statement should help cardiologists distinguish HFrecEF from HFpEF, Dr. Mann noted. “Because EF is moving, we also have to emphasize the importance of following the trajectory of EF,” he said. “It’s not enough to know where the EF is; you have to know where it came from – if it had been from a higher number or a lower number – because that will help inform you about the patient’s disease.”

In that regard, the panel states that the level of change in LVEF – the “trajectory” – will provide clues to the nature and extent of myocardial injury, degree and duration of LV remodeling, and the type of therapy that’s indicated. Clinicians should consider HFmrEF, a description the European Society of Cardiology has endorsed, as an entity different from HFrecEF without data on LVEF trajectory.

The statement delves into the biology of HFrecEF, defining reverse LV remodeling as the restoration of some normalization to cardiac myocyte size and LV chamber geometry that results in a leftward shift toward normalization of end-diastolic pressure volume. The panel also noted that cardiac remodeling in reverse LV remodeling and recovery of LV function is bidirectional and involves multiple molecular and cellular changes that contribute to changes in the heart’s size, shape and function, and explains the role gene expression has in HF-related LV changes.

The statement explores the recovery of LV function, noting that spontaneous recovery often occurs when the cause of the myocardial dysfunction resolves. Common causes are chronic tachycardia and thyroid disease.

That panel noted that “super responders” to cardiac resynchronization therapy can provide insight into HFrecEF. Favorable responders include women, patients with nonischemic HF, very wide ECG ventricular depolarization wavelength with left-bundle branch block morphology, and dyssynchrony on ECG.

Bruce Jancin/MDedge News

The panel states that, “regardless of the definition of HFrecEF,” the evidence suggests that younger patients, women, and those with nonischemic disease, shorter disease duration, and relatively few comorbidities are more likely to recover LVEF – and their outcomes are typically better than those of patients with HF reduced EF (HFrEF) and HFpEF.

Clinicians should bear in mind, however, that patients on guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) who achieve complete normalization of LV structure and function are prone to recurrent LV dysfunction and HF. The panel explored the role of potential treatment for three different etiologies of HF. Little is known about Takotsubo cardiomyopathy, considered a transient form of LV dysfunction, in terms of how many of these patients will develop HFrEF or if they’ll benefit from GDMT. Alcohol-induced cardiomyopathy patients should continue on medical therapy even if they have HFrecEF, as should patients with fulminant and nonfulminant myocarditis.
 

Managing HFrecEF

Management should include assessment of jugular vein distention and signs of volume overload – “particularly concerning in HFrecEF” – the panel noted. ECG is cost effective, and signs of left-bundle branch block are predictors of low success with GDMT alone. The panel also recommended a family history going back three generations and consideration of genetic testing to determine the risk for sudden cardiac death. Two-dimensional ECG can help predict GDMT response and cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging can provide information about myocardial substrate at the time of diagnosis of HFrEF.

The panel suggested four areas for future research: 1) improved phenotyping of HFrEF; 2) use of inception cohorts to better understand the natural history of HFrecEF; 3) clinical trials to better define those clinical care components most effective at maintaining remission; and 4) basic studies to better define the biology of HFrecEF. “The goal,” wrote Dr. Wilcox and colleagues, “is to develop new therapeutic targets that will enable patients with HFrecEF to experience a durable remission from HF.”

Dr. Wilcox reported receiving funding from the National Institutes of Health and the American Heart Association, and financial relationships with Abbott, Medtronic, and Cytokinetics. Dr. Mann has received funding from NIH and reports financial relationships with MyoKardia and Novartis. Coauthors reported funding from NIH and AHA and financial relationships with Novartis, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Thoratec Corporation (Abbott), Sanofi, Pfizer, MyoKardia and American Regent.

SOURCE: Wilcox JE et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76:719-34.

Because heart failure patients with recovered ejection fraction are a complex and diverse group, little consensus has emerged on how to define, diagnose, and manage this growing population.

To provide some clarity for identifying and treating these patients, a Journal of the American College of Cardiology scientific expert panel has issued a consensus document. Published Aug. 3 in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology, it provides a working definition of heart failure with recovered ejection fraction (HFrecEF) and recommends approaches for treatment and follow-up.
 

Defining a new class of HF

“Part of the impetus of this was to bring attention to what we think is a new class of heart failure, and it requires different treatment modalities and different ways of thinking about it,” expert panel member Douglas L. Mann, MD, cardiologist-in-chief at Barnes Jewish Hospital in St. Louis, said in an interview. “It’s a newly discovered HF biology about which we know very little and it’s very confusing to just go on the ejection fraction alone.”

The panel, led by Jane E. Wilcox, MD, of Northwestern University, Chicago, recommends three components for a working definition of HFrecEF: 1) documentation of a decreased left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) of less than 40% at baseline; 2) a 10% or greater absolute improvement in LVEF; and 3) a second measurement of LVEF >40%.

“We try to give it a nomenclature that clearly indicates what it is,” Dr. Mann said. “There has been a lot of confusing terminology.” Among the terms the panel calls out in the lexicon of modestly recovered EF, in addition to HFrecEF, are HF improved EF, HF with preserved EF (HFpEF), borderline HFpEF and HF with mid-range EF (HFmrEF).

The panel also recommends that guideline-based medical and device therapies for HFrecEF should continue indefinitely until there’s a better understanding of the biology and clinical epidemiology of HFrecEF, and that these patients should have close clinical follow-up because of the high risk of HF relapse.

Determining EF’s ‘trajectory’

The findings presented in the statement should help cardiologists distinguish HFrecEF from HFpEF, Dr. Mann noted. “Because EF is moving, we also have to emphasize the importance of following the trajectory of EF,” he said. “It’s not enough to know where the EF is; you have to know where it came from – if it had been from a higher number or a lower number – because that will help inform you about the patient’s disease.”

In that regard, the panel states that the level of change in LVEF – the “trajectory” – will provide clues to the nature and extent of myocardial injury, degree and duration of LV remodeling, and the type of therapy that’s indicated. Clinicians should consider HFmrEF, a description the European Society of Cardiology has endorsed, as an entity different from HFrecEF without data on LVEF trajectory.

The statement delves into the biology of HFrecEF, defining reverse LV remodeling as the restoration of some normalization to cardiac myocyte size and LV chamber geometry that results in a leftward shift toward normalization of end-diastolic pressure volume. The panel also noted that cardiac remodeling in reverse LV remodeling and recovery of LV function is bidirectional and involves multiple molecular and cellular changes that contribute to changes in the heart’s size, shape and function, and explains the role gene expression has in HF-related LV changes.

The statement explores the recovery of LV function, noting that spontaneous recovery often occurs when the cause of the myocardial dysfunction resolves. Common causes are chronic tachycardia and thyroid disease.

That panel noted that “super responders” to cardiac resynchronization therapy can provide insight into HFrecEF. Favorable responders include women, patients with nonischemic HF, very wide ECG ventricular depolarization wavelength with left-bundle branch block morphology, and dyssynchrony on ECG.

Bruce Jancin/MDedge News

The panel states that, “regardless of the definition of HFrecEF,” the evidence suggests that younger patients, women, and those with nonischemic disease, shorter disease duration, and relatively few comorbidities are more likely to recover LVEF – and their outcomes are typically better than those of patients with HF reduced EF (HFrEF) and HFpEF.

Clinicians should bear in mind, however, that patients on guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) who achieve complete normalization of LV structure and function are prone to recurrent LV dysfunction and HF. The panel explored the role of potential treatment for three different etiologies of HF. Little is known about Takotsubo cardiomyopathy, considered a transient form of LV dysfunction, in terms of how many of these patients will develop HFrEF or if they’ll benefit from GDMT. Alcohol-induced cardiomyopathy patients should continue on medical therapy even if they have HFrecEF, as should patients with fulminant and nonfulminant myocarditis.
 

Managing HFrecEF

Management should include assessment of jugular vein distention and signs of volume overload – “particularly concerning in HFrecEF” – the panel noted. ECG is cost effective, and signs of left-bundle branch block are predictors of low success with GDMT alone. The panel also recommended a family history going back three generations and consideration of genetic testing to determine the risk for sudden cardiac death. Two-dimensional ECG can help predict GDMT response and cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging can provide information about myocardial substrate at the time of diagnosis of HFrEF.

The panel suggested four areas for future research: 1) improved phenotyping of HFrEF; 2) use of inception cohorts to better understand the natural history of HFrecEF; 3) clinical trials to better define those clinical care components most effective at maintaining remission; and 4) basic studies to better define the biology of HFrecEF. “The goal,” wrote Dr. Wilcox and colleagues, “is to develop new therapeutic targets that will enable patients with HFrecEF to experience a durable remission from HF.”

Dr. Wilcox reported receiving funding from the National Institutes of Health and the American Heart Association, and financial relationships with Abbott, Medtronic, and Cytokinetics. Dr. Mann has received funding from NIH and reports financial relationships with MyoKardia and Novartis. Coauthors reported funding from NIH and AHA and financial relationships with Novartis, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Thoratec Corporation (Abbott), Sanofi, Pfizer, MyoKardia and American Regent.

SOURCE: Wilcox JE et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76:719-34.