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Risk of stent infection low, but may be underreported
Infections of coronary stents appear to be uncommon, but it is not clear if they are often missed, underreported, or truly rare, according to a new analysis.
In a search of multiple databases, 79 cases of coronary stent infections (CSI) were found in 65 published reports, according to Venkatakrishnan Ramakumar, MBBS, MD, department of cardiology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi.
Over the period of evaluation, which had no defined starting point but stretched to November 2021, the 79 infections reported worldwide occurred when millions of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) procedures were performed. In the United States alone, the current estimated annual number of PCIs is 600,000, according to an article published in the Journal of the American Heart Association.
If the number of reported CSI cases represented even a modest fraction of those that occurred, the risk would still be almost negligible. Yet, Dr. Ramakumar insisted that there has been little attention paid to the potential for CSI, creating a situation in which many or almost all cases are simply being missed.
“We do not know how many infections have gone unrecognized,” Dr. Ramakumar said in presenting his results at the Cardiovascular Research Technologies conference, sponsored by MedStar Heart & Vascular Institute. And even if they are identified and promptly treated, there “is the potential for a publication bias,” he added, referring to the reluctance of investigators to submit and publishers to accept manuscripts with negative results.
Regardless of the frequency with which they occur, CSI is associated with bad outcomes, according to the data evaluated by Dr. Ramakumar. On the basis of in-hospital mortality, the primary endpoint of this analysis, the rate of death in patients developing CSI was 30.3%.
Successful treatment varied by hospital type
This risk was not uniform. Rather, rates of in-hospital mortality and proportion of patients treated successfully varied substantially by type of hospital. At private teaching hospitals for example, successful treatment – whether medical alone or followed by bailout surgery – was 80%. The rates fell to 40% at public teaching hospitals and then to 25% at private nonteaching hospitals.
The full-text articles included in this analysis were evaluated and selected by two reviewers working independently. A CSI diagnosis made clinically or with imaging and treatment outcomes were among criteria for the case studies to be included. Dr. Ramakumar said the study, which he claimed is the largest systematic review of CSI ever conducted, has been registered with PROSPERO, an international prospective registry of systematic reviews.
The presenting symptom was fever in 72% of cases and chest pain in the others, although there was one asymptomatic CSI reported. On angiography, 62% had a concomitant mycotic aneurysm. Intramyocardial abscess (13.9%), rupture (11.3%), and coronary fistula (7.5%) were also common findings, but no angiographic abnormalities could be identified in 53% of patients.
Following PCI, most CSI developed within 8 days (43%) or the first month (23%), but CSI was reported more than 6 months after the procedure in 19%. Complex PCI accounted for 51% of cases. Of stent types, 56% were drug eluting and 13% were bare metal.
When comparing characteristics of those who survived CSI with those who did not, most (89%) of those with a non–ST-segment elevated acute coronary syndrome ultimately survived, while survival from CSI in those with structural heart disease was only 17%.
Microbiological findings were not a criterion for study inclusion, but Staphylococcus species accounted for 65% of the infections for which positive cultures were reported. Pseudomonas accounted for 13%. Less than 4% (3.8%) tested positive for multiple pathogens. A small proportion of patients had unusual infectious organisms.
As part of this analysis, the investigators developed an artificial intelligence model to predict CSI based on patient characteristics and other variables. However, the specificity of only around 70% led Dr. Ramakumar to conclude that it does not yet have practical value.
However, he believes that better methodology to detect CSI is needed, and he proposed a diagnostic algorithm that he believes would both improve detection rates and accelerate the time to diagnosis.
Algorithm proposed for detection of CSI
In this algorithm, the first step in symptomatic patients with a positive blood culture suspected of CSI is imaging, such as transthoracic echocardiography, to identify features of infective endocarditis or endarteritis. If the imaging is positive, further imaging, such as PET, that supports the diagnosis, should be adequate to support a diagnosis and treatment.
If initial imaging is negative, alternative diagnoses should be considered, but Dr. Ramakumar advised repeat imaging after 48 hours if symptoms persist and no other causes are found.
Dr. Ramakumar acknowledged the many limitations of this analysis, including the small sample size and the challenges of assembling coherent data from case reports with variable types of information submitted during different eras of PCI evolution. However, reiterating that CSI might be frequently missed, he emphasized that this problem might be bigger than currently understood.
It is difficult to rule out any possibility that CSI is frequently missed, but Andrew Sharp, MD, PhD, a consultant interventional cardiologist at the University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, is skeptical.
“One might think this is a potential problem, but I cannot think of one patient in whom this has occurred,” Dr. Sharp said in an interview. He is fairly confident that they are extremely rare.
“When there is infection associated with a foreign body, such as a pacemaker, they do not typically resolve by themselves,” he explained. “Often the device has to be removed. If this was true for CSI, then I think we would be aware of these complications.”
However, he praised the investigators for taking a look at CSI in a systematic approach. An invited panelist during the CRT featured research, which is where these data were presented, Dr. Sharp was more interested in understanding why they do not occur now that data are available to suggest they are rare.
“Is there something in the coronary environment, such as the consistent blood flow, that protects against infection?” he asked. CSI is a valid area of further research, according to Dr. Sharp, but he does not consider infected stents to be a common threat based on his own sizable case series.
Dr. Ramakumar and Dr. Sharp reported no potential conflicts of interest.
Infections of coronary stents appear to be uncommon, but it is not clear if they are often missed, underreported, or truly rare, according to a new analysis.
In a search of multiple databases, 79 cases of coronary stent infections (CSI) were found in 65 published reports, according to Venkatakrishnan Ramakumar, MBBS, MD, department of cardiology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi.
Over the period of evaluation, which had no defined starting point but stretched to November 2021, the 79 infections reported worldwide occurred when millions of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) procedures were performed. In the United States alone, the current estimated annual number of PCIs is 600,000, according to an article published in the Journal of the American Heart Association.
If the number of reported CSI cases represented even a modest fraction of those that occurred, the risk would still be almost negligible. Yet, Dr. Ramakumar insisted that there has been little attention paid to the potential for CSI, creating a situation in which many or almost all cases are simply being missed.
“We do not know how many infections have gone unrecognized,” Dr. Ramakumar said in presenting his results at the Cardiovascular Research Technologies conference, sponsored by MedStar Heart & Vascular Institute. And even if they are identified and promptly treated, there “is the potential for a publication bias,” he added, referring to the reluctance of investigators to submit and publishers to accept manuscripts with negative results.
Regardless of the frequency with which they occur, CSI is associated with bad outcomes, according to the data evaluated by Dr. Ramakumar. On the basis of in-hospital mortality, the primary endpoint of this analysis, the rate of death in patients developing CSI was 30.3%.
Successful treatment varied by hospital type
This risk was not uniform. Rather, rates of in-hospital mortality and proportion of patients treated successfully varied substantially by type of hospital. At private teaching hospitals for example, successful treatment – whether medical alone or followed by bailout surgery – was 80%. The rates fell to 40% at public teaching hospitals and then to 25% at private nonteaching hospitals.
The full-text articles included in this analysis were evaluated and selected by two reviewers working independently. A CSI diagnosis made clinically or with imaging and treatment outcomes were among criteria for the case studies to be included. Dr. Ramakumar said the study, which he claimed is the largest systematic review of CSI ever conducted, has been registered with PROSPERO, an international prospective registry of systematic reviews.
The presenting symptom was fever in 72% of cases and chest pain in the others, although there was one asymptomatic CSI reported. On angiography, 62% had a concomitant mycotic aneurysm. Intramyocardial abscess (13.9%), rupture (11.3%), and coronary fistula (7.5%) were also common findings, but no angiographic abnormalities could be identified in 53% of patients.
Following PCI, most CSI developed within 8 days (43%) or the first month (23%), but CSI was reported more than 6 months after the procedure in 19%. Complex PCI accounted for 51% of cases. Of stent types, 56% were drug eluting and 13% were bare metal.
When comparing characteristics of those who survived CSI with those who did not, most (89%) of those with a non–ST-segment elevated acute coronary syndrome ultimately survived, while survival from CSI in those with structural heart disease was only 17%.
Microbiological findings were not a criterion for study inclusion, but Staphylococcus species accounted for 65% of the infections for which positive cultures were reported. Pseudomonas accounted for 13%. Less than 4% (3.8%) tested positive for multiple pathogens. A small proportion of patients had unusual infectious organisms.
As part of this analysis, the investigators developed an artificial intelligence model to predict CSI based on patient characteristics and other variables. However, the specificity of only around 70% led Dr. Ramakumar to conclude that it does not yet have practical value.
However, he believes that better methodology to detect CSI is needed, and he proposed a diagnostic algorithm that he believes would both improve detection rates and accelerate the time to diagnosis.
Algorithm proposed for detection of CSI
In this algorithm, the first step in symptomatic patients with a positive blood culture suspected of CSI is imaging, such as transthoracic echocardiography, to identify features of infective endocarditis or endarteritis. If the imaging is positive, further imaging, such as PET, that supports the diagnosis, should be adequate to support a diagnosis and treatment.
If initial imaging is negative, alternative diagnoses should be considered, but Dr. Ramakumar advised repeat imaging after 48 hours if symptoms persist and no other causes are found.
Dr. Ramakumar acknowledged the many limitations of this analysis, including the small sample size and the challenges of assembling coherent data from case reports with variable types of information submitted during different eras of PCI evolution. However, reiterating that CSI might be frequently missed, he emphasized that this problem might be bigger than currently understood.
It is difficult to rule out any possibility that CSI is frequently missed, but Andrew Sharp, MD, PhD, a consultant interventional cardiologist at the University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, is skeptical.
“One might think this is a potential problem, but I cannot think of one patient in whom this has occurred,” Dr. Sharp said in an interview. He is fairly confident that they are extremely rare.
“When there is infection associated with a foreign body, such as a pacemaker, they do not typically resolve by themselves,” he explained. “Often the device has to be removed. If this was true for CSI, then I think we would be aware of these complications.”
However, he praised the investigators for taking a look at CSI in a systematic approach. An invited panelist during the CRT featured research, which is where these data were presented, Dr. Sharp was more interested in understanding why they do not occur now that data are available to suggest they are rare.
“Is there something in the coronary environment, such as the consistent blood flow, that protects against infection?” he asked. CSI is a valid area of further research, according to Dr. Sharp, but he does not consider infected stents to be a common threat based on his own sizable case series.
Dr. Ramakumar and Dr. Sharp reported no potential conflicts of interest.
Infections of coronary stents appear to be uncommon, but it is not clear if they are often missed, underreported, or truly rare, according to a new analysis.
In a search of multiple databases, 79 cases of coronary stent infections (CSI) were found in 65 published reports, according to Venkatakrishnan Ramakumar, MBBS, MD, department of cardiology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi.
Over the period of evaluation, which had no defined starting point but stretched to November 2021, the 79 infections reported worldwide occurred when millions of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) procedures were performed. In the United States alone, the current estimated annual number of PCIs is 600,000, according to an article published in the Journal of the American Heart Association.
If the number of reported CSI cases represented even a modest fraction of those that occurred, the risk would still be almost negligible. Yet, Dr. Ramakumar insisted that there has been little attention paid to the potential for CSI, creating a situation in which many or almost all cases are simply being missed.
“We do not know how many infections have gone unrecognized,” Dr. Ramakumar said in presenting his results at the Cardiovascular Research Technologies conference, sponsored by MedStar Heart & Vascular Institute. And even if they are identified and promptly treated, there “is the potential for a publication bias,” he added, referring to the reluctance of investigators to submit and publishers to accept manuscripts with negative results.
Regardless of the frequency with which they occur, CSI is associated with bad outcomes, according to the data evaluated by Dr. Ramakumar. On the basis of in-hospital mortality, the primary endpoint of this analysis, the rate of death in patients developing CSI was 30.3%.
Successful treatment varied by hospital type
This risk was not uniform. Rather, rates of in-hospital mortality and proportion of patients treated successfully varied substantially by type of hospital. At private teaching hospitals for example, successful treatment – whether medical alone or followed by bailout surgery – was 80%. The rates fell to 40% at public teaching hospitals and then to 25% at private nonteaching hospitals.
The full-text articles included in this analysis were evaluated and selected by two reviewers working independently. A CSI diagnosis made clinically or with imaging and treatment outcomes were among criteria for the case studies to be included. Dr. Ramakumar said the study, which he claimed is the largest systematic review of CSI ever conducted, has been registered with PROSPERO, an international prospective registry of systematic reviews.
The presenting symptom was fever in 72% of cases and chest pain in the others, although there was one asymptomatic CSI reported. On angiography, 62% had a concomitant mycotic aneurysm. Intramyocardial abscess (13.9%), rupture (11.3%), and coronary fistula (7.5%) were also common findings, but no angiographic abnormalities could be identified in 53% of patients.
Following PCI, most CSI developed within 8 days (43%) or the first month (23%), but CSI was reported more than 6 months after the procedure in 19%. Complex PCI accounted for 51% of cases. Of stent types, 56% were drug eluting and 13% were bare metal.
When comparing characteristics of those who survived CSI with those who did not, most (89%) of those with a non–ST-segment elevated acute coronary syndrome ultimately survived, while survival from CSI in those with structural heart disease was only 17%.
Microbiological findings were not a criterion for study inclusion, but Staphylococcus species accounted for 65% of the infections for which positive cultures were reported. Pseudomonas accounted for 13%. Less than 4% (3.8%) tested positive for multiple pathogens. A small proportion of patients had unusual infectious organisms.
As part of this analysis, the investigators developed an artificial intelligence model to predict CSI based on patient characteristics and other variables. However, the specificity of only around 70% led Dr. Ramakumar to conclude that it does not yet have practical value.
However, he believes that better methodology to detect CSI is needed, and he proposed a diagnostic algorithm that he believes would both improve detection rates and accelerate the time to diagnosis.
Algorithm proposed for detection of CSI
In this algorithm, the first step in symptomatic patients with a positive blood culture suspected of CSI is imaging, such as transthoracic echocardiography, to identify features of infective endocarditis or endarteritis. If the imaging is positive, further imaging, such as PET, that supports the diagnosis, should be adequate to support a diagnosis and treatment.
If initial imaging is negative, alternative diagnoses should be considered, but Dr. Ramakumar advised repeat imaging after 48 hours if symptoms persist and no other causes are found.
Dr. Ramakumar acknowledged the many limitations of this analysis, including the small sample size and the challenges of assembling coherent data from case reports with variable types of information submitted during different eras of PCI evolution. However, reiterating that CSI might be frequently missed, he emphasized that this problem might be bigger than currently understood.
It is difficult to rule out any possibility that CSI is frequently missed, but Andrew Sharp, MD, PhD, a consultant interventional cardiologist at the University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, is skeptical.
“One might think this is a potential problem, but I cannot think of one patient in whom this has occurred,” Dr. Sharp said in an interview. He is fairly confident that they are extremely rare.
“When there is infection associated with a foreign body, such as a pacemaker, they do not typically resolve by themselves,” he explained. “Often the device has to be removed. If this was true for CSI, then I think we would be aware of these complications.”
However, he praised the investigators for taking a look at CSI in a systematic approach. An invited panelist during the CRT featured research, which is where these data were presented, Dr. Sharp was more interested in understanding why they do not occur now that data are available to suggest they are rare.
“Is there something in the coronary environment, such as the consistent blood flow, that protects against infection?” he asked. CSI is a valid area of further research, according to Dr. Sharp, but he does not consider infected stents to be a common threat based on his own sizable case series.
Dr. Ramakumar and Dr. Sharp reported no potential conflicts of interest.
FROM CRT 2023
In weighing PCI vs. CABG for left main disease, diabetes matters
WASHINGTON – For patients with diabetes, there are trade-offs for selecting a percutaneous intervention (PCI) over coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) for left main artery disease when either can be considered, according to a hypothesis-generating pooled analysis.
The pooled data from four trials indicate that either method of revascularization is “reasonable,” but risk of myocardial infarction and revascularization is higher and risk of stroke is lower in patients with diabetes following PCI relative to CABG, Prakriti Gaba, MD, said in presenting the analysis at the Cardiovascular Research Technologies conference, sponsored by MedStar Heart & Vascular Institute.
Despite decades of advances in both PCI and CABG, the findings are remarkably similar to those of Emory Angioplasty Versus Surgery Trial (EAST), the first major study to compare PCI to CABG, which were published almost 30 years ago. In the new analysis, like in EAST, PCI and CABG were comparable for a primary composite endpoint overall, but patients with diabetes were the exception. In those, outcomes were modestly better after CABG, said Dr. Gaba, a cardiology fellow at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, both in Boston.
“More and more I am hearing from practitioners that diabetes does not matter, but what I get from your data is that diabetes still matters,” said Spencer B. King, MD, a pioneer of PCI affiliated with Emory University, Atlanta.
Dr. King, the first author of the 1994 paper and a panelist in the late-breaking trial session where the new data were presented, pointed out that a relatively limited proportion of patients with diabetes are equally suitable for PCI and CABG because of other considerations. However, he said an updated look once again suggesting that PCI and CABG are not equivalent for left main lesions in patients with diabetes “is helpful to see.”
CABG traditionally preferred for left main revascularization
The issue was revisited because CABG has been preferred traditionally for left main disease, but there was increasing evidence that PCI is associated with similar survival, according to Dr. Gaba. These new data support that contention, even if it shows that outcomes are not the same in those with diabetes relative to those without.
In this pooled analysis, data were drawn from four trials. Each compared PCI with drug-eluting stents with CABG in patients that were considered suitable for either. From the four trials, the numbers in this analysis included 705 patients from SYNTAX, 600 patients from PRECOMBAT, 1,184 patients from NOBLE, and 1,905 patients from EXCEL.
The focus was on the 1,104 patients with diabetes relative to the 3,289 without. The primary endpoint was all-cause death at 5 years. The multiple secondary endpoints included cardiovascular (CV) death, MI, stroke, and revascularization.
Overall, the 5-year mortality, independent of revascularization procedure, was 14.8% for those with diabetes and 9.3% for those without (P < .001). For this endpoint, the rates were numerically lower but not statistically different for CABG whether patients had diabetes (14.1% vs. 15.3%) or no diabetes (8.9% vs. 9.7%).
However, the rate of spontaneous MI was twice as great with PCI than with CABG for those with diabetes (8.9% vs. 4.4%), which doubled the hazard ratio within significant confidence intervals (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.21-3.35). The rates of revascularization were also about twice as great with PCI than with CABG (24.5% vs. 12.4%), again producing a twofold increase in risk (HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.56-2.87).
For stroke in patients with diabetes, there was no difference in events at 5 years for PCI relative to CABG (2.1% in both groups). However, in those without diabetes, a trend approaching significance favored CABG over PCI (1.2% vs. 2.1%; HR, 0.177; 95% CI, 0.99-1.77). This difference was concentrated in the first year, when stroke rates among those treated with CABG were more than double the rates among those treated with PCI. Over time, this difference dissipated so that the difference was reduced to a trend at the end of follow-up.
Data considered hypothesis generating
Although patients with diabetes were prespecified as a subgroup of interest in these studies, Dr. Gaba said that the data can only be considered hypothesis generating and pointed out several limitations, including the fact that these studies preceded some therapies, such as sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors, that are known to affect CV outcomes.
However, Dr. King was not alone in suggesting that these data once again show that diabetes matters. Several panelists agreed, including the moderator of the session, Robert A Byrne, MBBcH, PhD, director of cardiology, Mater Private Hospital, Dublin.
“Of course, there has been a lot of discussion over the last 4 or 5 years about this issue since the long-term EXCEL data were presented,” Dr. Byrne said. He added that the team of investigators who put this together “have done a great service to the community” by providing a detailed combined analysis to explore the interaction between diabetes and outcomes relative to method of revascularization. Although PCI and CABG are not always equivalent choices for reasons other than diabetes, he echoed the sentiment that diabetes likely remains a variable to consider when considering revascularization of left main artery disease.
Dr. Gabi, Dr. Spencer, and Dr. Byrne report no potential conflicts of interest.
WASHINGTON – For patients with diabetes, there are trade-offs for selecting a percutaneous intervention (PCI) over coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) for left main artery disease when either can be considered, according to a hypothesis-generating pooled analysis.
The pooled data from four trials indicate that either method of revascularization is “reasonable,” but risk of myocardial infarction and revascularization is higher and risk of stroke is lower in patients with diabetes following PCI relative to CABG, Prakriti Gaba, MD, said in presenting the analysis at the Cardiovascular Research Technologies conference, sponsored by MedStar Heart & Vascular Institute.
Despite decades of advances in both PCI and CABG, the findings are remarkably similar to those of Emory Angioplasty Versus Surgery Trial (EAST), the first major study to compare PCI to CABG, which were published almost 30 years ago. In the new analysis, like in EAST, PCI and CABG were comparable for a primary composite endpoint overall, but patients with diabetes were the exception. In those, outcomes were modestly better after CABG, said Dr. Gaba, a cardiology fellow at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, both in Boston.
“More and more I am hearing from practitioners that diabetes does not matter, but what I get from your data is that diabetes still matters,” said Spencer B. King, MD, a pioneer of PCI affiliated with Emory University, Atlanta.
Dr. King, the first author of the 1994 paper and a panelist in the late-breaking trial session where the new data were presented, pointed out that a relatively limited proportion of patients with diabetes are equally suitable for PCI and CABG because of other considerations. However, he said an updated look once again suggesting that PCI and CABG are not equivalent for left main lesions in patients with diabetes “is helpful to see.”
CABG traditionally preferred for left main revascularization
The issue was revisited because CABG has been preferred traditionally for left main disease, but there was increasing evidence that PCI is associated with similar survival, according to Dr. Gaba. These new data support that contention, even if it shows that outcomes are not the same in those with diabetes relative to those without.
In this pooled analysis, data were drawn from four trials. Each compared PCI with drug-eluting stents with CABG in patients that were considered suitable for either. From the four trials, the numbers in this analysis included 705 patients from SYNTAX, 600 patients from PRECOMBAT, 1,184 patients from NOBLE, and 1,905 patients from EXCEL.
The focus was on the 1,104 patients with diabetes relative to the 3,289 without. The primary endpoint was all-cause death at 5 years. The multiple secondary endpoints included cardiovascular (CV) death, MI, stroke, and revascularization.
Overall, the 5-year mortality, independent of revascularization procedure, was 14.8% for those with diabetes and 9.3% for those without (P < .001). For this endpoint, the rates were numerically lower but not statistically different for CABG whether patients had diabetes (14.1% vs. 15.3%) or no diabetes (8.9% vs. 9.7%).
However, the rate of spontaneous MI was twice as great with PCI than with CABG for those with diabetes (8.9% vs. 4.4%), which doubled the hazard ratio within significant confidence intervals (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.21-3.35). The rates of revascularization were also about twice as great with PCI than with CABG (24.5% vs. 12.4%), again producing a twofold increase in risk (HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.56-2.87).
For stroke in patients with diabetes, there was no difference in events at 5 years for PCI relative to CABG (2.1% in both groups). However, in those without diabetes, a trend approaching significance favored CABG over PCI (1.2% vs. 2.1%; HR, 0.177; 95% CI, 0.99-1.77). This difference was concentrated in the first year, when stroke rates among those treated with CABG were more than double the rates among those treated with PCI. Over time, this difference dissipated so that the difference was reduced to a trend at the end of follow-up.
Data considered hypothesis generating
Although patients with diabetes were prespecified as a subgroup of interest in these studies, Dr. Gaba said that the data can only be considered hypothesis generating and pointed out several limitations, including the fact that these studies preceded some therapies, such as sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors, that are known to affect CV outcomes.
However, Dr. King was not alone in suggesting that these data once again show that diabetes matters. Several panelists agreed, including the moderator of the session, Robert A Byrne, MBBcH, PhD, director of cardiology, Mater Private Hospital, Dublin.
“Of course, there has been a lot of discussion over the last 4 or 5 years about this issue since the long-term EXCEL data were presented,” Dr. Byrne said. He added that the team of investigators who put this together “have done a great service to the community” by providing a detailed combined analysis to explore the interaction between diabetes and outcomes relative to method of revascularization. Although PCI and CABG are not always equivalent choices for reasons other than diabetes, he echoed the sentiment that diabetes likely remains a variable to consider when considering revascularization of left main artery disease.
Dr. Gabi, Dr. Spencer, and Dr. Byrne report no potential conflicts of interest.
WASHINGTON – For patients with diabetes, there are trade-offs for selecting a percutaneous intervention (PCI) over coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) for left main artery disease when either can be considered, according to a hypothesis-generating pooled analysis.
The pooled data from four trials indicate that either method of revascularization is “reasonable,” but risk of myocardial infarction and revascularization is higher and risk of stroke is lower in patients with diabetes following PCI relative to CABG, Prakriti Gaba, MD, said in presenting the analysis at the Cardiovascular Research Technologies conference, sponsored by MedStar Heart & Vascular Institute.
Despite decades of advances in both PCI and CABG, the findings are remarkably similar to those of Emory Angioplasty Versus Surgery Trial (EAST), the first major study to compare PCI to CABG, which were published almost 30 years ago. In the new analysis, like in EAST, PCI and CABG were comparable for a primary composite endpoint overall, but patients with diabetes were the exception. In those, outcomes were modestly better after CABG, said Dr. Gaba, a cardiology fellow at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, both in Boston.
“More and more I am hearing from practitioners that diabetes does not matter, but what I get from your data is that diabetes still matters,” said Spencer B. King, MD, a pioneer of PCI affiliated with Emory University, Atlanta.
Dr. King, the first author of the 1994 paper and a panelist in the late-breaking trial session where the new data were presented, pointed out that a relatively limited proportion of patients with diabetes are equally suitable for PCI and CABG because of other considerations. However, he said an updated look once again suggesting that PCI and CABG are not equivalent for left main lesions in patients with diabetes “is helpful to see.”
CABG traditionally preferred for left main revascularization
The issue was revisited because CABG has been preferred traditionally for left main disease, but there was increasing evidence that PCI is associated with similar survival, according to Dr. Gaba. These new data support that contention, even if it shows that outcomes are not the same in those with diabetes relative to those without.
In this pooled analysis, data were drawn from four trials. Each compared PCI with drug-eluting stents with CABG in patients that were considered suitable for either. From the four trials, the numbers in this analysis included 705 patients from SYNTAX, 600 patients from PRECOMBAT, 1,184 patients from NOBLE, and 1,905 patients from EXCEL.
The focus was on the 1,104 patients with diabetes relative to the 3,289 without. The primary endpoint was all-cause death at 5 years. The multiple secondary endpoints included cardiovascular (CV) death, MI, stroke, and revascularization.
Overall, the 5-year mortality, independent of revascularization procedure, was 14.8% for those with diabetes and 9.3% for those without (P < .001). For this endpoint, the rates were numerically lower but not statistically different for CABG whether patients had diabetes (14.1% vs. 15.3%) or no diabetes (8.9% vs. 9.7%).
However, the rate of spontaneous MI was twice as great with PCI than with CABG for those with diabetes (8.9% vs. 4.4%), which doubled the hazard ratio within significant confidence intervals (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.21-3.35). The rates of revascularization were also about twice as great with PCI than with CABG (24.5% vs. 12.4%), again producing a twofold increase in risk (HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.56-2.87).
For stroke in patients with diabetes, there was no difference in events at 5 years for PCI relative to CABG (2.1% in both groups). However, in those without diabetes, a trend approaching significance favored CABG over PCI (1.2% vs. 2.1%; HR, 0.177; 95% CI, 0.99-1.77). This difference was concentrated in the first year, when stroke rates among those treated with CABG were more than double the rates among those treated with PCI. Over time, this difference dissipated so that the difference was reduced to a trend at the end of follow-up.
Data considered hypothesis generating
Although patients with diabetes were prespecified as a subgroup of interest in these studies, Dr. Gaba said that the data can only be considered hypothesis generating and pointed out several limitations, including the fact that these studies preceded some therapies, such as sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors, that are known to affect CV outcomes.
However, Dr. King was not alone in suggesting that these data once again show that diabetes matters. Several panelists agreed, including the moderator of the session, Robert A Byrne, MBBcH, PhD, director of cardiology, Mater Private Hospital, Dublin.
“Of course, there has been a lot of discussion over the last 4 or 5 years about this issue since the long-term EXCEL data were presented,” Dr. Byrne said. He added that the team of investigators who put this together “have done a great service to the community” by providing a detailed combined analysis to explore the interaction between diabetes and outcomes relative to method of revascularization. Although PCI and CABG are not always equivalent choices for reasons other than diabetes, he echoed the sentiment that diabetes likely remains a variable to consider when considering revascularization of left main artery disease.
Dr. Gabi, Dr. Spencer, and Dr. Byrne report no potential conflicts of interest.
AT CRT 2023
Drinking beet juice tied to reduced post-PCI restenosis
WASHINGTON – Late lumen loss (LLL) after percutaneous interventions (PCI) can be reduced significantly by a daily glass of beet juice, according to a phase 2 randomized trial.
The protection against LLL, attributed to the nitrate contained in beet juice, was accompanied by a trend for a reduced risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), according to Krishnaraj Rathod, MBBS, BMedSci, PhD, who presented results at the Cardiovascular Research Technologies conference, sponsored by MedStar Heart & Vascular Institute.
The study grew out of relatively recent evidence that ingestion of nitrate-rich foods, such as beets, can trigger noncanonical pathways for nitric oxide generation, sometimes referred to as the nitrate-nitrite-nitric oxide sequence. Dr. Rathod cited experimental evidence associating this pathway with the traditional benefits of NO generation, such as anti-inflammatory and antithrombotic effects.
In this study, 300 patients scheduled for PCI to treat stable angina were randomized to the experimental arm of nitrate-rich beetroot juice or the control arm of nitrate-depleted beetroot juice. Each had a 70-mL glass of juice once daily. Dr. Rathod, a senior interventional cardiology registrar, Barts Heart Centre, London, described this as the equivalent of about four beets.
The primary endpoint of the study was in-stent LLL assessed by quantitative coronary angiography (QCA) at 6 months.
MACE, defined as death, MI, need for revascularization, and in-stent thrombosis, was assessed at 3, 9, 12, and 24 months. In addition, markers of NO activation, platelet reactivity, and inflammation were monitored.
Lumen loss reduced less than 50%
On OCA, the median stent LLL at 6 months was 0.244 mm in the nitrate-depleted beet juice group and 0.117 mm (P = .0165) in the group that received natural beet juice. The mean segment LLL similarly favored the natural beet juice (0.269 vs. 0.050 mm; P = .0011).
The same effect was reflected in the measurement of mean change in minimum lumen diameter at 6 months. From baseline, this in-stent measure was reduced at 6 months by 0.244 mm in the control group, but by only 0.117 mm in the group receiving the dietary nitrate (P = .0154 for two-way analysis of variance).
Over 24 months of follow-up, there were 18 MACE events in the control arm versus 9 in the arm randomized to dietary nitrate (P = .0718). There were no in-stent thromboses observed in either group, but death (two vs. five), MI (one vs. six), and target-vessel revascularization (six vs. seven) were all numerically lower in the group receiving dietary nitrate.
“Once-a-day oral dietary nitrate for 6 months was well tolerated and safe,” Dr. Rathod reported at the meeting.
Asked specifically about the taste of the daily glass of beet juice, Dr. Rathod acknowledged that some patients were not enamored, but many had no objections or even liked the taste.
The patients were reasonably representative of a PCI population. The mean age in both groups was 61 years. There were no significant differences in body mass index (approximately 29 kg/m2) or proportion with diabetes (22%), hypertension, or hypercholesterolemia (about 70% in both groups) and other comorbidities.
More PCI was performed in the left anterior descending artery (36.7% vs. 44.0%) in the control group, while less PCI was performed in the right coronary (27.3% vs. 30.7%). Neither difference was significant. The vast majority (~90%) of patients received drug-eluting stents with a mean of 1.4 implanted. Procedural success was 100% in both groups.
Discharge medications, including antiplatelet and antithrombotic therapies, were similar in the two groups.
Results characterized as highly positive
Based on the 53% reduction in LLL at 6 months and the trend for a MACE reduction, Dr. Rathod concluded that the results were highly positive.
“These results suggest that dietary nitrate may have a therapeutic role in reducing restenosis following PCI for stable angina,” he said.
In the discussion, several panelists pointed out that nearly one-third of patients were not available for evaluation at 6 months (41 of 150 in the experimental group and 51 of 150 in the control group) with further attrition at 1 and 2 years of follow-up. Of these about half were lost to follow-up and the other half withdrew.
The lack of follow-up on such a high proportion of participants is one weakness of this study,” acknowledged Hector M. Garcia-Garcia, MD, PhD, a cardiovascular researcher at MedStar Washington Hospital Center. However, he remains enthusiastic about the premise.
“It was encouraging to see every signal moving in the right direction,” said Dr. Garcia, who consulted with Dr. Rathod’s group on the design of the study. He called these data “promising,” and said they provide support for larger trial for a treatment with potential benefits at low cost.
George Dangas, MD, PhD, professor of medicine at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, was among panelists who seemed surprised by such positive findings from a simple but novel concept. However, he remains open to further evaluations.
“As with any surprising result, further confirmation in a large and multicenter trial should be anticipated,” he said in an interview. If, as this study suggests, dietary changes are capable of providing therapeutic NO at the vascular level, he suggested studies to demonstrate anti-inflammatory effects or other mechanistic benefits would be helpful.
“Other sources of oral nitrate would also be a worthwhile investigation,” he said.
Dr. Rathod reports no potential conflicts of interest. Dr. Garcia-Garcia reports ties to Abbott, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, CorFlow, Medtronic, Neovasc, Phillips, and Shockwave. Dr. Dangas reports financial relationships with Abbott Vascular, AstraZeneca, Boston Scientific, Daiichi-Sankyo, and Medtronic.
WASHINGTON – Late lumen loss (LLL) after percutaneous interventions (PCI) can be reduced significantly by a daily glass of beet juice, according to a phase 2 randomized trial.
The protection against LLL, attributed to the nitrate contained in beet juice, was accompanied by a trend for a reduced risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), according to Krishnaraj Rathod, MBBS, BMedSci, PhD, who presented results at the Cardiovascular Research Technologies conference, sponsored by MedStar Heart & Vascular Institute.
The study grew out of relatively recent evidence that ingestion of nitrate-rich foods, such as beets, can trigger noncanonical pathways for nitric oxide generation, sometimes referred to as the nitrate-nitrite-nitric oxide sequence. Dr. Rathod cited experimental evidence associating this pathway with the traditional benefits of NO generation, such as anti-inflammatory and antithrombotic effects.
In this study, 300 patients scheduled for PCI to treat stable angina were randomized to the experimental arm of nitrate-rich beetroot juice or the control arm of nitrate-depleted beetroot juice. Each had a 70-mL glass of juice once daily. Dr. Rathod, a senior interventional cardiology registrar, Barts Heart Centre, London, described this as the equivalent of about four beets.
The primary endpoint of the study was in-stent LLL assessed by quantitative coronary angiography (QCA) at 6 months.
MACE, defined as death, MI, need for revascularization, and in-stent thrombosis, was assessed at 3, 9, 12, and 24 months. In addition, markers of NO activation, platelet reactivity, and inflammation were monitored.
Lumen loss reduced less than 50%
On OCA, the median stent LLL at 6 months was 0.244 mm in the nitrate-depleted beet juice group and 0.117 mm (P = .0165) in the group that received natural beet juice. The mean segment LLL similarly favored the natural beet juice (0.269 vs. 0.050 mm; P = .0011).
The same effect was reflected in the measurement of mean change in minimum lumen diameter at 6 months. From baseline, this in-stent measure was reduced at 6 months by 0.244 mm in the control group, but by only 0.117 mm in the group receiving the dietary nitrate (P = .0154 for two-way analysis of variance).
Over 24 months of follow-up, there were 18 MACE events in the control arm versus 9 in the arm randomized to dietary nitrate (P = .0718). There were no in-stent thromboses observed in either group, but death (two vs. five), MI (one vs. six), and target-vessel revascularization (six vs. seven) were all numerically lower in the group receiving dietary nitrate.
“Once-a-day oral dietary nitrate for 6 months was well tolerated and safe,” Dr. Rathod reported at the meeting.
Asked specifically about the taste of the daily glass of beet juice, Dr. Rathod acknowledged that some patients were not enamored, but many had no objections or even liked the taste.
The patients were reasonably representative of a PCI population. The mean age in both groups was 61 years. There were no significant differences in body mass index (approximately 29 kg/m2) or proportion with diabetes (22%), hypertension, or hypercholesterolemia (about 70% in both groups) and other comorbidities.
More PCI was performed in the left anterior descending artery (36.7% vs. 44.0%) in the control group, while less PCI was performed in the right coronary (27.3% vs. 30.7%). Neither difference was significant. The vast majority (~90%) of patients received drug-eluting stents with a mean of 1.4 implanted. Procedural success was 100% in both groups.
Discharge medications, including antiplatelet and antithrombotic therapies, were similar in the two groups.
Results characterized as highly positive
Based on the 53% reduction in LLL at 6 months and the trend for a MACE reduction, Dr. Rathod concluded that the results were highly positive.
“These results suggest that dietary nitrate may have a therapeutic role in reducing restenosis following PCI for stable angina,” he said.
In the discussion, several panelists pointed out that nearly one-third of patients were not available for evaluation at 6 months (41 of 150 in the experimental group and 51 of 150 in the control group) with further attrition at 1 and 2 years of follow-up. Of these about half were lost to follow-up and the other half withdrew.
The lack of follow-up on such a high proportion of participants is one weakness of this study,” acknowledged Hector M. Garcia-Garcia, MD, PhD, a cardiovascular researcher at MedStar Washington Hospital Center. However, he remains enthusiastic about the premise.
“It was encouraging to see every signal moving in the right direction,” said Dr. Garcia, who consulted with Dr. Rathod’s group on the design of the study. He called these data “promising,” and said they provide support for larger trial for a treatment with potential benefits at low cost.
George Dangas, MD, PhD, professor of medicine at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, was among panelists who seemed surprised by such positive findings from a simple but novel concept. However, he remains open to further evaluations.
“As with any surprising result, further confirmation in a large and multicenter trial should be anticipated,” he said in an interview. If, as this study suggests, dietary changes are capable of providing therapeutic NO at the vascular level, he suggested studies to demonstrate anti-inflammatory effects or other mechanistic benefits would be helpful.
“Other sources of oral nitrate would also be a worthwhile investigation,” he said.
Dr. Rathod reports no potential conflicts of interest. Dr. Garcia-Garcia reports ties to Abbott, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, CorFlow, Medtronic, Neovasc, Phillips, and Shockwave. Dr. Dangas reports financial relationships with Abbott Vascular, AstraZeneca, Boston Scientific, Daiichi-Sankyo, and Medtronic.
WASHINGTON – Late lumen loss (LLL) after percutaneous interventions (PCI) can be reduced significantly by a daily glass of beet juice, according to a phase 2 randomized trial.
The protection against LLL, attributed to the nitrate contained in beet juice, was accompanied by a trend for a reduced risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), according to Krishnaraj Rathod, MBBS, BMedSci, PhD, who presented results at the Cardiovascular Research Technologies conference, sponsored by MedStar Heart & Vascular Institute.
The study grew out of relatively recent evidence that ingestion of nitrate-rich foods, such as beets, can trigger noncanonical pathways for nitric oxide generation, sometimes referred to as the nitrate-nitrite-nitric oxide sequence. Dr. Rathod cited experimental evidence associating this pathway with the traditional benefits of NO generation, such as anti-inflammatory and antithrombotic effects.
In this study, 300 patients scheduled for PCI to treat stable angina were randomized to the experimental arm of nitrate-rich beetroot juice or the control arm of nitrate-depleted beetroot juice. Each had a 70-mL glass of juice once daily. Dr. Rathod, a senior interventional cardiology registrar, Barts Heart Centre, London, described this as the equivalent of about four beets.
The primary endpoint of the study was in-stent LLL assessed by quantitative coronary angiography (QCA) at 6 months.
MACE, defined as death, MI, need for revascularization, and in-stent thrombosis, was assessed at 3, 9, 12, and 24 months. In addition, markers of NO activation, platelet reactivity, and inflammation were monitored.
Lumen loss reduced less than 50%
On OCA, the median stent LLL at 6 months was 0.244 mm in the nitrate-depleted beet juice group and 0.117 mm (P = .0165) in the group that received natural beet juice. The mean segment LLL similarly favored the natural beet juice (0.269 vs. 0.050 mm; P = .0011).
The same effect was reflected in the measurement of mean change in minimum lumen diameter at 6 months. From baseline, this in-stent measure was reduced at 6 months by 0.244 mm in the control group, but by only 0.117 mm in the group receiving the dietary nitrate (P = .0154 for two-way analysis of variance).
Over 24 months of follow-up, there were 18 MACE events in the control arm versus 9 in the arm randomized to dietary nitrate (P = .0718). There were no in-stent thromboses observed in either group, but death (two vs. five), MI (one vs. six), and target-vessel revascularization (six vs. seven) were all numerically lower in the group receiving dietary nitrate.
“Once-a-day oral dietary nitrate for 6 months was well tolerated and safe,” Dr. Rathod reported at the meeting.
Asked specifically about the taste of the daily glass of beet juice, Dr. Rathod acknowledged that some patients were not enamored, but many had no objections or even liked the taste.
The patients were reasonably representative of a PCI population. The mean age in both groups was 61 years. There were no significant differences in body mass index (approximately 29 kg/m2) or proportion with diabetes (22%), hypertension, or hypercholesterolemia (about 70% in both groups) and other comorbidities.
More PCI was performed in the left anterior descending artery (36.7% vs. 44.0%) in the control group, while less PCI was performed in the right coronary (27.3% vs. 30.7%). Neither difference was significant. The vast majority (~90%) of patients received drug-eluting stents with a mean of 1.4 implanted. Procedural success was 100% in both groups.
Discharge medications, including antiplatelet and antithrombotic therapies, were similar in the two groups.
Results characterized as highly positive
Based on the 53% reduction in LLL at 6 months and the trend for a MACE reduction, Dr. Rathod concluded that the results were highly positive.
“These results suggest that dietary nitrate may have a therapeutic role in reducing restenosis following PCI for stable angina,” he said.
In the discussion, several panelists pointed out that nearly one-third of patients were not available for evaluation at 6 months (41 of 150 in the experimental group and 51 of 150 in the control group) with further attrition at 1 and 2 years of follow-up. Of these about half were lost to follow-up and the other half withdrew.
The lack of follow-up on such a high proportion of participants is one weakness of this study,” acknowledged Hector M. Garcia-Garcia, MD, PhD, a cardiovascular researcher at MedStar Washington Hospital Center. However, he remains enthusiastic about the premise.
“It was encouraging to see every signal moving in the right direction,” said Dr. Garcia, who consulted with Dr. Rathod’s group on the design of the study. He called these data “promising,” and said they provide support for larger trial for a treatment with potential benefits at low cost.
George Dangas, MD, PhD, professor of medicine at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, was among panelists who seemed surprised by such positive findings from a simple but novel concept. However, he remains open to further evaluations.
“As with any surprising result, further confirmation in a large and multicenter trial should be anticipated,” he said in an interview. If, as this study suggests, dietary changes are capable of providing therapeutic NO at the vascular level, he suggested studies to demonstrate anti-inflammatory effects or other mechanistic benefits would be helpful.
“Other sources of oral nitrate would also be a worthwhile investigation,” he said.
Dr. Rathod reports no potential conflicts of interest. Dr. Garcia-Garcia reports ties to Abbott, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, CorFlow, Medtronic, Neovasc, Phillips, and Shockwave. Dr. Dangas reports financial relationships with Abbott Vascular, AstraZeneca, Boston Scientific, Daiichi-Sankyo, and Medtronic.
AT CRT 2023
New tool better estimates cardiovascular risk in people with lupus
Current risk estimators are inaccurate
A tool that incorporates lupus-related variables with traditional risk factors provides a much more accurate assessment of cardiovascular (CV) risk in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), according to data presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
In the initial clinical assessment of this tool, called the SLECRISK, “it identified high-risk lupus patients who would otherwise be missed by traditional methods of CV risk assessment,” reported May Y. Choi, MD, associate director of translational research at the University of Calgary’s (Alta.) Lupus Centre of Excellence.
It is well known that patients with SLE face an increased risk of CV events starting at an age long before risk begins climbing in the general population, according to Dr. Choi. She cited one study that showed women aged 35-44 years have a 50-fold greater risk of myocardial infarction than healthy individuals.
All major guidelines recognize this increased risk and recommend CV risk assessment in patients with SLE, even though Dr. Choi pointed out that traditional tools, such as the American College of Cardiology atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk calculator or the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) have a limited ability to detect the patients with SLE who are most likely to have an event.
In SLE, current tools are inadequate
“These risk assessment tools perform poorly in SLE patients because they do not capture SLE-related inflammation,” Dr. Choi said. Of several examples, Dr. Choi cited a study showing “seven times more MIs and strokes observed than expected in SLE patients on the basis of the FRS.”
The disparity between expected and observed MIs and strokes is worse with increasing severity of SLE. In a study she presented 3 years ago, rates of CV events were 12 times higher in those with inactive or mild SLE, rising to a 16-fold increase among those with moderate disease and jumping to a 32-fold increase in those with severe SLE.
The SLECRISK tool was developed from the Brigham and Women’s Hospital SLE Registry, which was initiated in 1992. Patients without a history of CV disease were evaluated for traditional CV risk factors and for SLE-specific characteristics such as disease activity, levels of the complement proteins C3 and C4, kidney function, the presence of nephritis, and SLE duration. The value of these characteristics as predictors of CV events were then assessed over a 10-year follow-up period before being assembled into the SLECRISK tool.
In an example of the risk equation, Dr. Choi described a 50-year-old patient with SLE and a 5% 10-year ASCVD risk score, which is low. After adjustment for SLE risks, which included 10 years disease duration, high disease activity, elevated creatinine, and positive anti–double stranded DNA status, the 10-year CV risk score climbed to 16.2%, which is moderate.
The performance of the SLECRISK was evaluated in 1,243 patients providing 8,946.51 person-years of follow-up. During this period, there were 90 major adverse cardiac events (MACE), of which 82% were adjudicated by cardiologists, and 211 secondary events.
Relative to the ASCVD risk score, the SLECRISK identified about twice as many patients with SLE as having moderate risk and 3.5-fold more patients as having high risk. Among patients who experienced CV events, traditional CV risk factors were more common but so were SLE-specific risk factors, including greater disease severity, a greater likelihood of lupus nephritis, increased complement levels, and greater exposure to glucocorticoids, according to Dr. Choi.
Specificities for CV events higher on SLECRISK
In predicting CV events, the differences in specificities were in the same general range, although somewhat higher for the ASCVD risk score in regard to predicting MACE (83% vs. 72%) and MACE plus secondary events (90% vs. 79%). However, the sensitivities were much higher for SLECRISK relative to the ASCVD risk score for MACE alone (64% vs. 41%) and for MACE plus secondary events (58% vs. 35%).
When comparing those who had an MI or stroke, the ASCVD risk score identified 8 (7%) patients missed by SLECRISK, whereas SLECRISK identified 89 (73%) missed by the ASCVD risk score. The remaining 25 patients (20%) were identified by both. The advantage of SLECRISK was similar for MACE plus secondary outcomes.
Dr. Choi noted that all of the SLE-specific variables in SLECRISK are readily obtained and often already available in patient charts. She said that there is a plan to validate the tool in larger groups, but with a goal of creating a tool available online for clinicians and their patients to use. There is also an even more ambitious plan for the future.
“We have funding to look at machine learning to evaluate predictive variables in SLE patients,” Dr. Choi said. Rather than adding SLE-specific variables to traditional risks, the plan is to “start from scratch,” letting artificial intelligence assemble predictors without prejudice to what might or might not be relevant.
A SLE-specific tool for evaluating CV risk is an important “unmet need,” according to Karen H. Costenbader, MD, professor in the division of rheumatology, inflammation, and immunity at Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, both in Boston. In an interview, she reiterated that measuring CV risk in SLE is already guideline recommended, but conventional tools have been shown to be inaccurate.
“I can envision it being used in clinical encounters to help guide shared decision-making with patients,” explained Dr. Costenbader, who was not involved in the presentation at the CRA meeting but worked with Dr. Choi in developing SLECRISK. “It would give us more precise estimates, allowing us to risk stratify our patients and informing us as to which modifiable SLE-specific and nonspecific factors are contributing most to CV risk.’
The problem of using conventional risk assessments in SLE has been well recognized. Of those who have written on this subject, Maureen McMahon, MD, site director of the Lupus Clinical Trials Network at the University of California, Los Angeles, said: “There is a critical need for the development of SLE-specific risk assessment tools like SLECRISK.”
Author of several studies looking at alternatives for CV risk assessment in SLE, including a study looking at a panel of biomarkers that was published in ACR Open Rheumatology, Dr. McMahon said in an interview that CV risk in SLE is high but conventional risk assessments are flawed.
“Multiple previous studies have demonstrated that these currently available calculators are not adequate for identifying risk in the lupus patient population,” she said. According to Dr. McMahon, the fact that rheumatologists remain “dependent upon [these conventional] cardiovascular risk calculators” is a well-recognized problem that needs resolution.
Dr. Choi has financial relationships with AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKline, Mallinckrodt. MitogenDx, Organon, and Werfen International. Dr. Costenbader reports no potential conflicts of interest. Dr. McMahon has financial relationships with AstraZeneca, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals, Eli Lilly, and GlaxoSmithKline.
Current risk estimators are inaccurate
Current risk estimators are inaccurate
A tool that incorporates lupus-related variables with traditional risk factors provides a much more accurate assessment of cardiovascular (CV) risk in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), according to data presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
In the initial clinical assessment of this tool, called the SLECRISK, “it identified high-risk lupus patients who would otherwise be missed by traditional methods of CV risk assessment,” reported May Y. Choi, MD, associate director of translational research at the University of Calgary’s (Alta.) Lupus Centre of Excellence.
It is well known that patients with SLE face an increased risk of CV events starting at an age long before risk begins climbing in the general population, according to Dr. Choi. She cited one study that showed women aged 35-44 years have a 50-fold greater risk of myocardial infarction than healthy individuals.
All major guidelines recognize this increased risk and recommend CV risk assessment in patients with SLE, even though Dr. Choi pointed out that traditional tools, such as the American College of Cardiology atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk calculator or the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) have a limited ability to detect the patients with SLE who are most likely to have an event.
In SLE, current tools are inadequate
“These risk assessment tools perform poorly in SLE patients because they do not capture SLE-related inflammation,” Dr. Choi said. Of several examples, Dr. Choi cited a study showing “seven times more MIs and strokes observed than expected in SLE patients on the basis of the FRS.”
The disparity between expected and observed MIs and strokes is worse with increasing severity of SLE. In a study she presented 3 years ago, rates of CV events were 12 times higher in those with inactive or mild SLE, rising to a 16-fold increase among those with moderate disease and jumping to a 32-fold increase in those with severe SLE.
The SLECRISK tool was developed from the Brigham and Women’s Hospital SLE Registry, which was initiated in 1992. Patients without a history of CV disease were evaluated for traditional CV risk factors and for SLE-specific characteristics such as disease activity, levels of the complement proteins C3 and C4, kidney function, the presence of nephritis, and SLE duration. The value of these characteristics as predictors of CV events were then assessed over a 10-year follow-up period before being assembled into the SLECRISK tool.
In an example of the risk equation, Dr. Choi described a 50-year-old patient with SLE and a 5% 10-year ASCVD risk score, which is low. After adjustment for SLE risks, which included 10 years disease duration, high disease activity, elevated creatinine, and positive anti–double stranded DNA status, the 10-year CV risk score climbed to 16.2%, which is moderate.
The performance of the SLECRISK was evaluated in 1,243 patients providing 8,946.51 person-years of follow-up. During this period, there were 90 major adverse cardiac events (MACE), of which 82% were adjudicated by cardiologists, and 211 secondary events.
Relative to the ASCVD risk score, the SLECRISK identified about twice as many patients with SLE as having moderate risk and 3.5-fold more patients as having high risk. Among patients who experienced CV events, traditional CV risk factors were more common but so were SLE-specific risk factors, including greater disease severity, a greater likelihood of lupus nephritis, increased complement levels, and greater exposure to glucocorticoids, according to Dr. Choi.
Specificities for CV events higher on SLECRISK
In predicting CV events, the differences in specificities were in the same general range, although somewhat higher for the ASCVD risk score in regard to predicting MACE (83% vs. 72%) and MACE plus secondary events (90% vs. 79%). However, the sensitivities were much higher for SLECRISK relative to the ASCVD risk score for MACE alone (64% vs. 41%) and for MACE plus secondary events (58% vs. 35%).
When comparing those who had an MI or stroke, the ASCVD risk score identified 8 (7%) patients missed by SLECRISK, whereas SLECRISK identified 89 (73%) missed by the ASCVD risk score. The remaining 25 patients (20%) were identified by both. The advantage of SLECRISK was similar for MACE plus secondary outcomes.
Dr. Choi noted that all of the SLE-specific variables in SLECRISK are readily obtained and often already available in patient charts. She said that there is a plan to validate the tool in larger groups, but with a goal of creating a tool available online for clinicians and their patients to use. There is also an even more ambitious plan for the future.
“We have funding to look at machine learning to evaluate predictive variables in SLE patients,” Dr. Choi said. Rather than adding SLE-specific variables to traditional risks, the plan is to “start from scratch,” letting artificial intelligence assemble predictors without prejudice to what might or might not be relevant.
A SLE-specific tool for evaluating CV risk is an important “unmet need,” according to Karen H. Costenbader, MD, professor in the division of rheumatology, inflammation, and immunity at Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, both in Boston. In an interview, she reiterated that measuring CV risk in SLE is already guideline recommended, but conventional tools have been shown to be inaccurate.
“I can envision it being used in clinical encounters to help guide shared decision-making with patients,” explained Dr. Costenbader, who was not involved in the presentation at the CRA meeting but worked with Dr. Choi in developing SLECRISK. “It would give us more precise estimates, allowing us to risk stratify our patients and informing us as to which modifiable SLE-specific and nonspecific factors are contributing most to CV risk.’
The problem of using conventional risk assessments in SLE has been well recognized. Of those who have written on this subject, Maureen McMahon, MD, site director of the Lupus Clinical Trials Network at the University of California, Los Angeles, said: “There is a critical need for the development of SLE-specific risk assessment tools like SLECRISK.”
Author of several studies looking at alternatives for CV risk assessment in SLE, including a study looking at a panel of biomarkers that was published in ACR Open Rheumatology, Dr. McMahon said in an interview that CV risk in SLE is high but conventional risk assessments are flawed.
“Multiple previous studies have demonstrated that these currently available calculators are not adequate for identifying risk in the lupus patient population,” she said. According to Dr. McMahon, the fact that rheumatologists remain “dependent upon [these conventional] cardiovascular risk calculators” is a well-recognized problem that needs resolution.
Dr. Choi has financial relationships with AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKline, Mallinckrodt. MitogenDx, Organon, and Werfen International. Dr. Costenbader reports no potential conflicts of interest. Dr. McMahon has financial relationships with AstraZeneca, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals, Eli Lilly, and GlaxoSmithKline.
A tool that incorporates lupus-related variables with traditional risk factors provides a much more accurate assessment of cardiovascular (CV) risk in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), according to data presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
In the initial clinical assessment of this tool, called the SLECRISK, “it identified high-risk lupus patients who would otherwise be missed by traditional methods of CV risk assessment,” reported May Y. Choi, MD, associate director of translational research at the University of Calgary’s (Alta.) Lupus Centre of Excellence.
It is well known that patients with SLE face an increased risk of CV events starting at an age long before risk begins climbing in the general population, according to Dr. Choi. She cited one study that showed women aged 35-44 years have a 50-fold greater risk of myocardial infarction than healthy individuals.
All major guidelines recognize this increased risk and recommend CV risk assessment in patients with SLE, even though Dr. Choi pointed out that traditional tools, such as the American College of Cardiology atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk calculator or the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) have a limited ability to detect the patients with SLE who are most likely to have an event.
In SLE, current tools are inadequate
“These risk assessment tools perform poorly in SLE patients because they do not capture SLE-related inflammation,” Dr. Choi said. Of several examples, Dr. Choi cited a study showing “seven times more MIs and strokes observed than expected in SLE patients on the basis of the FRS.”
The disparity between expected and observed MIs and strokes is worse with increasing severity of SLE. In a study she presented 3 years ago, rates of CV events were 12 times higher in those with inactive or mild SLE, rising to a 16-fold increase among those with moderate disease and jumping to a 32-fold increase in those with severe SLE.
The SLECRISK tool was developed from the Brigham and Women’s Hospital SLE Registry, which was initiated in 1992. Patients without a history of CV disease were evaluated for traditional CV risk factors and for SLE-specific characteristics such as disease activity, levels of the complement proteins C3 and C4, kidney function, the presence of nephritis, and SLE duration. The value of these characteristics as predictors of CV events were then assessed over a 10-year follow-up period before being assembled into the SLECRISK tool.
In an example of the risk equation, Dr. Choi described a 50-year-old patient with SLE and a 5% 10-year ASCVD risk score, which is low. After adjustment for SLE risks, which included 10 years disease duration, high disease activity, elevated creatinine, and positive anti–double stranded DNA status, the 10-year CV risk score climbed to 16.2%, which is moderate.
The performance of the SLECRISK was evaluated in 1,243 patients providing 8,946.51 person-years of follow-up. During this period, there were 90 major adverse cardiac events (MACE), of which 82% were adjudicated by cardiologists, and 211 secondary events.
Relative to the ASCVD risk score, the SLECRISK identified about twice as many patients with SLE as having moderate risk and 3.5-fold more patients as having high risk. Among patients who experienced CV events, traditional CV risk factors were more common but so were SLE-specific risk factors, including greater disease severity, a greater likelihood of lupus nephritis, increased complement levels, and greater exposure to glucocorticoids, according to Dr. Choi.
Specificities for CV events higher on SLECRISK
In predicting CV events, the differences in specificities were in the same general range, although somewhat higher for the ASCVD risk score in regard to predicting MACE (83% vs. 72%) and MACE plus secondary events (90% vs. 79%). However, the sensitivities were much higher for SLECRISK relative to the ASCVD risk score for MACE alone (64% vs. 41%) and for MACE plus secondary events (58% vs. 35%).
When comparing those who had an MI or stroke, the ASCVD risk score identified 8 (7%) patients missed by SLECRISK, whereas SLECRISK identified 89 (73%) missed by the ASCVD risk score. The remaining 25 patients (20%) were identified by both. The advantage of SLECRISK was similar for MACE plus secondary outcomes.
Dr. Choi noted that all of the SLE-specific variables in SLECRISK are readily obtained and often already available in patient charts. She said that there is a plan to validate the tool in larger groups, but with a goal of creating a tool available online for clinicians and their patients to use. There is also an even more ambitious plan for the future.
“We have funding to look at machine learning to evaluate predictive variables in SLE patients,” Dr. Choi said. Rather than adding SLE-specific variables to traditional risks, the plan is to “start from scratch,” letting artificial intelligence assemble predictors without prejudice to what might or might not be relevant.
A SLE-specific tool for evaluating CV risk is an important “unmet need,” according to Karen H. Costenbader, MD, professor in the division of rheumatology, inflammation, and immunity at Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, both in Boston. In an interview, she reiterated that measuring CV risk in SLE is already guideline recommended, but conventional tools have been shown to be inaccurate.
“I can envision it being used in clinical encounters to help guide shared decision-making with patients,” explained Dr. Costenbader, who was not involved in the presentation at the CRA meeting but worked with Dr. Choi in developing SLECRISK. “It would give us more precise estimates, allowing us to risk stratify our patients and informing us as to which modifiable SLE-specific and nonspecific factors are contributing most to CV risk.’
The problem of using conventional risk assessments in SLE has been well recognized. Of those who have written on this subject, Maureen McMahon, MD, site director of the Lupus Clinical Trials Network at the University of California, Los Angeles, said: “There is a critical need for the development of SLE-specific risk assessment tools like SLECRISK.”
Author of several studies looking at alternatives for CV risk assessment in SLE, including a study looking at a panel of biomarkers that was published in ACR Open Rheumatology, Dr. McMahon said in an interview that CV risk in SLE is high but conventional risk assessments are flawed.
“Multiple previous studies have demonstrated that these currently available calculators are not adequate for identifying risk in the lupus patient population,” she said. According to Dr. McMahon, the fact that rheumatologists remain “dependent upon [these conventional] cardiovascular risk calculators” is a well-recognized problem that needs resolution.
Dr. Choi has financial relationships with AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKline, Mallinckrodt. MitogenDx, Organon, and Werfen International. Dr. Costenbader reports no potential conflicts of interest. Dr. McMahon has financial relationships with AstraZeneca, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals, Eli Lilly, and GlaxoSmithKline.
FROM CRA 2023
PsA prediction tool approaches clinical utility
Easily collected variables establish risk
A new tool for predicting which patients with psoriasis will develop psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is showing promise for such clinical applications as early treatment in those at risk or trials to prevent PsA, according to a summary of progress at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
Based on current levels of sensitivity and specificity, psoriasis “can be predicted with reasonable accuracy,” reported Lihi Eder, MD, PhD, director of research in the rheumatology division at the University of Toronto.
The predictive method, called PRESTO (Prediction of Psoriatic Arthritis Tool), is based on variables readily available in clinical practice, according to Dr. Eder. Once values are assigned to the risk factors, the risk of PsA over a 1-year or 5-year time frame can be estimated with a calculator.
She called PRESTO the “first clinical tool for predicting PsA among psoriasis patients.”
The work on this tool began in 2006 when the International Psoriasis and Arthritis Research Team (IPART) initiated a prospectively collected cohort of psoriasis patients. To be enrolled, patients had to be free of signs and symptoms of arthritis upon examination by a rheumatologist. They were then invited to return annually for follow-up that again included screening for joint involvement by a rheumatologist.
At baseline and at follow-up evaluations, 13 predictors were evaluated. These involved psoriasis characteristics, such as nail pitting; symptoms, such as stiffness; comorbidities, such as additional inflammatory diseases; and laboratory values, such as upregulated markers of inflammation.
Symptoms and signs used to predict PsA
Dr. Eder and her colleagues applied regression models to select an optimal combination of variables weighted for predictive value. Variables offering predictive value included higher PASI (Psoriasis Area and Severity Index), greater fatigue score as measured by FACIT (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy) score, greater morning stiffness, and greater pain.
When applied to 635 patients in the IPART cohort, in which there were 51 incident PsA cases over 1 year and 75 incident cases over 5 years, the area under the curve (AUC) for PRESTO at the cutoffs studied was 72% for the 1-year time window and 75% for the 5-year time window.
These levels are associated with adequate accuracy, according to Dr. Eder, who explained that “an AUC greater than 70% is considered reasonable” for clinical applicability.
Moreover, the cutoffs can be adjusted for the specific purpose of the predictive tool. For example, to screen patients for risk, lower cutoffs could be employed to increase sensitivity. In order to select patients for a clinical trial to prevent PsA, higher cutoffs could be employed to increase specificity.
But sensitivities and specificities move in opposite directions when cutoffs are adjusted. Showing data from the 5-year prediction model, Dr. Eder reported that specificities climbed from about 58% to 97% as cutoffs were increased. The sensitivities with these adjustments fell from 79% to 14%.
In general, Dr. Eder said there was “excellent calibration” for the cutoffs employed when they compared the predicted and observed rates of PsA according to quintile of predictive probability. The differences were particularly minor over a 1-year time period. Over the 5-year period, observed rates were somewhat higher than predicted in the fourth and fifth quintile, but, again, this discrepancy could be modified for specific applications with cutoff adjustments.
Validation studies are planned
Even though psoriasis patients in IPART represents one of the largest cohorts of prospectively collected psoriasis patients, Dr. Eder acknowledged that the sample size would be considered “moderate” for developing a predictive model. However, the fact that the data were collected prospectively using standardized methodology strengthens the findings and provides the basis for the next step.
“Validation studies are planned with external cohorts,” said Dr. Eder, who indicated that a viable tool for identifying psoriasis patients at risk for PsA is likely. Even if it is not employed routinely in its current form at the level of individual patient care, she predicted that it will have value at a research level for understanding the relationship of psoriasis to PsA.
Christopher T. Ritchlin, MD, a professor and researcher at the University of Rochester (N.Y.), agreed that PRESTO has important potential as a clinical tool. Dr. Ritchlin has been involved in the development of PRESTO but was not involved in the presentation made at the CRA annual meeting.
“The PRESTO tool has the ability to predict the 2- and 5-year risk of developing psoriatic arthritis, which is an important advance if confirmed,” he said in an interview. He pointed out that approximately 25%-30% who develop psoriasis will go on to develop PsA but until now there has been no way to identify them.
“This tool may provide a pathway to early intervention,” he said.
Dr. Eder has financial relationships with AbbVie, Eli Lilly, Fresenius Kabi, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, Sandoz, and UCB. Dr. Ritchlin has financial relationships with many of the same companies.
Easily collected variables establish risk
Easily collected variables establish risk
A new tool for predicting which patients with psoriasis will develop psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is showing promise for such clinical applications as early treatment in those at risk or trials to prevent PsA, according to a summary of progress at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
Based on current levels of sensitivity and specificity, psoriasis “can be predicted with reasonable accuracy,” reported Lihi Eder, MD, PhD, director of research in the rheumatology division at the University of Toronto.
The predictive method, called PRESTO (Prediction of Psoriatic Arthritis Tool), is based on variables readily available in clinical practice, according to Dr. Eder. Once values are assigned to the risk factors, the risk of PsA over a 1-year or 5-year time frame can be estimated with a calculator.
She called PRESTO the “first clinical tool for predicting PsA among psoriasis patients.”
The work on this tool began in 2006 when the International Psoriasis and Arthritis Research Team (IPART) initiated a prospectively collected cohort of psoriasis patients. To be enrolled, patients had to be free of signs and symptoms of arthritis upon examination by a rheumatologist. They were then invited to return annually for follow-up that again included screening for joint involvement by a rheumatologist.
At baseline and at follow-up evaluations, 13 predictors were evaluated. These involved psoriasis characteristics, such as nail pitting; symptoms, such as stiffness; comorbidities, such as additional inflammatory diseases; and laboratory values, such as upregulated markers of inflammation.
Symptoms and signs used to predict PsA
Dr. Eder and her colleagues applied regression models to select an optimal combination of variables weighted for predictive value. Variables offering predictive value included higher PASI (Psoriasis Area and Severity Index), greater fatigue score as measured by FACIT (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy) score, greater morning stiffness, and greater pain.
When applied to 635 patients in the IPART cohort, in which there were 51 incident PsA cases over 1 year and 75 incident cases over 5 years, the area under the curve (AUC) for PRESTO at the cutoffs studied was 72% for the 1-year time window and 75% for the 5-year time window.
These levels are associated with adequate accuracy, according to Dr. Eder, who explained that “an AUC greater than 70% is considered reasonable” for clinical applicability.
Moreover, the cutoffs can be adjusted for the specific purpose of the predictive tool. For example, to screen patients for risk, lower cutoffs could be employed to increase sensitivity. In order to select patients for a clinical trial to prevent PsA, higher cutoffs could be employed to increase specificity.
But sensitivities and specificities move in opposite directions when cutoffs are adjusted. Showing data from the 5-year prediction model, Dr. Eder reported that specificities climbed from about 58% to 97% as cutoffs were increased. The sensitivities with these adjustments fell from 79% to 14%.
In general, Dr. Eder said there was “excellent calibration” for the cutoffs employed when they compared the predicted and observed rates of PsA according to quintile of predictive probability. The differences were particularly minor over a 1-year time period. Over the 5-year period, observed rates were somewhat higher than predicted in the fourth and fifth quintile, but, again, this discrepancy could be modified for specific applications with cutoff adjustments.
Validation studies are planned
Even though psoriasis patients in IPART represents one of the largest cohorts of prospectively collected psoriasis patients, Dr. Eder acknowledged that the sample size would be considered “moderate” for developing a predictive model. However, the fact that the data were collected prospectively using standardized methodology strengthens the findings and provides the basis for the next step.
“Validation studies are planned with external cohorts,” said Dr. Eder, who indicated that a viable tool for identifying psoriasis patients at risk for PsA is likely. Even if it is not employed routinely in its current form at the level of individual patient care, she predicted that it will have value at a research level for understanding the relationship of psoriasis to PsA.
Christopher T. Ritchlin, MD, a professor and researcher at the University of Rochester (N.Y.), agreed that PRESTO has important potential as a clinical tool. Dr. Ritchlin has been involved in the development of PRESTO but was not involved in the presentation made at the CRA annual meeting.
“The PRESTO tool has the ability to predict the 2- and 5-year risk of developing psoriatic arthritis, which is an important advance if confirmed,” he said in an interview. He pointed out that approximately 25%-30% who develop psoriasis will go on to develop PsA but until now there has been no way to identify them.
“This tool may provide a pathway to early intervention,” he said.
Dr. Eder has financial relationships with AbbVie, Eli Lilly, Fresenius Kabi, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, Sandoz, and UCB. Dr. Ritchlin has financial relationships with many of the same companies.
A new tool for predicting which patients with psoriasis will develop psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is showing promise for such clinical applications as early treatment in those at risk or trials to prevent PsA, according to a summary of progress at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
Based on current levels of sensitivity and specificity, psoriasis “can be predicted with reasonable accuracy,” reported Lihi Eder, MD, PhD, director of research in the rheumatology division at the University of Toronto.
The predictive method, called PRESTO (Prediction of Psoriatic Arthritis Tool), is based on variables readily available in clinical practice, according to Dr. Eder. Once values are assigned to the risk factors, the risk of PsA over a 1-year or 5-year time frame can be estimated with a calculator.
She called PRESTO the “first clinical tool for predicting PsA among psoriasis patients.”
The work on this tool began in 2006 when the International Psoriasis and Arthritis Research Team (IPART) initiated a prospectively collected cohort of psoriasis patients. To be enrolled, patients had to be free of signs and symptoms of arthritis upon examination by a rheumatologist. They were then invited to return annually for follow-up that again included screening for joint involvement by a rheumatologist.
At baseline and at follow-up evaluations, 13 predictors were evaluated. These involved psoriasis characteristics, such as nail pitting; symptoms, such as stiffness; comorbidities, such as additional inflammatory diseases; and laboratory values, such as upregulated markers of inflammation.
Symptoms and signs used to predict PsA
Dr. Eder and her colleagues applied regression models to select an optimal combination of variables weighted for predictive value. Variables offering predictive value included higher PASI (Psoriasis Area and Severity Index), greater fatigue score as measured by FACIT (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy) score, greater morning stiffness, and greater pain.
When applied to 635 patients in the IPART cohort, in which there were 51 incident PsA cases over 1 year and 75 incident cases over 5 years, the area under the curve (AUC) for PRESTO at the cutoffs studied was 72% for the 1-year time window and 75% for the 5-year time window.
These levels are associated with adequate accuracy, according to Dr. Eder, who explained that “an AUC greater than 70% is considered reasonable” for clinical applicability.
Moreover, the cutoffs can be adjusted for the specific purpose of the predictive tool. For example, to screen patients for risk, lower cutoffs could be employed to increase sensitivity. In order to select patients for a clinical trial to prevent PsA, higher cutoffs could be employed to increase specificity.
But sensitivities and specificities move in opposite directions when cutoffs are adjusted. Showing data from the 5-year prediction model, Dr. Eder reported that specificities climbed from about 58% to 97% as cutoffs were increased. The sensitivities with these adjustments fell from 79% to 14%.
In general, Dr. Eder said there was “excellent calibration” for the cutoffs employed when they compared the predicted and observed rates of PsA according to quintile of predictive probability. The differences were particularly minor over a 1-year time period. Over the 5-year period, observed rates were somewhat higher than predicted in the fourth and fifth quintile, but, again, this discrepancy could be modified for specific applications with cutoff adjustments.
Validation studies are planned
Even though psoriasis patients in IPART represents one of the largest cohorts of prospectively collected psoriasis patients, Dr. Eder acknowledged that the sample size would be considered “moderate” for developing a predictive model. However, the fact that the data were collected prospectively using standardized methodology strengthens the findings and provides the basis for the next step.
“Validation studies are planned with external cohorts,” said Dr. Eder, who indicated that a viable tool for identifying psoriasis patients at risk for PsA is likely. Even if it is not employed routinely in its current form at the level of individual patient care, she predicted that it will have value at a research level for understanding the relationship of psoriasis to PsA.
Christopher T. Ritchlin, MD, a professor and researcher at the University of Rochester (N.Y.), agreed that PRESTO has important potential as a clinical tool. Dr. Ritchlin has been involved in the development of PRESTO but was not involved in the presentation made at the CRA annual meeting.
“The PRESTO tool has the ability to predict the 2- and 5-year risk of developing psoriatic arthritis, which is an important advance if confirmed,” he said in an interview. He pointed out that approximately 25%-30% who develop psoriasis will go on to develop PsA but until now there has been no way to identify them.
“This tool may provide a pathway to early intervention,” he said.
Dr. Eder has financial relationships with AbbVie, Eli Lilly, Fresenius Kabi, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, Sandoz, and UCB. Dr. Ritchlin has financial relationships with many of the same companies.
FROM CRA 2023
Two biomarkers identify high-risk lupus nephritis
Levels at the time of flare predict outcomes
At the time of a nephritis flare in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), elevated levels of two neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) protein complexes, elastase-DNA and HMGB1-DNA, predict declining renal function, poor response to therapy, and adverse renal outcomes, according to work presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
“These proteins are not only predominantly elevated in patients with proliferative lupus nephritis, but they correlate with adverse renal outcomes when patients are followed over 24 months,” reported Laura P. Whittall-Garcia, MD, a clinical fellow in rheumatology at the University of Toronto.
Lupus nephritis is common in SLE, developing in about 50% of patients, according to Dr. Whittall-Garcia. Of these, up to 20% will not respond to standard therapies, typically resulting in end-stage renal disease. Up until now, there has been no reliable method of predicting this adverse clinical course.
Proteins identified in NETs
The series of studies conducted by Dr. Whittall-Garcia and coinvestigators were focused on NETs, a network of strings of DNA that typically bind pathogenic microbes to prevent infection but can participate in the pathology of immune-mediated conditions. As Dr. Whittall-Garcia explained, DNA extruded from NETs has been a source of autoantigens.
Based on earlier work, they pursued the hypothesis that high mobility group box 1 (HMGB1) and elastase, which are both NET components, mediate NETosis, the immune response that protects against microbes in healthy individuals but contributes to tissue damage in patients with immune-related disorders. The first aim of this work was to confirm that elevations of elastase-DNA and HMGB1-DNA correlate with active lupus nephritis. The second aim was to determine if levels of these proteins at the time of lupus nephritis flare predicted renal outcomes at 12 and 24 months.
To pursue the first hypothesis, 49 patients with active SLE (18 of whom had active lupus nephritis) were evaluated along with 23 patients with inactive SLE and 20 healthy controls.
Highest levels seen in proliferative nephritis
Relative to healthy controls, patients with active SLE have highly significantly increased levels of both proteins (P < .0001). And relative to those with inactive SLE, the levels of active patients were higher but fell short of statistical significance. However, when the researchers compared those with active lupus nephritis with those who had active SLE but no nephritis, both proteins were significantly higher (P < .04), and the levels in patients with proliferative relative to nonproliferative lupus nephritis were higher still (P < .009).
To pursue the second aim of the study, the researchers retrospectively evaluated 109 patients with SLE. All had active lupus nephritis, a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) greater than 30 mL/min prior to the flare, and at least 2 years of follow-up. They evaluated complete response at 12 and 24 months, percent decline in eGFR, and severe renal impairment (eGFR ≤ 30 mL/min) in the context of levels of elastase and HMGB1.
With elevations in either NET remnant, the odds ratio of failing to achieve a complete response at 24 months were approximately doubled for elastase-DNA (OR, 1.96; P = .01) and for HMGB1 (OR, 2.61; P = .02). For the endpoint of severe renal impairment 24 months after a lupus nephritis flare, there was also a positive association with both elastase-DNA (OR, 1.55; P = .005) and HMBG1-DNA (OR, 1.91; P = .01).
“For every 100-unit increase in elastase-DNA complexes, there is a 4.8% decrease in eGFR,” reported Dr. Whittall-Garcia, who noted this relationship was highly statistically significant (P < .0001). For HMGB1-DNA, each 100-unit increase was associated with a 5.3% decrease in eGFR (P = .0006).
No other biomarkers compare for prognosis
“After adjusting for multiple variables, these protein levels at the time of the flare outperformed all conventional biomarkers, including proteinuria and complement levels,” Dr. Whittall-Garcia said.
Larger validating studies are needed, but Dr. Whittall-Garcia is optimistic that measuring these NET remnant levels will prove useful for monitoring patients at the time of the lupus nephritis flare and over time for the purposes of predicting adverse outcomes and response to therapy.
Although more work is needed, Adegbenga A. Bankole, MD, associate professor of medicine at Virginia Tech University and chief of the rheumatology division at the Carilion Clinic, both in Roanoke, agreed that this is a promising research direction. He reported that NETs have been attracting interest at several research centers for their potential in helping to understand the pathogenesis of lupus nephritis.
“It is unlikely that any one test will ever be a panacea in the diagnosis or predictor of outcomes in lupus nephritis,” Dr. Bankole said in an interview, but “given the importance of NETosis in the development of this disease, studies like this will form the basis of the multistep process through which we will improve patient care.”
With further progress in this area, Dr. Bankole predicted that these studies will lead to clinical applications.
“Dr. Whittall-Garcia and her team will help in the development of diagnostic and/or predictive algorithms that may go on to help improve survival of future patients with SLE,” he said.Dr. Whittall-Garcia and Dr. Bankole report they have no relevant financial relationships.
Levels at the time of flare predict outcomes
Levels at the time of flare predict outcomes
At the time of a nephritis flare in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), elevated levels of two neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) protein complexes, elastase-DNA and HMGB1-DNA, predict declining renal function, poor response to therapy, and adverse renal outcomes, according to work presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
“These proteins are not only predominantly elevated in patients with proliferative lupus nephritis, but they correlate with adverse renal outcomes when patients are followed over 24 months,” reported Laura P. Whittall-Garcia, MD, a clinical fellow in rheumatology at the University of Toronto.
Lupus nephritis is common in SLE, developing in about 50% of patients, according to Dr. Whittall-Garcia. Of these, up to 20% will not respond to standard therapies, typically resulting in end-stage renal disease. Up until now, there has been no reliable method of predicting this adverse clinical course.
Proteins identified in NETs
The series of studies conducted by Dr. Whittall-Garcia and coinvestigators were focused on NETs, a network of strings of DNA that typically bind pathogenic microbes to prevent infection but can participate in the pathology of immune-mediated conditions. As Dr. Whittall-Garcia explained, DNA extruded from NETs has been a source of autoantigens.
Based on earlier work, they pursued the hypothesis that high mobility group box 1 (HMGB1) and elastase, which are both NET components, mediate NETosis, the immune response that protects against microbes in healthy individuals but contributes to tissue damage in patients with immune-related disorders. The first aim of this work was to confirm that elevations of elastase-DNA and HMGB1-DNA correlate with active lupus nephritis. The second aim was to determine if levels of these proteins at the time of lupus nephritis flare predicted renal outcomes at 12 and 24 months.
To pursue the first hypothesis, 49 patients with active SLE (18 of whom had active lupus nephritis) were evaluated along with 23 patients with inactive SLE and 20 healthy controls.
Highest levels seen in proliferative nephritis
Relative to healthy controls, patients with active SLE have highly significantly increased levels of both proteins (P < .0001). And relative to those with inactive SLE, the levels of active patients were higher but fell short of statistical significance. However, when the researchers compared those with active lupus nephritis with those who had active SLE but no nephritis, both proteins were significantly higher (P < .04), and the levels in patients with proliferative relative to nonproliferative lupus nephritis were higher still (P < .009).
To pursue the second aim of the study, the researchers retrospectively evaluated 109 patients with SLE. All had active lupus nephritis, a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) greater than 30 mL/min prior to the flare, and at least 2 years of follow-up. They evaluated complete response at 12 and 24 months, percent decline in eGFR, and severe renal impairment (eGFR ≤ 30 mL/min) in the context of levels of elastase and HMGB1.
With elevations in either NET remnant, the odds ratio of failing to achieve a complete response at 24 months were approximately doubled for elastase-DNA (OR, 1.96; P = .01) and for HMGB1 (OR, 2.61; P = .02). For the endpoint of severe renal impairment 24 months after a lupus nephritis flare, there was also a positive association with both elastase-DNA (OR, 1.55; P = .005) and HMBG1-DNA (OR, 1.91; P = .01).
“For every 100-unit increase in elastase-DNA complexes, there is a 4.8% decrease in eGFR,” reported Dr. Whittall-Garcia, who noted this relationship was highly statistically significant (P < .0001). For HMGB1-DNA, each 100-unit increase was associated with a 5.3% decrease in eGFR (P = .0006).
No other biomarkers compare for prognosis
“After adjusting for multiple variables, these protein levels at the time of the flare outperformed all conventional biomarkers, including proteinuria and complement levels,” Dr. Whittall-Garcia said.
Larger validating studies are needed, but Dr. Whittall-Garcia is optimistic that measuring these NET remnant levels will prove useful for monitoring patients at the time of the lupus nephritis flare and over time for the purposes of predicting adverse outcomes and response to therapy.
Although more work is needed, Adegbenga A. Bankole, MD, associate professor of medicine at Virginia Tech University and chief of the rheumatology division at the Carilion Clinic, both in Roanoke, agreed that this is a promising research direction. He reported that NETs have been attracting interest at several research centers for their potential in helping to understand the pathogenesis of lupus nephritis.
“It is unlikely that any one test will ever be a panacea in the diagnosis or predictor of outcomes in lupus nephritis,” Dr. Bankole said in an interview, but “given the importance of NETosis in the development of this disease, studies like this will form the basis of the multistep process through which we will improve patient care.”
With further progress in this area, Dr. Bankole predicted that these studies will lead to clinical applications.
“Dr. Whittall-Garcia and her team will help in the development of diagnostic and/or predictive algorithms that may go on to help improve survival of future patients with SLE,” he said.Dr. Whittall-Garcia and Dr. Bankole report they have no relevant financial relationships.
At the time of a nephritis flare in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), elevated levels of two neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) protein complexes, elastase-DNA and HMGB1-DNA, predict declining renal function, poor response to therapy, and adverse renal outcomes, according to work presented at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
“These proteins are not only predominantly elevated in patients with proliferative lupus nephritis, but they correlate with adverse renal outcomes when patients are followed over 24 months,” reported Laura P. Whittall-Garcia, MD, a clinical fellow in rheumatology at the University of Toronto.
Lupus nephritis is common in SLE, developing in about 50% of patients, according to Dr. Whittall-Garcia. Of these, up to 20% will not respond to standard therapies, typically resulting in end-stage renal disease. Up until now, there has been no reliable method of predicting this adverse clinical course.
Proteins identified in NETs
The series of studies conducted by Dr. Whittall-Garcia and coinvestigators were focused on NETs, a network of strings of DNA that typically bind pathogenic microbes to prevent infection but can participate in the pathology of immune-mediated conditions. As Dr. Whittall-Garcia explained, DNA extruded from NETs has been a source of autoantigens.
Based on earlier work, they pursued the hypothesis that high mobility group box 1 (HMGB1) and elastase, which are both NET components, mediate NETosis, the immune response that protects against microbes in healthy individuals but contributes to tissue damage in patients with immune-related disorders. The first aim of this work was to confirm that elevations of elastase-DNA and HMGB1-DNA correlate with active lupus nephritis. The second aim was to determine if levels of these proteins at the time of lupus nephritis flare predicted renal outcomes at 12 and 24 months.
To pursue the first hypothesis, 49 patients with active SLE (18 of whom had active lupus nephritis) were evaluated along with 23 patients with inactive SLE and 20 healthy controls.
Highest levels seen in proliferative nephritis
Relative to healthy controls, patients with active SLE have highly significantly increased levels of both proteins (P < .0001). And relative to those with inactive SLE, the levels of active patients were higher but fell short of statistical significance. However, when the researchers compared those with active lupus nephritis with those who had active SLE but no nephritis, both proteins were significantly higher (P < .04), and the levels in patients with proliferative relative to nonproliferative lupus nephritis were higher still (P < .009).
To pursue the second aim of the study, the researchers retrospectively evaluated 109 patients with SLE. All had active lupus nephritis, a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) greater than 30 mL/min prior to the flare, and at least 2 years of follow-up. They evaluated complete response at 12 and 24 months, percent decline in eGFR, and severe renal impairment (eGFR ≤ 30 mL/min) in the context of levels of elastase and HMGB1.
With elevations in either NET remnant, the odds ratio of failing to achieve a complete response at 24 months were approximately doubled for elastase-DNA (OR, 1.96; P = .01) and for HMGB1 (OR, 2.61; P = .02). For the endpoint of severe renal impairment 24 months after a lupus nephritis flare, there was also a positive association with both elastase-DNA (OR, 1.55; P = .005) and HMBG1-DNA (OR, 1.91; P = .01).
“For every 100-unit increase in elastase-DNA complexes, there is a 4.8% decrease in eGFR,” reported Dr. Whittall-Garcia, who noted this relationship was highly statistically significant (P < .0001). For HMGB1-DNA, each 100-unit increase was associated with a 5.3% decrease in eGFR (P = .0006).
No other biomarkers compare for prognosis
“After adjusting for multiple variables, these protein levels at the time of the flare outperformed all conventional biomarkers, including proteinuria and complement levels,” Dr. Whittall-Garcia said.
Larger validating studies are needed, but Dr. Whittall-Garcia is optimistic that measuring these NET remnant levels will prove useful for monitoring patients at the time of the lupus nephritis flare and over time for the purposes of predicting adverse outcomes and response to therapy.
Although more work is needed, Adegbenga A. Bankole, MD, associate professor of medicine at Virginia Tech University and chief of the rheumatology division at the Carilion Clinic, both in Roanoke, agreed that this is a promising research direction. He reported that NETs have been attracting interest at several research centers for their potential in helping to understand the pathogenesis of lupus nephritis.
“It is unlikely that any one test will ever be a panacea in the diagnosis or predictor of outcomes in lupus nephritis,” Dr. Bankole said in an interview, but “given the importance of NETosis in the development of this disease, studies like this will form the basis of the multistep process through which we will improve patient care.”
With further progress in this area, Dr. Bankole predicted that these studies will lead to clinical applications.
“Dr. Whittall-Garcia and her team will help in the development of diagnostic and/or predictive algorithms that may go on to help improve survival of future patients with SLE,” he said.Dr. Whittall-Garcia and Dr. Bankole report they have no relevant financial relationships.
FROM CRA 2023
Biosimilars perform identically to originator biologics in natural experiment
Real-world, population-based data suggest that the discontinuation rates for biosimilars prescribed to treat inflammatory rheumatic diseases are similar to those for their corresponding originator biologics, according to a study of patients in British Columbia who were required to switch to biosimilars.
“The decision to mandate use of biosimilars provided an ideal context for a natural experiment,” Diane Lacaille, MD, chair in arthritis research at the University of British Columbia, Vancouver, explained in her presentation of the study at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
On the basis of the real-world data, which was collected before and after a province-wide requirement to use biosimilars in place of originator biologics, there was no major difference in discontinuation rates, an outcome that Dr. Lacaille characterized as “a surrogate for both efficacy and safety.”
In the 2019 rheumatoid arthritis treatment guidelines from the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology, biosimilars are advocated for addressing the high cost of biologics based on evidence of efficacy and safety comparable with originator biologics. According to one of the coauthors of those guidelines, Tom W. J. Huizinga, MD, PhD, head of rheumatology at Leiden (Netherlands) University Medical Center, there is reasonable confidence in biosimilars as an adequate substitute for originator drugs, but real-world data are welcome.
“Real-world data provide different information than controlled trials and long-term data as well, so these [Canadian findings] are useful to support the data from [randomized controlled trials],” Dr. Huizinga said in an interview. He was not involved in the Canadian study.
Survivorship evaluated after switch to biosimilars
In British Columbia, biosimilars were mandated province-wide for new prescriptions of infliximab and etanercept in June 2017. In 2019, the mandate was extended to patients already taking originator infliximab (Remicade) and originator etanercept (Enbrel). Since that time, the mandate for biosimilars has also been applied to adalimumab (Humira). For the comparison of infliximab and etanercept originators with their biosimilars, Dr. Lacaille and associates compared survivorship for the 3 years after the policy change, when patients were on biosimilars, with the 3 years prior to the change, when patients were on the originators. They compared survivorship with originator adalimumab with its biosimilars for prior to and after the switch.
”People were followed from anti-TNF [tumor necrosis factor] initiation until discontinuation for any reason,” reported Dr. Lacaille, who said data were censored for death and moving out of the province. In British Columbia, where there is universal health care, all dispensed medications can be tracked. The definition of anti-TNF discontinuation in this study was no prescription renewal for at least 6 months.
The follow-up was censored at March 2, 2020, to avoid the potential impact of COVID-19 on antirheumatic drug use. Discontinuation was standardized for the comparison of originator with biosimilar drugs as rates per 100 person-years. Statistical adjustments were made for potential confounders.
The researchers compared 1,312 patients on etanercept and 827 on a biosimilar of it, 230 patients on infliximab and 271 on a biosimilar of it, and 1,773 on adalimumab and 2,213 on a biosimilar of it. The indication was RA in approximately 60% of those on etanercept or a biosimilar and 50% of those on infliximab or adalimumab and their biosimilars. More than half of the remaining patients had indications for psoriatic arthritis, and the rest had ankylosing spondylitis.
No differences reach statistical significance
On the basis of discontinuation rates per 100 person-years, etanercept and its biosimilars performed almost identically (37.10 vs. 37.02, respectively). Although the discontinuation rate per 100 person-years was lower on infliximab than a biosimilar of it (29.97 vs. 37.96), the difference was not statistically significant (P = .076).
For adalimumab, the discontinuation rate was also lower on the originator drug than a biosimilar of it (32.92 vs. 36.36), but, again, this difference was also insignificant (P = .56).
When the discontinuation data were evaluated on the basis of a Cox model involving a propensity weight overlap, the univariate and the multivariable analyses found that the biosimilars had similar risks for discontinuation. Univariate analysis revealed hazard ratios for discontinuation of the biosimilar relative to the originator were 0.98 (P = .783) for etanercept, 1.17 (P = .242) for infliximab, and 1.08 (P = .09) for adalimumab. In the multivariable model, adjusted HRs for discontinuation were about the same for each of the biosimilars relative to the originator: 0.98 (P = .807) for etanercept, 1.19 (P = .183) for infliximab, and 1.08 (P = .089) for adalimumab.
Relative to previously published direct comparisons, this real-world analysis and its duration of follow-up address the limitations of formal trials. In a 2020 BMJ meta-analysis of published data from 45 trials comparing biosimilar with originator drugs in patients with RA who had failed methotrexate, the authors found only “minor differences in harms and benefits,” but they cautioned that the analysis was “hampered by a lack of long-term direct comparisons.”
In an interview, Dr. Huizinga noted that a systematic review of adalimumab biosimilars that he led 2 years ago showed that they perform comparably with the originator biologics. This and other published studies have consistently shown “that there is no difference between biologics and originators.”
Dr. Lacaille disclosed financial relationships with Fresenius Kabi, Janssen, Organon, Pfizer, and Viatris. Dr. Huizinga disclosed financial relationships with Abbott, Ablynx, Biotest, Bioscience, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Crescendo Bioscience, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Janssen, Merck, Novartis, MycoMed, Roche, Sanofi-Aventis, Takeda, and Zydus.
Real-world, population-based data suggest that the discontinuation rates for biosimilars prescribed to treat inflammatory rheumatic diseases are similar to those for their corresponding originator biologics, according to a study of patients in British Columbia who were required to switch to biosimilars.
“The decision to mandate use of biosimilars provided an ideal context for a natural experiment,” Diane Lacaille, MD, chair in arthritis research at the University of British Columbia, Vancouver, explained in her presentation of the study at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
On the basis of the real-world data, which was collected before and after a province-wide requirement to use biosimilars in place of originator biologics, there was no major difference in discontinuation rates, an outcome that Dr. Lacaille characterized as “a surrogate for both efficacy and safety.”
In the 2019 rheumatoid arthritis treatment guidelines from the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology, biosimilars are advocated for addressing the high cost of biologics based on evidence of efficacy and safety comparable with originator biologics. According to one of the coauthors of those guidelines, Tom W. J. Huizinga, MD, PhD, head of rheumatology at Leiden (Netherlands) University Medical Center, there is reasonable confidence in biosimilars as an adequate substitute for originator drugs, but real-world data are welcome.
“Real-world data provide different information than controlled trials and long-term data as well, so these [Canadian findings] are useful to support the data from [randomized controlled trials],” Dr. Huizinga said in an interview. He was not involved in the Canadian study.
Survivorship evaluated after switch to biosimilars
In British Columbia, biosimilars were mandated province-wide for new prescriptions of infliximab and etanercept in June 2017. In 2019, the mandate was extended to patients already taking originator infliximab (Remicade) and originator etanercept (Enbrel). Since that time, the mandate for biosimilars has also been applied to adalimumab (Humira). For the comparison of infliximab and etanercept originators with their biosimilars, Dr. Lacaille and associates compared survivorship for the 3 years after the policy change, when patients were on biosimilars, with the 3 years prior to the change, when patients were on the originators. They compared survivorship with originator adalimumab with its biosimilars for prior to and after the switch.
”People were followed from anti-TNF [tumor necrosis factor] initiation until discontinuation for any reason,” reported Dr. Lacaille, who said data were censored for death and moving out of the province. In British Columbia, where there is universal health care, all dispensed medications can be tracked. The definition of anti-TNF discontinuation in this study was no prescription renewal for at least 6 months.
The follow-up was censored at March 2, 2020, to avoid the potential impact of COVID-19 on antirheumatic drug use. Discontinuation was standardized for the comparison of originator with biosimilar drugs as rates per 100 person-years. Statistical adjustments were made for potential confounders.
The researchers compared 1,312 patients on etanercept and 827 on a biosimilar of it, 230 patients on infliximab and 271 on a biosimilar of it, and 1,773 on adalimumab and 2,213 on a biosimilar of it. The indication was RA in approximately 60% of those on etanercept or a biosimilar and 50% of those on infliximab or adalimumab and their biosimilars. More than half of the remaining patients had indications for psoriatic arthritis, and the rest had ankylosing spondylitis.
No differences reach statistical significance
On the basis of discontinuation rates per 100 person-years, etanercept and its biosimilars performed almost identically (37.10 vs. 37.02, respectively). Although the discontinuation rate per 100 person-years was lower on infliximab than a biosimilar of it (29.97 vs. 37.96), the difference was not statistically significant (P = .076).
For adalimumab, the discontinuation rate was also lower on the originator drug than a biosimilar of it (32.92 vs. 36.36), but, again, this difference was also insignificant (P = .56).
When the discontinuation data were evaluated on the basis of a Cox model involving a propensity weight overlap, the univariate and the multivariable analyses found that the biosimilars had similar risks for discontinuation. Univariate analysis revealed hazard ratios for discontinuation of the biosimilar relative to the originator were 0.98 (P = .783) for etanercept, 1.17 (P = .242) for infliximab, and 1.08 (P = .09) for adalimumab. In the multivariable model, adjusted HRs for discontinuation were about the same for each of the biosimilars relative to the originator: 0.98 (P = .807) for etanercept, 1.19 (P = .183) for infliximab, and 1.08 (P = .089) for adalimumab.
Relative to previously published direct comparisons, this real-world analysis and its duration of follow-up address the limitations of formal trials. In a 2020 BMJ meta-analysis of published data from 45 trials comparing biosimilar with originator drugs in patients with RA who had failed methotrexate, the authors found only “minor differences in harms and benefits,” but they cautioned that the analysis was “hampered by a lack of long-term direct comparisons.”
In an interview, Dr. Huizinga noted that a systematic review of adalimumab biosimilars that he led 2 years ago showed that they perform comparably with the originator biologics. This and other published studies have consistently shown “that there is no difference between biologics and originators.”
Dr. Lacaille disclosed financial relationships with Fresenius Kabi, Janssen, Organon, Pfizer, and Viatris. Dr. Huizinga disclosed financial relationships with Abbott, Ablynx, Biotest, Bioscience, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Crescendo Bioscience, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Janssen, Merck, Novartis, MycoMed, Roche, Sanofi-Aventis, Takeda, and Zydus.
Real-world, population-based data suggest that the discontinuation rates for biosimilars prescribed to treat inflammatory rheumatic diseases are similar to those for their corresponding originator biologics, according to a study of patients in British Columbia who were required to switch to biosimilars.
“The decision to mandate use of biosimilars provided an ideal context for a natural experiment,” Diane Lacaille, MD, chair in arthritis research at the University of British Columbia, Vancouver, explained in her presentation of the study at the annual meeting of the Canadian Rheumatology Association.
On the basis of the real-world data, which was collected before and after a province-wide requirement to use biosimilars in place of originator biologics, there was no major difference in discontinuation rates, an outcome that Dr. Lacaille characterized as “a surrogate for both efficacy and safety.”
In the 2019 rheumatoid arthritis treatment guidelines from the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology, biosimilars are advocated for addressing the high cost of biologics based on evidence of efficacy and safety comparable with originator biologics. According to one of the coauthors of those guidelines, Tom W. J. Huizinga, MD, PhD, head of rheumatology at Leiden (Netherlands) University Medical Center, there is reasonable confidence in biosimilars as an adequate substitute for originator drugs, but real-world data are welcome.
“Real-world data provide different information than controlled trials and long-term data as well, so these [Canadian findings] are useful to support the data from [randomized controlled trials],” Dr. Huizinga said in an interview. He was not involved in the Canadian study.
Survivorship evaluated after switch to biosimilars
In British Columbia, biosimilars were mandated province-wide for new prescriptions of infliximab and etanercept in June 2017. In 2019, the mandate was extended to patients already taking originator infliximab (Remicade) and originator etanercept (Enbrel). Since that time, the mandate for biosimilars has also been applied to adalimumab (Humira). For the comparison of infliximab and etanercept originators with their biosimilars, Dr. Lacaille and associates compared survivorship for the 3 years after the policy change, when patients were on biosimilars, with the 3 years prior to the change, when patients were on the originators. They compared survivorship with originator adalimumab with its biosimilars for prior to and after the switch.
”People were followed from anti-TNF [tumor necrosis factor] initiation until discontinuation for any reason,” reported Dr. Lacaille, who said data were censored for death and moving out of the province. In British Columbia, where there is universal health care, all dispensed medications can be tracked. The definition of anti-TNF discontinuation in this study was no prescription renewal for at least 6 months.
The follow-up was censored at March 2, 2020, to avoid the potential impact of COVID-19 on antirheumatic drug use. Discontinuation was standardized for the comparison of originator with biosimilar drugs as rates per 100 person-years. Statistical adjustments were made for potential confounders.
The researchers compared 1,312 patients on etanercept and 827 on a biosimilar of it, 230 patients on infliximab and 271 on a biosimilar of it, and 1,773 on adalimumab and 2,213 on a biosimilar of it. The indication was RA in approximately 60% of those on etanercept or a biosimilar and 50% of those on infliximab or adalimumab and their biosimilars. More than half of the remaining patients had indications for psoriatic arthritis, and the rest had ankylosing spondylitis.
No differences reach statistical significance
On the basis of discontinuation rates per 100 person-years, etanercept and its biosimilars performed almost identically (37.10 vs. 37.02, respectively). Although the discontinuation rate per 100 person-years was lower on infliximab than a biosimilar of it (29.97 vs. 37.96), the difference was not statistically significant (P = .076).
For adalimumab, the discontinuation rate was also lower on the originator drug than a biosimilar of it (32.92 vs. 36.36), but, again, this difference was also insignificant (P = .56).
When the discontinuation data were evaluated on the basis of a Cox model involving a propensity weight overlap, the univariate and the multivariable analyses found that the biosimilars had similar risks for discontinuation. Univariate analysis revealed hazard ratios for discontinuation of the biosimilar relative to the originator were 0.98 (P = .783) for etanercept, 1.17 (P = .242) for infliximab, and 1.08 (P = .09) for adalimumab. In the multivariable model, adjusted HRs for discontinuation were about the same for each of the biosimilars relative to the originator: 0.98 (P = .807) for etanercept, 1.19 (P = .183) for infliximab, and 1.08 (P = .089) for adalimumab.
Relative to previously published direct comparisons, this real-world analysis and its duration of follow-up address the limitations of formal trials. In a 2020 BMJ meta-analysis of published data from 45 trials comparing biosimilar with originator drugs in patients with RA who had failed methotrexate, the authors found only “minor differences in harms and benefits,” but they cautioned that the analysis was “hampered by a lack of long-term direct comparisons.”
In an interview, Dr. Huizinga noted that a systematic review of adalimumab biosimilars that he led 2 years ago showed that they perform comparably with the originator biologics. This and other published studies have consistently shown “that there is no difference between biologics and originators.”
Dr. Lacaille disclosed financial relationships with Fresenius Kabi, Janssen, Organon, Pfizer, and Viatris. Dr. Huizinga disclosed financial relationships with Abbott, Ablynx, Biotest, Bioscience, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Crescendo Bioscience, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Janssen, Merck, Novartis, MycoMed, Roche, Sanofi-Aventis, Takeda, and Zydus.
FROM CRA 2023
Elevated PCSK9 levels associated with psoriasis suggest new treatment target
A Mendelian randomization study employing data from nearly 300,000 individuals has linked elevated levels of the PCSK9 enzyme with an increased risk of psoriasis, suggesting it might be targetable as an intervention.
. Conversely, psoriasis risk did not appear to be affected when LDL-C was reduced by other pathways of lipid control.
This study “suggests that PCSK9 inhibition is causally associated with reduced risk of psoriasis,” reported a team of investigators led by Sizheng Steven Zhao, MD, PhD, of the division of musculoskeletal and dermatological sciences, University of Manchester (England). “Existing PCSK9 inhibitors hold potential as therapeutic targets for prevention, and possibly treatment, of psoriasis, although further clinical studies are needed,” they concluded.
In an interview, Dr. Zhao also noted that it will be interesting to look at psoriasis susceptibility in post hoc analyses of large randomized controlled trials of PCSK9 inhibitors for cardiovascular disease.
“Genetically proxied” inhibition of HMG-CoA reductase, which is targeted by statins, and NPC1L1 which is targeted by ezetimibe, “were not associated with psoriasis risk,” the investigators reported in the study, published in JAMA Dermatology.
Abnormal lipid metabolism is sufficiently common among people with psoriasis that screening in patients with moderate to severe disease is recommended in 2019 psoriasis guidelines from the American Academy of Dermatology and the National Psoriasis Foundation. However, the link between these diseases is unclear. This study was launched to explore genetically proxied relationships between psoriasis and LDL-C reductions as well as specific treatments for elevated LDL-C.
Mendelian randomizations were applied to deidentified data from two sources, a UK biobank and FinnGen, a Finnish-based project for identifying genotype-to-phenotype correlations. Genetic proxies for these variables were established on the basis of genomewide association studies on large population samples.
Ultimately, 34 genetic variants were selected to proxy for lipid lowering by PCSK9, 19 were selected to proxy for HMG-CoA reductase, and 9 for NPC1L1. In the Mendelian analyses performed on the two sources, genetically proxied PCSK9 inhibition was associated with about a 30% reduction in the odds ratio of psoriasis (OR, 0.69; P = .003). There were no robust associations with proxies for reductions in either HMG-CoA reductase or NPC1L1.
In sensitivity analyses, there was no evidence of bias from pleiotropy or genetic confounding, according to Dr. Zhao and his coauthors, who noted that the relationship between reductions in PCSK9 and reduced risk of psoriasis appeared to be independent of change in circulating LDL-C.
Given the prior evidence implicating the PCSK9 enzyme in psoriasis risk, “this is an exciting study that really highlights the importance of studying and targeting lipid metabolism in psoriasis for a few reasons,” according to Michael S. Garshick, MD, a researcher, cardiologist, and director of the cardio-rheumatology program, New York University Langone Health.
An investigator who has participated in several studies evaluating the relationship between cardiovascular risk and psoriasis, Dr. Garshick said there is increasing interest in PCSK9 as a biomarker or even a mediator of inflammation independent of blood lipid levels.
“In psoriasis regarding PCSK9, we and others have shown PCSK9 is elevated in psoriatic lesion skin, and studies are starting to investigate the unique lipidomic profile in psoriasis,” Dr. Garshick said in an interview. The study he led that showed elevated PCSK9 levels in psoriatic skin was published in 2021 in the Journal of Investigative Dermatology.
While the Mendelian randomization provides only “an inference” that PCSK9 plays a role in mediating risk of psoriasis, Dr. Zhao and coauthors cited numerous studies linking elevated PCSK9 to psoriasis pathophysiology. This not only includes the elevated PCSK9 expression in psoriatic plaques as shown by Dr. Garshick and others but several sets of experimental evidence linking PCSK9 to inflammatory pathways, including upregulation of interleukin-17 and stimulation of macrophage activation.
While Dr. Zhao and coauthors suggested that clinical trials are now needed to test the potential of PCSK9 inhibitors to modify the risk of psoriasis, Dr. Garshick indicated that there are numerous variables to unravel in the relationship between elevated lipids, PCSK9, and psoriasis.
“In our own studies, we did see a statistical correlation between circulating PCSK9 and psoriasis severity,” Dr. Garshick said. But he added, “I think we are just beginning to understand the functions of circulating (extrahepatic) PCSK9 independent of lipid metabolism.”
While he is intrigued by the evidence that PCSK9 is linked to systemic inflammation, he pointed out that several medications used to treat dyslipidemias, such as statins, are associated with an anti-inflammatory effect.
This study “further emphasizes the need to conduct clinical trials treating dyslipidemia in psoriasis, including the targeting of PCSK9, whether it is with statins with lipid lowering and potential pleiotropic anti-inflammatory properties or PCSK9 inhibition,” he said. If positive, “both would be exciting.“
From a cardiologist’s point of view, there is an upside for including patients with psoriasis in lipid-lowering trials even if the effect on psoriasis is modest. Either way, “you still get the lipid-lowering benefit, which is important for reducing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease,” Dr. Garshick said.
Dr. Zhao reported financial relationships with UCB, although UCB did not provide funding for this study. One author reported grants from Versus Arthritis and the National Institute for Health Research Manchester Biomedical Research Centre during the study, grants from Bristol Myers Squibb, Galapagos, and Pfizer, and personal fees from Chugai Roche outside the submitted work. No other disclosures were reported. The study was supported by grants from Versus Arthritis and the NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre. Dr. Garshick reported financial relationships with AbbVie and Horizon Therapeutics.
A Mendelian randomization study employing data from nearly 300,000 individuals has linked elevated levels of the PCSK9 enzyme with an increased risk of psoriasis, suggesting it might be targetable as an intervention.
. Conversely, psoriasis risk did not appear to be affected when LDL-C was reduced by other pathways of lipid control.
This study “suggests that PCSK9 inhibition is causally associated with reduced risk of psoriasis,” reported a team of investigators led by Sizheng Steven Zhao, MD, PhD, of the division of musculoskeletal and dermatological sciences, University of Manchester (England). “Existing PCSK9 inhibitors hold potential as therapeutic targets for prevention, and possibly treatment, of psoriasis, although further clinical studies are needed,” they concluded.
In an interview, Dr. Zhao also noted that it will be interesting to look at psoriasis susceptibility in post hoc analyses of large randomized controlled trials of PCSK9 inhibitors for cardiovascular disease.
“Genetically proxied” inhibition of HMG-CoA reductase, which is targeted by statins, and NPC1L1 which is targeted by ezetimibe, “were not associated with psoriasis risk,” the investigators reported in the study, published in JAMA Dermatology.
Abnormal lipid metabolism is sufficiently common among people with psoriasis that screening in patients with moderate to severe disease is recommended in 2019 psoriasis guidelines from the American Academy of Dermatology and the National Psoriasis Foundation. However, the link between these diseases is unclear. This study was launched to explore genetically proxied relationships between psoriasis and LDL-C reductions as well as specific treatments for elevated LDL-C.
Mendelian randomizations were applied to deidentified data from two sources, a UK biobank and FinnGen, a Finnish-based project for identifying genotype-to-phenotype correlations. Genetic proxies for these variables were established on the basis of genomewide association studies on large population samples.
Ultimately, 34 genetic variants were selected to proxy for lipid lowering by PCSK9, 19 were selected to proxy for HMG-CoA reductase, and 9 for NPC1L1. In the Mendelian analyses performed on the two sources, genetically proxied PCSK9 inhibition was associated with about a 30% reduction in the odds ratio of psoriasis (OR, 0.69; P = .003). There were no robust associations with proxies for reductions in either HMG-CoA reductase or NPC1L1.
In sensitivity analyses, there was no evidence of bias from pleiotropy or genetic confounding, according to Dr. Zhao and his coauthors, who noted that the relationship between reductions in PCSK9 and reduced risk of psoriasis appeared to be independent of change in circulating LDL-C.
Given the prior evidence implicating the PCSK9 enzyme in psoriasis risk, “this is an exciting study that really highlights the importance of studying and targeting lipid metabolism in psoriasis for a few reasons,” according to Michael S. Garshick, MD, a researcher, cardiologist, and director of the cardio-rheumatology program, New York University Langone Health.
An investigator who has participated in several studies evaluating the relationship between cardiovascular risk and psoriasis, Dr. Garshick said there is increasing interest in PCSK9 as a biomarker or even a mediator of inflammation independent of blood lipid levels.
“In psoriasis regarding PCSK9, we and others have shown PCSK9 is elevated in psoriatic lesion skin, and studies are starting to investigate the unique lipidomic profile in psoriasis,” Dr. Garshick said in an interview. The study he led that showed elevated PCSK9 levels in psoriatic skin was published in 2021 in the Journal of Investigative Dermatology.
While the Mendelian randomization provides only “an inference” that PCSK9 plays a role in mediating risk of psoriasis, Dr. Zhao and coauthors cited numerous studies linking elevated PCSK9 to psoriasis pathophysiology. This not only includes the elevated PCSK9 expression in psoriatic plaques as shown by Dr. Garshick and others but several sets of experimental evidence linking PCSK9 to inflammatory pathways, including upregulation of interleukin-17 and stimulation of macrophage activation.
While Dr. Zhao and coauthors suggested that clinical trials are now needed to test the potential of PCSK9 inhibitors to modify the risk of psoriasis, Dr. Garshick indicated that there are numerous variables to unravel in the relationship between elevated lipids, PCSK9, and psoriasis.
“In our own studies, we did see a statistical correlation between circulating PCSK9 and psoriasis severity,” Dr. Garshick said. But he added, “I think we are just beginning to understand the functions of circulating (extrahepatic) PCSK9 independent of lipid metabolism.”
While he is intrigued by the evidence that PCSK9 is linked to systemic inflammation, he pointed out that several medications used to treat dyslipidemias, such as statins, are associated with an anti-inflammatory effect.
This study “further emphasizes the need to conduct clinical trials treating dyslipidemia in psoriasis, including the targeting of PCSK9, whether it is with statins with lipid lowering and potential pleiotropic anti-inflammatory properties or PCSK9 inhibition,” he said. If positive, “both would be exciting.“
From a cardiologist’s point of view, there is an upside for including patients with psoriasis in lipid-lowering trials even if the effect on psoriasis is modest. Either way, “you still get the lipid-lowering benefit, which is important for reducing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease,” Dr. Garshick said.
Dr. Zhao reported financial relationships with UCB, although UCB did not provide funding for this study. One author reported grants from Versus Arthritis and the National Institute for Health Research Manchester Biomedical Research Centre during the study, grants from Bristol Myers Squibb, Galapagos, and Pfizer, and personal fees from Chugai Roche outside the submitted work. No other disclosures were reported. The study was supported by grants from Versus Arthritis and the NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre. Dr. Garshick reported financial relationships with AbbVie and Horizon Therapeutics.
A Mendelian randomization study employing data from nearly 300,000 individuals has linked elevated levels of the PCSK9 enzyme with an increased risk of psoriasis, suggesting it might be targetable as an intervention.
. Conversely, psoriasis risk did not appear to be affected when LDL-C was reduced by other pathways of lipid control.
This study “suggests that PCSK9 inhibition is causally associated with reduced risk of psoriasis,” reported a team of investigators led by Sizheng Steven Zhao, MD, PhD, of the division of musculoskeletal and dermatological sciences, University of Manchester (England). “Existing PCSK9 inhibitors hold potential as therapeutic targets for prevention, and possibly treatment, of psoriasis, although further clinical studies are needed,” they concluded.
In an interview, Dr. Zhao also noted that it will be interesting to look at psoriasis susceptibility in post hoc analyses of large randomized controlled trials of PCSK9 inhibitors for cardiovascular disease.
“Genetically proxied” inhibition of HMG-CoA reductase, which is targeted by statins, and NPC1L1 which is targeted by ezetimibe, “were not associated with psoriasis risk,” the investigators reported in the study, published in JAMA Dermatology.
Abnormal lipid metabolism is sufficiently common among people with psoriasis that screening in patients with moderate to severe disease is recommended in 2019 psoriasis guidelines from the American Academy of Dermatology and the National Psoriasis Foundation. However, the link between these diseases is unclear. This study was launched to explore genetically proxied relationships between psoriasis and LDL-C reductions as well as specific treatments for elevated LDL-C.
Mendelian randomizations were applied to deidentified data from two sources, a UK biobank and FinnGen, a Finnish-based project for identifying genotype-to-phenotype correlations. Genetic proxies for these variables were established on the basis of genomewide association studies on large population samples.
Ultimately, 34 genetic variants were selected to proxy for lipid lowering by PCSK9, 19 were selected to proxy for HMG-CoA reductase, and 9 for NPC1L1. In the Mendelian analyses performed on the two sources, genetically proxied PCSK9 inhibition was associated with about a 30% reduction in the odds ratio of psoriasis (OR, 0.69; P = .003). There were no robust associations with proxies for reductions in either HMG-CoA reductase or NPC1L1.
In sensitivity analyses, there was no evidence of bias from pleiotropy or genetic confounding, according to Dr. Zhao and his coauthors, who noted that the relationship between reductions in PCSK9 and reduced risk of psoriasis appeared to be independent of change in circulating LDL-C.
Given the prior evidence implicating the PCSK9 enzyme in psoriasis risk, “this is an exciting study that really highlights the importance of studying and targeting lipid metabolism in psoriasis for a few reasons,” according to Michael S. Garshick, MD, a researcher, cardiologist, and director of the cardio-rheumatology program, New York University Langone Health.
An investigator who has participated in several studies evaluating the relationship between cardiovascular risk and psoriasis, Dr. Garshick said there is increasing interest in PCSK9 as a biomarker or even a mediator of inflammation independent of blood lipid levels.
“In psoriasis regarding PCSK9, we and others have shown PCSK9 is elevated in psoriatic lesion skin, and studies are starting to investigate the unique lipidomic profile in psoriasis,” Dr. Garshick said in an interview. The study he led that showed elevated PCSK9 levels in psoriatic skin was published in 2021 in the Journal of Investigative Dermatology.
While the Mendelian randomization provides only “an inference” that PCSK9 plays a role in mediating risk of psoriasis, Dr. Zhao and coauthors cited numerous studies linking elevated PCSK9 to psoriasis pathophysiology. This not only includes the elevated PCSK9 expression in psoriatic plaques as shown by Dr. Garshick and others but several sets of experimental evidence linking PCSK9 to inflammatory pathways, including upregulation of interleukin-17 and stimulation of macrophage activation.
While Dr. Zhao and coauthors suggested that clinical trials are now needed to test the potential of PCSK9 inhibitors to modify the risk of psoriasis, Dr. Garshick indicated that there are numerous variables to unravel in the relationship between elevated lipids, PCSK9, and psoriasis.
“In our own studies, we did see a statistical correlation between circulating PCSK9 and psoriasis severity,” Dr. Garshick said. But he added, “I think we are just beginning to understand the functions of circulating (extrahepatic) PCSK9 independent of lipid metabolism.”
While he is intrigued by the evidence that PCSK9 is linked to systemic inflammation, he pointed out that several medications used to treat dyslipidemias, such as statins, are associated with an anti-inflammatory effect.
This study “further emphasizes the need to conduct clinical trials treating dyslipidemia in psoriasis, including the targeting of PCSK9, whether it is with statins with lipid lowering and potential pleiotropic anti-inflammatory properties or PCSK9 inhibition,” he said. If positive, “both would be exciting.“
From a cardiologist’s point of view, there is an upside for including patients with psoriasis in lipid-lowering trials even if the effect on psoriasis is modest. Either way, “you still get the lipid-lowering benefit, which is important for reducing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease,” Dr. Garshick said.
Dr. Zhao reported financial relationships with UCB, although UCB did not provide funding for this study. One author reported grants from Versus Arthritis and the National Institute for Health Research Manchester Biomedical Research Centre during the study, grants from Bristol Myers Squibb, Galapagos, and Pfizer, and personal fees from Chugai Roche outside the submitted work. No other disclosures were reported. The study was supported by grants from Versus Arthritis and the NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre. Dr. Garshick reported financial relationships with AbbVie and Horizon Therapeutics.
FROM JAMA DERMATOLOGY
After PCI, 1-month beats 12-month DAPT in high-risk patients
Replacing dual-antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with clopidogrel alone 1 month after percutaneous intervention (PCI) offers a lower risk of bleeding with comparable protection against cardiovascular events, according to two subgroup analyses of the Japanese STOPDAPT-2 and STOPDAPT-2 ACS trials.
The objective of these two analyses was to evaluate whether there was a benefit-to-risk ratio advantage for those who entered the study with high bleeding risk or who had undergone a complex PCI. Overall, bleeding risk was reduced without a major increase in cardiovascular events regardless of subgroup, according to results published by a multicenter group of Japanese investigators.
In this substudy, like the previously published studies from which the data were drawn, the primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, definite stent thrombosis, stroke, and Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction bleeding (major or minor).
The proportion of patients in the 1-month and 12-month DAPT groups reaching this composite endpoint at 1 year was not significantly different among patients stratified by baseline bleeding risk or by PCI complexity, according to a multicenter group of authors led by Takeshi Kimura, MD, department of cardiovascular medicine, Kyoto University.
Shortened DAPT is focus of multiple trials
The new analysis, published in JACC Asia, is a follow-up to the 2019 STOPDAPT-2 trial, published in JAMA, and the 2022 STOPDAPT-2 ACS trial, published in JAMA Cardiology. The first tested 1- versus 12-month DAPT in PCI patients receiving a drug-eluting stent. The second study compared the same strategies in patients undergoing PCI to treat an acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
Both studies were conducted in Japan. DAPT consisted of the P2Y12 receptor inhibitor clopidogrel plus aspirin. The experimental arm received this regimen for 1 month followed by clopidogrel monotherapy. The control arm remained on DAPT for 12 months.
The study is potentially important because it addresses the challenge of finding “the sweet spot of antiplatelet therapy in East Asian patients,” according to the coauthors of an accompanying editorial in the same issue of JACC Asia.
Previous data suggest East Asians have a higher risk of bleeding but lower anti-ischemic benefits from DAPT therapy, explained the coauthors, Antonio Greco, MD and Davide Capodanno, MD, PhD, both from the University of Catania (Italy). They praised the effort to explore this question.
In the STOPDAPT-2 trial, the shortened DAPT regimen was associated with a significantly lower rate of a composite endpoint of cardiovascular and bleeding events than standard DAPT, meeting criteria for superiority as well as noninferiority. In the STOPDAPT-2 ACS trial, shortened DAPT failed to achieve noninferiority to standard DAPT because of an increase in cardiovascular events despite a reduction in bleeding events.
Neither of these studies specifically compared shortened to standard DAPT in patients with high bleeding risk or in patients who underwent complex PCI, which are among the most common patient groups in which to consider a modified DAPT regimen. To do this, two new substudies were performed with the combined data from 5,997 patients in the two STOPDAPT-2 trials.
Two candidate groups for shortened DAPT evaluated
In the first substudy, the 1,893 patients who met criteria for high bleeding risk were compared with the 4,104 who did not. In those with a high risk of bleeding, the proportion reaching a primary endpoint at 1 year was lower, but not significantly different, for those on 1-month versus standard DAPT (5.01% vs. 5.14%). This was also true in those without an elevated bleeding risk (1.90% vs. 2.02%).
In the second substudy, 999 patients who had a complex PCI, defined by such characteristics as implantation of at least three stents or chronic total occlusion in the target lesions, were compared with the 4,998 who did not. Again, the primary endpoint was lower in both those who had a complex PCI (3.15% vs. 4.07%) and those who did not (2.78% vs. 2.82%).
Not surprisingly, patients with a high bleeding risk benefited from a substantially lower risk of bleeding events on the 1-month DAPT regimen (0.66% vs. 2.27%). The cost was a higher risk of cardiovascular events (4.35% vs. 3.52%), but this difference did not reach significance. Those without an elevated bleeding risk also had a lower risk of bleeding events (0.43% vs. 0.85%) but a higher risk of cardiovascular events (1.56% vs. 1.22%). Again, differences were nonsignificant. In the substudy evaluating DAPT duration in relation to complex PCI, the rate of cardiovascular events at 1 year in those treated with short versus 12-month DAPT was nearly identical (2.53% vs. 2.52%). In the non–complex PCI patients, event rates were nonsignificantly greater on the shortened DAPT regimen (2.38% vs. 1.86%), but the bleeding rate was lower on shortened DAPT whether PCI had been complex (0.63% vs. 1.75%) or not (0.48% vs. 1.22%).
In the absence of any major signal that complex PCI benefited from longer duration DAPT, “complex PCI might not be an appropriate determinant for DAPT durations,” according to Dr. Kimura and coinvestigators.
Study data might not be generalizable
Dr. Greco and Dr. Capodanno pointed out that there are differences between patients and PCI practices in Japan relative to other areas of the world, limiting the generalizability of these findings even if the question is relevant.
“This is an approach that might be suggested for patients at high bleeding risk who have the characteristics of the patients enrolled in the STOPDAPT-2 trials,” Dr. Capodanno said in an interview. In his own PCI practice treating ACS patients, “I would not feel safe enough with clopidogrel monotherapy after only 1 month.”
He considers the ACS population to have a particularly “delicate bleeding-ischemia trade-off,” which is why he thinks this question is relevant and needs to be explored further in additional populations. However, he might design trials differently in his own practice setting. For example, he would at the very least be interested in testing a more potent P2Y12 inhibitor such as ticagrelor when considering a single antiplatelet agent after a limited course of DAPT.
One message from this study is that “bleeding risk trumps PCI complexity,” according to Deepak L. Bhatt, MD, who recently assumed the position of director of Mount Sinai Heart in New York. He liked the approach the investigators took to address a complex and relevant clinical issue, but he also expressed reservations about the clinical applicability of this subgroup analysis.
“We really need more data before uniformly shortening DAPT duration in all patients,” Dr. Bhatt said in an interview. He considers this a hot clinical issue that is likely to generate more trials. He hopes these will provide more definitive evidence of when and how DAPT duration can be reduced. Overall, he anticipates progress toward tailoring therapy in specific populations in order to achieve the best risk-to-benefit balance.
Dr. Kimura has financial relationships with Boston Scientific, Daiichi Sankyo, Sanofi, Terumo, and Abbott Medical Japan, which provided funding for the STOPDAPT-2 and STOPDAPT-2 ACS trials. Dr. Capodanno reported financial relationships with Amgen, Arena, Chiesi, Daiichi Sakyo, Sanofi Aventis, and Terumo. Dr. Bhatt reported financial relationships with more than 20 pharmaceutical companies, including Abbott Medical.
Replacing dual-antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with clopidogrel alone 1 month after percutaneous intervention (PCI) offers a lower risk of bleeding with comparable protection against cardiovascular events, according to two subgroup analyses of the Japanese STOPDAPT-2 and STOPDAPT-2 ACS trials.
The objective of these two analyses was to evaluate whether there was a benefit-to-risk ratio advantage for those who entered the study with high bleeding risk or who had undergone a complex PCI. Overall, bleeding risk was reduced without a major increase in cardiovascular events regardless of subgroup, according to results published by a multicenter group of Japanese investigators.
In this substudy, like the previously published studies from which the data were drawn, the primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, definite stent thrombosis, stroke, and Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction bleeding (major or minor).
The proportion of patients in the 1-month and 12-month DAPT groups reaching this composite endpoint at 1 year was not significantly different among patients stratified by baseline bleeding risk or by PCI complexity, according to a multicenter group of authors led by Takeshi Kimura, MD, department of cardiovascular medicine, Kyoto University.
Shortened DAPT is focus of multiple trials
The new analysis, published in JACC Asia, is a follow-up to the 2019 STOPDAPT-2 trial, published in JAMA, and the 2022 STOPDAPT-2 ACS trial, published in JAMA Cardiology. The first tested 1- versus 12-month DAPT in PCI patients receiving a drug-eluting stent. The second study compared the same strategies in patients undergoing PCI to treat an acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
Both studies were conducted in Japan. DAPT consisted of the P2Y12 receptor inhibitor clopidogrel plus aspirin. The experimental arm received this regimen for 1 month followed by clopidogrel monotherapy. The control arm remained on DAPT for 12 months.
The study is potentially important because it addresses the challenge of finding “the sweet spot of antiplatelet therapy in East Asian patients,” according to the coauthors of an accompanying editorial in the same issue of JACC Asia.
Previous data suggest East Asians have a higher risk of bleeding but lower anti-ischemic benefits from DAPT therapy, explained the coauthors, Antonio Greco, MD and Davide Capodanno, MD, PhD, both from the University of Catania (Italy). They praised the effort to explore this question.
In the STOPDAPT-2 trial, the shortened DAPT regimen was associated with a significantly lower rate of a composite endpoint of cardiovascular and bleeding events than standard DAPT, meeting criteria for superiority as well as noninferiority. In the STOPDAPT-2 ACS trial, shortened DAPT failed to achieve noninferiority to standard DAPT because of an increase in cardiovascular events despite a reduction in bleeding events.
Neither of these studies specifically compared shortened to standard DAPT in patients with high bleeding risk or in patients who underwent complex PCI, which are among the most common patient groups in which to consider a modified DAPT regimen. To do this, two new substudies were performed with the combined data from 5,997 patients in the two STOPDAPT-2 trials.
Two candidate groups for shortened DAPT evaluated
In the first substudy, the 1,893 patients who met criteria for high bleeding risk were compared with the 4,104 who did not. In those with a high risk of bleeding, the proportion reaching a primary endpoint at 1 year was lower, but not significantly different, for those on 1-month versus standard DAPT (5.01% vs. 5.14%). This was also true in those without an elevated bleeding risk (1.90% vs. 2.02%).
In the second substudy, 999 patients who had a complex PCI, defined by such characteristics as implantation of at least three stents or chronic total occlusion in the target lesions, were compared with the 4,998 who did not. Again, the primary endpoint was lower in both those who had a complex PCI (3.15% vs. 4.07%) and those who did not (2.78% vs. 2.82%).
Not surprisingly, patients with a high bleeding risk benefited from a substantially lower risk of bleeding events on the 1-month DAPT regimen (0.66% vs. 2.27%). The cost was a higher risk of cardiovascular events (4.35% vs. 3.52%), but this difference did not reach significance. Those without an elevated bleeding risk also had a lower risk of bleeding events (0.43% vs. 0.85%) but a higher risk of cardiovascular events (1.56% vs. 1.22%). Again, differences were nonsignificant. In the substudy evaluating DAPT duration in relation to complex PCI, the rate of cardiovascular events at 1 year in those treated with short versus 12-month DAPT was nearly identical (2.53% vs. 2.52%). In the non–complex PCI patients, event rates were nonsignificantly greater on the shortened DAPT regimen (2.38% vs. 1.86%), but the bleeding rate was lower on shortened DAPT whether PCI had been complex (0.63% vs. 1.75%) or not (0.48% vs. 1.22%).
In the absence of any major signal that complex PCI benefited from longer duration DAPT, “complex PCI might not be an appropriate determinant for DAPT durations,” according to Dr. Kimura and coinvestigators.
Study data might not be generalizable
Dr. Greco and Dr. Capodanno pointed out that there are differences between patients and PCI practices in Japan relative to other areas of the world, limiting the generalizability of these findings even if the question is relevant.
“This is an approach that might be suggested for patients at high bleeding risk who have the characteristics of the patients enrolled in the STOPDAPT-2 trials,” Dr. Capodanno said in an interview. In his own PCI practice treating ACS patients, “I would not feel safe enough with clopidogrel monotherapy after only 1 month.”
He considers the ACS population to have a particularly “delicate bleeding-ischemia trade-off,” which is why he thinks this question is relevant and needs to be explored further in additional populations. However, he might design trials differently in his own practice setting. For example, he would at the very least be interested in testing a more potent P2Y12 inhibitor such as ticagrelor when considering a single antiplatelet agent after a limited course of DAPT.
One message from this study is that “bleeding risk trumps PCI complexity,” according to Deepak L. Bhatt, MD, who recently assumed the position of director of Mount Sinai Heart in New York. He liked the approach the investigators took to address a complex and relevant clinical issue, but he also expressed reservations about the clinical applicability of this subgroup analysis.
“We really need more data before uniformly shortening DAPT duration in all patients,” Dr. Bhatt said in an interview. He considers this a hot clinical issue that is likely to generate more trials. He hopes these will provide more definitive evidence of when and how DAPT duration can be reduced. Overall, he anticipates progress toward tailoring therapy in specific populations in order to achieve the best risk-to-benefit balance.
Dr. Kimura has financial relationships with Boston Scientific, Daiichi Sankyo, Sanofi, Terumo, and Abbott Medical Japan, which provided funding for the STOPDAPT-2 and STOPDAPT-2 ACS trials. Dr. Capodanno reported financial relationships with Amgen, Arena, Chiesi, Daiichi Sakyo, Sanofi Aventis, and Terumo. Dr. Bhatt reported financial relationships with more than 20 pharmaceutical companies, including Abbott Medical.
Replacing dual-antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with clopidogrel alone 1 month after percutaneous intervention (PCI) offers a lower risk of bleeding with comparable protection against cardiovascular events, according to two subgroup analyses of the Japanese STOPDAPT-2 and STOPDAPT-2 ACS trials.
The objective of these two analyses was to evaluate whether there was a benefit-to-risk ratio advantage for those who entered the study with high bleeding risk or who had undergone a complex PCI. Overall, bleeding risk was reduced without a major increase in cardiovascular events regardless of subgroup, according to results published by a multicenter group of Japanese investigators.
In this substudy, like the previously published studies from which the data were drawn, the primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, definite stent thrombosis, stroke, and Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction bleeding (major or minor).
The proportion of patients in the 1-month and 12-month DAPT groups reaching this composite endpoint at 1 year was not significantly different among patients stratified by baseline bleeding risk or by PCI complexity, according to a multicenter group of authors led by Takeshi Kimura, MD, department of cardiovascular medicine, Kyoto University.
Shortened DAPT is focus of multiple trials
The new analysis, published in JACC Asia, is a follow-up to the 2019 STOPDAPT-2 trial, published in JAMA, and the 2022 STOPDAPT-2 ACS trial, published in JAMA Cardiology. The first tested 1- versus 12-month DAPT in PCI patients receiving a drug-eluting stent. The second study compared the same strategies in patients undergoing PCI to treat an acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
Both studies were conducted in Japan. DAPT consisted of the P2Y12 receptor inhibitor clopidogrel plus aspirin. The experimental arm received this regimen for 1 month followed by clopidogrel monotherapy. The control arm remained on DAPT for 12 months.
The study is potentially important because it addresses the challenge of finding “the sweet spot of antiplatelet therapy in East Asian patients,” according to the coauthors of an accompanying editorial in the same issue of JACC Asia.
Previous data suggest East Asians have a higher risk of bleeding but lower anti-ischemic benefits from DAPT therapy, explained the coauthors, Antonio Greco, MD and Davide Capodanno, MD, PhD, both from the University of Catania (Italy). They praised the effort to explore this question.
In the STOPDAPT-2 trial, the shortened DAPT regimen was associated with a significantly lower rate of a composite endpoint of cardiovascular and bleeding events than standard DAPT, meeting criteria for superiority as well as noninferiority. In the STOPDAPT-2 ACS trial, shortened DAPT failed to achieve noninferiority to standard DAPT because of an increase in cardiovascular events despite a reduction in bleeding events.
Neither of these studies specifically compared shortened to standard DAPT in patients with high bleeding risk or in patients who underwent complex PCI, which are among the most common patient groups in which to consider a modified DAPT regimen. To do this, two new substudies were performed with the combined data from 5,997 patients in the two STOPDAPT-2 trials.
Two candidate groups for shortened DAPT evaluated
In the first substudy, the 1,893 patients who met criteria for high bleeding risk were compared with the 4,104 who did not. In those with a high risk of bleeding, the proportion reaching a primary endpoint at 1 year was lower, but not significantly different, for those on 1-month versus standard DAPT (5.01% vs. 5.14%). This was also true in those without an elevated bleeding risk (1.90% vs. 2.02%).
In the second substudy, 999 patients who had a complex PCI, defined by such characteristics as implantation of at least three stents or chronic total occlusion in the target lesions, were compared with the 4,998 who did not. Again, the primary endpoint was lower in both those who had a complex PCI (3.15% vs. 4.07%) and those who did not (2.78% vs. 2.82%).
Not surprisingly, patients with a high bleeding risk benefited from a substantially lower risk of bleeding events on the 1-month DAPT regimen (0.66% vs. 2.27%). The cost was a higher risk of cardiovascular events (4.35% vs. 3.52%), but this difference did not reach significance. Those without an elevated bleeding risk also had a lower risk of bleeding events (0.43% vs. 0.85%) but a higher risk of cardiovascular events (1.56% vs. 1.22%). Again, differences were nonsignificant. In the substudy evaluating DAPT duration in relation to complex PCI, the rate of cardiovascular events at 1 year in those treated with short versus 12-month DAPT was nearly identical (2.53% vs. 2.52%). In the non–complex PCI patients, event rates were nonsignificantly greater on the shortened DAPT regimen (2.38% vs. 1.86%), but the bleeding rate was lower on shortened DAPT whether PCI had been complex (0.63% vs. 1.75%) or not (0.48% vs. 1.22%).
In the absence of any major signal that complex PCI benefited from longer duration DAPT, “complex PCI might not be an appropriate determinant for DAPT durations,” according to Dr. Kimura and coinvestigators.
Study data might not be generalizable
Dr. Greco and Dr. Capodanno pointed out that there are differences between patients and PCI practices in Japan relative to other areas of the world, limiting the generalizability of these findings even if the question is relevant.
“This is an approach that might be suggested for patients at high bleeding risk who have the characteristics of the patients enrolled in the STOPDAPT-2 trials,” Dr. Capodanno said in an interview. In his own PCI practice treating ACS patients, “I would not feel safe enough with clopidogrel monotherapy after only 1 month.”
He considers the ACS population to have a particularly “delicate bleeding-ischemia trade-off,” which is why he thinks this question is relevant and needs to be explored further in additional populations. However, he might design trials differently in his own practice setting. For example, he would at the very least be interested in testing a more potent P2Y12 inhibitor such as ticagrelor when considering a single antiplatelet agent after a limited course of DAPT.
One message from this study is that “bleeding risk trumps PCI complexity,” according to Deepak L. Bhatt, MD, who recently assumed the position of director of Mount Sinai Heart in New York. He liked the approach the investigators took to address a complex and relevant clinical issue, but he also expressed reservations about the clinical applicability of this subgroup analysis.
“We really need more data before uniformly shortening DAPT duration in all patients,” Dr. Bhatt said in an interview. He considers this a hot clinical issue that is likely to generate more trials. He hopes these will provide more definitive evidence of when and how DAPT duration can be reduced. Overall, he anticipates progress toward tailoring therapy in specific populations in order to achieve the best risk-to-benefit balance.
Dr. Kimura has financial relationships with Boston Scientific, Daiichi Sankyo, Sanofi, Terumo, and Abbott Medical Japan, which provided funding for the STOPDAPT-2 and STOPDAPT-2 ACS trials. Dr. Capodanno reported financial relationships with Amgen, Arena, Chiesi, Daiichi Sakyo, Sanofi Aventis, and Terumo. Dr. Bhatt reported financial relationships with more than 20 pharmaceutical companies, including Abbott Medical.
FROM JACC ASIA
Study supports banning probiotics from the ICU
NASHVILLE, TENN. – Supported by several cases series, according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American College of Chest Physicians (CHEST).
According to data presented by Scott Mayer, MD, chief resident at HealthONE Denver, which is part of the HCA Healthcare chain of hospitals, the risk is increased by any probiotic exposure. However, the risk is particularly acute for powdered formulations, presumably because powder more easily disseminates to contaminate central venous catheters.
“We think that probiotics should be eliminated entirely from the ICU. If not, we encourage eliminating the powder formulations,” said Dr. Mayer, who led the study.
The data linking probiotics to ICU bacteremia were drawn from 23,533 ICU admissions over a 5-year period in the HCA hospital database. Bacteremia proven to be probiotic-related was uncommon (0.37%), but the consequences were serious.
For those with probiotic-related bacteremia, the mortality rate was 25.6% or essentially twofold greater than the 13.5% mortality rate among those without probiotic bacteremia. An odds ratio drawn from a regression analysis confirmed a significant difference (OR, 2.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.30-3.71; P < .01).
“The absolute risk of mortality is modest but not insignificant,” said Dr. Mayer. This suggests one probiotic-related mortality for about every 200 patients taking a probiotic in the ICU.
These deaths occur without any clear compensatory benefit from taking probiotics, according to Dr. Mayer. There is a long list of potential benefits from probiotics that might be relevant to patients in the ICU, particularly prophylaxis for Clostridioides difficile infection, but also including a variety of gastrointestinal disorders, such as irritable bowel syndrome; however, none of these are firmly established in general, and particularly for patients in the ICU.
“The American College of Gastroenterology currently recommends against probiotics for the prevention of C. diff.,” Dr. Mayer said. Although the American Gastroenterological Association has issued a “conditional recommendation” for prevention of C. diff. infection with probiotics, Dr. Mayer pointed out this is qualified by a “low quality of evidence” and it is not specific to the ICU setting.
“The evidence for benefit is weak or nonexistent, but the risks are real,” Dr. Mayer said.
To confirm that probiotic-associated ICU bacteremias in the HCA hospital database were, in fact, related to probiotics being taken by patients at time of admission, Dr. Mayer evaluated the record of each of the 86 patients with probiotic bacteremia–associated mortality.
“I identified the organism that grew from the blood cultures to confirm that it was contained in the probiotic the patient was taking,” explained Dr. Mayer, who said this information was available in the electronic medical records.
The risk of probiotic-associated bacteremia in ICU patients was consistent with a series of case series that prompted the study. Dr. Mayer explained that he became interested when he encountered patients on his ICU rounds who were taking probiotics. He knew very little about these agents and explored the medical literature to see what evidence was available.
“I found several case reports of ICU patients with probiotic-associated infections, several of which were suspected of being associated with contamination of the central lines,” Dr. Mayer said. In one case, the patient was not taking a probiotic, but a patient in an adjacent bed was receiving a powdered probiotic that was implicated. This prompted suspicion that the cause was central-line contamination.
This was evaluated in the HCA ICU database and also found to be a significant risk. Among the 67 patients in whom a capsule or tablet was used, the rate of probiotic-associated bacteremia was 0.33%. For those in which the probiotic was a powdered formulation, the rate was 0.76%, a significant difference (P < .01).
Dr. Mayer acknowledged that these data do not rule out all potential benefits from probiotics in the ICU. He believes an obstacle to proving benefit has been the heterogeneity of available products, which are likely to be relevant to any therapeutic role, including prevention of C. diff. infection.
“There are now a large number of products available, and they contain a large variety of strains of organisms, so this has been a difficult area to study,” he said. However, he maintains it is prudent at this point to avoid probiotics in the ICU because the risks are not confined to the patient making this choice.
“My concern is not just the lack of evidence of benefit relative to the risk for the patient but the potential for probiotics in the ICU to place other patients at risk,” Dr. Mayer said.
Others have also noted the potential benefits of probiotics in the ICU, but the promise remains elusive. In a 2018 review article published in the Journal of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, the authors evaluated a series of potential applications of probiotics in critically ill patients. These included treatment of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP), catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTI), and surgical-site infections (SSI). For each, the data were negative or inconclusive.
Over the 4 years that have passed since the review was published, several trials have further explored the potential benefits of probiotics in the ICU but none have changed this basic conclusion. For example, a 2021 multinational trial, published in The Lancet, randomized more than 2,600 patients to probiotics or placebo and showed no effect on VAP incidence (21.9% vs. 21.3%).
The lead author of the 2018 review, Heather A. Vitko, PhD, an associate professor in the department of acute and tertiary care, University of Pittsburgh School of Nursing, also emphasized that the potential for benefit cannot be considered without the potential for risk. She, like Dr. Mayer, cited the case studies implicating probiotics in systemic infections.
For administration, probiotic capsules or sachets “often need to be opened for administration through a feeding tube,” she noted. The risk of contamination comes from both the air and contaminated hands, the latter of which “can cause a translocation to a central line catheter where the microbes have direct entry into the systemic circulation.”
She did not call for a ban of probiotics in the ICU, but she did recommend “a precautionary approach,” encouraging clinicians to “distinguish between reality [of what has been proven] and what is presented in the marketing of antibiotics.”
Dr. Mayer and Dr. Vitko have reported no relevant financial relationships.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
NASHVILLE, TENN. – Supported by several cases series, according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American College of Chest Physicians (CHEST).
According to data presented by Scott Mayer, MD, chief resident at HealthONE Denver, which is part of the HCA Healthcare chain of hospitals, the risk is increased by any probiotic exposure. However, the risk is particularly acute for powdered formulations, presumably because powder more easily disseminates to contaminate central venous catheters.
“We think that probiotics should be eliminated entirely from the ICU. If not, we encourage eliminating the powder formulations,” said Dr. Mayer, who led the study.
The data linking probiotics to ICU bacteremia were drawn from 23,533 ICU admissions over a 5-year period in the HCA hospital database. Bacteremia proven to be probiotic-related was uncommon (0.37%), but the consequences were serious.
For those with probiotic-related bacteremia, the mortality rate was 25.6% or essentially twofold greater than the 13.5% mortality rate among those without probiotic bacteremia. An odds ratio drawn from a regression analysis confirmed a significant difference (OR, 2.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.30-3.71; P < .01).
“The absolute risk of mortality is modest but not insignificant,” said Dr. Mayer. This suggests one probiotic-related mortality for about every 200 patients taking a probiotic in the ICU.
These deaths occur without any clear compensatory benefit from taking probiotics, according to Dr. Mayer. There is a long list of potential benefits from probiotics that might be relevant to patients in the ICU, particularly prophylaxis for Clostridioides difficile infection, but also including a variety of gastrointestinal disorders, such as irritable bowel syndrome; however, none of these are firmly established in general, and particularly for patients in the ICU.
“The American College of Gastroenterology currently recommends against probiotics for the prevention of C. diff.,” Dr. Mayer said. Although the American Gastroenterological Association has issued a “conditional recommendation” for prevention of C. diff. infection with probiotics, Dr. Mayer pointed out this is qualified by a “low quality of evidence” and it is not specific to the ICU setting.
“The evidence for benefit is weak or nonexistent, but the risks are real,” Dr. Mayer said.
To confirm that probiotic-associated ICU bacteremias in the HCA hospital database were, in fact, related to probiotics being taken by patients at time of admission, Dr. Mayer evaluated the record of each of the 86 patients with probiotic bacteremia–associated mortality.
“I identified the organism that grew from the blood cultures to confirm that it was contained in the probiotic the patient was taking,” explained Dr. Mayer, who said this information was available in the electronic medical records.
The risk of probiotic-associated bacteremia in ICU patients was consistent with a series of case series that prompted the study. Dr. Mayer explained that he became interested when he encountered patients on his ICU rounds who were taking probiotics. He knew very little about these agents and explored the medical literature to see what evidence was available.
“I found several case reports of ICU patients with probiotic-associated infections, several of which were suspected of being associated with contamination of the central lines,” Dr. Mayer said. In one case, the patient was not taking a probiotic, but a patient in an adjacent bed was receiving a powdered probiotic that was implicated. This prompted suspicion that the cause was central-line contamination.
This was evaluated in the HCA ICU database and also found to be a significant risk. Among the 67 patients in whom a capsule or tablet was used, the rate of probiotic-associated bacteremia was 0.33%. For those in which the probiotic was a powdered formulation, the rate was 0.76%, a significant difference (P < .01).
Dr. Mayer acknowledged that these data do not rule out all potential benefits from probiotics in the ICU. He believes an obstacle to proving benefit has been the heterogeneity of available products, which are likely to be relevant to any therapeutic role, including prevention of C. diff. infection.
“There are now a large number of products available, and they contain a large variety of strains of organisms, so this has been a difficult area to study,” he said. However, he maintains it is prudent at this point to avoid probiotics in the ICU because the risks are not confined to the patient making this choice.
“My concern is not just the lack of evidence of benefit relative to the risk for the patient but the potential for probiotics in the ICU to place other patients at risk,” Dr. Mayer said.
Others have also noted the potential benefits of probiotics in the ICU, but the promise remains elusive. In a 2018 review article published in the Journal of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, the authors evaluated a series of potential applications of probiotics in critically ill patients. These included treatment of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP), catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTI), and surgical-site infections (SSI). For each, the data were negative or inconclusive.
Over the 4 years that have passed since the review was published, several trials have further explored the potential benefits of probiotics in the ICU but none have changed this basic conclusion. For example, a 2021 multinational trial, published in The Lancet, randomized more than 2,600 patients to probiotics or placebo and showed no effect on VAP incidence (21.9% vs. 21.3%).
The lead author of the 2018 review, Heather A. Vitko, PhD, an associate professor in the department of acute and tertiary care, University of Pittsburgh School of Nursing, also emphasized that the potential for benefit cannot be considered without the potential for risk. She, like Dr. Mayer, cited the case studies implicating probiotics in systemic infections.
For administration, probiotic capsules or sachets “often need to be opened for administration through a feeding tube,” she noted. The risk of contamination comes from both the air and contaminated hands, the latter of which “can cause a translocation to a central line catheter where the microbes have direct entry into the systemic circulation.”
She did not call for a ban of probiotics in the ICU, but she did recommend “a precautionary approach,” encouraging clinicians to “distinguish between reality [of what has been proven] and what is presented in the marketing of antibiotics.”
Dr. Mayer and Dr. Vitko have reported no relevant financial relationships.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
NASHVILLE, TENN. – Supported by several cases series, according to new findings presented at the annual meeting of the American College of Chest Physicians (CHEST).
According to data presented by Scott Mayer, MD, chief resident at HealthONE Denver, which is part of the HCA Healthcare chain of hospitals, the risk is increased by any probiotic exposure. However, the risk is particularly acute for powdered formulations, presumably because powder more easily disseminates to contaminate central venous catheters.
“We think that probiotics should be eliminated entirely from the ICU. If not, we encourage eliminating the powder formulations,” said Dr. Mayer, who led the study.
The data linking probiotics to ICU bacteremia were drawn from 23,533 ICU admissions over a 5-year period in the HCA hospital database. Bacteremia proven to be probiotic-related was uncommon (0.37%), but the consequences were serious.
For those with probiotic-related bacteremia, the mortality rate was 25.6% or essentially twofold greater than the 13.5% mortality rate among those without probiotic bacteremia. An odds ratio drawn from a regression analysis confirmed a significant difference (OR, 2.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.30-3.71; P < .01).
“The absolute risk of mortality is modest but not insignificant,” said Dr. Mayer. This suggests one probiotic-related mortality for about every 200 patients taking a probiotic in the ICU.
These deaths occur without any clear compensatory benefit from taking probiotics, according to Dr. Mayer. There is a long list of potential benefits from probiotics that might be relevant to patients in the ICU, particularly prophylaxis for Clostridioides difficile infection, but also including a variety of gastrointestinal disorders, such as irritable bowel syndrome; however, none of these are firmly established in general, and particularly for patients in the ICU.
“The American College of Gastroenterology currently recommends against probiotics for the prevention of C. diff.,” Dr. Mayer said. Although the American Gastroenterological Association has issued a “conditional recommendation” for prevention of C. diff. infection with probiotics, Dr. Mayer pointed out this is qualified by a “low quality of evidence” and it is not specific to the ICU setting.
“The evidence for benefit is weak or nonexistent, but the risks are real,” Dr. Mayer said.
To confirm that probiotic-associated ICU bacteremias in the HCA hospital database were, in fact, related to probiotics being taken by patients at time of admission, Dr. Mayer evaluated the record of each of the 86 patients with probiotic bacteremia–associated mortality.
“I identified the organism that grew from the blood cultures to confirm that it was contained in the probiotic the patient was taking,” explained Dr. Mayer, who said this information was available in the electronic medical records.
The risk of probiotic-associated bacteremia in ICU patients was consistent with a series of case series that prompted the study. Dr. Mayer explained that he became interested when he encountered patients on his ICU rounds who were taking probiotics. He knew very little about these agents and explored the medical literature to see what evidence was available.
“I found several case reports of ICU patients with probiotic-associated infections, several of which were suspected of being associated with contamination of the central lines,” Dr. Mayer said. In one case, the patient was not taking a probiotic, but a patient in an adjacent bed was receiving a powdered probiotic that was implicated. This prompted suspicion that the cause was central-line contamination.
This was evaluated in the HCA ICU database and also found to be a significant risk. Among the 67 patients in whom a capsule or tablet was used, the rate of probiotic-associated bacteremia was 0.33%. For those in which the probiotic was a powdered formulation, the rate was 0.76%, a significant difference (P < .01).
Dr. Mayer acknowledged that these data do not rule out all potential benefits from probiotics in the ICU. He believes an obstacle to proving benefit has been the heterogeneity of available products, which are likely to be relevant to any therapeutic role, including prevention of C. diff. infection.
“There are now a large number of products available, and they contain a large variety of strains of organisms, so this has been a difficult area to study,” he said. However, he maintains it is prudent at this point to avoid probiotics in the ICU because the risks are not confined to the patient making this choice.
“My concern is not just the lack of evidence of benefit relative to the risk for the patient but the potential for probiotics in the ICU to place other patients at risk,” Dr. Mayer said.
Others have also noted the potential benefits of probiotics in the ICU, but the promise remains elusive. In a 2018 review article published in the Journal of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, the authors evaluated a series of potential applications of probiotics in critically ill patients. These included treatment of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP), catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTI), and surgical-site infections (SSI). For each, the data were negative or inconclusive.
Over the 4 years that have passed since the review was published, several trials have further explored the potential benefits of probiotics in the ICU but none have changed this basic conclusion. For example, a 2021 multinational trial, published in The Lancet, randomized more than 2,600 patients to probiotics or placebo and showed no effect on VAP incidence (21.9% vs. 21.3%).
The lead author of the 2018 review, Heather A. Vitko, PhD, an associate professor in the department of acute and tertiary care, University of Pittsburgh School of Nursing, also emphasized that the potential for benefit cannot be considered without the potential for risk. She, like Dr. Mayer, cited the case studies implicating probiotics in systemic infections.
For administration, probiotic capsules or sachets “often need to be opened for administration through a feeding tube,” she noted. The risk of contamination comes from both the air and contaminated hands, the latter of which “can cause a translocation to a central line catheter where the microbes have direct entry into the systemic circulation.”
She did not call for a ban of probiotics in the ICU, but she did recommend “a precautionary approach,” encouraging clinicians to “distinguish between reality [of what has been proven] and what is presented in the marketing of antibiotics.”
Dr. Mayer and Dr. Vitko have reported no relevant financial relationships.
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
FROM CHEST 2022