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Continuous cuffless monitoring may fuel lifestyle change to lower BP
Wearing a cuffless device on the wrist to continuously monitor blood pressure was associated with a significantly lower systolic BP at 6 months among hypertensive adults, real-world results from Europe show.
“We don’t know what they did to reduce their blood pressure,” Jay Shah, MD, Division of Cardiology, Mayo Clinic Arizona, Phoenix, told this news organization.
“The idea is that because they were exposed to their data on a continual basis, that may have prompted them to do something that led to an improvement in their blood pressure, whether it be exercise more, go to their doctor, or change their medication,” said Dr. Shah, who is also chief medical officer for Aktiia.
Dr. Shah presented the study at the Hypertension Scientific Sessions, San Diego.
Empowering data
The study used the Aktiia 24/7 BP monitor; Atkiia funded the trial. The monitor passively and continually monitors BP values from photoplethysmography signals collected via optical sensors at the wrist.
After initial individualized calibration using a cuff-based reference, BP measurements are displayed on a smartphone app, allowing users to consistently monitor their own BP for long periods of time.
Aktiia received CE mark in Europe in January 2021 and is currently under review by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
Dr. Shah and colleagues analyzed systolic BP (SBP) trends among 838 real-world Aktiia users in Europe (age 57 ± 11 years; 14% women) who consistently used the monitor for 6 months.
Altogether, they had data on 375 (± 287) app interactions, 3,646 (± 1,417) cuffless readings per user, and 9 (± 7) cuff readings per user.
Traditional cuff SBP averages were calculated monthly and compared with the SBP average of the first month. A t-test analysis was used to detect the difference in SBP between the first and successive months.
On the basis of the mean SBP calculated over 6 months, 136 participants were hypertensive (SBP > 140 mm Hg) and the rest had SBP less than 140 mm Hg.
Hypertensive users saw a statistically significant reduction in SBP of –3.2 mm Hg (95% CI, –0.70 to –5.59; P < .02), beginning at 3 months of continual cuffless BP monitoring, which was sustained through 6 months.
Among users with SBP less than 140 mm Hg, the mean SBP remained unchanged.
“The magnitude of improvement might look modest, but even a 5 mm Hg reduction in systolic BP correlates to a 10% decrease in cardiovascular risk,” Dr. Shah told this news organization.
He noted that “one of the major hurdles is that people may not be aware they have high blood pressure because they don’t feel it. And with a regular cuff, they’ll only see that number when they actually check their blood pressure, which is extremely rare, even for people who have hypertension.”
“Having the ability to show someone their continual blood pressure picture really empowers them to do something to make changes and to be aware, [as well as] to be a more active participant in their health,” Dr. Shah said.
He said that a good analogy is diabetes management, which has transitioned from single finger-stick glucose monitoring to continuous glucose monitoring that provides a complete 24/7 picture of glucose levels.
Transforming technology
Offering perspective on the study, Harlan Krumholz, MD, SM, with Yale New Haven Hospital and Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Conn., said that having an accurate, affordable, unobtrusive cuffless continuous BP monitor would “transform” BP management.
“This could unlock an era of precision BP management with empowerment of patients to view and act on their numbers,” Dr. Krumholz said in an interview.
“We need data to be confident in the devices – and then research to best leverage the streams of information – and strategies to optimize its use in practice,” Dr. Krumholz added.
“Like any new innovation, we need to mitigate risks and monitor for unintended adverse consequences, but I am bullish on the future of cuffless continuous BP monitors,” Dr. Krumholz said.
Dr. Krumholz said that he “applauds Aktiia for doing studies that assess the effect of the information they are producing on BP over time. We need to know that new approaches not only generate valid information but that they can improve health.”
Ready for prime time?
In June, the European Society of Hypertension issued a statement noting that cuffless BP measurement is a fast-growing and promising field with considerable potential for improving hypertension awareness, management, and control, but because the accuracy of these new devices has not yet been validated, they are not yet suitable for clinical use.
Also providing perspective, Stephen Juraschek, MD, PhD, research director, Hypertension Center of Excellence at Healthcare Associates, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, said that “there is a lot of interest in cuffless BP monitors due to their ease of measurement, comfort, and ability to obtain BP measurements in multiple settings and environments, and this study showed that the monitoring improved BP over time.”
“It is believed that the increased awareness and feedback may promote healthier behaviors aimed at lowering BP. However, this result should not be conflated with the accuracy of these monitors,” Dr. Juraschek cautioned.
He also noted that there is still no formally approved validation protocol by the Association for the Advancement of Medical Instrumentation.
“While a number of cuffless devices are cleared by the FDA through its 510k mechanism (that is, demonstration of device equivalence), there is no formal stamp of approval or attestation that the measurements are accurate,” Dr. Juraschek said in an interview.
In his view, “more work is needed to understand the validity of these devices. For now, validated, cuff-based home devices are recommended for BP measurement at home, while further work is done to determine the accuracy of these cuffless technologies.”
The study was funded by Aktiia. Dr. Shah is an employee of the company. Dr. Krumholz has no relevant disclosures. Dr. Juraschek is a member of the Validate BP review committee and the AAMI sphygmomanometer committee.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Wearing a cuffless device on the wrist to continuously monitor blood pressure was associated with a significantly lower systolic BP at 6 months among hypertensive adults, real-world results from Europe show.
“We don’t know what they did to reduce their blood pressure,” Jay Shah, MD, Division of Cardiology, Mayo Clinic Arizona, Phoenix, told this news organization.
“The idea is that because they were exposed to their data on a continual basis, that may have prompted them to do something that led to an improvement in their blood pressure, whether it be exercise more, go to their doctor, or change their medication,” said Dr. Shah, who is also chief medical officer for Aktiia.
Dr. Shah presented the study at the Hypertension Scientific Sessions, San Diego.
Empowering data
The study used the Aktiia 24/7 BP monitor; Atkiia funded the trial. The monitor passively and continually monitors BP values from photoplethysmography signals collected via optical sensors at the wrist.
After initial individualized calibration using a cuff-based reference, BP measurements are displayed on a smartphone app, allowing users to consistently monitor their own BP for long periods of time.
Aktiia received CE mark in Europe in January 2021 and is currently under review by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
Dr. Shah and colleagues analyzed systolic BP (SBP) trends among 838 real-world Aktiia users in Europe (age 57 ± 11 years; 14% women) who consistently used the monitor for 6 months.
Altogether, they had data on 375 (± 287) app interactions, 3,646 (± 1,417) cuffless readings per user, and 9 (± 7) cuff readings per user.
Traditional cuff SBP averages were calculated monthly and compared with the SBP average of the first month. A t-test analysis was used to detect the difference in SBP between the first and successive months.
On the basis of the mean SBP calculated over 6 months, 136 participants were hypertensive (SBP > 140 mm Hg) and the rest had SBP less than 140 mm Hg.
Hypertensive users saw a statistically significant reduction in SBP of –3.2 mm Hg (95% CI, –0.70 to –5.59; P < .02), beginning at 3 months of continual cuffless BP monitoring, which was sustained through 6 months.
Among users with SBP less than 140 mm Hg, the mean SBP remained unchanged.
“The magnitude of improvement might look modest, but even a 5 mm Hg reduction in systolic BP correlates to a 10% decrease in cardiovascular risk,” Dr. Shah told this news organization.
He noted that “one of the major hurdles is that people may not be aware they have high blood pressure because they don’t feel it. And with a regular cuff, they’ll only see that number when they actually check their blood pressure, which is extremely rare, even for people who have hypertension.”
“Having the ability to show someone their continual blood pressure picture really empowers them to do something to make changes and to be aware, [as well as] to be a more active participant in their health,” Dr. Shah said.
He said that a good analogy is diabetes management, which has transitioned from single finger-stick glucose monitoring to continuous glucose monitoring that provides a complete 24/7 picture of glucose levels.
Transforming technology
Offering perspective on the study, Harlan Krumholz, MD, SM, with Yale New Haven Hospital and Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Conn., said that having an accurate, affordable, unobtrusive cuffless continuous BP monitor would “transform” BP management.
“This could unlock an era of precision BP management with empowerment of patients to view and act on their numbers,” Dr. Krumholz said in an interview.
“We need data to be confident in the devices – and then research to best leverage the streams of information – and strategies to optimize its use in practice,” Dr. Krumholz added.
“Like any new innovation, we need to mitigate risks and monitor for unintended adverse consequences, but I am bullish on the future of cuffless continuous BP monitors,” Dr. Krumholz said.
Dr. Krumholz said that he “applauds Aktiia for doing studies that assess the effect of the information they are producing on BP over time. We need to know that new approaches not only generate valid information but that they can improve health.”
Ready for prime time?
In June, the European Society of Hypertension issued a statement noting that cuffless BP measurement is a fast-growing and promising field with considerable potential for improving hypertension awareness, management, and control, but because the accuracy of these new devices has not yet been validated, they are not yet suitable for clinical use.
Also providing perspective, Stephen Juraschek, MD, PhD, research director, Hypertension Center of Excellence at Healthcare Associates, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, said that “there is a lot of interest in cuffless BP monitors due to their ease of measurement, comfort, and ability to obtain BP measurements in multiple settings and environments, and this study showed that the monitoring improved BP over time.”
“It is believed that the increased awareness and feedback may promote healthier behaviors aimed at lowering BP. However, this result should not be conflated with the accuracy of these monitors,” Dr. Juraschek cautioned.
He also noted that there is still no formally approved validation protocol by the Association for the Advancement of Medical Instrumentation.
“While a number of cuffless devices are cleared by the FDA through its 510k mechanism (that is, demonstration of device equivalence), there is no formal stamp of approval or attestation that the measurements are accurate,” Dr. Juraschek said in an interview.
In his view, “more work is needed to understand the validity of these devices. For now, validated, cuff-based home devices are recommended for BP measurement at home, while further work is done to determine the accuracy of these cuffless technologies.”
The study was funded by Aktiia. Dr. Shah is an employee of the company. Dr. Krumholz has no relevant disclosures. Dr. Juraschek is a member of the Validate BP review committee and the AAMI sphygmomanometer committee.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Wearing a cuffless device on the wrist to continuously monitor blood pressure was associated with a significantly lower systolic BP at 6 months among hypertensive adults, real-world results from Europe show.
“We don’t know what they did to reduce their blood pressure,” Jay Shah, MD, Division of Cardiology, Mayo Clinic Arizona, Phoenix, told this news organization.
“The idea is that because they were exposed to their data on a continual basis, that may have prompted them to do something that led to an improvement in their blood pressure, whether it be exercise more, go to their doctor, or change their medication,” said Dr. Shah, who is also chief medical officer for Aktiia.
Dr. Shah presented the study at the Hypertension Scientific Sessions, San Diego.
Empowering data
The study used the Aktiia 24/7 BP monitor; Atkiia funded the trial. The monitor passively and continually monitors BP values from photoplethysmography signals collected via optical sensors at the wrist.
After initial individualized calibration using a cuff-based reference, BP measurements are displayed on a smartphone app, allowing users to consistently monitor their own BP for long periods of time.
Aktiia received CE mark in Europe in January 2021 and is currently under review by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
Dr. Shah and colleagues analyzed systolic BP (SBP) trends among 838 real-world Aktiia users in Europe (age 57 ± 11 years; 14% women) who consistently used the monitor for 6 months.
Altogether, they had data on 375 (± 287) app interactions, 3,646 (± 1,417) cuffless readings per user, and 9 (± 7) cuff readings per user.
Traditional cuff SBP averages were calculated monthly and compared with the SBP average of the first month. A t-test analysis was used to detect the difference in SBP between the first and successive months.
On the basis of the mean SBP calculated over 6 months, 136 participants were hypertensive (SBP > 140 mm Hg) and the rest had SBP less than 140 mm Hg.
Hypertensive users saw a statistically significant reduction in SBP of –3.2 mm Hg (95% CI, –0.70 to –5.59; P < .02), beginning at 3 months of continual cuffless BP monitoring, which was sustained through 6 months.
Among users with SBP less than 140 mm Hg, the mean SBP remained unchanged.
“The magnitude of improvement might look modest, but even a 5 mm Hg reduction in systolic BP correlates to a 10% decrease in cardiovascular risk,” Dr. Shah told this news organization.
He noted that “one of the major hurdles is that people may not be aware they have high blood pressure because they don’t feel it. And with a regular cuff, they’ll only see that number when they actually check their blood pressure, which is extremely rare, even for people who have hypertension.”
“Having the ability to show someone their continual blood pressure picture really empowers them to do something to make changes and to be aware, [as well as] to be a more active participant in their health,” Dr. Shah said.
He said that a good analogy is diabetes management, which has transitioned from single finger-stick glucose monitoring to continuous glucose monitoring that provides a complete 24/7 picture of glucose levels.
Transforming technology
Offering perspective on the study, Harlan Krumholz, MD, SM, with Yale New Haven Hospital and Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Conn., said that having an accurate, affordable, unobtrusive cuffless continuous BP monitor would “transform” BP management.
“This could unlock an era of precision BP management with empowerment of patients to view and act on their numbers,” Dr. Krumholz said in an interview.
“We need data to be confident in the devices – and then research to best leverage the streams of information – and strategies to optimize its use in practice,” Dr. Krumholz added.
“Like any new innovation, we need to mitigate risks and monitor for unintended adverse consequences, but I am bullish on the future of cuffless continuous BP monitors,” Dr. Krumholz said.
Dr. Krumholz said that he “applauds Aktiia for doing studies that assess the effect of the information they are producing on BP over time. We need to know that new approaches not only generate valid information but that they can improve health.”
Ready for prime time?
In June, the European Society of Hypertension issued a statement noting that cuffless BP measurement is a fast-growing and promising field with considerable potential for improving hypertension awareness, management, and control, but because the accuracy of these new devices has not yet been validated, they are not yet suitable for clinical use.
Also providing perspective, Stephen Juraschek, MD, PhD, research director, Hypertension Center of Excellence at Healthcare Associates, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, said that “there is a lot of interest in cuffless BP monitors due to their ease of measurement, comfort, and ability to obtain BP measurements in multiple settings and environments, and this study showed that the monitoring improved BP over time.”
“It is believed that the increased awareness and feedback may promote healthier behaviors aimed at lowering BP. However, this result should not be conflated with the accuracy of these monitors,” Dr. Juraschek cautioned.
He also noted that there is still no formally approved validation protocol by the Association for the Advancement of Medical Instrumentation.
“While a number of cuffless devices are cleared by the FDA through its 510k mechanism (that is, demonstration of device equivalence), there is no formal stamp of approval or attestation that the measurements are accurate,” Dr. Juraschek said in an interview.
In his view, “more work is needed to understand the validity of these devices. For now, validated, cuff-based home devices are recommended for BP measurement at home, while further work is done to determine the accuracy of these cuffless technologies.”
The study was funded by Aktiia. Dr. Shah is an employee of the company. Dr. Krumholz has no relevant disclosures. Dr. Juraschek is a member of the Validate BP review committee and the AAMI sphygmomanometer committee.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
FROM AHA HYPERTENSION 2022
House passes prior authorization bill, Senate path unclear
The path through the U.S. Senate is not yet certain for a bill intended to speed the prior authorization process of insurer-run Medicare Advantage plans, despite the measure having breezed through the House.
House leaders opted to move the Improving Seniors’ Timely Access to Care Act of 2021 (HR 3173) without requiring a roll-call vote. The measure was passed on Sept. 14 by a voice vote, an approach used in general with only uncontroversial measures that have broad support. The bill has 191 Democratic and 135 Republican sponsors, representing about three-quarters of the members of the House.
“There is no reason that patients should be waiting for medically appropriate care, especially when we know that this can lead to worse outcomes,” Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-Ore.) said in a Sept. 14 speech on the House floor. “The fundamental promise of Medicare Advantage is undermined when people are delaying care, getting sicker, and ultimately costing Medicare more money.”
Rep. Greg Murphy, MD (R-N.C.), spoke on the House floor that day as well, bringing up cases he has seen in his own urology practice in which prior authorization delays disrupted medical care. One patient wound up in the hospital with abscess after an insurer denied an antibiotic prescription, Rep. Murphy said.
But the Senate appears unlikely at this time to move the prior authorization bill as a standalone measure. Instead, the bill may become part of a larger legislative package focused on health care that the Senate Finance Committee intends to prepare later this year.
The House-passed bill would require insurer-run Medicare plans to respond to expedited requests for prior authorization of services within 24 hours and to other requests within 7 days. This bill also would establish an electronic program for prior authorizations and mandate increased transparency as to how insurers use this tool.
CBO: Cost of change would be billions
In seeking to mandate changes in prior authorization, lawmakers likely will need to contend with the issue of a $16 billion cumulative cost estimate for the bill from the Congressional Budget Office. Members of Congress often seek to offset new spending by pairing bills that add to expected costs for the federal government with ones expected to produce savings.
Unlike Rep. Blumenauer, Rep. Murphy, and other backers of the prior authorization streamlining bill, CBO staff estimates that making the mandated changes would raise federal spending, inasmuch as there would be “a greater use of services.”
On Sept. 14, CBO issued a one-page report on the costs of the bill. The CBO report concerns only the bill in question, as is common practice with the office’s estimates.
Prior authorization changes would begin in fiscal 2025 and would add $899 million in spending, or outlays, that year, CBO said. The annual costs from the streamlined prior authorization practices through fiscal 2026 to 2032 range from $1.6 billion to $2.7 billion.
Looking at the CBO estimate against a backdrop of total Medicare Advantage costs, though, may provide important context.
The increases in spending estimated by CBO may suggest that there would be little change in federal spending as a result of streamlining prior authorization practices. These estimates of increased annual spending of $1.6 billion–$2.7 billion are only a small fraction of the current annual cost of insurer-run Medicare, and they represent an even smaller share of the projected expense.
The federal government last year spent about $350 billion on insurer-run plans, excluding Part D drug plan payments, according to the Medicare Advisory Payment Commission (MedPAC).
As of 2021, about 27 million people were enrolled in these plans, accounting for about 46% of the total Medicare population. Enrollment has doubled since 2010, MedPAC said, and it is expected to continue to grow. By 2027, insurer-run Medicare could cover 50% of the program’s population, a figure that may reach 53% by 2031.
Federal payments to these plans will accelerate in the years ahead as insurers attract more people eligible for Medicare as customers. Payments to these private health plans could rise from an expected $418 billion this year to $940.6 billion by 2031, according to the most recent Medicare trustees report.
Good intentions, poor implementation?
Insurer-run Medicare has long enjoyed deep bipartisan support in Congress. That’s due in part to its potential for reducing spending on what are considered low-value treatments, or ones considered unlikely to provide a significant medical benefit, but Rep. Blumenauer is among the members of Congress who see insurer-run Medicare as a path for preserving the giant federal health program. Traditional Medicare has far fewer restrictions on services, which sometimes opens a path for tests and treatments that offer less value for patients.
“I believe that the way traditional fee-for-service Medicare operates is not sustainable and that Medicare Advantage is one of the tools we can use to demonstrate how we can incentivize value,” Rep. Blumenauer said on the House floor. “But this is only possible when the program operates as intended. I have been deeply concerned about the reports of delays in care” caused by the clunky prior authorization processes.
He highlighted a recent report from the internal watchdog group for the Department of Health & Human Services that raises concerns about denials of appropriate care. About 18% of a set of payment denials examined by the Office of Inspector General of HHS in April actually met Medicare coverage rules and plan billing rules.
“For patients and their families, being told that you need to wait longer for care that your doctor tells you that you need is incredibly frustrating and frightening,” Rep. Blumenauer said. “There’s no comfort to be found in the fact that your insurance company needs time to decide if your doctor is right.”
Trends in prior authorization
The CBO report does not provide detail on what kind of medical spending would increase under a streamlined prior authorization process in insurer-run Medicare plans.
From trends reported in prior authorization, though, two factors could be at play in what appear to be relatively small estimated increases in Medicare spending from streamlined prior authorization.
One is the work already underway to create less burdensome electronic systems for these requests, such as the Fast Prior Authorization Technology Highway initiative run by the trade association America’s Health Insurance Plans.
The other factor could be the number of cases in which prior authorization merely causes delays in treatments and tests and thus simply postpones spending while adding to clinicians’ administrative work.
An analysis of prior authorization requests for dermatologic practices affiliated with the University of Utah may represent an extreme example. In a report published in JAMA Dermatology in 2020, researchers described what happened with requests made during 1 month, September 2016.
The approval rate for procedures was 99.6% – 100% (95 of 95) for Mohs surgery, and 96% (130 of 131, with 4 additional cases pending) for excisions. These findings supported calls for simplifying prior authorization procedures, “perhaps first by eliminating unnecessary PAs [prior authorizations] and appeals,” Aaron M. Secrest, MD, PhD, of the University of Utah, Salt Lake City, and coauthors wrote in the article.
Still, there is some evidence that insurer-run Medicare policies reduce the use of low-value care.
In a study published in JAMA Health Forum, Emily Boudreau, PhD, of insurer Humana Inc, and coauthors from Tufts University, Boston, and the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia investigated whether insurer-run Medicare could do a better job in reducing the amount of low-value care delivered than the traditional program. They analyzed a set of claims data from 2017 to 2019 for people enrolled in insurer-run and traditional Medicare.
They reported a rate of 23.07 low-value services provided per 100 people in insurer-run Medicare, compared with 25.39 for those in traditional Medicare. Some of the biggest differences reported in the article were in cancer screenings for older people.
As an example, the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommends that women older than 65 years not be screened for cervical cancer if they have undergone adequate screening in the past and are not at high risk for cervical cancer. There was an annual count of 1.76 screenings for cervical cancer per 100 women older than 65 in the insurer-run Medicare group versus 3.18 for those in traditional Medicare.
The Better Medicare Alliance issued a statement in favor of the House passage of the Improving Seniors’ Timely Access to Care Act.
In it, the group said the measure would “modernize prior authorization while protecting its essential function in facilitating safe, high-value, evidence-based care.” The alliance promotes use of insurer-run Medicare. The board of the Better Medicare Alliance includes executives who serve with firms that run Advantage plans as well as medical organizations and universities.
“With studies showing that up to one-quarter of all health care expenditures are wasted on services with no benefit to the patient, we need a robust, next-generation prior authorization program to deter low-value, and even harmful, care while protecting access to needed treatment and effective therapies,” said A. Mark Fendrick, MD, director of the University of Michigan’s Center for Value-Based Insurance Design in Ann Arbor, in a statement issued by the Better Medicare Alliance. He is a member of the group’s council of scholars.
On the House floor on September 14, Rep. Ami Bera, MD (D-Calif.), said he has heard from former colleagues and his medical school classmates that they now spend as much as 40% of their time on administrative work. These distractions from patient care are helping drive physicians away from the practice of medicine.
Still, the internist defended the basic premise of prior authorization while strongly appealing for better systems of handling it.
“Yes, there is a role for prior authorization in limited cases. There is also a role to go back and retrospectively look at how care is being delivered,” Rep. Bera said. “But what is happening today is a travesty. It wasn’t the intention of prior authorization. It is a prior authorization process gone awry.”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
The path through the U.S. Senate is not yet certain for a bill intended to speed the prior authorization process of insurer-run Medicare Advantage plans, despite the measure having breezed through the House.
House leaders opted to move the Improving Seniors’ Timely Access to Care Act of 2021 (HR 3173) without requiring a roll-call vote. The measure was passed on Sept. 14 by a voice vote, an approach used in general with only uncontroversial measures that have broad support. The bill has 191 Democratic and 135 Republican sponsors, representing about three-quarters of the members of the House.
“There is no reason that patients should be waiting for medically appropriate care, especially when we know that this can lead to worse outcomes,” Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-Ore.) said in a Sept. 14 speech on the House floor. “The fundamental promise of Medicare Advantage is undermined when people are delaying care, getting sicker, and ultimately costing Medicare more money.”
Rep. Greg Murphy, MD (R-N.C.), spoke on the House floor that day as well, bringing up cases he has seen in his own urology practice in which prior authorization delays disrupted medical care. One patient wound up in the hospital with abscess after an insurer denied an antibiotic prescription, Rep. Murphy said.
But the Senate appears unlikely at this time to move the prior authorization bill as a standalone measure. Instead, the bill may become part of a larger legislative package focused on health care that the Senate Finance Committee intends to prepare later this year.
The House-passed bill would require insurer-run Medicare plans to respond to expedited requests for prior authorization of services within 24 hours and to other requests within 7 days. This bill also would establish an electronic program for prior authorizations and mandate increased transparency as to how insurers use this tool.
CBO: Cost of change would be billions
In seeking to mandate changes in prior authorization, lawmakers likely will need to contend with the issue of a $16 billion cumulative cost estimate for the bill from the Congressional Budget Office. Members of Congress often seek to offset new spending by pairing bills that add to expected costs for the federal government with ones expected to produce savings.
Unlike Rep. Blumenauer, Rep. Murphy, and other backers of the prior authorization streamlining bill, CBO staff estimates that making the mandated changes would raise federal spending, inasmuch as there would be “a greater use of services.”
On Sept. 14, CBO issued a one-page report on the costs of the bill. The CBO report concerns only the bill in question, as is common practice with the office’s estimates.
Prior authorization changes would begin in fiscal 2025 and would add $899 million in spending, or outlays, that year, CBO said. The annual costs from the streamlined prior authorization practices through fiscal 2026 to 2032 range from $1.6 billion to $2.7 billion.
Looking at the CBO estimate against a backdrop of total Medicare Advantage costs, though, may provide important context.
The increases in spending estimated by CBO may suggest that there would be little change in federal spending as a result of streamlining prior authorization practices. These estimates of increased annual spending of $1.6 billion–$2.7 billion are only a small fraction of the current annual cost of insurer-run Medicare, and they represent an even smaller share of the projected expense.
The federal government last year spent about $350 billion on insurer-run plans, excluding Part D drug plan payments, according to the Medicare Advisory Payment Commission (MedPAC).
As of 2021, about 27 million people were enrolled in these plans, accounting for about 46% of the total Medicare population. Enrollment has doubled since 2010, MedPAC said, and it is expected to continue to grow. By 2027, insurer-run Medicare could cover 50% of the program’s population, a figure that may reach 53% by 2031.
Federal payments to these plans will accelerate in the years ahead as insurers attract more people eligible for Medicare as customers. Payments to these private health plans could rise from an expected $418 billion this year to $940.6 billion by 2031, according to the most recent Medicare trustees report.
Good intentions, poor implementation?
Insurer-run Medicare has long enjoyed deep bipartisan support in Congress. That’s due in part to its potential for reducing spending on what are considered low-value treatments, or ones considered unlikely to provide a significant medical benefit, but Rep. Blumenauer is among the members of Congress who see insurer-run Medicare as a path for preserving the giant federal health program. Traditional Medicare has far fewer restrictions on services, which sometimes opens a path for tests and treatments that offer less value for patients.
“I believe that the way traditional fee-for-service Medicare operates is not sustainable and that Medicare Advantage is one of the tools we can use to demonstrate how we can incentivize value,” Rep. Blumenauer said on the House floor. “But this is only possible when the program operates as intended. I have been deeply concerned about the reports of delays in care” caused by the clunky prior authorization processes.
He highlighted a recent report from the internal watchdog group for the Department of Health & Human Services that raises concerns about denials of appropriate care. About 18% of a set of payment denials examined by the Office of Inspector General of HHS in April actually met Medicare coverage rules and plan billing rules.
“For patients and their families, being told that you need to wait longer for care that your doctor tells you that you need is incredibly frustrating and frightening,” Rep. Blumenauer said. “There’s no comfort to be found in the fact that your insurance company needs time to decide if your doctor is right.”
Trends in prior authorization
The CBO report does not provide detail on what kind of medical spending would increase under a streamlined prior authorization process in insurer-run Medicare plans.
From trends reported in prior authorization, though, two factors could be at play in what appear to be relatively small estimated increases in Medicare spending from streamlined prior authorization.
One is the work already underway to create less burdensome electronic systems for these requests, such as the Fast Prior Authorization Technology Highway initiative run by the trade association America’s Health Insurance Plans.
The other factor could be the number of cases in which prior authorization merely causes delays in treatments and tests and thus simply postpones spending while adding to clinicians’ administrative work.
An analysis of prior authorization requests for dermatologic practices affiliated with the University of Utah may represent an extreme example. In a report published in JAMA Dermatology in 2020, researchers described what happened with requests made during 1 month, September 2016.
The approval rate for procedures was 99.6% – 100% (95 of 95) for Mohs surgery, and 96% (130 of 131, with 4 additional cases pending) for excisions. These findings supported calls for simplifying prior authorization procedures, “perhaps first by eliminating unnecessary PAs [prior authorizations] and appeals,” Aaron M. Secrest, MD, PhD, of the University of Utah, Salt Lake City, and coauthors wrote in the article.
Still, there is some evidence that insurer-run Medicare policies reduce the use of low-value care.
In a study published in JAMA Health Forum, Emily Boudreau, PhD, of insurer Humana Inc, and coauthors from Tufts University, Boston, and the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia investigated whether insurer-run Medicare could do a better job in reducing the amount of low-value care delivered than the traditional program. They analyzed a set of claims data from 2017 to 2019 for people enrolled in insurer-run and traditional Medicare.
They reported a rate of 23.07 low-value services provided per 100 people in insurer-run Medicare, compared with 25.39 for those in traditional Medicare. Some of the biggest differences reported in the article were in cancer screenings for older people.
As an example, the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommends that women older than 65 years not be screened for cervical cancer if they have undergone adequate screening in the past and are not at high risk for cervical cancer. There was an annual count of 1.76 screenings for cervical cancer per 100 women older than 65 in the insurer-run Medicare group versus 3.18 for those in traditional Medicare.
The Better Medicare Alliance issued a statement in favor of the House passage of the Improving Seniors’ Timely Access to Care Act.
In it, the group said the measure would “modernize prior authorization while protecting its essential function in facilitating safe, high-value, evidence-based care.” The alliance promotes use of insurer-run Medicare. The board of the Better Medicare Alliance includes executives who serve with firms that run Advantage plans as well as medical organizations and universities.
“With studies showing that up to one-quarter of all health care expenditures are wasted on services with no benefit to the patient, we need a robust, next-generation prior authorization program to deter low-value, and even harmful, care while protecting access to needed treatment and effective therapies,” said A. Mark Fendrick, MD, director of the University of Michigan’s Center for Value-Based Insurance Design in Ann Arbor, in a statement issued by the Better Medicare Alliance. He is a member of the group’s council of scholars.
On the House floor on September 14, Rep. Ami Bera, MD (D-Calif.), said he has heard from former colleagues and his medical school classmates that they now spend as much as 40% of their time on administrative work. These distractions from patient care are helping drive physicians away from the practice of medicine.
Still, the internist defended the basic premise of prior authorization while strongly appealing for better systems of handling it.
“Yes, there is a role for prior authorization in limited cases. There is also a role to go back and retrospectively look at how care is being delivered,” Rep. Bera said. “But what is happening today is a travesty. It wasn’t the intention of prior authorization. It is a prior authorization process gone awry.”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
The path through the U.S. Senate is not yet certain for a bill intended to speed the prior authorization process of insurer-run Medicare Advantage plans, despite the measure having breezed through the House.
House leaders opted to move the Improving Seniors’ Timely Access to Care Act of 2021 (HR 3173) without requiring a roll-call vote. The measure was passed on Sept. 14 by a voice vote, an approach used in general with only uncontroversial measures that have broad support. The bill has 191 Democratic and 135 Republican sponsors, representing about three-quarters of the members of the House.
“There is no reason that patients should be waiting for medically appropriate care, especially when we know that this can lead to worse outcomes,” Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-Ore.) said in a Sept. 14 speech on the House floor. “The fundamental promise of Medicare Advantage is undermined when people are delaying care, getting sicker, and ultimately costing Medicare more money.”
Rep. Greg Murphy, MD (R-N.C.), spoke on the House floor that day as well, bringing up cases he has seen in his own urology practice in which prior authorization delays disrupted medical care. One patient wound up in the hospital with abscess after an insurer denied an antibiotic prescription, Rep. Murphy said.
But the Senate appears unlikely at this time to move the prior authorization bill as a standalone measure. Instead, the bill may become part of a larger legislative package focused on health care that the Senate Finance Committee intends to prepare later this year.
The House-passed bill would require insurer-run Medicare plans to respond to expedited requests for prior authorization of services within 24 hours and to other requests within 7 days. This bill also would establish an electronic program for prior authorizations and mandate increased transparency as to how insurers use this tool.
CBO: Cost of change would be billions
In seeking to mandate changes in prior authorization, lawmakers likely will need to contend with the issue of a $16 billion cumulative cost estimate for the bill from the Congressional Budget Office. Members of Congress often seek to offset new spending by pairing bills that add to expected costs for the federal government with ones expected to produce savings.
Unlike Rep. Blumenauer, Rep. Murphy, and other backers of the prior authorization streamlining bill, CBO staff estimates that making the mandated changes would raise federal spending, inasmuch as there would be “a greater use of services.”
On Sept. 14, CBO issued a one-page report on the costs of the bill. The CBO report concerns only the bill in question, as is common practice with the office’s estimates.
Prior authorization changes would begin in fiscal 2025 and would add $899 million in spending, or outlays, that year, CBO said. The annual costs from the streamlined prior authorization practices through fiscal 2026 to 2032 range from $1.6 billion to $2.7 billion.
Looking at the CBO estimate against a backdrop of total Medicare Advantage costs, though, may provide important context.
The increases in spending estimated by CBO may suggest that there would be little change in federal spending as a result of streamlining prior authorization practices. These estimates of increased annual spending of $1.6 billion–$2.7 billion are only a small fraction of the current annual cost of insurer-run Medicare, and they represent an even smaller share of the projected expense.
The federal government last year spent about $350 billion on insurer-run plans, excluding Part D drug plan payments, according to the Medicare Advisory Payment Commission (MedPAC).
As of 2021, about 27 million people were enrolled in these plans, accounting for about 46% of the total Medicare population. Enrollment has doubled since 2010, MedPAC said, and it is expected to continue to grow. By 2027, insurer-run Medicare could cover 50% of the program’s population, a figure that may reach 53% by 2031.
Federal payments to these plans will accelerate in the years ahead as insurers attract more people eligible for Medicare as customers. Payments to these private health plans could rise from an expected $418 billion this year to $940.6 billion by 2031, according to the most recent Medicare trustees report.
Good intentions, poor implementation?
Insurer-run Medicare has long enjoyed deep bipartisan support in Congress. That’s due in part to its potential for reducing spending on what are considered low-value treatments, or ones considered unlikely to provide a significant medical benefit, but Rep. Blumenauer is among the members of Congress who see insurer-run Medicare as a path for preserving the giant federal health program. Traditional Medicare has far fewer restrictions on services, which sometimes opens a path for tests and treatments that offer less value for patients.
“I believe that the way traditional fee-for-service Medicare operates is not sustainable and that Medicare Advantage is one of the tools we can use to demonstrate how we can incentivize value,” Rep. Blumenauer said on the House floor. “But this is only possible when the program operates as intended. I have been deeply concerned about the reports of delays in care” caused by the clunky prior authorization processes.
He highlighted a recent report from the internal watchdog group for the Department of Health & Human Services that raises concerns about denials of appropriate care. About 18% of a set of payment denials examined by the Office of Inspector General of HHS in April actually met Medicare coverage rules and plan billing rules.
“For patients and their families, being told that you need to wait longer for care that your doctor tells you that you need is incredibly frustrating and frightening,” Rep. Blumenauer said. “There’s no comfort to be found in the fact that your insurance company needs time to decide if your doctor is right.”
Trends in prior authorization
The CBO report does not provide detail on what kind of medical spending would increase under a streamlined prior authorization process in insurer-run Medicare plans.
From trends reported in prior authorization, though, two factors could be at play in what appear to be relatively small estimated increases in Medicare spending from streamlined prior authorization.
One is the work already underway to create less burdensome electronic systems for these requests, such as the Fast Prior Authorization Technology Highway initiative run by the trade association America’s Health Insurance Plans.
The other factor could be the number of cases in which prior authorization merely causes delays in treatments and tests and thus simply postpones spending while adding to clinicians’ administrative work.
An analysis of prior authorization requests for dermatologic practices affiliated with the University of Utah may represent an extreme example. In a report published in JAMA Dermatology in 2020, researchers described what happened with requests made during 1 month, September 2016.
The approval rate for procedures was 99.6% – 100% (95 of 95) for Mohs surgery, and 96% (130 of 131, with 4 additional cases pending) for excisions. These findings supported calls for simplifying prior authorization procedures, “perhaps first by eliminating unnecessary PAs [prior authorizations] and appeals,” Aaron M. Secrest, MD, PhD, of the University of Utah, Salt Lake City, and coauthors wrote in the article.
Still, there is some evidence that insurer-run Medicare policies reduce the use of low-value care.
In a study published in JAMA Health Forum, Emily Boudreau, PhD, of insurer Humana Inc, and coauthors from Tufts University, Boston, and the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia investigated whether insurer-run Medicare could do a better job in reducing the amount of low-value care delivered than the traditional program. They analyzed a set of claims data from 2017 to 2019 for people enrolled in insurer-run and traditional Medicare.
They reported a rate of 23.07 low-value services provided per 100 people in insurer-run Medicare, compared with 25.39 for those in traditional Medicare. Some of the biggest differences reported in the article were in cancer screenings for older people.
As an example, the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommends that women older than 65 years not be screened for cervical cancer if they have undergone adequate screening in the past and are not at high risk for cervical cancer. There was an annual count of 1.76 screenings for cervical cancer per 100 women older than 65 in the insurer-run Medicare group versus 3.18 for those in traditional Medicare.
The Better Medicare Alliance issued a statement in favor of the House passage of the Improving Seniors’ Timely Access to Care Act.
In it, the group said the measure would “modernize prior authorization while protecting its essential function in facilitating safe, high-value, evidence-based care.” The alliance promotes use of insurer-run Medicare. The board of the Better Medicare Alliance includes executives who serve with firms that run Advantage plans as well as medical organizations and universities.
“With studies showing that up to one-quarter of all health care expenditures are wasted on services with no benefit to the patient, we need a robust, next-generation prior authorization program to deter low-value, and even harmful, care while protecting access to needed treatment and effective therapies,” said A. Mark Fendrick, MD, director of the University of Michigan’s Center for Value-Based Insurance Design in Ann Arbor, in a statement issued by the Better Medicare Alliance. He is a member of the group’s council of scholars.
On the House floor on September 14, Rep. Ami Bera, MD (D-Calif.), said he has heard from former colleagues and his medical school classmates that they now spend as much as 40% of their time on administrative work. These distractions from patient care are helping drive physicians away from the practice of medicine.
Still, the internist defended the basic premise of prior authorization while strongly appealing for better systems of handling it.
“Yes, there is a role for prior authorization in limited cases. There is also a role to go back and retrospectively look at how care is being delivered,” Rep. Bera said. “But what is happening today is a travesty. It wasn’t the intention of prior authorization. It is a prior authorization process gone awry.”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Experts sound alarm on ruling threatening preventive cancer care
In a statement, the groups highlighted that the decision “would result in a return to financial and other barriers proven to discourage Americans from obtaining lifesaving, preventive care.”
The ruling, issued earlier in September by a federal district judge in Texas, essentially says that the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force has no authority to determine which preventive care services must be fully covered by insurance companies – an ability granted by the Affordable Care Act (ACA).
Judge Reed O’Connor ruled that the method of appointing officers to the USPSTF is unconstitutional, which means the task force’s recommendations for no-cost preventive health care may no longer be guaranteed under the ACA for millions of insured Americans.
The judgment, however, is not yet final, and individuals still have access to these preventive services. The judge must first make the scope of the ruling clear, and the decision will likely be appealed. In addition, the decision does not affect the authority of two other entities that make recommendations about vaccinations and preventive care for infants, children, and adolescents.
But experts are concerned that the ruling will force some individuals to pay out of pocket for preventive cancer screenings and other care that would otherwise have been fully covered by insurance.
After the ruling, a group of 26 patient groups, including the American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network and the Leukemia and Lymphoma Society, took a stand.
In a statement, the groups highlighted that “access to preventive health care can prevent both disease and early death.” Under the ACA, more than 150 million Americans have benefited from expanded access to these services, and research reveals that high-quality coverage – which includes preventive services – improves health, reduces health disparities, and lowers health care costs. “This ruling directly threatens these benefits,” they explained.
Lisa Lacasse, MBA, president of ACS CAN, agreed that the ruling “threatens to erode more than a decade of progress reducing cancer deaths and suffering.”
In a statement, the ACS CAN urged the government to “swiftly appeal” the decision.
“We cannot risk returning to a system wherein every individual has to interpret their complex insurance plans to determine if a recommended mammogram will be covered or to determine how much their colonoscopy may cost,” Ms. Lacasse told this news organization.
For now, Ms. Lacasse urged patients and providers to remember that no changes to coverage requirements will occur while litigation continues.
“All preventive services required under the Affordable Care Act remain in place with no cost sharing for enrollees,” she said. “ACS CAN will continue to support and advocate for coverage of preventive services at no cost sharing.”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
In a statement, the groups highlighted that the decision “would result in a return to financial and other barriers proven to discourage Americans from obtaining lifesaving, preventive care.”
The ruling, issued earlier in September by a federal district judge in Texas, essentially says that the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force has no authority to determine which preventive care services must be fully covered by insurance companies – an ability granted by the Affordable Care Act (ACA).
Judge Reed O’Connor ruled that the method of appointing officers to the USPSTF is unconstitutional, which means the task force’s recommendations for no-cost preventive health care may no longer be guaranteed under the ACA for millions of insured Americans.
The judgment, however, is not yet final, and individuals still have access to these preventive services. The judge must first make the scope of the ruling clear, and the decision will likely be appealed. In addition, the decision does not affect the authority of two other entities that make recommendations about vaccinations and preventive care for infants, children, and adolescents.
But experts are concerned that the ruling will force some individuals to pay out of pocket for preventive cancer screenings and other care that would otherwise have been fully covered by insurance.
After the ruling, a group of 26 patient groups, including the American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network and the Leukemia and Lymphoma Society, took a stand.
In a statement, the groups highlighted that “access to preventive health care can prevent both disease and early death.” Under the ACA, more than 150 million Americans have benefited from expanded access to these services, and research reveals that high-quality coverage – which includes preventive services – improves health, reduces health disparities, and lowers health care costs. “This ruling directly threatens these benefits,” they explained.
Lisa Lacasse, MBA, president of ACS CAN, agreed that the ruling “threatens to erode more than a decade of progress reducing cancer deaths and suffering.”
In a statement, the ACS CAN urged the government to “swiftly appeal” the decision.
“We cannot risk returning to a system wherein every individual has to interpret their complex insurance plans to determine if a recommended mammogram will be covered or to determine how much their colonoscopy may cost,” Ms. Lacasse told this news organization.
For now, Ms. Lacasse urged patients and providers to remember that no changes to coverage requirements will occur while litigation continues.
“All preventive services required under the Affordable Care Act remain in place with no cost sharing for enrollees,” she said. “ACS CAN will continue to support and advocate for coverage of preventive services at no cost sharing.”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
In a statement, the groups highlighted that the decision “would result in a return to financial and other barriers proven to discourage Americans from obtaining lifesaving, preventive care.”
The ruling, issued earlier in September by a federal district judge in Texas, essentially says that the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force has no authority to determine which preventive care services must be fully covered by insurance companies – an ability granted by the Affordable Care Act (ACA).
Judge Reed O’Connor ruled that the method of appointing officers to the USPSTF is unconstitutional, which means the task force’s recommendations for no-cost preventive health care may no longer be guaranteed under the ACA for millions of insured Americans.
The judgment, however, is not yet final, and individuals still have access to these preventive services. The judge must first make the scope of the ruling clear, and the decision will likely be appealed. In addition, the decision does not affect the authority of two other entities that make recommendations about vaccinations and preventive care for infants, children, and adolescents.
But experts are concerned that the ruling will force some individuals to pay out of pocket for preventive cancer screenings and other care that would otherwise have been fully covered by insurance.
After the ruling, a group of 26 patient groups, including the American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network and the Leukemia and Lymphoma Society, took a stand.
In a statement, the groups highlighted that “access to preventive health care can prevent both disease and early death.” Under the ACA, more than 150 million Americans have benefited from expanded access to these services, and research reveals that high-quality coverage – which includes preventive services – improves health, reduces health disparities, and lowers health care costs. “This ruling directly threatens these benefits,” they explained.
Lisa Lacasse, MBA, president of ACS CAN, agreed that the ruling “threatens to erode more than a decade of progress reducing cancer deaths and suffering.”
In a statement, the ACS CAN urged the government to “swiftly appeal” the decision.
“We cannot risk returning to a system wherein every individual has to interpret their complex insurance plans to determine if a recommended mammogram will be covered or to determine how much their colonoscopy may cost,” Ms. Lacasse told this news organization.
For now, Ms. Lacasse urged patients and providers to remember that no changes to coverage requirements will occur while litigation continues.
“All preventive services required under the Affordable Care Act remain in place with no cost sharing for enrollees,” she said. “ACS CAN will continue to support and advocate for coverage of preventive services at no cost sharing.”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
TAVR now used in almost 50% of younger severe aortic stenosis patients
Among patients with severe isolated aortic stenosis younger than 65, the rate of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) now almost matches that of surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR), despite guideline recommendations to the contrary, a study in a national U.S. population shows.
The 2020 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology (AHA/ACC) valve guideline recommends SAVR for patients younger than 65 with severe aortic stenosis, the researchers note, but their study showed “near equal utilization between TAVR and SAVR in these younger patients by 2021,” at 48% and 52% respectively.
Toishi Sharma, MD, and colleagues presented these findings in an oral poster session at Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics 2022, and the study was simultaneously published as a Research Letter in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology (JACC).
“To our knowledge, the current findings represent the first national temporal trends study stratifying [aortic stenosis] therapies according to guideline-recommended age groups: our observations demonstrate the dramatic growth of TAVR in all age groups, including young patients,” the researchers conclude.
They analyzed changes in rates of TAVR and SAVR in a U.S. sample stratified by age: younger than 65 years, 65-80, and older than 80 years.
These findings have implications for lifetime management of younger patients who undergo TAVR, they write, “including issues related to lifetime coronary access, valve durability, and the potential for subsequent TAVR procedures over time.”
Three age groups
In a study published in JACC, this group examined changes in uptake of TAVR versus SAVR in 4,161 patients with aortic stenosis in Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine, senior author Harold L. Dauerman, MD, said in an interview.
The greatest rate of rise of TAVR was in the group younger than 65, but that study ended in 2019, said Dr. Dauerman, from the University of Vermont Health Network, Burlington.
The 2020 guideline stratifies TAVR and SAVR recommendations such that “less than 65 should primarily be a surgical approach and greater than 80 primarily a TAVR approach, while 65 to 80 is a gray zone, and shared decision-making becomes important,” he noted.
The group hypothesized that recent trials and technology have led to a national increase in TAVR in people younger than 65.
From the Vizient clinical database, including more than 250 U.S. academic centers that perform both TAVR and SAVR, the researchers identified 142,953 patients who underwent TAVR or SAVR for isolated aortic stenosis from Oct. 1, 2015, to Dec. 31, 2021. From 2015 to 2021, the valve replacement rates in the three age groups changed as follows:
- Age less than 65: TAVR rose from 17% to 48%; SAVR fell from 83% to 52%.
- Age 65-80: TAVR rose from 46% to 87%; SAVR fell from 54% to 12%.
- Age greater than 80: TAVR rose from 83% to 99%; SAVR fell from 16% to 1%.
“All ages have grown in the last 7 years in TAVR,” Dr. Dauerman summarized. “The one that’s surprising, and in contradiction to the guideline, is the growth of TAVR in young patients less than 65.”
Among patients younger than 65, prior bypass surgery and congestive heart failure predicted the use of TAVR instead of surgery, whereas bicuspid aortic valve disease was the biggest predictor of surgery instead of TAVR.
Most studies on TAVR valve durability are limited to patients in the randomized trials who were primarily in their mid-70s to mid-80s, some of whom died before a 10-year follow-up, Dr. Dauerman noted.
European guidelines recommend surgery for patients younger than 70, and it would be interesting to see if clinicians there follow this recommendation or if TAVR is now the preferred approach, he added.
There is a need for further, longer study of TAVR in younger patients, he said, to determine whether there are long-term clinical issues of concern.
Strategy depends on more than age
The “findings are not too surprising,” John Carroll, MD, who was not involved in this research, said in an email.
“Age is only one of multiple patient characteristics that enter into consideration of TAVR versus SAVR,” said Dr. Carroll, from Anschutz Medical Campus, University of Colorado, Aurora.
“As the article reports,” he noted, “those less than 65 having TAVR are more likely to have comorbid conditions that likely made the risk of SAVR higher.”
Dr. Carroll was lead author of a review article published in 2020 based on data from the ACC–Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS)–Transcatheter Valve Therapy (TVT) registry on 276,316 patients who had TAVR in the United States from 2011-2019.
He pointed out that Figure 2 in that review shows that “SAVR is often performed in conjunction with other surgical procedures – another major reason why SAVR remains an important treatment for valvular heart disease.”
“We are awaiting long-term data comparing TAVR to SAVR durability,” Dr. Carroll added, echoing Dr. Dauerman. “So far [there are] no major differences, but it remains a key need to fully understand TAVR and the various models in commercial use.”
“Both TAVR and SAVR used in adults are tissue valves (SAVR with mechanical valves is used in younger patients),” Dr. Carroll noted, “and all tissue valves will eventually fail if the patient lives long enough.”
Patient management strategies need to consider what treatment options exist when the first valve fails. “If the first valve is SAVR, there is now extensive experience with placing a TAVR valve inside a failing SAVR valve, so called Valve-in-Valve or TAVR-in-SAVR. This is the preferred treatment in most patients with failing SAVR valves,” he said.
“On the other hand,” he continued, “we are just beginning to see more and more patients with failing TAVR valves, and the TAVR-in-TAVR procedure is less well understood.”
“Issues such as acute coronary occlusion and long-term difficulty in accessing coronary arteries are being encountered in some patients having TAVR-in-TAVR,” Dr. Carroll noted, which he discusses in a recent editorial he coauthored about the complexities of redo TAVR, published in JACC: Cardiovascular Interventions.
The study received no funding. Dr. Dauerman has research grants and is a consultant for Medtronic and Boston Scientific. Dr. Carroll is a local principal investigator in trials sponsored by Medtronic, Abbott, and Edwards Lifesciences.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Among patients with severe isolated aortic stenosis younger than 65, the rate of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) now almost matches that of surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR), despite guideline recommendations to the contrary, a study in a national U.S. population shows.
The 2020 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology (AHA/ACC) valve guideline recommends SAVR for patients younger than 65 with severe aortic stenosis, the researchers note, but their study showed “near equal utilization between TAVR and SAVR in these younger patients by 2021,” at 48% and 52% respectively.
Toishi Sharma, MD, and colleagues presented these findings in an oral poster session at Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics 2022, and the study was simultaneously published as a Research Letter in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology (JACC).
“To our knowledge, the current findings represent the first national temporal trends study stratifying [aortic stenosis] therapies according to guideline-recommended age groups: our observations demonstrate the dramatic growth of TAVR in all age groups, including young patients,” the researchers conclude.
They analyzed changes in rates of TAVR and SAVR in a U.S. sample stratified by age: younger than 65 years, 65-80, and older than 80 years.
These findings have implications for lifetime management of younger patients who undergo TAVR, they write, “including issues related to lifetime coronary access, valve durability, and the potential for subsequent TAVR procedures over time.”
Three age groups
In a study published in JACC, this group examined changes in uptake of TAVR versus SAVR in 4,161 patients with aortic stenosis in Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine, senior author Harold L. Dauerman, MD, said in an interview.
The greatest rate of rise of TAVR was in the group younger than 65, but that study ended in 2019, said Dr. Dauerman, from the University of Vermont Health Network, Burlington.
The 2020 guideline stratifies TAVR and SAVR recommendations such that “less than 65 should primarily be a surgical approach and greater than 80 primarily a TAVR approach, while 65 to 80 is a gray zone, and shared decision-making becomes important,” he noted.
The group hypothesized that recent trials and technology have led to a national increase in TAVR in people younger than 65.
From the Vizient clinical database, including more than 250 U.S. academic centers that perform both TAVR and SAVR, the researchers identified 142,953 patients who underwent TAVR or SAVR for isolated aortic stenosis from Oct. 1, 2015, to Dec. 31, 2021. From 2015 to 2021, the valve replacement rates in the three age groups changed as follows:
- Age less than 65: TAVR rose from 17% to 48%; SAVR fell from 83% to 52%.
- Age 65-80: TAVR rose from 46% to 87%; SAVR fell from 54% to 12%.
- Age greater than 80: TAVR rose from 83% to 99%; SAVR fell from 16% to 1%.
“All ages have grown in the last 7 years in TAVR,” Dr. Dauerman summarized. “The one that’s surprising, and in contradiction to the guideline, is the growth of TAVR in young patients less than 65.”
Among patients younger than 65, prior bypass surgery and congestive heart failure predicted the use of TAVR instead of surgery, whereas bicuspid aortic valve disease was the biggest predictor of surgery instead of TAVR.
Most studies on TAVR valve durability are limited to patients in the randomized trials who were primarily in their mid-70s to mid-80s, some of whom died before a 10-year follow-up, Dr. Dauerman noted.
European guidelines recommend surgery for patients younger than 70, and it would be interesting to see if clinicians there follow this recommendation or if TAVR is now the preferred approach, he added.
There is a need for further, longer study of TAVR in younger patients, he said, to determine whether there are long-term clinical issues of concern.
Strategy depends on more than age
The “findings are not too surprising,” John Carroll, MD, who was not involved in this research, said in an email.
“Age is only one of multiple patient characteristics that enter into consideration of TAVR versus SAVR,” said Dr. Carroll, from Anschutz Medical Campus, University of Colorado, Aurora.
“As the article reports,” he noted, “those less than 65 having TAVR are more likely to have comorbid conditions that likely made the risk of SAVR higher.”
Dr. Carroll was lead author of a review article published in 2020 based on data from the ACC–Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS)–Transcatheter Valve Therapy (TVT) registry on 276,316 patients who had TAVR in the United States from 2011-2019.
He pointed out that Figure 2 in that review shows that “SAVR is often performed in conjunction with other surgical procedures – another major reason why SAVR remains an important treatment for valvular heart disease.”
“We are awaiting long-term data comparing TAVR to SAVR durability,” Dr. Carroll added, echoing Dr. Dauerman. “So far [there are] no major differences, but it remains a key need to fully understand TAVR and the various models in commercial use.”
“Both TAVR and SAVR used in adults are tissue valves (SAVR with mechanical valves is used in younger patients),” Dr. Carroll noted, “and all tissue valves will eventually fail if the patient lives long enough.”
Patient management strategies need to consider what treatment options exist when the first valve fails. “If the first valve is SAVR, there is now extensive experience with placing a TAVR valve inside a failing SAVR valve, so called Valve-in-Valve or TAVR-in-SAVR. This is the preferred treatment in most patients with failing SAVR valves,” he said.
“On the other hand,” he continued, “we are just beginning to see more and more patients with failing TAVR valves, and the TAVR-in-TAVR procedure is less well understood.”
“Issues such as acute coronary occlusion and long-term difficulty in accessing coronary arteries are being encountered in some patients having TAVR-in-TAVR,” Dr. Carroll noted, which he discusses in a recent editorial he coauthored about the complexities of redo TAVR, published in JACC: Cardiovascular Interventions.
The study received no funding. Dr. Dauerman has research grants and is a consultant for Medtronic and Boston Scientific. Dr. Carroll is a local principal investigator in trials sponsored by Medtronic, Abbott, and Edwards Lifesciences.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Among patients with severe isolated aortic stenosis younger than 65, the rate of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) now almost matches that of surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR), despite guideline recommendations to the contrary, a study in a national U.S. population shows.
The 2020 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology (AHA/ACC) valve guideline recommends SAVR for patients younger than 65 with severe aortic stenosis, the researchers note, but their study showed “near equal utilization between TAVR and SAVR in these younger patients by 2021,” at 48% and 52% respectively.
Toishi Sharma, MD, and colleagues presented these findings in an oral poster session at Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics 2022, and the study was simultaneously published as a Research Letter in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology (JACC).
“To our knowledge, the current findings represent the first national temporal trends study stratifying [aortic stenosis] therapies according to guideline-recommended age groups: our observations demonstrate the dramatic growth of TAVR in all age groups, including young patients,” the researchers conclude.
They analyzed changes in rates of TAVR and SAVR in a U.S. sample stratified by age: younger than 65 years, 65-80, and older than 80 years.
These findings have implications for lifetime management of younger patients who undergo TAVR, they write, “including issues related to lifetime coronary access, valve durability, and the potential for subsequent TAVR procedures over time.”
Three age groups
In a study published in JACC, this group examined changes in uptake of TAVR versus SAVR in 4,161 patients with aortic stenosis in Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine, senior author Harold L. Dauerman, MD, said in an interview.
The greatest rate of rise of TAVR was in the group younger than 65, but that study ended in 2019, said Dr. Dauerman, from the University of Vermont Health Network, Burlington.
The 2020 guideline stratifies TAVR and SAVR recommendations such that “less than 65 should primarily be a surgical approach and greater than 80 primarily a TAVR approach, while 65 to 80 is a gray zone, and shared decision-making becomes important,” he noted.
The group hypothesized that recent trials and technology have led to a national increase in TAVR in people younger than 65.
From the Vizient clinical database, including more than 250 U.S. academic centers that perform both TAVR and SAVR, the researchers identified 142,953 patients who underwent TAVR or SAVR for isolated aortic stenosis from Oct. 1, 2015, to Dec. 31, 2021. From 2015 to 2021, the valve replacement rates in the three age groups changed as follows:
- Age less than 65: TAVR rose from 17% to 48%; SAVR fell from 83% to 52%.
- Age 65-80: TAVR rose from 46% to 87%; SAVR fell from 54% to 12%.
- Age greater than 80: TAVR rose from 83% to 99%; SAVR fell from 16% to 1%.
“All ages have grown in the last 7 years in TAVR,” Dr. Dauerman summarized. “The one that’s surprising, and in contradiction to the guideline, is the growth of TAVR in young patients less than 65.”
Among patients younger than 65, prior bypass surgery and congestive heart failure predicted the use of TAVR instead of surgery, whereas bicuspid aortic valve disease was the biggest predictor of surgery instead of TAVR.
Most studies on TAVR valve durability are limited to patients in the randomized trials who were primarily in their mid-70s to mid-80s, some of whom died before a 10-year follow-up, Dr. Dauerman noted.
European guidelines recommend surgery for patients younger than 70, and it would be interesting to see if clinicians there follow this recommendation or if TAVR is now the preferred approach, he added.
There is a need for further, longer study of TAVR in younger patients, he said, to determine whether there are long-term clinical issues of concern.
Strategy depends on more than age
The “findings are not too surprising,” John Carroll, MD, who was not involved in this research, said in an email.
“Age is only one of multiple patient characteristics that enter into consideration of TAVR versus SAVR,” said Dr. Carroll, from Anschutz Medical Campus, University of Colorado, Aurora.
“As the article reports,” he noted, “those less than 65 having TAVR are more likely to have comorbid conditions that likely made the risk of SAVR higher.”
Dr. Carroll was lead author of a review article published in 2020 based on data from the ACC–Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS)–Transcatheter Valve Therapy (TVT) registry on 276,316 patients who had TAVR in the United States from 2011-2019.
He pointed out that Figure 2 in that review shows that “SAVR is often performed in conjunction with other surgical procedures – another major reason why SAVR remains an important treatment for valvular heart disease.”
“We are awaiting long-term data comparing TAVR to SAVR durability,” Dr. Carroll added, echoing Dr. Dauerman. “So far [there are] no major differences, but it remains a key need to fully understand TAVR and the various models in commercial use.”
“Both TAVR and SAVR used in adults are tissue valves (SAVR with mechanical valves is used in younger patients),” Dr. Carroll noted, “and all tissue valves will eventually fail if the patient lives long enough.”
Patient management strategies need to consider what treatment options exist when the first valve fails. “If the first valve is SAVR, there is now extensive experience with placing a TAVR valve inside a failing SAVR valve, so called Valve-in-Valve or TAVR-in-SAVR. This is the preferred treatment in most patients with failing SAVR valves,” he said.
“On the other hand,” he continued, “we are just beginning to see more and more patients with failing TAVR valves, and the TAVR-in-TAVR procedure is less well understood.”
“Issues such as acute coronary occlusion and long-term difficulty in accessing coronary arteries are being encountered in some patients having TAVR-in-TAVR,” Dr. Carroll noted, which he discusses in a recent editorial he coauthored about the complexities of redo TAVR, published in JACC: Cardiovascular Interventions.
The study received no funding. Dr. Dauerman has research grants and is a consultant for Medtronic and Boston Scientific. Dr. Carroll is a local principal investigator in trials sponsored by Medtronic, Abbott, and Edwards Lifesciences.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
FROM TCT 2022
Adderall shortage reported by pharmacies, patients
Half a dozen people told Bloomberg that pharmacies told them in August and September that the drug was out of stock. The patients were told the drug might not be available for weeks, though it’s supposed to be taken daily. BuzzFeed News said 20 people across the nation said that their pharmacies didn’t have Adderall in stock.
“It’s so frustrating that getting my meds requires me to be organized, focused, and motivated – all the things I’m on these meds to help with,” Irene Kelly, who has been using Adderall for 14 years, told BuzzFeed News.
Two pharmacy chains told Bloomberg that Adderall has not always been available to sell. Walgreens spokesperson Rebekah Pajak said there were “supply chain challenges” affecting instant-release and extended-release versions of the drug. CVS pharmacies can fill Adderall prescriptions “in most cases,” CVS spokesperson Matthew Blanchette said.
Several drugmakers have had brand-name and generic versions of Adderall on back order for months, Bloomberg reported. The problem started with a labor shortage at Teva Pharmaceutical, the top seller of Adderall in the United States, that created a limited supply of brand-name and generic instant-release Adderall, according to the outlet.
That said, the Food and Drug Administration is not reporting an Adderall shortage on its drug shortages database. The federal agency says it lists a drug as being in short supply when “overall market demand is not being met by the manufacturers of the product,” Bloomberg said.
“Manufacturers continue to release product,” FDA spokesperson Cherie Duvall-Jones said, according to Bloomberg.
Demand for Adderall is growing, possibly because of rising ADHD diagnoses that occurred during telehealth medical appointments amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Bloomberg reported, noting that some of those telehealth companies have come under scrutiny by the Drug Enforcement Administration and other government agencies.
NBC News, citing IQVIA, an analytics provider for the life sciences industry, reported that 41.4 million Adderall prescriptions were issued last year, up 10.4% from 2020.
A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.
Half a dozen people told Bloomberg that pharmacies told them in August and September that the drug was out of stock. The patients were told the drug might not be available for weeks, though it’s supposed to be taken daily. BuzzFeed News said 20 people across the nation said that their pharmacies didn’t have Adderall in stock.
“It’s so frustrating that getting my meds requires me to be organized, focused, and motivated – all the things I’m on these meds to help with,” Irene Kelly, who has been using Adderall for 14 years, told BuzzFeed News.
Two pharmacy chains told Bloomberg that Adderall has not always been available to sell. Walgreens spokesperson Rebekah Pajak said there were “supply chain challenges” affecting instant-release and extended-release versions of the drug. CVS pharmacies can fill Adderall prescriptions “in most cases,” CVS spokesperson Matthew Blanchette said.
Several drugmakers have had brand-name and generic versions of Adderall on back order for months, Bloomberg reported. The problem started with a labor shortage at Teva Pharmaceutical, the top seller of Adderall in the United States, that created a limited supply of brand-name and generic instant-release Adderall, according to the outlet.
That said, the Food and Drug Administration is not reporting an Adderall shortage on its drug shortages database. The federal agency says it lists a drug as being in short supply when “overall market demand is not being met by the manufacturers of the product,” Bloomberg said.
“Manufacturers continue to release product,” FDA spokesperson Cherie Duvall-Jones said, according to Bloomberg.
Demand for Adderall is growing, possibly because of rising ADHD diagnoses that occurred during telehealth medical appointments amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Bloomberg reported, noting that some of those telehealth companies have come under scrutiny by the Drug Enforcement Administration and other government agencies.
NBC News, citing IQVIA, an analytics provider for the life sciences industry, reported that 41.4 million Adderall prescriptions were issued last year, up 10.4% from 2020.
A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.
Half a dozen people told Bloomberg that pharmacies told them in August and September that the drug was out of stock. The patients were told the drug might not be available for weeks, though it’s supposed to be taken daily. BuzzFeed News said 20 people across the nation said that their pharmacies didn’t have Adderall in stock.
“It’s so frustrating that getting my meds requires me to be organized, focused, and motivated – all the things I’m on these meds to help with,” Irene Kelly, who has been using Adderall for 14 years, told BuzzFeed News.
Two pharmacy chains told Bloomberg that Adderall has not always been available to sell. Walgreens spokesperson Rebekah Pajak said there were “supply chain challenges” affecting instant-release and extended-release versions of the drug. CVS pharmacies can fill Adderall prescriptions “in most cases,” CVS spokesperson Matthew Blanchette said.
Several drugmakers have had brand-name and generic versions of Adderall on back order for months, Bloomberg reported. The problem started with a labor shortage at Teva Pharmaceutical, the top seller of Adderall in the United States, that created a limited supply of brand-name and generic instant-release Adderall, according to the outlet.
That said, the Food and Drug Administration is not reporting an Adderall shortage on its drug shortages database. The federal agency says it lists a drug as being in short supply when “overall market demand is not being met by the manufacturers of the product,” Bloomberg said.
“Manufacturers continue to release product,” FDA spokesperson Cherie Duvall-Jones said, according to Bloomberg.
Demand for Adderall is growing, possibly because of rising ADHD diagnoses that occurred during telehealth medical appointments amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Bloomberg reported, noting that some of those telehealth companies have come under scrutiny by the Drug Enforcement Administration and other government agencies.
NBC News, citing IQVIA, an analytics provider for the life sciences industry, reported that 41.4 million Adderall prescriptions were issued last year, up 10.4% from 2020.
A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.
A farewell to arms? Drug approvals based on single-arm trials can be flawed
PARIS – with results that should only be used, under certain conditions, for accelerated approvals that should then be followed by confirmatory studies.
In fact, many drugs approved over the last decade based solely on data from single-arm trials have been subsequently withdrawn when put through the rigors of a head-to-head randomized controlled trial, according to Bishal Gyawali, MD, PhD, from the department of oncology at Queen’s University, Kingston, Ont.
“Single-arm trials are not meant to provide confirmatory evidence sufficient for approval; However, that ship has sailed, and we have several drugs that are approved on the basis of single-arm trials, but we need to make sure that those approvals are accelerated or conditional approvals, not regular approval,” he said in a presentation included in a special session on drug approvals at the European Society for Medical Oncology Congress.
“We should not allow premature regular approval based on single-arm trials, because once a drug gets conditional approval, access is not an issue. Patients will have access to the drug anyway, but we should ensure that robust evidence follows, and long-term follow-up data are needed to develop confidence in the efficacy outcomes that are seen in single-arm trials,” he said.
In many cases, single-arm trials are large enough or of long enough duration that investigators could have reasonably performed a randomized controlled trial (RCT) in the first place, Dr. Gyawali added.
Why do single-arm trials?
The term “single-arm registration trial” is something of an oxymoron, he said, noting that the purpose of such trials should be whether to take the drug to a phase 3, randomized trial. But as authors of a 2019 study in JAMA Network Open showed, of a sample of phase 3 RCTs, 42% did not have a prior phase 2 trial, and 28% had a negative phase 2 trial. Single-arm trials may be acceptable for conditional drug approvals if all of the following conditions are met:
- A RCT is not possible because the disease is rare or randomization would be unethical.
- The safety of the drug is established and its potential benefits outweigh its risks.
- The drug is associated with a high and durable overall or objective response rate.
- The mechanism of action is supported by a strong scientific rationale, and if the drug may meet an unmet medical need.
Survival endpoints won’t do
Efficacy endpoints typically used in RCTs, such as progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) can be misleading because they may be a result of the natural history of the disease and not the drug being tested, whereas ORRs are almost certainly reflective of the action of the drug itself, because spontaneous tumor regression is a rare phenomenon, Dr. Gyawali said.
He cautioned, however, that the ORR of placebo is not zero percent. For example in a 2018 study of sorafenib (Nexavar) versus placebo for advanced or refractory desmoid tumors, the ORR with the active drug was 33%, and the ORR for placebo was 20%.
It’s also open to question, he said, what constitutes an acceptably high ORR and duration of response, pointing to Food and Drug Administration accelerated approval of an indication for nivolumab (Opdivo) for treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that had progressed on sorafenib. In the single-arm trial used as the basis for approval, the ORRs as assessed by an independent central review committee blinded to the results was 14.3%.
“So, nivolumab in hepatocellular cancer was approved on the basis of a response rate lower than that of placebo, albeit in a different tumor. But the point I’m trying to show here is we don’t have a good definition of what is a good response rate,” he said.
In July 2021, Bristol-Myers Squibb voluntarily withdrew the HCC indication for nivolumab, following negative results of the CheckMate 459 trial and a 5-4 vote against continuing the accelerated approval.
On second thought ...
Citing data compiled by Nathan I. Cherny, MD, from Shaare Zedek Medical Center, Jerusalem, Dr. Gyawali noted that 58 of 161 FDA approvals from 2017 to 2021 of drugs for adult solid tumors were based on single-arm trials. Of the 58 drugs, 39 received accelerated approvals, and 19 received regular approvals; of the 39 that received accelerated approvals, 4 were subsequently withdrawn, 8 were converted to regular approvals, and the remainder continued as accelerated approvals.
Interestingly, the median response rate among all the drugs was 40%, and did not differ between the type of approval received, suggesting that response rates are not predictive of whether a drug will receive a conditional or full-fledged go-ahead.
What’s rare and safe?
The definition of a rare disease in the United States is one that affects fewer than 40,000 per year, and in Europe it’s an incidence rate of less than 6 per 100,000 population, Dr. Gyawali noted. But he argued that even non–small cell lung cancer, the most common form of cancer in the world, could be considered rare if it is broken down into subtypes that are treated according to specific mutations that may occur in a relatively small number of patients.
He also noted that a specific drug’s safety, one of the most important criteria for granting approval to a drug based on a single-arm trial, can be difficult to judge without adequate controls for comparison.
Cherry-picking patients
Winette van der Graaf, MD, president of the European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer, who attended the session where Dr. Gyawali’s presentation was played, said in an interview that clinicians should cast a critical eye on how trials are designed and conducted, including patient selection and choice of endpoints.
“One of the most obvious things to be concerned about is that we’re still having patients with good performance status enrolled, mostly PS 0 or 1, so how representative are these clinical trials for the patients we see in front of us on a daily basis?” she said.
“The other question is radiological endpoints, which we focus on with OS and PFS are most important for patients, especially if you consider that if patients may have asymptomatic disease, and we are only treating them with potentially toxic medication, what are we doing for them? Median overall survival when you look at all of these trials is only 4 months, so we really need to take into account how we affect patients in clinical trials,” she added.
Dr. van der Graaf emphasized that clinical trial investigators need to more routinely incorporate quality of life measures and other patient-reported outcomes in clinical trial results to help regulators and clinicians in practice get a better sense of the true clinical benefit of a new drug.
Dr. Gyawali did not disclose a funding source for his presentation. He reported consulting fees from Vivio Health and research grants from the American Society of Clinical Oncology. Dr. van der Graaf reported no conflicts of interest.
PARIS – with results that should only be used, under certain conditions, for accelerated approvals that should then be followed by confirmatory studies.
In fact, many drugs approved over the last decade based solely on data from single-arm trials have been subsequently withdrawn when put through the rigors of a head-to-head randomized controlled trial, according to Bishal Gyawali, MD, PhD, from the department of oncology at Queen’s University, Kingston, Ont.
“Single-arm trials are not meant to provide confirmatory evidence sufficient for approval; However, that ship has sailed, and we have several drugs that are approved on the basis of single-arm trials, but we need to make sure that those approvals are accelerated or conditional approvals, not regular approval,” he said in a presentation included in a special session on drug approvals at the European Society for Medical Oncology Congress.
“We should not allow premature regular approval based on single-arm trials, because once a drug gets conditional approval, access is not an issue. Patients will have access to the drug anyway, but we should ensure that robust evidence follows, and long-term follow-up data are needed to develop confidence in the efficacy outcomes that are seen in single-arm trials,” he said.
In many cases, single-arm trials are large enough or of long enough duration that investigators could have reasonably performed a randomized controlled trial (RCT) in the first place, Dr. Gyawali added.
Why do single-arm trials?
The term “single-arm registration trial” is something of an oxymoron, he said, noting that the purpose of such trials should be whether to take the drug to a phase 3, randomized trial. But as authors of a 2019 study in JAMA Network Open showed, of a sample of phase 3 RCTs, 42% did not have a prior phase 2 trial, and 28% had a negative phase 2 trial. Single-arm trials may be acceptable for conditional drug approvals if all of the following conditions are met:
- A RCT is not possible because the disease is rare or randomization would be unethical.
- The safety of the drug is established and its potential benefits outweigh its risks.
- The drug is associated with a high and durable overall or objective response rate.
- The mechanism of action is supported by a strong scientific rationale, and if the drug may meet an unmet medical need.
Survival endpoints won’t do
Efficacy endpoints typically used in RCTs, such as progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) can be misleading because they may be a result of the natural history of the disease and not the drug being tested, whereas ORRs are almost certainly reflective of the action of the drug itself, because spontaneous tumor regression is a rare phenomenon, Dr. Gyawali said.
He cautioned, however, that the ORR of placebo is not zero percent. For example in a 2018 study of sorafenib (Nexavar) versus placebo for advanced or refractory desmoid tumors, the ORR with the active drug was 33%, and the ORR for placebo was 20%.
It’s also open to question, he said, what constitutes an acceptably high ORR and duration of response, pointing to Food and Drug Administration accelerated approval of an indication for nivolumab (Opdivo) for treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that had progressed on sorafenib. In the single-arm trial used as the basis for approval, the ORRs as assessed by an independent central review committee blinded to the results was 14.3%.
“So, nivolumab in hepatocellular cancer was approved on the basis of a response rate lower than that of placebo, albeit in a different tumor. But the point I’m trying to show here is we don’t have a good definition of what is a good response rate,” he said.
In July 2021, Bristol-Myers Squibb voluntarily withdrew the HCC indication for nivolumab, following negative results of the CheckMate 459 trial and a 5-4 vote against continuing the accelerated approval.
On second thought ...
Citing data compiled by Nathan I. Cherny, MD, from Shaare Zedek Medical Center, Jerusalem, Dr. Gyawali noted that 58 of 161 FDA approvals from 2017 to 2021 of drugs for adult solid tumors were based on single-arm trials. Of the 58 drugs, 39 received accelerated approvals, and 19 received regular approvals; of the 39 that received accelerated approvals, 4 were subsequently withdrawn, 8 were converted to regular approvals, and the remainder continued as accelerated approvals.
Interestingly, the median response rate among all the drugs was 40%, and did not differ between the type of approval received, suggesting that response rates are not predictive of whether a drug will receive a conditional or full-fledged go-ahead.
What’s rare and safe?
The definition of a rare disease in the United States is one that affects fewer than 40,000 per year, and in Europe it’s an incidence rate of less than 6 per 100,000 population, Dr. Gyawali noted. But he argued that even non–small cell lung cancer, the most common form of cancer in the world, could be considered rare if it is broken down into subtypes that are treated according to specific mutations that may occur in a relatively small number of patients.
He also noted that a specific drug’s safety, one of the most important criteria for granting approval to a drug based on a single-arm trial, can be difficult to judge without adequate controls for comparison.
Cherry-picking patients
Winette van der Graaf, MD, president of the European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer, who attended the session where Dr. Gyawali’s presentation was played, said in an interview that clinicians should cast a critical eye on how trials are designed and conducted, including patient selection and choice of endpoints.
“One of the most obvious things to be concerned about is that we’re still having patients with good performance status enrolled, mostly PS 0 or 1, so how representative are these clinical trials for the patients we see in front of us on a daily basis?” she said.
“The other question is radiological endpoints, which we focus on with OS and PFS are most important for patients, especially if you consider that if patients may have asymptomatic disease, and we are only treating them with potentially toxic medication, what are we doing for them? Median overall survival when you look at all of these trials is only 4 months, so we really need to take into account how we affect patients in clinical trials,” she added.
Dr. van der Graaf emphasized that clinical trial investigators need to more routinely incorporate quality of life measures and other patient-reported outcomes in clinical trial results to help regulators and clinicians in practice get a better sense of the true clinical benefit of a new drug.
Dr. Gyawali did not disclose a funding source for his presentation. He reported consulting fees from Vivio Health and research grants from the American Society of Clinical Oncology. Dr. van der Graaf reported no conflicts of interest.
PARIS – with results that should only be used, under certain conditions, for accelerated approvals that should then be followed by confirmatory studies.
In fact, many drugs approved over the last decade based solely on data from single-arm trials have been subsequently withdrawn when put through the rigors of a head-to-head randomized controlled trial, according to Bishal Gyawali, MD, PhD, from the department of oncology at Queen’s University, Kingston, Ont.
“Single-arm trials are not meant to provide confirmatory evidence sufficient for approval; However, that ship has sailed, and we have several drugs that are approved on the basis of single-arm trials, but we need to make sure that those approvals are accelerated or conditional approvals, not regular approval,” he said in a presentation included in a special session on drug approvals at the European Society for Medical Oncology Congress.
“We should not allow premature regular approval based on single-arm trials, because once a drug gets conditional approval, access is not an issue. Patients will have access to the drug anyway, but we should ensure that robust evidence follows, and long-term follow-up data are needed to develop confidence in the efficacy outcomes that are seen in single-arm trials,” he said.
In many cases, single-arm trials are large enough or of long enough duration that investigators could have reasonably performed a randomized controlled trial (RCT) in the first place, Dr. Gyawali added.
Why do single-arm trials?
The term “single-arm registration trial” is something of an oxymoron, he said, noting that the purpose of such trials should be whether to take the drug to a phase 3, randomized trial. But as authors of a 2019 study in JAMA Network Open showed, of a sample of phase 3 RCTs, 42% did not have a prior phase 2 trial, and 28% had a negative phase 2 trial. Single-arm trials may be acceptable for conditional drug approvals if all of the following conditions are met:
- A RCT is not possible because the disease is rare or randomization would be unethical.
- The safety of the drug is established and its potential benefits outweigh its risks.
- The drug is associated with a high and durable overall or objective response rate.
- The mechanism of action is supported by a strong scientific rationale, and if the drug may meet an unmet medical need.
Survival endpoints won’t do
Efficacy endpoints typically used in RCTs, such as progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) can be misleading because they may be a result of the natural history of the disease and not the drug being tested, whereas ORRs are almost certainly reflective of the action of the drug itself, because spontaneous tumor regression is a rare phenomenon, Dr. Gyawali said.
He cautioned, however, that the ORR of placebo is not zero percent. For example in a 2018 study of sorafenib (Nexavar) versus placebo for advanced or refractory desmoid tumors, the ORR with the active drug was 33%, and the ORR for placebo was 20%.
It’s also open to question, he said, what constitutes an acceptably high ORR and duration of response, pointing to Food and Drug Administration accelerated approval of an indication for nivolumab (Opdivo) for treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that had progressed on sorafenib. In the single-arm trial used as the basis for approval, the ORRs as assessed by an independent central review committee blinded to the results was 14.3%.
“So, nivolumab in hepatocellular cancer was approved on the basis of a response rate lower than that of placebo, albeit in a different tumor. But the point I’m trying to show here is we don’t have a good definition of what is a good response rate,” he said.
In July 2021, Bristol-Myers Squibb voluntarily withdrew the HCC indication for nivolumab, following negative results of the CheckMate 459 trial and a 5-4 vote against continuing the accelerated approval.
On second thought ...
Citing data compiled by Nathan I. Cherny, MD, from Shaare Zedek Medical Center, Jerusalem, Dr. Gyawali noted that 58 of 161 FDA approvals from 2017 to 2021 of drugs for adult solid tumors were based on single-arm trials. Of the 58 drugs, 39 received accelerated approvals, and 19 received regular approvals; of the 39 that received accelerated approvals, 4 were subsequently withdrawn, 8 were converted to regular approvals, and the remainder continued as accelerated approvals.
Interestingly, the median response rate among all the drugs was 40%, and did not differ between the type of approval received, suggesting that response rates are not predictive of whether a drug will receive a conditional or full-fledged go-ahead.
What’s rare and safe?
The definition of a rare disease in the United States is one that affects fewer than 40,000 per year, and in Europe it’s an incidence rate of less than 6 per 100,000 population, Dr. Gyawali noted. But he argued that even non–small cell lung cancer, the most common form of cancer in the world, could be considered rare if it is broken down into subtypes that are treated according to specific mutations that may occur in a relatively small number of patients.
He also noted that a specific drug’s safety, one of the most important criteria for granting approval to a drug based on a single-arm trial, can be difficult to judge without adequate controls for comparison.
Cherry-picking patients
Winette van der Graaf, MD, president of the European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer, who attended the session where Dr. Gyawali’s presentation was played, said in an interview that clinicians should cast a critical eye on how trials are designed and conducted, including patient selection and choice of endpoints.
“One of the most obvious things to be concerned about is that we’re still having patients with good performance status enrolled, mostly PS 0 or 1, so how representative are these clinical trials for the patients we see in front of us on a daily basis?” she said.
“The other question is radiological endpoints, which we focus on with OS and PFS are most important for patients, especially if you consider that if patients may have asymptomatic disease, and we are only treating them with potentially toxic medication, what are we doing for them? Median overall survival when you look at all of these trials is only 4 months, so we really need to take into account how we affect patients in clinical trials,” she added.
Dr. van der Graaf emphasized that clinical trial investigators need to more routinely incorporate quality of life measures and other patient-reported outcomes in clinical trial results to help regulators and clinicians in practice get a better sense of the true clinical benefit of a new drug.
Dr. Gyawali did not disclose a funding source for his presentation. He reported consulting fees from Vivio Health and research grants from the American Society of Clinical Oncology. Dr. van der Graaf reported no conflicts of interest.
AT ESMO CONGRESS 2022
Biden’s Cancer Moonshot turns its focus to early-detection blood tests
There’s big buzz about the hot prospects for blood tests designed to detect multiple kinds of cancer. President Biden highlighted them in a speech about the Cancer Moonshot program on Sept. 12, just a day after study results touted an experimental test’s ability to detect dozens of kinds of cancer. Meanwhile, the federal government is heralding an upcoming trial that will eventually enroll as many as 225,000 subjects.
There are plenty of reasons to be cautious, however. And if these tests become standard, the oncology field will need to figure out how to navigate a thicket of new challenges.
“Our friends in internal medicine and primary care will be looking to us for guidance. We need to make sure that we’re coming at this without too much optimism before we really have the data,” said Jyoti D. Patel, MD, medical director of thoracic oncology and assistant director for clinical research at the Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center of Northwestern University, Chicago.
Dr. Patel is a member of the communications workgroup of the Multicancer Early Detection Consortium, a nonprofit, public-private organization that’s providing insight and guidance into the development of screening tests. The consortium published a position paper earlier this year.
According to Dr. Patel, early cancer screening today can detect only five types of cancer: prostate, breast, lung, cervical, and colon. The Cancer Moonshot program has prioritized research into greatly expanding this number. President Biden referred to this goal in his Sept. 12 speech: “Imagine a simple blood test during an annual physical that could detect cancer early, where the chances of a cure are best.”
Biden said the National Cancer Institute is launching a major trial as part of the Cancer Moonshot program. The Vanguard Study on Multi-Cancer Detection plans to enlist 25,000 healthy women and men between 45 and 70 years old in 2024, then later enroll as many as 225,000 people.
Meanwhile, researchers reported on Sept. 11 that the Galleri multicancer detection blood test found positive cancer signals in 1.4% of 6,621 healthy subjects, and cancer was ultimately confirmed in 38% of those in that group. Nineteen solid tumors and 17 hematologic cancers were diagnosed; 26 of these were cancer types that don’t have routine screening available.
The Galleri test is widely available in the United States, although the $950 cost is not covered by insurance.
While the data is exciting, the high false-positive rate is worrisome, Dr. Patel said. “Are there ways that we can further define that by cancer-risk assessment or by having better captures in our technology that reflect RNA methylation or epigenetic changes that may lead to susceptibility to cancers?”
Additional research is essential
Ernest Hawk, MD, vice president and division head of cancer prevention and population sciences at the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, said it’s “absolutely essential” that research into screening tests clearly demonstrates improved patient outcomes over time.
“We need to have much longer follow-up of all participants – whether the screening results are positive or negative – and mitigate the potential risks of such testing,” said Dr. Hawk, who’s worked with the Multicancer Early Detection Consortium.
On another front, Northwestern University’s Dr. Patel highlighted that while easy-to-access cancer screening could create tremendous opportunities to treat early cancer and shrink disparities in care, it may produce “an onslaught of patients with early-stage disease. Do we have the workforce to help us?” Also, she said, “if we find a patient with early-stage disease, how are we going to risk-stratify their follow-up and adjuvant therapy? Are there ways to prognosticate with more granularity than we do now?”
What’s next? “Multicancer early-detection tests could truly revolutionize cancer care if they work as we hope they will, but only time, extensive participation in research, and hard work will prove whether that is true or not,” said MD Anderson’s Dr. Hawk. “I anticipate that we’ll have reasonable answers within the next decade, given the pace of existing company-sponsored research and NCI’s planned involvement in testing various technologies available.”
For her part, Dr. Patel said oncologists should be aware that multicancer screening tests are available and be ready to address questions about them. “Think about how you can advise patients in the absence of data,” she said.
Dr. Patel and Dr. Hawk have no relevant disclosures.
There’s big buzz about the hot prospects for blood tests designed to detect multiple kinds of cancer. President Biden highlighted them in a speech about the Cancer Moonshot program on Sept. 12, just a day after study results touted an experimental test’s ability to detect dozens of kinds of cancer. Meanwhile, the federal government is heralding an upcoming trial that will eventually enroll as many as 225,000 subjects.
There are plenty of reasons to be cautious, however. And if these tests become standard, the oncology field will need to figure out how to navigate a thicket of new challenges.
“Our friends in internal medicine and primary care will be looking to us for guidance. We need to make sure that we’re coming at this without too much optimism before we really have the data,” said Jyoti D. Patel, MD, medical director of thoracic oncology and assistant director for clinical research at the Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center of Northwestern University, Chicago.
Dr. Patel is a member of the communications workgroup of the Multicancer Early Detection Consortium, a nonprofit, public-private organization that’s providing insight and guidance into the development of screening tests. The consortium published a position paper earlier this year.
According to Dr. Patel, early cancer screening today can detect only five types of cancer: prostate, breast, lung, cervical, and colon. The Cancer Moonshot program has prioritized research into greatly expanding this number. President Biden referred to this goal in his Sept. 12 speech: “Imagine a simple blood test during an annual physical that could detect cancer early, where the chances of a cure are best.”
Biden said the National Cancer Institute is launching a major trial as part of the Cancer Moonshot program. The Vanguard Study on Multi-Cancer Detection plans to enlist 25,000 healthy women and men between 45 and 70 years old in 2024, then later enroll as many as 225,000 people.
Meanwhile, researchers reported on Sept. 11 that the Galleri multicancer detection blood test found positive cancer signals in 1.4% of 6,621 healthy subjects, and cancer was ultimately confirmed in 38% of those in that group. Nineteen solid tumors and 17 hematologic cancers were diagnosed; 26 of these were cancer types that don’t have routine screening available.
The Galleri test is widely available in the United States, although the $950 cost is not covered by insurance.
While the data is exciting, the high false-positive rate is worrisome, Dr. Patel said. “Are there ways that we can further define that by cancer-risk assessment or by having better captures in our technology that reflect RNA methylation or epigenetic changes that may lead to susceptibility to cancers?”
Additional research is essential
Ernest Hawk, MD, vice president and division head of cancer prevention and population sciences at the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, said it’s “absolutely essential” that research into screening tests clearly demonstrates improved patient outcomes over time.
“We need to have much longer follow-up of all participants – whether the screening results are positive or negative – and mitigate the potential risks of such testing,” said Dr. Hawk, who’s worked with the Multicancer Early Detection Consortium.
On another front, Northwestern University’s Dr. Patel highlighted that while easy-to-access cancer screening could create tremendous opportunities to treat early cancer and shrink disparities in care, it may produce “an onslaught of patients with early-stage disease. Do we have the workforce to help us?” Also, she said, “if we find a patient with early-stage disease, how are we going to risk-stratify their follow-up and adjuvant therapy? Are there ways to prognosticate with more granularity than we do now?”
What’s next? “Multicancer early-detection tests could truly revolutionize cancer care if they work as we hope they will, but only time, extensive participation in research, and hard work will prove whether that is true or not,” said MD Anderson’s Dr. Hawk. “I anticipate that we’ll have reasonable answers within the next decade, given the pace of existing company-sponsored research and NCI’s planned involvement in testing various technologies available.”
For her part, Dr. Patel said oncologists should be aware that multicancer screening tests are available and be ready to address questions about them. “Think about how you can advise patients in the absence of data,” she said.
Dr. Patel and Dr. Hawk have no relevant disclosures.
There’s big buzz about the hot prospects for blood tests designed to detect multiple kinds of cancer. President Biden highlighted them in a speech about the Cancer Moonshot program on Sept. 12, just a day after study results touted an experimental test’s ability to detect dozens of kinds of cancer. Meanwhile, the federal government is heralding an upcoming trial that will eventually enroll as many as 225,000 subjects.
There are plenty of reasons to be cautious, however. And if these tests become standard, the oncology field will need to figure out how to navigate a thicket of new challenges.
“Our friends in internal medicine and primary care will be looking to us for guidance. We need to make sure that we’re coming at this without too much optimism before we really have the data,” said Jyoti D. Patel, MD, medical director of thoracic oncology and assistant director for clinical research at the Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center of Northwestern University, Chicago.
Dr. Patel is a member of the communications workgroup of the Multicancer Early Detection Consortium, a nonprofit, public-private organization that’s providing insight and guidance into the development of screening tests. The consortium published a position paper earlier this year.
According to Dr. Patel, early cancer screening today can detect only five types of cancer: prostate, breast, lung, cervical, and colon. The Cancer Moonshot program has prioritized research into greatly expanding this number. President Biden referred to this goal in his Sept. 12 speech: “Imagine a simple blood test during an annual physical that could detect cancer early, where the chances of a cure are best.”
Biden said the National Cancer Institute is launching a major trial as part of the Cancer Moonshot program. The Vanguard Study on Multi-Cancer Detection plans to enlist 25,000 healthy women and men between 45 and 70 years old in 2024, then later enroll as many as 225,000 people.
Meanwhile, researchers reported on Sept. 11 that the Galleri multicancer detection blood test found positive cancer signals in 1.4% of 6,621 healthy subjects, and cancer was ultimately confirmed in 38% of those in that group. Nineteen solid tumors and 17 hematologic cancers were diagnosed; 26 of these were cancer types that don’t have routine screening available.
The Galleri test is widely available in the United States, although the $950 cost is not covered by insurance.
While the data is exciting, the high false-positive rate is worrisome, Dr. Patel said. “Are there ways that we can further define that by cancer-risk assessment or by having better captures in our technology that reflect RNA methylation or epigenetic changes that may lead to susceptibility to cancers?”
Additional research is essential
Ernest Hawk, MD, vice president and division head of cancer prevention and population sciences at the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, said it’s “absolutely essential” that research into screening tests clearly demonstrates improved patient outcomes over time.
“We need to have much longer follow-up of all participants – whether the screening results are positive or negative – and mitigate the potential risks of such testing,” said Dr. Hawk, who’s worked with the Multicancer Early Detection Consortium.
On another front, Northwestern University’s Dr. Patel highlighted that while easy-to-access cancer screening could create tremendous opportunities to treat early cancer and shrink disparities in care, it may produce “an onslaught of patients with early-stage disease. Do we have the workforce to help us?” Also, she said, “if we find a patient with early-stage disease, how are we going to risk-stratify their follow-up and adjuvant therapy? Are there ways to prognosticate with more granularity than we do now?”
What’s next? “Multicancer early-detection tests could truly revolutionize cancer care if they work as we hope they will, but only time, extensive participation in research, and hard work will prove whether that is true or not,” said MD Anderson’s Dr. Hawk. “I anticipate that we’ll have reasonable answers within the next decade, given the pace of existing company-sponsored research and NCI’s planned involvement in testing various technologies available.”
For her part, Dr. Patel said oncologists should be aware that multicancer screening tests are available and be ready to address questions about them. “Think about how you can advise patients in the absence of data,” she said.
Dr. Patel and Dr. Hawk have no relevant disclosures.
Experts express caution over type 2 diabetes/tea-drinking claim
type 2 diabetes/tea-drinking claim
A claim that drinking tea might protect people against developing type 2 diabetes has been met with caution from multiple experts ahead of the annual meeting of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes.
The claim is that people who drink four or more cups of tea every day – specifically green, Oolong, or black tea – are 17% less likely to develop type 2 diabetes than those who do not drink tea. Drinking fewer cups of tea per day was not found to confer any benefit.
“Our results are exciting because they suggest that people can do something as simple as drinking four cups of tea a day to potentially lessen their risk of developing type 2 diabetes,” Xiaying Li of Wuhan (China) University of Science and Technology is quoted as saying in an official EASD press release.
“It is possible that particular components in tea, such as polyphenols, may reduce blood glucose levels, but a sufficient amount of these bioactive compounds may be needed to be effective,” Dr. Li added.
“The words ‘suggest’ and ‘potentially’ are crucial here,” said Kevin McConway, PhD, MSc, MBA, emeritus professor of applied statistics at The Open University, said in a separate statement to the press that reeled in Dr. Li’s enthusiasm.
“Tea drinking would only be useful for reducing diabetes risk if the tea drinking causes reductions in risk, that is, if the risk is reduced if you drink the tea and not if you don’t – and this study simply can’t show whether it does this or not,” Dr. Conway stressed.
Naveed Sattar, FMedSci FRCPath FRCPGlas FRSE, professor of metabolic medicine at the University of Glasgow, was also cautiously critical. “There is no good trial evidence whatsoever that the chemicals in tea prevent diabetes,” he observed separately.
“So, I suspect its more about tea being healthier (less calorific) than many alternative drinks or tea drinkers leading healthier lives more generally.”
Dr. Sattar added that it could be that people who drink tea might also be avoiding drinking more harmful sugary drinks and have other health behaviors that might lead them to have a lower risk for type 2 diabetes.
Time for tea?
Dr. Li will present the findings of two analyses on Sept. 21 at the EASD meeting: the first a large observational cohort study and the second an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.
For the cohort study, Dr. Li and her coauthors took data on more than 5,100 adults who had participated in the long-running and ongoing China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Information on tea drinking behavior was extracted from questionnaires that had been filled out at two time points – 1997 and 2009 – and they determined whether people had developed type 2 diabetes according to American Diabetes Association criteria.
Nearly half, 45.8%, were found to be tea drinkers, and 10% of the population they sampled had developed type 2 diabetes. No association between tea drinking and type 2 diabetes development was found, however, with the hazard ratio comparing tea drinkers and non–tea drinkers sitting firmly at 1.02. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis that excluded participants who had developed type 2 diabetes in the first 3 years of follow-up did not change the result.
Things were slightly different when Dr. Li and associates performed their meta-analysis that involved analyzing data on more than 1 million participants in 19 studies conducted in eight countries that had been published up to September 2021.
Here, they found there was a significant (P < .003) linear association between tea consumption and having type 2 diabetes, with the relative risk of developing type 2 diabetes decreasing by 0.986 for every additional cup of tea that was drunk.
HRs for the development of type 2 diabetes in tea drinkers versus non–tea drinkers were 1.00 for those who drank less than one cup per day, 0.96 for those who had one to two cups, and 0.84 for those who drank four or more cups.
“While more research needs to be done to determine the exact dosage and mechanisms behind these observations, our findings suggest that drinking tea is beneficial in reducing the risk of type 2 diabetes, but only at high doses (at least 4 cups a day)”, said Dr. Li.
Perhaps, “we did not find an association between tea drinking and type 2 diabetes in our cohort study because we did not look at higher tea consumption,” she added.
Tempest in a teacup
“This is large, observational data. It’s not a randomized controlled trial so there’s plenty of room for data to be misunderstood,” warned Matt Sydes, MSc, professor of clinical trials & methodology at the MRC Clinical Trials Unit, University College London.
“Everyone drinks fluids. If there is an effect here (and that’s a big if), it might be not about the tea they drink, but about what they don’t drink. One can’t tell at the moment. It seems unlikely that a large randomized controlled trial could be done to disambiguate” added Dr. Sydes
“Being only a conference abstract, it is difficult to assess the quality of this research,” Baptiste Leurent, PhD, a medical statistician also working at University College London, said. Not only was the cohort study observational, so were all the other studies included in the meta-analysis, he pointed out.
“Therefore, no cause-effect conclusions can be drawn. The association could simply be due to other factors, such as those drinking more tea having a healthier lifestyle. It does not seem that the authors tried to control for confounders, which is usually difficult in meta-analysis,” Dr. Leurent said.
“There is reason to be a bit skeptical at this point; we really need to have the full details to assess it properly,” said Jonathan Cook of the Centre for Statistics in Medicine at the University of Oxford (England). “It’s a fair attempt to look at this, but not cutting edge, [using] fairly standard approaches.”
Similar studies have shown a reduced risk associated with coffee drinking, noted Duane Mellor, PhD, a registered dietitian and senior teaching fellow at Aston University in Birmingham.
“The important take-home message is that lifestyle is important in managing risk of developing type 2 diabetes,” Dr. Mellor said.
“That includes choosing low-calorie drinks including mainly water as well as unsweetened tea and coffee as your drinks of choice as part of a healthy lifestyle.”
The study was funded by the Young Talents Project of Hubei Provincial Health Commission, the Science and Technology Research Key Project of Education Department of Hubei Province, the Sanuo Diabetes Charity Foundation, and the Xiangyang Science and Technology Plan Project, all based in China. Dr. Li had no conflicts of interest to disclose. Dr. McConway is a Trustee and on the advisory committee of The Science Media Centre. Dr. Sattar has consulted for many companies that make diabetes and cardiovascular drugs and has been involved in multiple trials of lifestyle approaches for the prevention and remission of diabetes. Dr. Sydes, Dr. Leurent, Dr. Cook, and Dr. Mellor had no conflicts of interest to report.
A claim that drinking tea might protect people against developing type 2 diabetes has been met with caution from multiple experts ahead of the annual meeting of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes.
The claim is that people who drink four or more cups of tea every day – specifically green, Oolong, or black tea – are 17% less likely to develop type 2 diabetes than those who do not drink tea. Drinking fewer cups of tea per day was not found to confer any benefit.
“Our results are exciting because they suggest that people can do something as simple as drinking four cups of tea a day to potentially lessen their risk of developing type 2 diabetes,” Xiaying Li of Wuhan (China) University of Science and Technology is quoted as saying in an official EASD press release.
“It is possible that particular components in tea, such as polyphenols, may reduce blood glucose levels, but a sufficient amount of these bioactive compounds may be needed to be effective,” Dr. Li added.
“The words ‘suggest’ and ‘potentially’ are crucial here,” said Kevin McConway, PhD, MSc, MBA, emeritus professor of applied statistics at The Open University, said in a separate statement to the press that reeled in Dr. Li’s enthusiasm.
“Tea drinking would only be useful for reducing diabetes risk if the tea drinking causes reductions in risk, that is, if the risk is reduced if you drink the tea and not if you don’t – and this study simply can’t show whether it does this or not,” Dr. Conway stressed.
Naveed Sattar, FMedSci FRCPath FRCPGlas FRSE, professor of metabolic medicine at the University of Glasgow, was also cautiously critical. “There is no good trial evidence whatsoever that the chemicals in tea prevent diabetes,” he observed separately.
“So, I suspect its more about tea being healthier (less calorific) than many alternative drinks or tea drinkers leading healthier lives more generally.”
Dr. Sattar added that it could be that people who drink tea might also be avoiding drinking more harmful sugary drinks and have other health behaviors that might lead them to have a lower risk for type 2 diabetes.
Time for tea?
Dr. Li will present the findings of two analyses on Sept. 21 at the EASD meeting: the first a large observational cohort study and the second an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.
For the cohort study, Dr. Li and her coauthors took data on more than 5,100 adults who had participated in the long-running and ongoing China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Information on tea drinking behavior was extracted from questionnaires that had been filled out at two time points – 1997 and 2009 – and they determined whether people had developed type 2 diabetes according to American Diabetes Association criteria.
Nearly half, 45.8%, were found to be tea drinkers, and 10% of the population they sampled had developed type 2 diabetes. No association between tea drinking and type 2 diabetes development was found, however, with the hazard ratio comparing tea drinkers and non–tea drinkers sitting firmly at 1.02. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis that excluded participants who had developed type 2 diabetes in the first 3 years of follow-up did not change the result.
Things were slightly different when Dr. Li and associates performed their meta-analysis that involved analyzing data on more than 1 million participants in 19 studies conducted in eight countries that had been published up to September 2021.
Here, they found there was a significant (P < .003) linear association between tea consumption and having type 2 diabetes, with the relative risk of developing type 2 diabetes decreasing by 0.986 for every additional cup of tea that was drunk.
HRs for the development of type 2 diabetes in tea drinkers versus non–tea drinkers were 1.00 for those who drank less than one cup per day, 0.96 for those who had one to two cups, and 0.84 for those who drank four or more cups.
“While more research needs to be done to determine the exact dosage and mechanisms behind these observations, our findings suggest that drinking tea is beneficial in reducing the risk of type 2 diabetes, but only at high doses (at least 4 cups a day)”, said Dr. Li.
Perhaps, “we did not find an association between tea drinking and type 2 diabetes in our cohort study because we did not look at higher tea consumption,” she added.
Tempest in a teacup
“This is large, observational data. It’s not a randomized controlled trial so there’s plenty of room for data to be misunderstood,” warned Matt Sydes, MSc, professor of clinical trials & methodology at the MRC Clinical Trials Unit, University College London.
“Everyone drinks fluids. If there is an effect here (and that’s a big if), it might be not about the tea they drink, but about what they don’t drink. One can’t tell at the moment. It seems unlikely that a large randomized controlled trial could be done to disambiguate” added Dr. Sydes
“Being only a conference abstract, it is difficult to assess the quality of this research,” Baptiste Leurent, PhD, a medical statistician also working at University College London, said. Not only was the cohort study observational, so were all the other studies included in the meta-analysis, he pointed out.
“Therefore, no cause-effect conclusions can be drawn. The association could simply be due to other factors, such as those drinking more tea having a healthier lifestyle. It does not seem that the authors tried to control for confounders, which is usually difficult in meta-analysis,” Dr. Leurent said.
“There is reason to be a bit skeptical at this point; we really need to have the full details to assess it properly,” said Jonathan Cook of the Centre for Statistics in Medicine at the University of Oxford (England). “It’s a fair attempt to look at this, but not cutting edge, [using] fairly standard approaches.”
Similar studies have shown a reduced risk associated with coffee drinking, noted Duane Mellor, PhD, a registered dietitian and senior teaching fellow at Aston University in Birmingham.
“The important take-home message is that lifestyle is important in managing risk of developing type 2 diabetes,” Dr. Mellor said.
“That includes choosing low-calorie drinks including mainly water as well as unsweetened tea and coffee as your drinks of choice as part of a healthy lifestyle.”
The study was funded by the Young Talents Project of Hubei Provincial Health Commission, the Science and Technology Research Key Project of Education Department of Hubei Province, the Sanuo Diabetes Charity Foundation, and the Xiangyang Science and Technology Plan Project, all based in China. Dr. Li had no conflicts of interest to disclose. Dr. McConway is a Trustee and on the advisory committee of The Science Media Centre. Dr. Sattar has consulted for many companies that make diabetes and cardiovascular drugs and has been involved in multiple trials of lifestyle approaches for the prevention and remission of diabetes. Dr. Sydes, Dr. Leurent, Dr. Cook, and Dr. Mellor had no conflicts of interest to report.
A claim that drinking tea might protect people against developing type 2 diabetes has been met with caution from multiple experts ahead of the annual meeting of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes.
The claim is that people who drink four or more cups of tea every day – specifically green, Oolong, or black tea – are 17% less likely to develop type 2 diabetes than those who do not drink tea. Drinking fewer cups of tea per day was not found to confer any benefit.
“Our results are exciting because they suggest that people can do something as simple as drinking four cups of tea a day to potentially lessen their risk of developing type 2 diabetes,” Xiaying Li of Wuhan (China) University of Science and Technology is quoted as saying in an official EASD press release.
“It is possible that particular components in tea, such as polyphenols, may reduce blood glucose levels, but a sufficient amount of these bioactive compounds may be needed to be effective,” Dr. Li added.
“The words ‘suggest’ and ‘potentially’ are crucial here,” said Kevin McConway, PhD, MSc, MBA, emeritus professor of applied statistics at The Open University, said in a separate statement to the press that reeled in Dr. Li’s enthusiasm.
“Tea drinking would only be useful for reducing diabetes risk if the tea drinking causes reductions in risk, that is, if the risk is reduced if you drink the tea and not if you don’t – and this study simply can’t show whether it does this or not,” Dr. Conway stressed.
Naveed Sattar, FMedSci FRCPath FRCPGlas FRSE, professor of metabolic medicine at the University of Glasgow, was also cautiously critical. “There is no good trial evidence whatsoever that the chemicals in tea prevent diabetes,” he observed separately.
“So, I suspect its more about tea being healthier (less calorific) than many alternative drinks or tea drinkers leading healthier lives more generally.”
Dr. Sattar added that it could be that people who drink tea might also be avoiding drinking more harmful sugary drinks and have other health behaviors that might lead them to have a lower risk for type 2 diabetes.
Time for tea?
Dr. Li will present the findings of two analyses on Sept. 21 at the EASD meeting: the first a large observational cohort study and the second an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.
For the cohort study, Dr. Li and her coauthors took data on more than 5,100 adults who had participated in the long-running and ongoing China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Information on tea drinking behavior was extracted from questionnaires that had been filled out at two time points – 1997 and 2009 – and they determined whether people had developed type 2 diabetes according to American Diabetes Association criteria.
Nearly half, 45.8%, were found to be tea drinkers, and 10% of the population they sampled had developed type 2 diabetes. No association between tea drinking and type 2 diabetes development was found, however, with the hazard ratio comparing tea drinkers and non–tea drinkers sitting firmly at 1.02. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis that excluded participants who had developed type 2 diabetes in the first 3 years of follow-up did not change the result.
Things were slightly different when Dr. Li and associates performed their meta-analysis that involved analyzing data on more than 1 million participants in 19 studies conducted in eight countries that had been published up to September 2021.
Here, they found there was a significant (P < .003) linear association between tea consumption and having type 2 diabetes, with the relative risk of developing type 2 diabetes decreasing by 0.986 for every additional cup of tea that was drunk.
HRs for the development of type 2 diabetes in tea drinkers versus non–tea drinkers were 1.00 for those who drank less than one cup per day, 0.96 for those who had one to two cups, and 0.84 for those who drank four or more cups.
“While more research needs to be done to determine the exact dosage and mechanisms behind these observations, our findings suggest that drinking tea is beneficial in reducing the risk of type 2 diabetes, but only at high doses (at least 4 cups a day)”, said Dr. Li.
Perhaps, “we did not find an association between tea drinking and type 2 diabetes in our cohort study because we did not look at higher tea consumption,” she added.
Tempest in a teacup
“This is large, observational data. It’s not a randomized controlled trial so there’s plenty of room for data to be misunderstood,” warned Matt Sydes, MSc, professor of clinical trials & methodology at the MRC Clinical Trials Unit, University College London.
“Everyone drinks fluids. If there is an effect here (and that’s a big if), it might be not about the tea they drink, but about what they don’t drink. One can’t tell at the moment. It seems unlikely that a large randomized controlled trial could be done to disambiguate” added Dr. Sydes
“Being only a conference abstract, it is difficult to assess the quality of this research,” Baptiste Leurent, PhD, a medical statistician also working at University College London, said. Not only was the cohort study observational, so were all the other studies included in the meta-analysis, he pointed out.
“Therefore, no cause-effect conclusions can be drawn. The association could simply be due to other factors, such as those drinking more tea having a healthier lifestyle. It does not seem that the authors tried to control for confounders, which is usually difficult in meta-analysis,” Dr. Leurent said.
“There is reason to be a bit skeptical at this point; we really need to have the full details to assess it properly,” said Jonathan Cook of the Centre for Statistics in Medicine at the University of Oxford (England). “It’s a fair attempt to look at this, but not cutting edge, [using] fairly standard approaches.”
Similar studies have shown a reduced risk associated with coffee drinking, noted Duane Mellor, PhD, a registered dietitian and senior teaching fellow at Aston University in Birmingham.
“The important take-home message is that lifestyle is important in managing risk of developing type 2 diabetes,” Dr. Mellor said.
“That includes choosing low-calorie drinks including mainly water as well as unsweetened tea and coffee as your drinks of choice as part of a healthy lifestyle.”
The study was funded by the Young Talents Project of Hubei Provincial Health Commission, the Science and Technology Research Key Project of Education Department of Hubei Province, the Sanuo Diabetes Charity Foundation, and the Xiangyang Science and Technology Plan Project, all based in China. Dr. Li had no conflicts of interest to disclose. Dr. McConway is a Trustee and on the advisory committee of The Science Media Centre. Dr. Sattar has consulted for many companies that make diabetes and cardiovascular drugs and has been involved in multiple trials of lifestyle approaches for the prevention and remission of diabetes. Dr. Sydes, Dr. Leurent, Dr. Cook, and Dr. Mellor had no conflicts of interest to report.
type 2 diabetes/tea-drinking claim
type 2 diabetes/tea-drinking claim
FROM EASD 2022
At EASD, docs to eye new tactics for type 2 diabetes
Highlights of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes 2022 annual meeting include new data on weight loss with the blockbuster twincretin tirzepatide and on the effects of dapagliflozin on heart failure in people with diabetes, as well as updated guidelines for type 2 diabetes management.
The EASD meeting will take place Sept. 19-23 in Stockholm. It will be the first in-person meeting since 2019 but will also feature live-streamed content for participants around the world.
“The EASD congress will cover all the different areas and aspects of diabetes research – clinical, basic, epidemiologic, and psychological,” EASD President Stefano Del Prato, MD, told this news organization.
What attendees should expect, said Del Prato of the University of Pisa (Italy), “is the pleasure to be able to participate in person at a meeting and get useful information, not only in terms of the knowledge and intellectual aspects of diabetes, but also something that can be implemented the following day in their daily clinical activities.”
EASD Honorary Secretary Mikael Rydén, MD, added: “I think meeting attendees will really be able to get the absolutely latest developments in all the areas that are relevant to diabetes treatments. It’s the best way to keep yourself up to date.”
This year, in particular, there’s a focus on past, present, and future trends in type 2 diabetes management, along with the co-occurring conditions of obesity, heart failure, and metabolic fatty liver disease.
DELIVER: The diabetes side
On Sept. 22, new data will be presented from the DELIVER trial on the sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor dapagliflozin (Farxiga) in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, comparing data for participants with diabetes, prediabetes, and normoglycemia.
Primary results from DELIVER were presented Aug. 26 at the European Society of Cardiology Congress 2022 in Barcelona and simultaneously published in the New England Journal of Medicine. The results showed that dapagliflozin benefits patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, as previously demonstrated in those with reduced ejection fraction in the DAPA-HF trial.
“This information is quite important and is becoming of major interest in the field of diabetes,” Dr. Del Prato said, adding that a related joint EASD/ESC symposium will take place the next morning, on Sept. 23, entitled, “New perspectives on heart function and failure in diabetes.”
“So, within the congress, you get the background, pathophysiology, the diagnostic aspects, and the results of the effect of dapagliflozin on those individuals.”
Dr. Rydén commented, “I think this underlines how important it is for diabetologists to screen our patients better for heart failure because we can actually treat them now.”
However, Dr. Rydén of the Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, also cautioned about use of SGLT2 inhibitors in people with diabetes who use insulin, given the risk of euglycemic diabetic ketoacidosis. “These drugs have side effects and you have to be wary who you prescribe them to. For those on multiple daily [insulin] injections, the side effects probably outweigh the benefits.”
Tirzepatide, weight loss, and type 2 diabetes remission
On Sept. 21, a symposium will provide new data for the dual glucagonlike peptide-1 (GLP-1) and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) agonist tirzepatide, approved for the treatment of type 2 diabetes in the United States in May with the brand name Mounjaro. The agent is now being studied as an obesity treatment.
Data from the SURMOUNT-1 trial presented at the ADA meeting in June showed the drug produced “unprecedented” weight loss of up to 22.5%.
At EASD, those findings will be reviewed and new data presented on morbidity and mortality, along with a new commentary. The degree of weight loss seen with this new twincretin has furthered discussion about the concept of remission in type 2 diabetes, Dr. Rydén noted. That will also be the subject of the Diabetologia symposium on Sept. 21, entitled, “Remission of type 2 diabetes – fact or fiction?”
Regarding tirzepatide, Dr. Rydén said: “It’s amazing, the most powerful antiobesity drug we have at our disposal. These drugs slow gastric emptying and have other beneficial effects. … We’re now closing in on drugs that produce more than 15% weight loss. That appears to be the ‘magic bullet’ where you can achieve type 2 diabetes remission.” He pointed to a symposium sponsored by The Lancet on this topic at last year’s EASD meeting.
“I think what we want with our drugs is not to treat but actually to combat type 2 diabetes and really to achieve remission. Of course, if you’ve had it for many decades that might be impossible, but we know that particularly in the first 5-10 years it’s very important to have good glucose control and we know we can also achieve remission.”
Dr. Del Prato noted the importance of weight reduction at the time of type 2 diabetes diagnosis will be emphasized in the ADA/EASD consensus document on the management of hyperglycemia in type 2 diabetes, to be presented in its final form on Sept. 23.
“I think we’ll be learning more about potential remission in the future, both because of metabolic surgery and agents like tirzepatide. The reduction in body weight that can be achieved [with these newer drugs], or that has been reported so far, is the closest to what can be obtained with metabolic surgery. I think there will be more and more information and a lot of discussion about this, and of course about the definition of remission and what to do after remission has occurred,” Dr. Del Prato said.
The revised ADA/EASD consensus document is expected to endorse weight loss as a “co-primary goal” of care for those without cardiorenal disease, along with early initiation of combination therapies – for example, taking two drugs immediately upon diagnosis, rather than just metformin – as opposed to the prior stepwise approach. The document will also cover use of newer glucose-lowering therapies, surgery, and behavioral interventions.
The key is a holistic approach, Dr. Del Prato said. “Of course, glucose control is important, but it’s not the only thing. The heterogeneity of the population with diabetes is also important. Some may already have microvascular complications, kidney dysfunction, are more or less obese, and older or younger. We need to keep these differences in mind to provide more and more individualized treatment.”
Related to that, he noted, will be a joint EASD/ADA symposium on Sept. 19, entitled, “Precision medicine in type 2 diabetes: How far can we get?”
COVID-19 and diabetes, UKPDS, type 1 diabetes, and much more
As always, there’s a whole lot more. On Sept. 21, there will be a symposium on COVID-19 and diabetes.
Another, on diabetes technology, has a somewhat cautionary theme: “A new hope (Star Wars) or strange new worlds (Star Trek): Submerging diabetes into emerging technologies.” One of the speakers will address the question: “Are we becoming robots? Automated insulin delivery (AID) systems for everyone with type 1 diabetes: Strengths and limitations.” And this year’s EASD/JDRF symposium topic will be prevention of type 1 diabetes.
Yet another symposium on Sept. 21 will present 44-year follow-up data from the landmark United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS), including an economic analysis and a look at dementia outcomes. “It’s a historical thing. This big trial represents a gold mine of information,” Dr. Del Prato commented.
On Sept. 22, new data will be presented for the investigational once-weekly insulins during a symposium entitled, “Re-inventing the insulin experience: Exploring the prospects of once-weekly insulins.”
And lest anyone was thinking of leaving the conference early, there’s a full agenda on Sept. 23, including symposia on diabetic nephropathy, type 1 diabetes, diabetes in old age, dietary management, and the role of primary care, among others. There will also be 12 separate oral presentation sessions that day.
Overall, the meeting will reflect the multidisciplinary direction the field is headed, Dr. Rydén said.
“We’re still in an era of medicine where a lot of things happen every year. Now we have the next generation of drugs that are coming that combine many areas of treatment – obesity, cardiology, and nephrology. So, we’re integrating. The future is integrating the diabetes world with our friends in other areas of clinical medicine.”
Dr. Del Prato has reported being a consultant, advisory board member, and/or lecturer for AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, Takeda, Eli Lilly, Abbott, and Applied Therapeutics. Dr. Rydén has reported receiving lecture fees from the Novo Nordisk Foundation and serving on advisory boards for MSD, Lilly, Boehringer Ingelheim, and AstraZeneca.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Highlights of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes 2022 annual meeting include new data on weight loss with the blockbuster twincretin tirzepatide and on the effects of dapagliflozin on heart failure in people with diabetes, as well as updated guidelines for type 2 diabetes management.
The EASD meeting will take place Sept. 19-23 in Stockholm. It will be the first in-person meeting since 2019 but will also feature live-streamed content for participants around the world.
“The EASD congress will cover all the different areas and aspects of diabetes research – clinical, basic, epidemiologic, and psychological,” EASD President Stefano Del Prato, MD, told this news organization.
What attendees should expect, said Del Prato of the University of Pisa (Italy), “is the pleasure to be able to participate in person at a meeting and get useful information, not only in terms of the knowledge and intellectual aspects of diabetes, but also something that can be implemented the following day in their daily clinical activities.”
EASD Honorary Secretary Mikael Rydén, MD, added: “I think meeting attendees will really be able to get the absolutely latest developments in all the areas that are relevant to diabetes treatments. It’s the best way to keep yourself up to date.”
This year, in particular, there’s a focus on past, present, and future trends in type 2 diabetes management, along with the co-occurring conditions of obesity, heart failure, and metabolic fatty liver disease.
DELIVER: The diabetes side
On Sept. 22, new data will be presented from the DELIVER trial on the sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor dapagliflozin (Farxiga) in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, comparing data for participants with diabetes, prediabetes, and normoglycemia.
Primary results from DELIVER were presented Aug. 26 at the European Society of Cardiology Congress 2022 in Barcelona and simultaneously published in the New England Journal of Medicine. The results showed that dapagliflozin benefits patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, as previously demonstrated in those with reduced ejection fraction in the DAPA-HF trial.
“This information is quite important and is becoming of major interest in the field of diabetes,” Dr. Del Prato said, adding that a related joint EASD/ESC symposium will take place the next morning, on Sept. 23, entitled, “New perspectives on heart function and failure in diabetes.”
“So, within the congress, you get the background, pathophysiology, the diagnostic aspects, and the results of the effect of dapagliflozin on those individuals.”
Dr. Rydén commented, “I think this underlines how important it is for diabetologists to screen our patients better for heart failure because we can actually treat them now.”
However, Dr. Rydén of the Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, also cautioned about use of SGLT2 inhibitors in people with diabetes who use insulin, given the risk of euglycemic diabetic ketoacidosis. “These drugs have side effects and you have to be wary who you prescribe them to. For those on multiple daily [insulin] injections, the side effects probably outweigh the benefits.”
Tirzepatide, weight loss, and type 2 diabetes remission
On Sept. 21, a symposium will provide new data for the dual glucagonlike peptide-1 (GLP-1) and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) agonist tirzepatide, approved for the treatment of type 2 diabetes in the United States in May with the brand name Mounjaro. The agent is now being studied as an obesity treatment.
Data from the SURMOUNT-1 trial presented at the ADA meeting in June showed the drug produced “unprecedented” weight loss of up to 22.5%.
At EASD, those findings will be reviewed and new data presented on morbidity and mortality, along with a new commentary. The degree of weight loss seen with this new twincretin has furthered discussion about the concept of remission in type 2 diabetes, Dr. Rydén noted. That will also be the subject of the Diabetologia symposium on Sept. 21, entitled, “Remission of type 2 diabetes – fact or fiction?”
Regarding tirzepatide, Dr. Rydén said: “It’s amazing, the most powerful antiobesity drug we have at our disposal. These drugs slow gastric emptying and have other beneficial effects. … We’re now closing in on drugs that produce more than 15% weight loss. That appears to be the ‘magic bullet’ where you can achieve type 2 diabetes remission.” He pointed to a symposium sponsored by The Lancet on this topic at last year’s EASD meeting.
“I think what we want with our drugs is not to treat but actually to combat type 2 diabetes and really to achieve remission. Of course, if you’ve had it for many decades that might be impossible, but we know that particularly in the first 5-10 years it’s very important to have good glucose control and we know we can also achieve remission.”
Dr. Del Prato noted the importance of weight reduction at the time of type 2 diabetes diagnosis will be emphasized in the ADA/EASD consensus document on the management of hyperglycemia in type 2 diabetes, to be presented in its final form on Sept. 23.
“I think we’ll be learning more about potential remission in the future, both because of metabolic surgery and agents like tirzepatide. The reduction in body weight that can be achieved [with these newer drugs], or that has been reported so far, is the closest to what can be obtained with metabolic surgery. I think there will be more and more information and a lot of discussion about this, and of course about the definition of remission and what to do after remission has occurred,” Dr. Del Prato said.
The revised ADA/EASD consensus document is expected to endorse weight loss as a “co-primary goal” of care for those without cardiorenal disease, along with early initiation of combination therapies – for example, taking two drugs immediately upon diagnosis, rather than just metformin – as opposed to the prior stepwise approach. The document will also cover use of newer glucose-lowering therapies, surgery, and behavioral interventions.
The key is a holistic approach, Dr. Del Prato said. “Of course, glucose control is important, but it’s not the only thing. The heterogeneity of the population with diabetes is also important. Some may already have microvascular complications, kidney dysfunction, are more or less obese, and older or younger. We need to keep these differences in mind to provide more and more individualized treatment.”
Related to that, he noted, will be a joint EASD/ADA symposium on Sept. 19, entitled, “Precision medicine in type 2 diabetes: How far can we get?”
COVID-19 and diabetes, UKPDS, type 1 diabetes, and much more
As always, there’s a whole lot more. On Sept. 21, there will be a symposium on COVID-19 and diabetes.
Another, on diabetes technology, has a somewhat cautionary theme: “A new hope (Star Wars) or strange new worlds (Star Trek): Submerging diabetes into emerging technologies.” One of the speakers will address the question: “Are we becoming robots? Automated insulin delivery (AID) systems for everyone with type 1 diabetes: Strengths and limitations.” And this year’s EASD/JDRF symposium topic will be prevention of type 1 diabetes.
Yet another symposium on Sept. 21 will present 44-year follow-up data from the landmark United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS), including an economic analysis and a look at dementia outcomes. “It’s a historical thing. This big trial represents a gold mine of information,” Dr. Del Prato commented.
On Sept. 22, new data will be presented for the investigational once-weekly insulins during a symposium entitled, “Re-inventing the insulin experience: Exploring the prospects of once-weekly insulins.”
And lest anyone was thinking of leaving the conference early, there’s a full agenda on Sept. 23, including symposia on diabetic nephropathy, type 1 diabetes, diabetes in old age, dietary management, and the role of primary care, among others. There will also be 12 separate oral presentation sessions that day.
Overall, the meeting will reflect the multidisciplinary direction the field is headed, Dr. Rydén said.
“We’re still in an era of medicine where a lot of things happen every year. Now we have the next generation of drugs that are coming that combine many areas of treatment – obesity, cardiology, and nephrology. So, we’re integrating. The future is integrating the diabetes world with our friends in other areas of clinical medicine.”
Dr. Del Prato has reported being a consultant, advisory board member, and/or lecturer for AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, Takeda, Eli Lilly, Abbott, and Applied Therapeutics. Dr. Rydén has reported receiving lecture fees from the Novo Nordisk Foundation and serving on advisory boards for MSD, Lilly, Boehringer Ingelheim, and AstraZeneca.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
Highlights of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes 2022 annual meeting include new data on weight loss with the blockbuster twincretin tirzepatide and on the effects of dapagliflozin on heart failure in people with diabetes, as well as updated guidelines for type 2 diabetes management.
The EASD meeting will take place Sept. 19-23 in Stockholm. It will be the first in-person meeting since 2019 but will also feature live-streamed content for participants around the world.
“The EASD congress will cover all the different areas and aspects of diabetes research – clinical, basic, epidemiologic, and psychological,” EASD President Stefano Del Prato, MD, told this news organization.
What attendees should expect, said Del Prato of the University of Pisa (Italy), “is the pleasure to be able to participate in person at a meeting and get useful information, not only in terms of the knowledge and intellectual aspects of diabetes, but also something that can be implemented the following day in their daily clinical activities.”
EASD Honorary Secretary Mikael Rydén, MD, added: “I think meeting attendees will really be able to get the absolutely latest developments in all the areas that are relevant to diabetes treatments. It’s the best way to keep yourself up to date.”
This year, in particular, there’s a focus on past, present, and future trends in type 2 diabetes management, along with the co-occurring conditions of obesity, heart failure, and metabolic fatty liver disease.
DELIVER: The diabetes side
On Sept. 22, new data will be presented from the DELIVER trial on the sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor dapagliflozin (Farxiga) in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, comparing data for participants with diabetes, prediabetes, and normoglycemia.
Primary results from DELIVER were presented Aug. 26 at the European Society of Cardiology Congress 2022 in Barcelona and simultaneously published in the New England Journal of Medicine. The results showed that dapagliflozin benefits patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, as previously demonstrated in those with reduced ejection fraction in the DAPA-HF trial.
“This information is quite important and is becoming of major interest in the field of diabetes,” Dr. Del Prato said, adding that a related joint EASD/ESC symposium will take place the next morning, on Sept. 23, entitled, “New perspectives on heart function and failure in diabetes.”
“So, within the congress, you get the background, pathophysiology, the diagnostic aspects, and the results of the effect of dapagliflozin on those individuals.”
Dr. Rydén commented, “I think this underlines how important it is for diabetologists to screen our patients better for heart failure because we can actually treat them now.”
However, Dr. Rydén of the Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, also cautioned about use of SGLT2 inhibitors in people with diabetes who use insulin, given the risk of euglycemic diabetic ketoacidosis. “These drugs have side effects and you have to be wary who you prescribe them to. For those on multiple daily [insulin] injections, the side effects probably outweigh the benefits.”
Tirzepatide, weight loss, and type 2 diabetes remission
On Sept. 21, a symposium will provide new data for the dual glucagonlike peptide-1 (GLP-1) and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) agonist tirzepatide, approved for the treatment of type 2 diabetes in the United States in May with the brand name Mounjaro. The agent is now being studied as an obesity treatment.
Data from the SURMOUNT-1 trial presented at the ADA meeting in June showed the drug produced “unprecedented” weight loss of up to 22.5%.
At EASD, those findings will be reviewed and new data presented on morbidity and mortality, along with a new commentary. The degree of weight loss seen with this new twincretin has furthered discussion about the concept of remission in type 2 diabetes, Dr. Rydén noted. That will also be the subject of the Diabetologia symposium on Sept. 21, entitled, “Remission of type 2 diabetes – fact or fiction?”
Regarding tirzepatide, Dr. Rydén said: “It’s amazing, the most powerful antiobesity drug we have at our disposal. These drugs slow gastric emptying and have other beneficial effects. … We’re now closing in on drugs that produce more than 15% weight loss. That appears to be the ‘magic bullet’ where you can achieve type 2 diabetes remission.” He pointed to a symposium sponsored by The Lancet on this topic at last year’s EASD meeting.
“I think what we want with our drugs is not to treat but actually to combat type 2 diabetes and really to achieve remission. Of course, if you’ve had it for many decades that might be impossible, but we know that particularly in the first 5-10 years it’s very important to have good glucose control and we know we can also achieve remission.”
Dr. Del Prato noted the importance of weight reduction at the time of type 2 diabetes diagnosis will be emphasized in the ADA/EASD consensus document on the management of hyperglycemia in type 2 diabetes, to be presented in its final form on Sept. 23.
“I think we’ll be learning more about potential remission in the future, both because of metabolic surgery and agents like tirzepatide. The reduction in body weight that can be achieved [with these newer drugs], or that has been reported so far, is the closest to what can be obtained with metabolic surgery. I think there will be more and more information and a lot of discussion about this, and of course about the definition of remission and what to do after remission has occurred,” Dr. Del Prato said.
The revised ADA/EASD consensus document is expected to endorse weight loss as a “co-primary goal” of care for those without cardiorenal disease, along with early initiation of combination therapies – for example, taking two drugs immediately upon diagnosis, rather than just metformin – as opposed to the prior stepwise approach. The document will also cover use of newer glucose-lowering therapies, surgery, and behavioral interventions.
The key is a holistic approach, Dr. Del Prato said. “Of course, glucose control is important, but it’s not the only thing. The heterogeneity of the population with diabetes is also important. Some may already have microvascular complications, kidney dysfunction, are more or less obese, and older or younger. We need to keep these differences in mind to provide more and more individualized treatment.”
Related to that, he noted, will be a joint EASD/ADA symposium on Sept. 19, entitled, “Precision medicine in type 2 diabetes: How far can we get?”
COVID-19 and diabetes, UKPDS, type 1 diabetes, and much more
As always, there’s a whole lot more. On Sept. 21, there will be a symposium on COVID-19 and diabetes.
Another, on diabetes technology, has a somewhat cautionary theme: “A new hope (Star Wars) or strange new worlds (Star Trek): Submerging diabetes into emerging technologies.” One of the speakers will address the question: “Are we becoming robots? Automated insulin delivery (AID) systems for everyone with type 1 diabetes: Strengths and limitations.” And this year’s EASD/JDRF symposium topic will be prevention of type 1 diabetes.
Yet another symposium on Sept. 21 will present 44-year follow-up data from the landmark United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS), including an economic analysis and a look at dementia outcomes. “It’s a historical thing. This big trial represents a gold mine of information,” Dr. Del Prato commented.
On Sept. 22, new data will be presented for the investigational once-weekly insulins during a symposium entitled, “Re-inventing the insulin experience: Exploring the prospects of once-weekly insulins.”
And lest anyone was thinking of leaving the conference early, there’s a full agenda on Sept. 23, including symposia on diabetic nephropathy, type 1 diabetes, diabetes in old age, dietary management, and the role of primary care, among others. There will also be 12 separate oral presentation sessions that day.
Overall, the meeting will reflect the multidisciplinary direction the field is headed, Dr. Rydén said.
“We’re still in an era of medicine where a lot of things happen every year. Now we have the next generation of drugs that are coming that combine many areas of treatment – obesity, cardiology, and nephrology. So, we’re integrating. The future is integrating the diabetes world with our friends in other areas of clinical medicine.”
Dr. Del Prato has reported being a consultant, advisory board member, and/or lecturer for AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, Takeda, Eli Lilly, Abbott, and Applied Therapeutics. Dr. Rydén has reported receiving lecture fees from the Novo Nordisk Foundation and serving on advisory boards for MSD, Lilly, Boehringer Ingelheim, and AstraZeneca.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
COVID-19 linked to increased Alzheimer’s risk
The study of more than 6 million people aged 65 years or older found a 50%-80% increased risk for AD in the year after COVID-19; the risk was especially high for women older than 85 years.
However, the investigators were quick to point out that the observational retrospective study offers no evidence that COVID-19 causes AD. There could be a viral etiology at play, or the connection could be related to inflammation in neural tissue from the SARS-CoV-2 infection. Or it could simply be that exposure to the health care system for COVID-19 increased the odds of detection of existing undiagnosed AD cases.
Whatever the case, these findings point to a potential spike in AD cases, which is a cause for concern, study investigator Pamela Davis, MD, PhD, a professor in the Center for Community Health Integration at Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, said in an interview.
“COVID may be giving us a legacy of ongoing medical difficulties,” Dr. Davis said. “We were already concerned about having a very large care burden and cost burden from Alzheimer’s disease. If this is another burden that’s increased by COVID, this is something we’re really going to have to prepare for.”
The findings were published online in Journal of Alzheimer’s Disease.
Increased risk
Earlier research points to a potential link between COVID-19 and increased risk for AD and Parkinson’s disease.
For the current study, researchers analyzed anonymous electronic health records of 6.2 million adults aged 65 years or older who received medical treatment between February 2020 and May 2021 and had no prior diagnosis of AD. The database includes information on almost 30% of the entire U.S. population.
Overall, there were 410,748 cases of COVID-19 during the study period.
The overall risk for new diagnosis of AD in the COVID-19 cohort was close to double that of those who did not have COVID-19 (0.68% vs. 0.35%, respectively).
After propensity-score matching, those who have had COVID-19 had a significantly higher risk for an AD diagnosis compared with those who were not infected (hazard ratio [HR], 1.69; 95% confidence interval [CI],1.53-1.72).
Risk for AD was elevated in all age groups, regardless of gender or ethnicity. Researchers did not collect data on COVID-19 severity, and the medical codes for long COVID were not published until after the study had ended.
Those with the highest risk were individuals older than 85 years (HR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.73-2.07) and women (HR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.69-1.97).
“We expected to see some impact, but I was surprised that it was as potent as it was,” Dr. Davis said.
Association, not causation
Heather Snyder, PhD, Alzheimer’s Association vice president of medical and scientific relations, who commented on the findings for this article, called the study interesting but emphasized caution in interpreting the results.
“Because this study only showed an association through medical records, we cannot know what the underlying mechanisms driving this association are without more research,” Dr. Snyder said. “If you have had COVID-19, it doesn’t mean you’re going to get dementia. But if you have had COVID-19 and are experiencing long-term symptoms including cognitive difficulties, talk to your doctor.”
Dr. Davis agreed, noting that this type of study offers information on association, but not causation. “I do think that this makes it imperative that we continue to follow the population for what’s going on in various neurodegenerative diseases,” Dr. Davis said.
The study was funded by the National Institute of Aging, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, the Clinical and Translational Science Collaborative of Cleveland, and the National Cancer Institute. Dr. Synder reports no relevant financial conflicts.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
The study of more than 6 million people aged 65 years or older found a 50%-80% increased risk for AD in the year after COVID-19; the risk was especially high for women older than 85 years.
However, the investigators were quick to point out that the observational retrospective study offers no evidence that COVID-19 causes AD. There could be a viral etiology at play, or the connection could be related to inflammation in neural tissue from the SARS-CoV-2 infection. Or it could simply be that exposure to the health care system for COVID-19 increased the odds of detection of existing undiagnosed AD cases.
Whatever the case, these findings point to a potential spike in AD cases, which is a cause for concern, study investigator Pamela Davis, MD, PhD, a professor in the Center for Community Health Integration at Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, said in an interview.
“COVID may be giving us a legacy of ongoing medical difficulties,” Dr. Davis said. “We were already concerned about having a very large care burden and cost burden from Alzheimer’s disease. If this is another burden that’s increased by COVID, this is something we’re really going to have to prepare for.”
The findings were published online in Journal of Alzheimer’s Disease.
Increased risk
Earlier research points to a potential link between COVID-19 and increased risk for AD and Parkinson’s disease.
For the current study, researchers analyzed anonymous electronic health records of 6.2 million adults aged 65 years or older who received medical treatment between February 2020 and May 2021 and had no prior diagnosis of AD. The database includes information on almost 30% of the entire U.S. population.
Overall, there were 410,748 cases of COVID-19 during the study period.
The overall risk for new diagnosis of AD in the COVID-19 cohort was close to double that of those who did not have COVID-19 (0.68% vs. 0.35%, respectively).
After propensity-score matching, those who have had COVID-19 had a significantly higher risk for an AD diagnosis compared with those who were not infected (hazard ratio [HR], 1.69; 95% confidence interval [CI],1.53-1.72).
Risk for AD was elevated in all age groups, regardless of gender or ethnicity. Researchers did not collect data on COVID-19 severity, and the medical codes for long COVID were not published until after the study had ended.
Those with the highest risk were individuals older than 85 years (HR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.73-2.07) and women (HR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.69-1.97).
“We expected to see some impact, but I was surprised that it was as potent as it was,” Dr. Davis said.
Association, not causation
Heather Snyder, PhD, Alzheimer’s Association vice president of medical and scientific relations, who commented on the findings for this article, called the study interesting but emphasized caution in interpreting the results.
“Because this study only showed an association through medical records, we cannot know what the underlying mechanisms driving this association are without more research,” Dr. Snyder said. “If you have had COVID-19, it doesn’t mean you’re going to get dementia. But if you have had COVID-19 and are experiencing long-term symptoms including cognitive difficulties, talk to your doctor.”
Dr. Davis agreed, noting that this type of study offers information on association, but not causation. “I do think that this makes it imperative that we continue to follow the population for what’s going on in various neurodegenerative diseases,” Dr. Davis said.
The study was funded by the National Institute of Aging, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, the Clinical and Translational Science Collaborative of Cleveland, and the National Cancer Institute. Dr. Synder reports no relevant financial conflicts.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
The study of more than 6 million people aged 65 years or older found a 50%-80% increased risk for AD in the year after COVID-19; the risk was especially high for women older than 85 years.
However, the investigators were quick to point out that the observational retrospective study offers no evidence that COVID-19 causes AD. There could be a viral etiology at play, or the connection could be related to inflammation in neural tissue from the SARS-CoV-2 infection. Or it could simply be that exposure to the health care system for COVID-19 increased the odds of detection of existing undiagnosed AD cases.
Whatever the case, these findings point to a potential spike in AD cases, which is a cause for concern, study investigator Pamela Davis, MD, PhD, a professor in the Center for Community Health Integration at Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, said in an interview.
“COVID may be giving us a legacy of ongoing medical difficulties,” Dr. Davis said. “We were already concerned about having a very large care burden and cost burden from Alzheimer’s disease. If this is another burden that’s increased by COVID, this is something we’re really going to have to prepare for.”
The findings were published online in Journal of Alzheimer’s Disease.
Increased risk
Earlier research points to a potential link between COVID-19 and increased risk for AD and Parkinson’s disease.
For the current study, researchers analyzed anonymous electronic health records of 6.2 million adults aged 65 years or older who received medical treatment between February 2020 and May 2021 and had no prior diagnosis of AD. The database includes information on almost 30% of the entire U.S. population.
Overall, there were 410,748 cases of COVID-19 during the study period.
The overall risk for new diagnosis of AD in the COVID-19 cohort was close to double that of those who did not have COVID-19 (0.68% vs. 0.35%, respectively).
After propensity-score matching, those who have had COVID-19 had a significantly higher risk for an AD diagnosis compared with those who were not infected (hazard ratio [HR], 1.69; 95% confidence interval [CI],1.53-1.72).
Risk for AD was elevated in all age groups, regardless of gender or ethnicity. Researchers did not collect data on COVID-19 severity, and the medical codes for long COVID were not published until after the study had ended.
Those with the highest risk were individuals older than 85 years (HR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.73-2.07) and women (HR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.69-1.97).
“We expected to see some impact, but I was surprised that it was as potent as it was,” Dr. Davis said.
Association, not causation
Heather Snyder, PhD, Alzheimer’s Association vice president of medical and scientific relations, who commented on the findings for this article, called the study interesting but emphasized caution in interpreting the results.
“Because this study only showed an association through medical records, we cannot know what the underlying mechanisms driving this association are without more research,” Dr. Snyder said. “If you have had COVID-19, it doesn’t mean you’re going to get dementia. But if you have had COVID-19 and are experiencing long-term symptoms including cognitive difficulties, talk to your doctor.”
Dr. Davis agreed, noting that this type of study offers information on association, but not causation. “I do think that this makes it imperative that we continue to follow the population for what’s going on in various neurodegenerative diseases,” Dr. Davis said.
The study was funded by the National Institute of Aging, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, the Clinical and Translational Science Collaborative of Cleveland, and the National Cancer Institute. Dr. Synder reports no relevant financial conflicts.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
FROM THE JOURNAL OF ALZHEIMER’S DISEASE