Mitchel is a reporter for MDedge based in the Philadelphia area. He started with the company in 1992, when it was International Medical News Group (IMNG), and has since covered a range of medical specialties. Mitchel trained as a virologist at Roswell Park Memorial Institute in Buffalo, and then worked briefly as a researcher at Boston Children's Hospital before pivoting to journalism as a AAAS Mass Media Fellow in 1980. His first reporting job was with Science Digest magazine, and from the mid-1980s to early-1990s he was a reporter with Medical World News. @mitchelzoler

ICH survival lags in the community setting

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– Although recent findings from circumscribed patient populations enrolled in intervention studies have shown improved survival rates in patients with a recent intracerebral hemorrhagic stroke, data from a large, observational study in the Netherlands suggested a much darker real-world picture, with a 6-month mortality of 64% identified in a total cohort of nearly 15,000 people followed prospectively starting in 1990.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Reem Waziry

In striking contrast to the survival pattern over time of patients in the same Dutch study who had a first acute ischemic stroke, which showed a statistically significant and meaningful cut in mortality for ischemic stroke patients during the 25-year period examined, survival rates for patients during the first months following a first intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) stayed flat during 1991-2015, Reem Waziry, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association.

“The promising treatment advances [applied to patients] in the recent ICH trials may not be reflected in community-based treatment,” suggested Dr. Waziry, a research and teaching fellow in clinical epidemiology at the Harvard School of Public Health in Boston.



The data she reported came from the Rotterdam Study, which followed unselected, older people in the Rotterdam community with no stroke history, and during 25 years of monitoring identified 162 incident ICH strokes and 988 acute ischemic strokes. Concurrently with Dr. Waziry’s talk at the conference, the data she reported were published in Stroke. The data she reported also showed that, during the 25 years studied, mortality at 3 years following a first ICH stroke rose to 73% on average.

During her talk, Dr. Waziry also presented an unpublished comparison of the 64% 6-month mortality in the Rotterdam Study with the 3- to 6-month mortality reported in the control arms of four recent, randomized intervention trials, including the MISTIE III trial. Among the four randomized trials Dr. Waziry selected to make this post-hoc comparison, the study with the highest mortality among control patients was MISTIE III, which showed about 25% mortality after 6 months. In contrast, the 19% 6-month mortality among ischemic stroke patients in the Rotterdam Study was roughly similar to the mortality seem in the control arms of some recent studies of interventions for patients with acute ischemic stroke.



The Rotterdam Study receives no commercial funding. Dr. Waziry had no disclosures.

SOURCE: Waziry R et al. ISC 2020, Abstract LB14.

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– Although recent findings from circumscribed patient populations enrolled in intervention studies have shown improved survival rates in patients with a recent intracerebral hemorrhagic stroke, data from a large, observational study in the Netherlands suggested a much darker real-world picture, with a 6-month mortality of 64% identified in a total cohort of nearly 15,000 people followed prospectively starting in 1990.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Reem Waziry

In striking contrast to the survival pattern over time of patients in the same Dutch study who had a first acute ischemic stroke, which showed a statistically significant and meaningful cut in mortality for ischemic stroke patients during the 25-year period examined, survival rates for patients during the first months following a first intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) stayed flat during 1991-2015, Reem Waziry, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association.

“The promising treatment advances [applied to patients] in the recent ICH trials may not be reflected in community-based treatment,” suggested Dr. Waziry, a research and teaching fellow in clinical epidemiology at the Harvard School of Public Health in Boston.



The data she reported came from the Rotterdam Study, which followed unselected, older people in the Rotterdam community with no stroke history, and during 25 years of monitoring identified 162 incident ICH strokes and 988 acute ischemic strokes. Concurrently with Dr. Waziry’s talk at the conference, the data she reported were published in Stroke. The data she reported also showed that, during the 25 years studied, mortality at 3 years following a first ICH stroke rose to 73% on average.

During her talk, Dr. Waziry also presented an unpublished comparison of the 64% 6-month mortality in the Rotterdam Study with the 3- to 6-month mortality reported in the control arms of four recent, randomized intervention trials, including the MISTIE III trial. Among the four randomized trials Dr. Waziry selected to make this post-hoc comparison, the study with the highest mortality among control patients was MISTIE III, which showed about 25% mortality after 6 months. In contrast, the 19% 6-month mortality among ischemic stroke patients in the Rotterdam Study was roughly similar to the mortality seem in the control arms of some recent studies of interventions for patients with acute ischemic stroke.



The Rotterdam Study receives no commercial funding. Dr. Waziry had no disclosures.

SOURCE: Waziry R et al. ISC 2020, Abstract LB14.

– Although recent findings from circumscribed patient populations enrolled in intervention studies have shown improved survival rates in patients with a recent intracerebral hemorrhagic stroke, data from a large, observational study in the Netherlands suggested a much darker real-world picture, with a 6-month mortality of 64% identified in a total cohort of nearly 15,000 people followed prospectively starting in 1990.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Reem Waziry

In striking contrast to the survival pattern over time of patients in the same Dutch study who had a first acute ischemic stroke, which showed a statistically significant and meaningful cut in mortality for ischemic stroke patients during the 25-year period examined, survival rates for patients during the first months following a first intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) stayed flat during 1991-2015, Reem Waziry, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association.

“The promising treatment advances [applied to patients] in the recent ICH trials may not be reflected in community-based treatment,” suggested Dr. Waziry, a research and teaching fellow in clinical epidemiology at the Harvard School of Public Health in Boston.



The data she reported came from the Rotterdam Study, which followed unselected, older people in the Rotterdam community with no stroke history, and during 25 years of monitoring identified 162 incident ICH strokes and 988 acute ischemic strokes. Concurrently with Dr. Waziry’s talk at the conference, the data she reported were published in Stroke. The data she reported also showed that, during the 25 years studied, mortality at 3 years following a first ICH stroke rose to 73% on average.

During her talk, Dr. Waziry also presented an unpublished comparison of the 64% 6-month mortality in the Rotterdam Study with the 3- to 6-month mortality reported in the control arms of four recent, randomized intervention trials, including the MISTIE III trial. Among the four randomized trials Dr. Waziry selected to make this post-hoc comparison, the study with the highest mortality among control patients was MISTIE III, which showed about 25% mortality after 6 months. In contrast, the 19% 6-month mortality among ischemic stroke patients in the Rotterdam Study was roughly similar to the mortality seem in the control arms of some recent studies of interventions for patients with acute ischemic stroke.



The Rotterdam Study receives no commercial funding. Dr. Waziry had no disclosures.

SOURCE: Waziry R et al. ISC 2020, Abstract LB14.

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Get With the Guidelines – Stroke targets ICH

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The Get With the Guidelines – Stroke program is finally turning its attention to hemorrhagic strokes after having spurred improved patient management performance from participating U.S. stroke centers since its start in 2003 with a focus on acute ischemic stroke.

Dr. Kevin N. Sheth

The advisers who craft policy for Get With the Guidelines – Stroke (GWTG–S) are planning to launch a pilot program later in 2020 that will initiate data monitoring and quality improvement aimed at optimizing care for patients following an intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) starting at 15 U.S. stroke centers, with announcement of these 15 participating centers expected later in 2020. The program will start by targeting nine specific, evidence-based, key aspects of the acute management of ICH patients, said Kevin N. Sheth, MD, professor of neurology and neurosurgery, and chief of neurocritical care and emergency neurology at Yale University in New Haven, Conn, and a volunteer expert who is part of the team developing the ICH initiative.



According to Dr. Sheth, the nine imperatives of acute ICH care that the program plans to monitor at participating centers are:

  • Obtain a baseline severity score.
  • Identify etiology as spontaneous or treatment related.
  • Perform coagulopathy reversal or anticoagulant reversal.
  • Administer venous thromboembolism prophylaxis.
  • Apply dysphagia screening within 24 hours, and delay oral intake until patient passes dysphagia screen.
  • Provide patient management in a multidisciplinary stroke or ICU unit.
  • Prescribe appropriate blood pressure treatment at discharge.
  • Perform assessment for rehabilitation.
  • Avoid prescribing corticosteroids and other contraindicated drugs.

GWTG–S is adopting these metrics for assessing the acute care of ICH patients based largely on the recommendations of an expert 2018 panel organized by the American Heart Association and American Stroke. Association that proposed a set of performance measures for the care of ICH patients. This set of performance measures served as the primary basis for designing the new GWTG–S program, along with considerations of feasibility for collecting data on these measures, Dr. Sheth said in an interview. “We hope to make it easy” for centers to collect the data needed to participate.



The existing GWTG–S program is now 17-years old, and has spread to nearly 2,400 U.S. stroke centers as of early 2020, but the time has come to broaden its reach to patients with ICH and the programs that treat these patients, Dr. Sheth said. After years of nihilism about the prospects for patients following an ICH stroke, survival rates have increased, presenting “an opportunity to optimize care, for quality improvement,” he explained. “It’s a huge shift.” ICH patients “do better than we used to think.”

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The Get With the Guidelines – Stroke program is finally turning its attention to hemorrhagic strokes after having spurred improved patient management performance from participating U.S. stroke centers since its start in 2003 with a focus on acute ischemic stroke.

Dr. Kevin N. Sheth

The advisers who craft policy for Get With the Guidelines – Stroke (GWTG–S) are planning to launch a pilot program later in 2020 that will initiate data monitoring and quality improvement aimed at optimizing care for patients following an intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) starting at 15 U.S. stroke centers, with announcement of these 15 participating centers expected later in 2020. The program will start by targeting nine specific, evidence-based, key aspects of the acute management of ICH patients, said Kevin N. Sheth, MD, professor of neurology and neurosurgery, and chief of neurocritical care and emergency neurology at Yale University in New Haven, Conn, and a volunteer expert who is part of the team developing the ICH initiative.



According to Dr. Sheth, the nine imperatives of acute ICH care that the program plans to monitor at participating centers are:

  • Obtain a baseline severity score.
  • Identify etiology as spontaneous or treatment related.
  • Perform coagulopathy reversal or anticoagulant reversal.
  • Administer venous thromboembolism prophylaxis.
  • Apply dysphagia screening within 24 hours, and delay oral intake until patient passes dysphagia screen.
  • Provide patient management in a multidisciplinary stroke or ICU unit.
  • Prescribe appropriate blood pressure treatment at discharge.
  • Perform assessment for rehabilitation.
  • Avoid prescribing corticosteroids and other contraindicated drugs.

GWTG–S is adopting these metrics for assessing the acute care of ICH patients based largely on the recommendations of an expert 2018 panel organized by the American Heart Association and American Stroke. Association that proposed a set of performance measures for the care of ICH patients. This set of performance measures served as the primary basis for designing the new GWTG–S program, along with considerations of feasibility for collecting data on these measures, Dr. Sheth said in an interview. “We hope to make it easy” for centers to collect the data needed to participate.



The existing GWTG–S program is now 17-years old, and has spread to nearly 2,400 U.S. stroke centers as of early 2020, but the time has come to broaden its reach to patients with ICH and the programs that treat these patients, Dr. Sheth said. After years of nihilism about the prospects for patients following an ICH stroke, survival rates have increased, presenting “an opportunity to optimize care, for quality improvement,” he explained. “It’s a huge shift.” ICH patients “do better than we used to think.”

The Get With the Guidelines – Stroke program is finally turning its attention to hemorrhagic strokes after having spurred improved patient management performance from participating U.S. stroke centers since its start in 2003 with a focus on acute ischemic stroke.

Dr. Kevin N. Sheth

The advisers who craft policy for Get With the Guidelines – Stroke (GWTG–S) are planning to launch a pilot program later in 2020 that will initiate data monitoring and quality improvement aimed at optimizing care for patients following an intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) starting at 15 U.S. stroke centers, with announcement of these 15 participating centers expected later in 2020. The program will start by targeting nine specific, evidence-based, key aspects of the acute management of ICH patients, said Kevin N. Sheth, MD, professor of neurology and neurosurgery, and chief of neurocritical care and emergency neurology at Yale University in New Haven, Conn, and a volunteer expert who is part of the team developing the ICH initiative.



According to Dr. Sheth, the nine imperatives of acute ICH care that the program plans to monitor at participating centers are:

  • Obtain a baseline severity score.
  • Identify etiology as spontaneous or treatment related.
  • Perform coagulopathy reversal or anticoagulant reversal.
  • Administer venous thromboembolism prophylaxis.
  • Apply dysphagia screening within 24 hours, and delay oral intake until patient passes dysphagia screen.
  • Provide patient management in a multidisciplinary stroke or ICU unit.
  • Prescribe appropriate blood pressure treatment at discharge.
  • Perform assessment for rehabilitation.
  • Avoid prescribing corticosteroids and other contraindicated drugs.

GWTG–S is adopting these metrics for assessing the acute care of ICH patients based largely on the recommendations of an expert 2018 panel organized by the American Heart Association and American Stroke. Association that proposed a set of performance measures for the care of ICH patients. This set of performance measures served as the primary basis for designing the new GWTG–S program, along with considerations of feasibility for collecting data on these measures, Dr. Sheth said in an interview. “We hope to make it easy” for centers to collect the data needed to participate.



The existing GWTG–S program is now 17-years old, and has spread to nearly 2,400 U.S. stroke centers as of early 2020, but the time has come to broaden its reach to patients with ICH and the programs that treat these patients, Dr. Sheth said. After years of nihilism about the prospects for patients following an ICH stroke, survival rates have increased, presenting “an opportunity to optimize care, for quality improvement,” he explained. “It’s a huge shift.” ICH patients “do better than we used to think.”

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Recent treatment advances brighten prospects for intracerebral hemorrhage patients

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– Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) appears to be not nearly as uniformly devastating to patients as its reputation suggests. Recent study results documented unexpectedly decent recovery prospects for hemorrhagic stroke patients assessed after 1 year who were earlier considered moderately severe or severely disabled based on their 30-day status. And these data provide further support for the growing impression among clinicians that a way forward for improving outcomes even more is with a “gentle” surgical intervention designed to substantially reduce ICH clot volume.

Dr. Kevin N. Sheth

“Historically, there’s been a lot of nihilism around these patients. Intracerebral hemorrhage has always been the deadliest stroke type, but one of the great advances of the past 10-20 years is that ICH survival has improved. Patients do better than we used to think,” said Kevin N. Sheth, MD, professor of neurology and neurosurgery, and chief of neurocritical care and emergency neurology at Yale University in New Haven, Conn. “Even though ICH remains a difficult disease, this change has two big implications,” Dr. Sheth said in an interview during the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association. First, increased ICH survival offers an opportunity to expand the reach of recent management advances through quality improvement programs that emphasize new strategies that work better and incentivize delivery of these successful strategies to more patients.

The second implication is simply a growing number of ICH survivors, expanding the population of patients who stand to gain from these new management strategies. Dr. Sheth is working with the Get With the Guidelines – Stroke program, a quality-improvement program begun in 2003 and until now aimed at patients with acute ischemic stroke, to develop a 15-site pilot program planned to start in 2020 that will begin implementing and studying a Get With the Guidelines – Stroke quality-improvement program focused on patients with an ICH. The current conception of a quality measurement and improvement program like Get with the Guidelines – Stroke for patients with ICH stems from an important, earlier milestone in the emergence of effective ICH treatments, the 2018 publication of performance measures for ICH care that identified nine key management steps for assessing quality of care and documented the evidence behind them.

“Evidence for optimal treatment of ICH has lagged behind that for ischemic stroke, and consequently, metrics specific to ICH care have not been widely promulgated,” said the authors of the 2018 ICH performance measures, a panel that included Dr. Sheth. “However, numerous more recent studies and clinical trials of various medical and surgical interventions for ICH have been published and form the basis of evidence-based guidelines for the management of ICH,” they explained.
 

MISTIE III showcases better ICH outcomes

Perhaps the most dramatic recent evidence of brighter prospects for ICH patients came in data collected during the MISTIE III (Minimally Invasive Surgery with Thrombolysis in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Evacuation III) trial, which randomized 506 ICH patients with a hematoma of at least 30 mL to standard care or to a “gentle” clot-reduction protocol using a small-bore catheter placed with stereotactic guidance to both evacuate clot and introduce a serial infusion of alteplase into the clot to try to shrink its volume to less than 15 mL. The study’s results showed a neutral effect for the primary outcome, the incidence of recovery to a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-3 at 1 year after entry, which occurred in 45% of the surgically treated patients and 41% of the controls in a modified intention-to-treat analysis that included 499 of the randomized patients, a difference that did not reach statistical significance.

However, when the analysis focused on the 146 of 247 patients (59%) randomized to surgical plus lytic intervention who underwent the procedure and actually had their clot volume reduced to 15 mL or less per protocol, the adjusted incidence of the primary endpoint was double that of patients who underwent the procedure but failed to have their residual clot reduced to this size. A similar doubling of good outcomes occurred when MISTIE patients had their residual clot cut to 20 mL or less, compared with those who didn’t reach this, with the differences in both analyses statistically significant. The actual rates showed patients with clot cut to 15 mL or less having a 53% rate of a mRS score of 0-3 after 1 year, compared with 33% of patients who received the intervention but had their residual clot remain above 15 mL.

The MISTIE III investigators looked at their data to try to get better insight into the outcome of all “poor prognosis” patients in the study regardless of their treatment arm assignment, and how patients and their family members made decisions for withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy. In MISTIE III, 61 patients had withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment (WoLST), with more than 40% of the WoLST occurring with patients randomized to the intervention arm including 10 patients treated to a residual clot volume of 15 mL or less. To quantify the disease severity in these 61 patients, the researchers applied a six-item formula at 30 days after the stroke, a metric their 2019 report described in detail. They then used these severity scores to identify 104 matched patients who were alive at 30 days and remained on life-sustaining treatment to see their 1-year outcomes. At 30 days, the 104 matched patients included 82 (79%) with a mRS score of 5 (severe disability) and 22 patients (21%) with a mRS score of 4 (moderately severe disability). Overall, an mRS score of 4 or 5 was quite prevalent 30 days after the stroke, with 87% of the patients treated with the MISTIE intervention and 90% of the control patients having this degree of disability at 30 days.

When the MISTIE III investigators followed these patients for a year, they made an unexpected finding: A substantial incidence of patients whose condition had improved since day 30. One year out, 40 (39%) of these 104 patients had improved to a mRS score of 1-3, including 10 (10%) with a mRS score of 1 or 2. Another indicator of the reasonable outcome many of these patients achieved was that after 1 year 69% were living at home.

Noeleen Ostapkovich

“Our data show that many ICH subjects with clinical factors that suggest ‘poor prognosis,’ when given time, can achieve a favorable outcome and return home,” concluded Noeleen Ostapkovich, who presented these results at the Stroke Conference.

She cited these findings as potentially helpful for refining the information given to patients and families on the prognosis for ICH patients at about 30 days after their event, the usual time for assessment. “These patients looked like they weren’t going to do well after 30 days, but by 365 days they had improved physically and in their ability to care for themselves at home,” noted Ms. Ostapkovich, a researcher in the Brain Injury Outcomes Clinical Trial Coordinating Center of Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore.
 

 

 

A message for acute-care clinicians

She and her colleagues highlighted the implications these new findings have for clinical decision making in the first weeks after an ICH.

“Acute-care physicians see these patients at day 30, not at day 365, so it’s important that they have a clear picture of what these patients could look like a year later. It’s an important message,” Ms. Ostapkovich said in an interview.

In fact, a colleague of hers at Johns Hopkins ran an analysis that looked at factors that contributed to families opting for WoLST for 61 of the MISTIE III patients, and found that 38 family groups (62%) cited the anticipated outcome of the patient in a dependent state as their primary reason for opting for WoLST, Lourdes J. Carhuapoma reported in a separate talk at the conference.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Lourdes J. Carhuapoma

“The main message is that many patients with significant ICH did well and recovered despite having very poor prognostic factors at 30 days, but it took more time. A concern is that the [prognostic] information families receive may be wrong. There is a disconnect,” between what families get told to expect and what actually happens, said Ms. Carhuapoma, an acute care nurse practitioner at Johns Hopkins.

“When physicians, nurses, and family members get together” to discuss ICH patients like these after 30 days, “they see the glass as empty. But the real message is that the glass is half full,” summed up Daniel F. Hanley, MD, lead investigator of MISTIE III and professor of neurology at Johns Hopkins. “These data show a large amount of improvement between 30 and 180 days.” The 104 patients with exclusively mRS scores of 4 or 5 at day 30 had a 30% incidence of improvement to an mRS score of 2 or 3 after 180 days, on their way to a 39% rate of mRS scores of 1-3 at 1 year.

Dr. Danley F. Hanley

An additional analysis that has not yet been presented showed that the “strongest predictor” of whether or not patients who presented with a mRS score of 4 or 5 after 30 days improved their status at 1 year was if their residual hematoma volume shrank to 15 mL or less, Dr. Hanley said in an interview. “It’s not rocket science. If you had to choose between a 45-mL hematoma and less than 15 mL, which would you choose? What’s new here is how this recovery can play out,” taking 180 days or longer in some patients to become apparent.
 

More evidence needed to prove MISTIE’s hypothesis

According to Dr. Hanley, the MISTIE III findings have begun to influence practice despite its neutral primary finding, with more attention being paid to reducing residual clot volume following an ICH. And evidence continues to mount that more aggressive minimization of hematoma size can have an important effect on outcomes. For example, another study presented at the conference assessed the incremental change in prognostic accuracy when the ICH score, a five-item formula for estimating the prognosis of an ICH patient, substituted a precise quantification of residual hematoma volume rather than the original, dichotomous entry for either a hematoma volume of 30 mL or greater, or less than 30 mL, and when the severity score also quantified intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) volume rather than simply designating IVH as present or absent.

Using data from 933 patients who had been enrolled in either MISTIE III or in another study of hematoma volume reduction, CLEAR III, the analysis showed that including specific quantification of both residual ICH volume as well as residual IVH volume improved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the ICH score as a prognostic assessment from 0.70 to 0.75 in the intervention arms of the two trials, and from 0.60 to 0.68 in the two combined control arms, Adam de Havenon, MD, reported in a talk at the conference. “These data show that quantifying ICH and IVH volume improves mortality prognostication,” concluded Dr. de Havenon, a vascular and stroke neurologist at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Adam de Havenon

Furthermore, it’s “certainly evidence for the importance of volume reduction,” he said during discussion of his talk. “The MISTIE procedure can reset patients” so that their outcomes become more like patients with much smaller clot volumes even if they start with large hematomas. “In our experience, if the volume is reduced to 5 mL, there is real benefit regardless of how big the clot was initially,” Dr. de Havenon said.

But the neutral result for the MISTIE III primary endpoint will, for the time being, hobble application of this concept and keep the MISTIE intervention from rising to a level I recommendation until greater evidence for its efficacy comes out.

“It’s been known for many years that clot size matters when it comes to ICH. The MISTIE team has made a very compelling case that [reducing clot volume] is a very reasonable hypothesis, but we must continue to acquire data that can confirm it,” Dr. Sheth commented.

Dr. Sheth’s institution receives research funding from Novartis and Bard for studies that Dr. Sheth helps run. The MISTIE III study received the alteplase used in the study at no cost from Genentech. Ms. Ostapkovich and Ms. Carhuapoma had no disclosures. Dr. Hanley has received personal fees from BrainScope, Medtronic, Neurotrope, Op2Lysis, and Portola. Dr. de Havenon has received research funding from Regeneron.

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– Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) appears to be not nearly as uniformly devastating to patients as its reputation suggests. Recent study results documented unexpectedly decent recovery prospects for hemorrhagic stroke patients assessed after 1 year who were earlier considered moderately severe or severely disabled based on their 30-day status. And these data provide further support for the growing impression among clinicians that a way forward for improving outcomes even more is with a “gentle” surgical intervention designed to substantially reduce ICH clot volume.

Dr. Kevin N. Sheth

“Historically, there’s been a lot of nihilism around these patients. Intracerebral hemorrhage has always been the deadliest stroke type, but one of the great advances of the past 10-20 years is that ICH survival has improved. Patients do better than we used to think,” said Kevin N. Sheth, MD, professor of neurology and neurosurgery, and chief of neurocritical care and emergency neurology at Yale University in New Haven, Conn. “Even though ICH remains a difficult disease, this change has two big implications,” Dr. Sheth said in an interview during the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association. First, increased ICH survival offers an opportunity to expand the reach of recent management advances through quality improvement programs that emphasize new strategies that work better and incentivize delivery of these successful strategies to more patients.

The second implication is simply a growing number of ICH survivors, expanding the population of patients who stand to gain from these new management strategies. Dr. Sheth is working with the Get With the Guidelines – Stroke program, a quality-improvement program begun in 2003 and until now aimed at patients with acute ischemic stroke, to develop a 15-site pilot program planned to start in 2020 that will begin implementing and studying a Get With the Guidelines – Stroke quality-improvement program focused on patients with an ICH. The current conception of a quality measurement and improvement program like Get with the Guidelines – Stroke for patients with ICH stems from an important, earlier milestone in the emergence of effective ICH treatments, the 2018 publication of performance measures for ICH care that identified nine key management steps for assessing quality of care and documented the evidence behind them.

“Evidence for optimal treatment of ICH has lagged behind that for ischemic stroke, and consequently, metrics specific to ICH care have not been widely promulgated,” said the authors of the 2018 ICH performance measures, a panel that included Dr. Sheth. “However, numerous more recent studies and clinical trials of various medical and surgical interventions for ICH have been published and form the basis of evidence-based guidelines for the management of ICH,” they explained.
 

MISTIE III showcases better ICH outcomes

Perhaps the most dramatic recent evidence of brighter prospects for ICH patients came in data collected during the MISTIE III (Minimally Invasive Surgery with Thrombolysis in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Evacuation III) trial, which randomized 506 ICH patients with a hematoma of at least 30 mL to standard care or to a “gentle” clot-reduction protocol using a small-bore catheter placed with stereotactic guidance to both evacuate clot and introduce a serial infusion of alteplase into the clot to try to shrink its volume to less than 15 mL. The study’s results showed a neutral effect for the primary outcome, the incidence of recovery to a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-3 at 1 year after entry, which occurred in 45% of the surgically treated patients and 41% of the controls in a modified intention-to-treat analysis that included 499 of the randomized patients, a difference that did not reach statistical significance.

However, when the analysis focused on the 146 of 247 patients (59%) randomized to surgical plus lytic intervention who underwent the procedure and actually had their clot volume reduced to 15 mL or less per protocol, the adjusted incidence of the primary endpoint was double that of patients who underwent the procedure but failed to have their residual clot reduced to this size. A similar doubling of good outcomes occurred when MISTIE patients had their residual clot cut to 20 mL or less, compared with those who didn’t reach this, with the differences in both analyses statistically significant. The actual rates showed patients with clot cut to 15 mL or less having a 53% rate of a mRS score of 0-3 after 1 year, compared with 33% of patients who received the intervention but had their residual clot remain above 15 mL.

The MISTIE III investigators looked at their data to try to get better insight into the outcome of all “poor prognosis” patients in the study regardless of their treatment arm assignment, and how patients and their family members made decisions for withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy. In MISTIE III, 61 patients had withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment (WoLST), with more than 40% of the WoLST occurring with patients randomized to the intervention arm including 10 patients treated to a residual clot volume of 15 mL or less. To quantify the disease severity in these 61 patients, the researchers applied a six-item formula at 30 days after the stroke, a metric their 2019 report described in detail. They then used these severity scores to identify 104 matched patients who were alive at 30 days and remained on life-sustaining treatment to see their 1-year outcomes. At 30 days, the 104 matched patients included 82 (79%) with a mRS score of 5 (severe disability) and 22 patients (21%) with a mRS score of 4 (moderately severe disability). Overall, an mRS score of 4 or 5 was quite prevalent 30 days after the stroke, with 87% of the patients treated with the MISTIE intervention and 90% of the control patients having this degree of disability at 30 days.

When the MISTIE III investigators followed these patients for a year, they made an unexpected finding: A substantial incidence of patients whose condition had improved since day 30. One year out, 40 (39%) of these 104 patients had improved to a mRS score of 1-3, including 10 (10%) with a mRS score of 1 or 2. Another indicator of the reasonable outcome many of these patients achieved was that after 1 year 69% were living at home.

Noeleen Ostapkovich

“Our data show that many ICH subjects with clinical factors that suggest ‘poor prognosis,’ when given time, can achieve a favorable outcome and return home,” concluded Noeleen Ostapkovich, who presented these results at the Stroke Conference.

She cited these findings as potentially helpful for refining the information given to patients and families on the prognosis for ICH patients at about 30 days after their event, the usual time for assessment. “These patients looked like they weren’t going to do well after 30 days, but by 365 days they had improved physically and in their ability to care for themselves at home,” noted Ms. Ostapkovich, a researcher in the Brain Injury Outcomes Clinical Trial Coordinating Center of Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore.
 

 

 

A message for acute-care clinicians

She and her colleagues highlighted the implications these new findings have for clinical decision making in the first weeks after an ICH.

“Acute-care physicians see these patients at day 30, not at day 365, so it’s important that they have a clear picture of what these patients could look like a year later. It’s an important message,” Ms. Ostapkovich said in an interview.

In fact, a colleague of hers at Johns Hopkins ran an analysis that looked at factors that contributed to families opting for WoLST for 61 of the MISTIE III patients, and found that 38 family groups (62%) cited the anticipated outcome of the patient in a dependent state as their primary reason for opting for WoLST, Lourdes J. Carhuapoma reported in a separate talk at the conference.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Lourdes J. Carhuapoma

“The main message is that many patients with significant ICH did well and recovered despite having very poor prognostic factors at 30 days, but it took more time. A concern is that the [prognostic] information families receive may be wrong. There is a disconnect,” between what families get told to expect and what actually happens, said Ms. Carhuapoma, an acute care nurse practitioner at Johns Hopkins.

“When physicians, nurses, and family members get together” to discuss ICH patients like these after 30 days, “they see the glass as empty. But the real message is that the glass is half full,” summed up Daniel F. Hanley, MD, lead investigator of MISTIE III and professor of neurology at Johns Hopkins. “These data show a large amount of improvement between 30 and 180 days.” The 104 patients with exclusively mRS scores of 4 or 5 at day 30 had a 30% incidence of improvement to an mRS score of 2 or 3 after 180 days, on their way to a 39% rate of mRS scores of 1-3 at 1 year.

Dr. Danley F. Hanley

An additional analysis that has not yet been presented showed that the “strongest predictor” of whether or not patients who presented with a mRS score of 4 or 5 after 30 days improved their status at 1 year was if their residual hematoma volume shrank to 15 mL or less, Dr. Hanley said in an interview. “It’s not rocket science. If you had to choose between a 45-mL hematoma and less than 15 mL, which would you choose? What’s new here is how this recovery can play out,” taking 180 days or longer in some patients to become apparent.
 

More evidence needed to prove MISTIE’s hypothesis

According to Dr. Hanley, the MISTIE III findings have begun to influence practice despite its neutral primary finding, with more attention being paid to reducing residual clot volume following an ICH. And evidence continues to mount that more aggressive minimization of hematoma size can have an important effect on outcomes. For example, another study presented at the conference assessed the incremental change in prognostic accuracy when the ICH score, a five-item formula for estimating the prognosis of an ICH patient, substituted a precise quantification of residual hematoma volume rather than the original, dichotomous entry for either a hematoma volume of 30 mL or greater, or less than 30 mL, and when the severity score also quantified intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) volume rather than simply designating IVH as present or absent.

Using data from 933 patients who had been enrolled in either MISTIE III or in another study of hematoma volume reduction, CLEAR III, the analysis showed that including specific quantification of both residual ICH volume as well as residual IVH volume improved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the ICH score as a prognostic assessment from 0.70 to 0.75 in the intervention arms of the two trials, and from 0.60 to 0.68 in the two combined control arms, Adam de Havenon, MD, reported in a talk at the conference. “These data show that quantifying ICH and IVH volume improves mortality prognostication,” concluded Dr. de Havenon, a vascular and stroke neurologist at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Adam de Havenon

Furthermore, it’s “certainly evidence for the importance of volume reduction,” he said during discussion of his talk. “The MISTIE procedure can reset patients” so that their outcomes become more like patients with much smaller clot volumes even if they start with large hematomas. “In our experience, if the volume is reduced to 5 mL, there is real benefit regardless of how big the clot was initially,” Dr. de Havenon said.

But the neutral result for the MISTIE III primary endpoint will, for the time being, hobble application of this concept and keep the MISTIE intervention from rising to a level I recommendation until greater evidence for its efficacy comes out.

“It’s been known for many years that clot size matters when it comes to ICH. The MISTIE team has made a very compelling case that [reducing clot volume] is a very reasonable hypothesis, but we must continue to acquire data that can confirm it,” Dr. Sheth commented.

Dr. Sheth’s institution receives research funding from Novartis and Bard for studies that Dr. Sheth helps run. The MISTIE III study received the alteplase used in the study at no cost from Genentech. Ms. Ostapkovich and Ms. Carhuapoma had no disclosures. Dr. Hanley has received personal fees from BrainScope, Medtronic, Neurotrope, Op2Lysis, and Portola. Dr. de Havenon has received research funding from Regeneron.

– Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) appears to be not nearly as uniformly devastating to patients as its reputation suggests. Recent study results documented unexpectedly decent recovery prospects for hemorrhagic stroke patients assessed after 1 year who were earlier considered moderately severe or severely disabled based on their 30-day status. And these data provide further support for the growing impression among clinicians that a way forward for improving outcomes even more is with a “gentle” surgical intervention designed to substantially reduce ICH clot volume.

Dr. Kevin N. Sheth

“Historically, there’s been a lot of nihilism around these patients. Intracerebral hemorrhage has always been the deadliest stroke type, but one of the great advances of the past 10-20 years is that ICH survival has improved. Patients do better than we used to think,” said Kevin N. Sheth, MD, professor of neurology and neurosurgery, and chief of neurocritical care and emergency neurology at Yale University in New Haven, Conn. “Even though ICH remains a difficult disease, this change has two big implications,” Dr. Sheth said in an interview during the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association. First, increased ICH survival offers an opportunity to expand the reach of recent management advances through quality improvement programs that emphasize new strategies that work better and incentivize delivery of these successful strategies to more patients.

The second implication is simply a growing number of ICH survivors, expanding the population of patients who stand to gain from these new management strategies. Dr. Sheth is working with the Get With the Guidelines – Stroke program, a quality-improvement program begun in 2003 and until now aimed at patients with acute ischemic stroke, to develop a 15-site pilot program planned to start in 2020 that will begin implementing and studying a Get With the Guidelines – Stroke quality-improvement program focused on patients with an ICH. The current conception of a quality measurement and improvement program like Get with the Guidelines – Stroke for patients with ICH stems from an important, earlier milestone in the emergence of effective ICH treatments, the 2018 publication of performance measures for ICH care that identified nine key management steps for assessing quality of care and documented the evidence behind them.

“Evidence for optimal treatment of ICH has lagged behind that for ischemic stroke, and consequently, metrics specific to ICH care have not been widely promulgated,” said the authors of the 2018 ICH performance measures, a panel that included Dr. Sheth. “However, numerous more recent studies and clinical trials of various medical and surgical interventions for ICH have been published and form the basis of evidence-based guidelines for the management of ICH,” they explained.
 

MISTIE III showcases better ICH outcomes

Perhaps the most dramatic recent evidence of brighter prospects for ICH patients came in data collected during the MISTIE III (Minimally Invasive Surgery with Thrombolysis in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Evacuation III) trial, which randomized 506 ICH patients with a hematoma of at least 30 mL to standard care or to a “gentle” clot-reduction protocol using a small-bore catheter placed with stereotactic guidance to both evacuate clot and introduce a serial infusion of alteplase into the clot to try to shrink its volume to less than 15 mL. The study’s results showed a neutral effect for the primary outcome, the incidence of recovery to a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-3 at 1 year after entry, which occurred in 45% of the surgically treated patients and 41% of the controls in a modified intention-to-treat analysis that included 499 of the randomized patients, a difference that did not reach statistical significance.

However, when the analysis focused on the 146 of 247 patients (59%) randomized to surgical plus lytic intervention who underwent the procedure and actually had their clot volume reduced to 15 mL or less per protocol, the adjusted incidence of the primary endpoint was double that of patients who underwent the procedure but failed to have their residual clot reduced to this size. A similar doubling of good outcomes occurred when MISTIE patients had their residual clot cut to 20 mL or less, compared with those who didn’t reach this, with the differences in both analyses statistically significant. The actual rates showed patients with clot cut to 15 mL or less having a 53% rate of a mRS score of 0-3 after 1 year, compared with 33% of patients who received the intervention but had their residual clot remain above 15 mL.

The MISTIE III investigators looked at their data to try to get better insight into the outcome of all “poor prognosis” patients in the study regardless of their treatment arm assignment, and how patients and their family members made decisions for withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy. In MISTIE III, 61 patients had withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment (WoLST), with more than 40% of the WoLST occurring with patients randomized to the intervention arm including 10 patients treated to a residual clot volume of 15 mL or less. To quantify the disease severity in these 61 patients, the researchers applied a six-item formula at 30 days after the stroke, a metric their 2019 report described in detail. They then used these severity scores to identify 104 matched patients who were alive at 30 days and remained on life-sustaining treatment to see their 1-year outcomes. At 30 days, the 104 matched patients included 82 (79%) with a mRS score of 5 (severe disability) and 22 patients (21%) with a mRS score of 4 (moderately severe disability). Overall, an mRS score of 4 or 5 was quite prevalent 30 days after the stroke, with 87% of the patients treated with the MISTIE intervention and 90% of the control patients having this degree of disability at 30 days.

When the MISTIE III investigators followed these patients for a year, they made an unexpected finding: A substantial incidence of patients whose condition had improved since day 30. One year out, 40 (39%) of these 104 patients had improved to a mRS score of 1-3, including 10 (10%) with a mRS score of 1 or 2. Another indicator of the reasonable outcome many of these patients achieved was that after 1 year 69% were living at home.

Noeleen Ostapkovich

“Our data show that many ICH subjects with clinical factors that suggest ‘poor prognosis,’ when given time, can achieve a favorable outcome and return home,” concluded Noeleen Ostapkovich, who presented these results at the Stroke Conference.

She cited these findings as potentially helpful for refining the information given to patients and families on the prognosis for ICH patients at about 30 days after their event, the usual time for assessment. “These patients looked like they weren’t going to do well after 30 days, but by 365 days they had improved physically and in their ability to care for themselves at home,” noted Ms. Ostapkovich, a researcher in the Brain Injury Outcomes Clinical Trial Coordinating Center of Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore.
 

 

 

A message for acute-care clinicians

She and her colleagues highlighted the implications these new findings have for clinical decision making in the first weeks after an ICH.

“Acute-care physicians see these patients at day 30, not at day 365, so it’s important that they have a clear picture of what these patients could look like a year later. It’s an important message,” Ms. Ostapkovich said in an interview.

In fact, a colleague of hers at Johns Hopkins ran an analysis that looked at factors that contributed to families opting for WoLST for 61 of the MISTIE III patients, and found that 38 family groups (62%) cited the anticipated outcome of the patient in a dependent state as their primary reason for opting for WoLST, Lourdes J. Carhuapoma reported in a separate talk at the conference.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Lourdes J. Carhuapoma

“The main message is that many patients with significant ICH did well and recovered despite having very poor prognostic factors at 30 days, but it took more time. A concern is that the [prognostic] information families receive may be wrong. There is a disconnect,” between what families get told to expect and what actually happens, said Ms. Carhuapoma, an acute care nurse practitioner at Johns Hopkins.

“When physicians, nurses, and family members get together” to discuss ICH patients like these after 30 days, “they see the glass as empty. But the real message is that the glass is half full,” summed up Daniel F. Hanley, MD, lead investigator of MISTIE III and professor of neurology at Johns Hopkins. “These data show a large amount of improvement between 30 and 180 days.” The 104 patients with exclusively mRS scores of 4 or 5 at day 30 had a 30% incidence of improvement to an mRS score of 2 or 3 after 180 days, on their way to a 39% rate of mRS scores of 1-3 at 1 year.

Dr. Danley F. Hanley

An additional analysis that has not yet been presented showed that the “strongest predictor” of whether or not patients who presented with a mRS score of 4 or 5 after 30 days improved their status at 1 year was if their residual hematoma volume shrank to 15 mL or less, Dr. Hanley said in an interview. “It’s not rocket science. If you had to choose between a 45-mL hematoma and less than 15 mL, which would you choose? What’s new here is how this recovery can play out,” taking 180 days or longer in some patients to become apparent.
 

More evidence needed to prove MISTIE’s hypothesis

According to Dr. Hanley, the MISTIE III findings have begun to influence practice despite its neutral primary finding, with more attention being paid to reducing residual clot volume following an ICH. And evidence continues to mount that more aggressive minimization of hematoma size can have an important effect on outcomes. For example, another study presented at the conference assessed the incremental change in prognostic accuracy when the ICH score, a five-item formula for estimating the prognosis of an ICH patient, substituted a precise quantification of residual hematoma volume rather than the original, dichotomous entry for either a hematoma volume of 30 mL or greater, or less than 30 mL, and when the severity score also quantified intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) volume rather than simply designating IVH as present or absent.

Using data from 933 patients who had been enrolled in either MISTIE III or in another study of hematoma volume reduction, CLEAR III, the analysis showed that including specific quantification of both residual ICH volume as well as residual IVH volume improved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the ICH score as a prognostic assessment from 0.70 to 0.75 in the intervention arms of the two trials, and from 0.60 to 0.68 in the two combined control arms, Adam de Havenon, MD, reported in a talk at the conference. “These data show that quantifying ICH and IVH volume improves mortality prognostication,” concluded Dr. de Havenon, a vascular and stroke neurologist at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Adam de Havenon

Furthermore, it’s “certainly evidence for the importance of volume reduction,” he said during discussion of his talk. “The MISTIE procedure can reset patients” so that their outcomes become more like patients with much smaller clot volumes even if they start with large hematomas. “In our experience, if the volume is reduced to 5 mL, there is real benefit regardless of how big the clot was initially,” Dr. de Havenon said.

But the neutral result for the MISTIE III primary endpoint will, for the time being, hobble application of this concept and keep the MISTIE intervention from rising to a level I recommendation until greater evidence for its efficacy comes out.

“It’s been known for many years that clot size matters when it comes to ICH. The MISTIE team has made a very compelling case that [reducing clot volume] is a very reasonable hypothesis, but we must continue to acquire data that can confirm it,” Dr. Sheth commented.

Dr. Sheth’s institution receives research funding from Novartis and Bard for studies that Dr. Sheth helps run. The MISTIE III study received the alteplase used in the study at no cost from Genentech. Ms. Ostapkovich and Ms. Carhuapoma had no disclosures. Dr. Hanley has received personal fees from BrainScope, Medtronic, Neurotrope, Op2Lysis, and Portola. Dr. de Havenon has received research funding from Regeneron.

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FDA broadens nintedanib interstitial lung disease indication

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A new indication for the tyrosine kinase inhibitor nintedanib approved by the Food and Drug Administration on March 9, 2020, broadened the drug’s targeted population to include patients with chronic fibrosing interstitial lung diseases with a progressive phenotype.

This new group of patients eligible for nintedanib treatment extends the drug’s labeling beyond patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) or interstitial lung disease (ILD) associated with systemic sclerosis or scleroderma, and may come close to doubling the total number of eligible patients.

The new, expanded indication “helps to fulfill an unmet treatment need, as patients with these life-threatening lung diseases have not had an approved medication until now,” said Banu Karimi-Shah, MD, acting deputy director of the division of pulmonary, allergy, and rheumatology products in the FDA’s Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, in a written agency statement that announced the new indication.

The FDA first approved nintedanib (Ofev) for treating IPF in October 2014, and then granted a second indication in September 2019 for ILD associated with systemic sclerosis or scleroderma.



A recent assessment of 1,285 Canadian patients diagnosed with fibrotic ILD and entered into a national registry (CARE-PF) showed that IPF was the associated diagnosis for 25% of patients, and that the majority of patients had other primary diagnoses such as connective tissue disease ILD in 33% of enrolled patients, unclassifiable ILD in 22%, chronic sensitivity pneumonitis in about 8%, sarcoidosis in 3%, as well as other types (BMC Pulm Med. 2019 Nov 27. doi: 10.1186/s12890-019-0986-4).

It remains unclear right now what percentage of patients with fibrotic ILD have the progressive form that would make them eligible for nintedanib treatment under the new indication, but it’s probably about another quarter of the entire ILD population, or roughly similar to the number of patients with an IPF etiology who are already eligible to get the drug, commented Martin Kolb, MD, a professor of respirology at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., and a coinvestigator on the CARE-PF registry. A goal of the registry, which has now enrolled nearly 3,700 ILD patients, is to track them serially to get a better handle on the prevalence of progressive disease. The percentage of patients with ILD associated with systemic sclerosis or scleroderma is “relatively small,” compared with these other two patients subgroups, Dr. Kolb said in an interview.

The evidence base for treating patients with progressive ILD is “really strong,” he noted, and comes primarily from a major trial reported last year – the INBUILD study – that randomized 663 patients to treatment with either nintedanib or placebo and showed that nintedanib treatment significantly cut the rate of decline in forced vital capacity during 1 year of treatment (New Engl J Med. 2019 Oct 31;381[18]:1718-27). The patients entered the study as referrals from routine practice with documented ILD with progressive fibrosis that was not responsive to treatment with steroids or other immunosuppressive drugs, and reflects real-world, community practice, Dr. Kolb said.



“Conceptually, it makes so much sense” to treat the patients enrolled in INBUILD, the same patients who fit the new indication, with an agent like nintedanib that slows fibrosis progression, and in some patients may bring progression to a virtual halt, said Dr. Kolb, a coinvestigator on the INBUILD study. Future treatment of these patients will likely involve coupling an antifibrotic drug like nintedanib with an anti-inflammatory agent, although combined treatment of this type needs more study, he noted. In the more than 5 years since nintedanib came onto the U.S. market, it has been used on more than 10,000 patients and has generated no new safety concerns beyond those first included in the drug’s label.

The INBUILD study was sponsored by Boehringer Ingelheim, the company that markets nintedanib. Dr. Kolb has been a consultant to, received honoraria from, and received research funding from Boehringer Ingelheim. He has also received consulting fees or honoraria from Genoa, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Indalo, Prometic, Roche, and Third Pole, and he has received research funding from Actelion, Alkermes, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Pharmaxis, Prometic, RespiVert, and Roche.

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A new indication for the tyrosine kinase inhibitor nintedanib approved by the Food and Drug Administration on March 9, 2020, broadened the drug’s targeted population to include patients with chronic fibrosing interstitial lung diseases with a progressive phenotype.

This new group of patients eligible for nintedanib treatment extends the drug’s labeling beyond patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) or interstitial lung disease (ILD) associated with systemic sclerosis or scleroderma, and may come close to doubling the total number of eligible patients.

The new, expanded indication “helps to fulfill an unmet treatment need, as patients with these life-threatening lung diseases have not had an approved medication until now,” said Banu Karimi-Shah, MD, acting deputy director of the division of pulmonary, allergy, and rheumatology products in the FDA’s Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, in a written agency statement that announced the new indication.

The FDA first approved nintedanib (Ofev) for treating IPF in October 2014, and then granted a second indication in September 2019 for ILD associated with systemic sclerosis or scleroderma.



A recent assessment of 1,285 Canadian patients diagnosed with fibrotic ILD and entered into a national registry (CARE-PF) showed that IPF was the associated diagnosis for 25% of patients, and that the majority of patients had other primary diagnoses such as connective tissue disease ILD in 33% of enrolled patients, unclassifiable ILD in 22%, chronic sensitivity pneumonitis in about 8%, sarcoidosis in 3%, as well as other types (BMC Pulm Med. 2019 Nov 27. doi: 10.1186/s12890-019-0986-4).

It remains unclear right now what percentage of patients with fibrotic ILD have the progressive form that would make them eligible for nintedanib treatment under the new indication, but it’s probably about another quarter of the entire ILD population, or roughly similar to the number of patients with an IPF etiology who are already eligible to get the drug, commented Martin Kolb, MD, a professor of respirology at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., and a coinvestigator on the CARE-PF registry. A goal of the registry, which has now enrolled nearly 3,700 ILD patients, is to track them serially to get a better handle on the prevalence of progressive disease. The percentage of patients with ILD associated with systemic sclerosis or scleroderma is “relatively small,” compared with these other two patients subgroups, Dr. Kolb said in an interview.

The evidence base for treating patients with progressive ILD is “really strong,” he noted, and comes primarily from a major trial reported last year – the INBUILD study – that randomized 663 patients to treatment with either nintedanib or placebo and showed that nintedanib treatment significantly cut the rate of decline in forced vital capacity during 1 year of treatment (New Engl J Med. 2019 Oct 31;381[18]:1718-27). The patients entered the study as referrals from routine practice with documented ILD with progressive fibrosis that was not responsive to treatment with steroids or other immunosuppressive drugs, and reflects real-world, community practice, Dr. Kolb said.



“Conceptually, it makes so much sense” to treat the patients enrolled in INBUILD, the same patients who fit the new indication, with an agent like nintedanib that slows fibrosis progression, and in some patients may bring progression to a virtual halt, said Dr. Kolb, a coinvestigator on the INBUILD study. Future treatment of these patients will likely involve coupling an antifibrotic drug like nintedanib with an anti-inflammatory agent, although combined treatment of this type needs more study, he noted. In the more than 5 years since nintedanib came onto the U.S. market, it has been used on more than 10,000 patients and has generated no new safety concerns beyond those first included in the drug’s label.

The INBUILD study was sponsored by Boehringer Ingelheim, the company that markets nintedanib. Dr. Kolb has been a consultant to, received honoraria from, and received research funding from Boehringer Ingelheim. He has also received consulting fees or honoraria from Genoa, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Indalo, Prometic, Roche, and Third Pole, and he has received research funding from Actelion, Alkermes, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Pharmaxis, Prometic, RespiVert, and Roche.

A new indication for the tyrosine kinase inhibitor nintedanib approved by the Food and Drug Administration on March 9, 2020, broadened the drug’s targeted population to include patients with chronic fibrosing interstitial lung diseases with a progressive phenotype.

This new group of patients eligible for nintedanib treatment extends the drug’s labeling beyond patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) or interstitial lung disease (ILD) associated with systemic sclerosis or scleroderma, and may come close to doubling the total number of eligible patients.

The new, expanded indication “helps to fulfill an unmet treatment need, as patients with these life-threatening lung diseases have not had an approved medication until now,” said Banu Karimi-Shah, MD, acting deputy director of the division of pulmonary, allergy, and rheumatology products in the FDA’s Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, in a written agency statement that announced the new indication.

The FDA first approved nintedanib (Ofev) for treating IPF in October 2014, and then granted a second indication in September 2019 for ILD associated with systemic sclerosis or scleroderma.



A recent assessment of 1,285 Canadian patients diagnosed with fibrotic ILD and entered into a national registry (CARE-PF) showed that IPF was the associated diagnosis for 25% of patients, and that the majority of patients had other primary diagnoses such as connective tissue disease ILD in 33% of enrolled patients, unclassifiable ILD in 22%, chronic sensitivity pneumonitis in about 8%, sarcoidosis in 3%, as well as other types (BMC Pulm Med. 2019 Nov 27. doi: 10.1186/s12890-019-0986-4).

It remains unclear right now what percentage of patients with fibrotic ILD have the progressive form that would make them eligible for nintedanib treatment under the new indication, but it’s probably about another quarter of the entire ILD population, or roughly similar to the number of patients with an IPF etiology who are already eligible to get the drug, commented Martin Kolb, MD, a professor of respirology at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., and a coinvestigator on the CARE-PF registry. A goal of the registry, which has now enrolled nearly 3,700 ILD patients, is to track them serially to get a better handle on the prevalence of progressive disease. The percentage of patients with ILD associated with systemic sclerosis or scleroderma is “relatively small,” compared with these other two patients subgroups, Dr. Kolb said in an interview.

The evidence base for treating patients with progressive ILD is “really strong,” he noted, and comes primarily from a major trial reported last year – the INBUILD study – that randomized 663 patients to treatment with either nintedanib or placebo and showed that nintedanib treatment significantly cut the rate of decline in forced vital capacity during 1 year of treatment (New Engl J Med. 2019 Oct 31;381[18]:1718-27). The patients entered the study as referrals from routine practice with documented ILD with progressive fibrosis that was not responsive to treatment with steroids or other immunosuppressive drugs, and reflects real-world, community practice, Dr. Kolb said.



“Conceptually, it makes so much sense” to treat the patients enrolled in INBUILD, the same patients who fit the new indication, with an agent like nintedanib that slows fibrosis progression, and in some patients may bring progression to a virtual halt, said Dr. Kolb, a coinvestigator on the INBUILD study. Future treatment of these patients will likely involve coupling an antifibrotic drug like nintedanib with an anti-inflammatory agent, although combined treatment of this type needs more study, he noted. In the more than 5 years since nintedanib came onto the U.S. market, it has been used on more than 10,000 patients and has generated no new safety concerns beyond those first included in the drug’s label.

The INBUILD study was sponsored by Boehringer Ingelheim, the company that markets nintedanib. Dr. Kolb has been a consultant to, received honoraria from, and received research funding from Boehringer Ingelheim. He has also received consulting fees or honoraria from Genoa, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Indalo, Prometic, Roche, and Third Pole, and he has received research funding from Actelion, Alkermes, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Pharmaxis, Prometic, RespiVert, and Roche.

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AUGUSTUS: Apixaban surpassed warfarin despite prior stroke or thromboembolism

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LOS ANGELES– The edge that the direct-acting oral anticoagulant apixaban (Eliquis) has over warfarin for safely preventing ischemic events in patients with atrial fibrillation and either a recent acute coronary syndrome event or a recent percutaneous coronary intervention held up even in patients with a history of stroke, transient ischemic attack, or thromboembolic event, according to a prespecified secondary analysis of data collected in the AUGUSTUS trial.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. M. Cecilia Bahit

The treatment advantages of apixaban, compared with warfarin, seen in the overall AUGUSTUS results, first reported in March 2019, “were consistent” with the benefits seen in the subgroup of enrolled patients with a prior stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), or thromboembolic (TE) event, M. Cecilia Bahit, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association.

All patients in AUGUSTUS received a P2Y12 inhibitor antiplatelet drug, which was clopidogrel for more than 90% of patients. The two-by-two factorial design of AUGUSTUS also assessed the safety and efficacy of either adding or withholding aspirin from the two-drug regimen that all patients in the study received with a P2Y12 inhibitor plus an anticoagulant (apixaban or warfarin). The most notable finding of the aspirin versus placebo analysis was that patients without a prior stroke, TIA, or TE event had a “more profound” increase in their rate of major or clinically relevant minor bleeds when also treated with aspirin, compared with patients who received aspirin and had a history of stroke, TIA, or TE event, reported Dr. Bahit, a chief of cardiology and director of clinical research at the INECO Foundation in Rosario, Argentina.



In general, the findings of the secondary analysis that took into account stroke, TIA, or TE history “confirmed” the main AUGUSTUS findings, Dr. Bahit said; an antithrombotic regimen of apixaban plus clopidogrel (or other P2Y12 inhibitor) without aspirin was superior for both efficacy and safety, compared with the alternative regimens that either substituted warfarin for apixaban or that added aspirin.

AUGUSTUS enrolled 4,614 atrial fibrillation (AFib) patients who either had a recent acute coronary syndrome (ACS) event or had recently undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at any of 492 sites in 33 countries during 2015-2018. The study’s primary endpoint was the incidence of major or clinically relevant minor bleeds after 6 months, which was significantly lower in the subgroups that received apixaban instead of warfarin and in patients who received placebo instead of aspirin. The secondary endpoint of death or hospitalization after 6 months was also significantly lower in the apixaban-treated patients, compared with those on warfarin, while the aspirin and placebo subgroups showed no difference in the incidence of these events (N Engl J Med. 2019 Apr 18;380[16]:1509-24).

Dr. Larry B. Goldstein

The results reported by Dr. Bahit also highlighted both the high risk faced by patients with AFib who also have had an ACS event or PCI, as well as a prior stroke, TIA, or TE event, noted Larry B. Goldstein, MD, professor and chairman of neurology at the University of Kentucky, Lexington. “It’s difficult, because these patients had an ACS event or PCI, and you don’t want a coronary too close up, but do these patients really need a P2Y12 inhibitor plus an anticoagulant? Could these patients do as well on apixaban only? I would have liked to see that treatment arm in the study,” Dr. Goldstein commented in an interview.

“These are challenging patients because they often require anticoagulation for the AFib as well as antiplatelet agents” for the recent PCI or ACS event, commented Mitchell S.V. Elkind, MD, professor of neurology at Columbia University, New York. “The question has always been: How many blood thinners should these patients be on? Potentially they could be on three different agents [an anticoagulant and two antiplatelet drugs], and we know that all of those drugs together pretty dramatically increase the risk of bleeding. About 15% of the patients in the overall AUGUSTUS trial had either cerebrovascular disease or systemic thromboembolism, so this was a small subgroup of the overall trial, but the overall trial was large so it’s a significant number of patients who met this criteria. The results confirmed that even in a group of patients who may be considered at high risk because they have a prior history of cerebrovascular disease use of apixaban instead of warfarin seemed safer, and that those patients did not need to be on aspirin as well as their other antiplatelet agent. Patients with a history of stroke, in fact, had a lower risk of bleeding than the other patients in this trial, so one could argue that they should be on an agent like apixaban as well as an antiplatelet agent like clopidogrel without addition of aspirin,” he said in a recorded statement.

In addition to implications for using prescription drugs like apixaban and clopidogrel, the findings also send a message about the need for very aggressive implementation of lifestyle measures that can reduce cardiovascular disease risk in these patients, added Dr. Goldstein. The AUGUSTUS outcome analyses that subdivided the study population into those with a prior stroke, TIA, or TE event – 633 patients or about 14% of the 4,581 patients eligible for this analysis – and those who did not have this history showed the extremely high, incrementally elevated risk faced by patients with these prior events.

A history of stroke, TIA, or TE event linked with a jump in the 90-day rate of major or clinically relevant minor bleeds from 13% without this history to 17%, which is a 31% relative increase; it boosted the 90-day rate of death or hospitalization from 25% to 31%, a 24% relative increase; and it jacked up the rate of death or ischemic events from 6% to 9%, a 50% relative increase, Dr. Bahit reported.

These substantial increases “suggest we need to be very aggressive” in managing these high-risk patients who combine a background of AFib, a prior stroke, TIA, or TE events, and a recent ACS event or PCI, Dr. Goldstein observed. In these patients, he suggested that clinicians make sure to address smoking cessation, obesity, exercise, diet, and statin use, and get each of these to an optimal level to further cut risk. If all five of these basic interventions were successfully administered to a patient they could collectively cut the patient’s event risk by about 80%, he added.

AUGUSTUS was funded by Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer, the companies that jointly market apixaban. Dr. Bahit has received honoraria from Pfizer, and from CSL Behring and Merck. Dr. Elkind and Dr. Goldstein had no relevant disclosures.

SOURCE: Bahit MC et al. ISC 2020, Abstract LB22.

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LOS ANGELES– The edge that the direct-acting oral anticoagulant apixaban (Eliquis) has over warfarin for safely preventing ischemic events in patients with atrial fibrillation and either a recent acute coronary syndrome event or a recent percutaneous coronary intervention held up even in patients with a history of stroke, transient ischemic attack, or thromboembolic event, according to a prespecified secondary analysis of data collected in the AUGUSTUS trial.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. M. Cecilia Bahit

The treatment advantages of apixaban, compared with warfarin, seen in the overall AUGUSTUS results, first reported in March 2019, “were consistent” with the benefits seen in the subgroup of enrolled patients with a prior stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), or thromboembolic (TE) event, M. Cecilia Bahit, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association.

All patients in AUGUSTUS received a P2Y12 inhibitor antiplatelet drug, which was clopidogrel for more than 90% of patients. The two-by-two factorial design of AUGUSTUS also assessed the safety and efficacy of either adding or withholding aspirin from the two-drug regimen that all patients in the study received with a P2Y12 inhibitor plus an anticoagulant (apixaban or warfarin). The most notable finding of the aspirin versus placebo analysis was that patients without a prior stroke, TIA, or TE event had a “more profound” increase in their rate of major or clinically relevant minor bleeds when also treated with aspirin, compared with patients who received aspirin and had a history of stroke, TIA, or TE event, reported Dr. Bahit, a chief of cardiology and director of clinical research at the INECO Foundation in Rosario, Argentina.



In general, the findings of the secondary analysis that took into account stroke, TIA, or TE history “confirmed” the main AUGUSTUS findings, Dr. Bahit said; an antithrombotic regimen of apixaban plus clopidogrel (or other P2Y12 inhibitor) without aspirin was superior for both efficacy and safety, compared with the alternative regimens that either substituted warfarin for apixaban or that added aspirin.

AUGUSTUS enrolled 4,614 atrial fibrillation (AFib) patients who either had a recent acute coronary syndrome (ACS) event or had recently undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at any of 492 sites in 33 countries during 2015-2018. The study’s primary endpoint was the incidence of major or clinically relevant minor bleeds after 6 months, which was significantly lower in the subgroups that received apixaban instead of warfarin and in patients who received placebo instead of aspirin. The secondary endpoint of death or hospitalization after 6 months was also significantly lower in the apixaban-treated patients, compared with those on warfarin, while the aspirin and placebo subgroups showed no difference in the incidence of these events (N Engl J Med. 2019 Apr 18;380[16]:1509-24).

Dr. Larry B. Goldstein

The results reported by Dr. Bahit also highlighted both the high risk faced by patients with AFib who also have had an ACS event or PCI, as well as a prior stroke, TIA, or TE event, noted Larry B. Goldstein, MD, professor and chairman of neurology at the University of Kentucky, Lexington. “It’s difficult, because these patients had an ACS event or PCI, and you don’t want a coronary too close up, but do these patients really need a P2Y12 inhibitor plus an anticoagulant? Could these patients do as well on apixaban only? I would have liked to see that treatment arm in the study,” Dr. Goldstein commented in an interview.

“These are challenging patients because they often require anticoagulation for the AFib as well as antiplatelet agents” for the recent PCI or ACS event, commented Mitchell S.V. Elkind, MD, professor of neurology at Columbia University, New York. “The question has always been: How many blood thinners should these patients be on? Potentially they could be on three different agents [an anticoagulant and two antiplatelet drugs], and we know that all of those drugs together pretty dramatically increase the risk of bleeding. About 15% of the patients in the overall AUGUSTUS trial had either cerebrovascular disease or systemic thromboembolism, so this was a small subgroup of the overall trial, but the overall trial was large so it’s a significant number of patients who met this criteria. The results confirmed that even in a group of patients who may be considered at high risk because they have a prior history of cerebrovascular disease use of apixaban instead of warfarin seemed safer, and that those patients did not need to be on aspirin as well as their other antiplatelet agent. Patients with a history of stroke, in fact, had a lower risk of bleeding than the other patients in this trial, so one could argue that they should be on an agent like apixaban as well as an antiplatelet agent like clopidogrel without addition of aspirin,” he said in a recorded statement.

In addition to implications for using prescription drugs like apixaban and clopidogrel, the findings also send a message about the need for very aggressive implementation of lifestyle measures that can reduce cardiovascular disease risk in these patients, added Dr. Goldstein. The AUGUSTUS outcome analyses that subdivided the study population into those with a prior stroke, TIA, or TE event – 633 patients or about 14% of the 4,581 patients eligible for this analysis – and those who did not have this history showed the extremely high, incrementally elevated risk faced by patients with these prior events.

A history of stroke, TIA, or TE event linked with a jump in the 90-day rate of major or clinically relevant minor bleeds from 13% without this history to 17%, which is a 31% relative increase; it boosted the 90-day rate of death or hospitalization from 25% to 31%, a 24% relative increase; and it jacked up the rate of death or ischemic events from 6% to 9%, a 50% relative increase, Dr. Bahit reported.

These substantial increases “suggest we need to be very aggressive” in managing these high-risk patients who combine a background of AFib, a prior stroke, TIA, or TE events, and a recent ACS event or PCI, Dr. Goldstein observed. In these patients, he suggested that clinicians make sure to address smoking cessation, obesity, exercise, diet, and statin use, and get each of these to an optimal level to further cut risk. If all five of these basic interventions were successfully administered to a patient they could collectively cut the patient’s event risk by about 80%, he added.

AUGUSTUS was funded by Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer, the companies that jointly market apixaban. Dr. Bahit has received honoraria from Pfizer, and from CSL Behring and Merck. Dr. Elkind and Dr. Goldstein had no relevant disclosures.

SOURCE: Bahit MC et al. ISC 2020, Abstract LB22.

 

LOS ANGELES– The edge that the direct-acting oral anticoagulant apixaban (Eliquis) has over warfarin for safely preventing ischemic events in patients with atrial fibrillation and either a recent acute coronary syndrome event or a recent percutaneous coronary intervention held up even in patients with a history of stroke, transient ischemic attack, or thromboembolic event, according to a prespecified secondary analysis of data collected in the AUGUSTUS trial.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. M. Cecilia Bahit

The treatment advantages of apixaban, compared with warfarin, seen in the overall AUGUSTUS results, first reported in March 2019, “were consistent” with the benefits seen in the subgroup of enrolled patients with a prior stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), or thromboembolic (TE) event, M. Cecilia Bahit, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association.

All patients in AUGUSTUS received a P2Y12 inhibitor antiplatelet drug, which was clopidogrel for more than 90% of patients. The two-by-two factorial design of AUGUSTUS also assessed the safety and efficacy of either adding or withholding aspirin from the two-drug regimen that all patients in the study received with a P2Y12 inhibitor plus an anticoagulant (apixaban or warfarin). The most notable finding of the aspirin versus placebo analysis was that patients without a prior stroke, TIA, or TE event had a “more profound” increase in their rate of major or clinically relevant minor bleeds when also treated with aspirin, compared with patients who received aspirin and had a history of stroke, TIA, or TE event, reported Dr. Bahit, a chief of cardiology and director of clinical research at the INECO Foundation in Rosario, Argentina.



In general, the findings of the secondary analysis that took into account stroke, TIA, or TE history “confirmed” the main AUGUSTUS findings, Dr. Bahit said; an antithrombotic regimen of apixaban plus clopidogrel (or other P2Y12 inhibitor) without aspirin was superior for both efficacy and safety, compared with the alternative regimens that either substituted warfarin for apixaban or that added aspirin.

AUGUSTUS enrolled 4,614 atrial fibrillation (AFib) patients who either had a recent acute coronary syndrome (ACS) event or had recently undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at any of 492 sites in 33 countries during 2015-2018. The study’s primary endpoint was the incidence of major or clinically relevant minor bleeds after 6 months, which was significantly lower in the subgroups that received apixaban instead of warfarin and in patients who received placebo instead of aspirin. The secondary endpoint of death or hospitalization after 6 months was also significantly lower in the apixaban-treated patients, compared with those on warfarin, while the aspirin and placebo subgroups showed no difference in the incidence of these events (N Engl J Med. 2019 Apr 18;380[16]:1509-24).

Dr. Larry B. Goldstein

The results reported by Dr. Bahit also highlighted both the high risk faced by patients with AFib who also have had an ACS event or PCI, as well as a prior stroke, TIA, or TE event, noted Larry B. Goldstein, MD, professor and chairman of neurology at the University of Kentucky, Lexington. “It’s difficult, because these patients had an ACS event or PCI, and you don’t want a coronary too close up, but do these patients really need a P2Y12 inhibitor plus an anticoagulant? Could these patients do as well on apixaban only? I would have liked to see that treatment arm in the study,” Dr. Goldstein commented in an interview.

“These are challenging patients because they often require anticoagulation for the AFib as well as antiplatelet agents” for the recent PCI or ACS event, commented Mitchell S.V. Elkind, MD, professor of neurology at Columbia University, New York. “The question has always been: How many blood thinners should these patients be on? Potentially they could be on three different agents [an anticoagulant and two antiplatelet drugs], and we know that all of those drugs together pretty dramatically increase the risk of bleeding. About 15% of the patients in the overall AUGUSTUS trial had either cerebrovascular disease or systemic thromboembolism, so this was a small subgroup of the overall trial, but the overall trial was large so it’s a significant number of patients who met this criteria. The results confirmed that even in a group of patients who may be considered at high risk because they have a prior history of cerebrovascular disease use of apixaban instead of warfarin seemed safer, and that those patients did not need to be on aspirin as well as their other antiplatelet agent. Patients with a history of stroke, in fact, had a lower risk of bleeding than the other patients in this trial, so one could argue that they should be on an agent like apixaban as well as an antiplatelet agent like clopidogrel without addition of aspirin,” he said in a recorded statement.

In addition to implications for using prescription drugs like apixaban and clopidogrel, the findings also send a message about the need for very aggressive implementation of lifestyle measures that can reduce cardiovascular disease risk in these patients, added Dr. Goldstein. The AUGUSTUS outcome analyses that subdivided the study population into those with a prior stroke, TIA, or TE event – 633 patients or about 14% of the 4,581 patients eligible for this analysis – and those who did not have this history showed the extremely high, incrementally elevated risk faced by patients with these prior events.

A history of stroke, TIA, or TE event linked with a jump in the 90-day rate of major or clinically relevant minor bleeds from 13% without this history to 17%, which is a 31% relative increase; it boosted the 90-day rate of death or hospitalization from 25% to 31%, a 24% relative increase; and it jacked up the rate of death or ischemic events from 6% to 9%, a 50% relative increase, Dr. Bahit reported.

These substantial increases “suggest we need to be very aggressive” in managing these high-risk patients who combine a background of AFib, a prior stroke, TIA, or TE events, and a recent ACS event or PCI, Dr. Goldstein observed. In these patients, he suggested that clinicians make sure to address smoking cessation, obesity, exercise, diet, and statin use, and get each of these to an optimal level to further cut risk. If all five of these basic interventions were successfully administered to a patient they could collectively cut the patient’s event risk by about 80%, he added.

AUGUSTUS was funded by Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer, the companies that jointly market apixaban. Dr. Bahit has received honoraria from Pfizer, and from CSL Behring and Merck. Dr. Elkind and Dr. Goldstein had no relevant disclosures.

SOURCE: Bahit MC et al. ISC 2020, Abstract LB22.

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AFib patients do best on a DOAC started 7-10 days post stroke

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– When a patient with atrial fibrillation (AFib) has a cardioembolic stroke, the best blood thinner to start may be a direct-acting oral anticoagulant (DOAC), possibly beginning 7-10 days after the index stroke, according to an analysis of 90-day, observational outcomes data from nearly 1,300 patients.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Shadi Yaghi

The analysis also suggested that the use of “bridging” anticoagulant treatment by injection before a patient with atrial fibrillation (AFib) starts a daily oral anticoagulant regimen following a cardioembolic stroke is not a good idea. Patients who received bridging anticoagulation had a nearly threefold higher rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage than did patients who did not, and their bridging treatment failed to protect them from recurrent ischemic events, Shadi Yaghi, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference, sponsored by the American Heart Association. The bridging regimens delivered either heparin or low-molecular-weight heparin.

Based on the findings, “it seems reasonable to avoid bridging unless absolutely necessary, to initiate a DOAC unless it’s contraindicated, and to start the DOAC on day 7-10 following the stroke in most patients,” said Dr. Yaghi, a vascular neurologist and director of stroke research at NYU Langone Health in New York.

“It’s been hard to develop a broad guideline on when to start oral anticoagulation” after a cardioembolic stroke in AFib patients. The best time “depends on a lot of variables and how the patient responded to acute treatment,” commented Alexis Simpkins, MD, a vascular and stroke neurologist at the University of Florida in Gainesville. “You want to start treatment before the patient has another stroke, but not so soon that the treatment causes symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation.”

Dr. Yaghi’s suggestion, based on his findings, to start treatment for most patients with a DOAC 7-10 days after their index stroke “shows consistency” with the prevailing guideline recommendation from the AHA/American Stroke Association to start oral anticoagulation in this patient population 4-14 days after the index stroke (Stroke. 2018 March;49[3]:e46-e99), she noted.

Dr. Alexis Simpkins

A recent article reviewed the uncertainty about the best time to start oral anticoagulation in AFib patients after a cardioembolic stroke and the subtle differences that distinguish various international medical groups that, like the ASA, have made recommendations (Lancet Neurol. 2019 Jan 1;18[1]:117-26). According to this review, a major limitation of these various recommendations has been the lack of actual evidence collected from AFib patients who began receiving a DOAC shortly after a cardioembolic stroke, although the article added that several studies in progress are collecting these data.

The study reported by Dr. Yaghi pooled data collected from 2,084 recent AFib patients with a cardioembolic stroke treated at any of eight comprehensive U.S. stroke centers. They excluded patients who died from causes unrelated to the primary endpoint, those who did not receive an anticoagulant or had incomplete data, and patients lost to follow-up, leaving 1,289 evaluable patients. During their 90-day follow-up, 10% of the patients had an ischemic event, a symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, or an extracranial hemorrhage.

The study’s primary analysis showed no statistically significant difference in the incidence of recurrent ischemic events, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, or both based on when oral anticoagulant treatment began: 0-3 days, 4-14 days, or more than 14 days after the index stroke.



The investigators then subdivided patients into the subgroup that started treatment with a DOAC and the subgroup that started treatment with warfarin and also further subdivided the 4-14 day time window for starting treatment. Results of this analysis showed that patients who received a DOAC and began this treatment 7-10 days after their stroke had a 50% cut in their 90-day events compared with other patients, a difference that fell just short of statistical significance at P = .07. All the other combinations of oral anticoagulant and time of treatment initiation analyzed showed neutral effects that never came near statistical significance.

Secondary data analyses also showed that both patients with a history of a stroke prior to their index stroke and patients with ipsilateral atherosclerosis came close to having a statistically significant increased rate of a subsequent ischemic event during 90-day follow-up. Furthermore, women, patients with a history of hyperlipidemia, and patients who developed hemorrhagic transformation of their index stroke all had significantly increased rates of developing a symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage during 90-day follow-up. When the endpoint was limited to recurrent ischemic events only, patients who received a DOAC were 50% less likely to have an event than were patients treated with warfarin, a statistically significant difference.

Although starting a DOAC 7-10 days after the index stroke seems reasonable based on this analysis, the question needs a prospective, randomized study to create an appropriate evidence base, Dr. Yaghi said.

Dr. Yaghi disclosed a financial relationship with Medtronic. Dr. Simpkins had no disclosures.

SOURCE: Yaghi S et al. Stroke. 2020 Feb;51(suppl 1):A119.

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– When a patient with atrial fibrillation (AFib) has a cardioembolic stroke, the best blood thinner to start may be a direct-acting oral anticoagulant (DOAC), possibly beginning 7-10 days after the index stroke, according to an analysis of 90-day, observational outcomes data from nearly 1,300 patients.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Shadi Yaghi

The analysis also suggested that the use of “bridging” anticoagulant treatment by injection before a patient with atrial fibrillation (AFib) starts a daily oral anticoagulant regimen following a cardioembolic stroke is not a good idea. Patients who received bridging anticoagulation had a nearly threefold higher rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage than did patients who did not, and their bridging treatment failed to protect them from recurrent ischemic events, Shadi Yaghi, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference, sponsored by the American Heart Association. The bridging regimens delivered either heparin or low-molecular-weight heparin.

Based on the findings, “it seems reasonable to avoid bridging unless absolutely necessary, to initiate a DOAC unless it’s contraindicated, and to start the DOAC on day 7-10 following the stroke in most patients,” said Dr. Yaghi, a vascular neurologist and director of stroke research at NYU Langone Health in New York.

“It’s been hard to develop a broad guideline on when to start oral anticoagulation” after a cardioembolic stroke in AFib patients. The best time “depends on a lot of variables and how the patient responded to acute treatment,” commented Alexis Simpkins, MD, a vascular and stroke neurologist at the University of Florida in Gainesville. “You want to start treatment before the patient has another stroke, but not so soon that the treatment causes symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation.”

Dr. Yaghi’s suggestion, based on his findings, to start treatment for most patients with a DOAC 7-10 days after their index stroke “shows consistency” with the prevailing guideline recommendation from the AHA/American Stroke Association to start oral anticoagulation in this patient population 4-14 days after the index stroke (Stroke. 2018 March;49[3]:e46-e99), she noted.

Dr. Alexis Simpkins

A recent article reviewed the uncertainty about the best time to start oral anticoagulation in AFib patients after a cardioembolic stroke and the subtle differences that distinguish various international medical groups that, like the ASA, have made recommendations (Lancet Neurol. 2019 Jan 1;18[1]:117-26). According to this review, a major limitation of these various recommendations has been the lack of actual evidence collected from AFib patients who began receiving a DOAC shortly after a cardioembolic stroke, although the article added that several studies in progress are collecting these data.

The study reported by Dr. Yaghi pooled data collected from 2,084 recent AFib patients with a cardioembolic stroke treated at any of eight comprehensive U.S. stroke centers. They excluded patients who died from causes unrelated to the primary endpoint, those who did not receive an anticoagulant or had incomplete data, and patients lost to follow-up, leaving 1,289 evaluable patients. During their 90-day follow-up, 10% of the patients had an ischemic event, a symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, or an extracranial hemorrhage.

The study’s primary analysis showed no statistically significant difference in the incidence of recurrent ischemic events, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, or both based on when oral anticoagulant treatment began: 0-3 days, 4-14 days, or more than 14 days after the index stroke.



The investigators then subdivided patients into the subgroup that started treatment with a DOAC and the subgroup that started treatment with warfarin and also further subdivided the 4-14 day time window for starting treatment. Results of this analysis showed that patients who received a DOAC and began this treatment 7-10 days after their stroke had a 50% cut in their 90-day events compared with other patients, a difference that fell just short of statistical significance at P = .07. All the other combinations of oral anticoagulant and time of treatment initiation analyzed showed neutral effects that never came near statistical significance.

Secondary data analyses also showed that both patients with a history of a stroke prior to their index stroke and patients with ipsilateral atherosclerosis came close to having a statistically significant increased rate of a subsequent ischemic event during 90-day follow-up. Furthermore, women, patients with a history of hyperlipidemia, and patients who developed hemorrhagic transformation of their index stroke all had significantly increased rates of developing a symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage during 90-day follow-up. When the endpoint was limited to recurrent ischemic events only, patients who received a DOAC were 50% less likely to have an event than were patients treated with warfarin, a statistically significant difference.

Although starting a DOAC 7-10 days after the index stroke seems reasonable based on this analysis, the question needs a prospective, randomized study to create an appropriate evidence base, Dr. Yaghi said.

Dr. Yaghi disclosed a financial relationship with Medtronic. Dr. Simpkins had no disclosures.

SOURCE: Yaghi S et al. Stroke. 2020 Feb;51(suppl 1):A119.

– When a patient with atrial fibrillation (AFib) has a cardioembolic stroke, the best blood thinner to start may be a direct-acting oral anticoagulant (DOAC), possibly beginning 7-10 days after the index stroke, according to an analysis of 90-day, observational outcomes data from nearly 1,300 patients.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Shadi Yaghi

The analysis also suggested that the use of “bridging” anticoagulant treatment by injection before a patient with atrial fibrillation (AFib) starts a daily oral anticoagulant regimen following a cardioembolic stroke is not a good idea. Patients who received bridging anticoagulation had a nearly threefold higher rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage than did patients who did not, and their bridging treatment failed to protect them from recurrent ischemic events, Shadi Yaghi, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference, sponsored by the American Heart Association. The bridging regimens delivered either heparin or low-molecular-weight heparin.

Based on the findings, “it seems reasonable to avoid bridging unless absolutely necessary, to initiate a DOAC unless it’s contraindicated, and to start the DOAC on day 7-10 following the stroke in most patients,” said Dr. Yaghi, a vascular neurologist and director of stroke research at NYU Langone Health in New York.

“It’s been hard to develop a broad guideline on when to start oral anticoagulation” after a cardioembolic stroke in AFib patients. The best time “depends on a lot of variables and how the patient responded to acute treatment,” commented Alexis Simpkins, MD, a vascular and stroke neurologist at the University of Florida in Gainesville. “You want to start treatment before the patient has another stroke, but not so soon that the treatment causes symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation.”

Dr. Yaghi’s suggestion, based on his findings, to start treatment for most patients with a DOAC 7-10 days after their index stroke “shows consistency” with the prevailing guideline recommendation from the AHA/American Stroke Association to start oral anticoagulation in this patient population 4-14 days after the index stroke (Stroke. 2018 March;49[3]:e46-e99), she noted.

Dr. Alexis Simpkins

A recent article reviewed the uncertainty about the best time to start oral anticoagulation in AFib patients after a cardioembolic stroke and the subtle differences that distinguish various international medical groups that, like the ASA, have made recommendations (Lancet Neurol. 2019 Jan 1;18[1]:117-26). According to this review, a major limitation of these various recommendations has been the lack of actual evidence collected from AFib patients who began receiving a DOAC shortly after a cardioembolic stroke, although the article added that several studies in progress are collecting these data.

The study reported by Dr. Yaghi pooled data collected from 2,084 recent AFib patients with a cardioembolic stroke treated at any of eight comprehensive U.S. stroke centers. They excluded patients who died from causes unrelated to the primary endpoint, those who did not receive an anticoagulant or had incomplete data, and patients lost to follow-up, leaving 1,289 evaluable patients. During their 90-day follow-up, 10% of the patients had an ischemic event, a symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, or an extracranial hemorrhage.

The study’s primary analysis showed no statistically significant difference in the incidence of recurrent ischemic events, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, or both based on when oral anticoagulant treatment began: 0-3 days, 4-14 days, or more than 14 days after the index stroke.



The investigators then subdivided patients into the subgroup that started treatment with a DOAC and the subgroup that started treatment with warfarin and also further subdivided the 4-14 day time window for starting treatment. Results of this analysis showed that patients who received a DOAC and began this treatment 7-10 days after their stroke had a 50% cut in their 90-day events compared with other patients, a difference that fell just short of statistical significance at P = .07. All the other combinations of oral anticoagulant and time of treatment initiation analyzed showed neutral effects that never came near statistical significance.

Secondary data analyses also showed that both patients with a history of a stroke prior to their index stroke and patients with ipsilateral atherosclerosis came close to having a statistically significant increased rate of a subsequent ischemic event during 90-day follow-up. Furthermore, women, patients with a history of hyperlipidemia, and patients who developed hemorrhagic transformation of their index stroke all had significantly increased rates of developing a symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage during 90-day follow-up. When the endpoint was limited to recurrent ischemic events only, patients who received a DOAC were 50% less likely to have an event than were patients treated with warfarin, a statistically significant difference.

Although starting a DOAC 7-10 days after the index stroke seems reasonable based on this analysis, the question needs a prospective, randomized study to create an appropriate evidence base, Dr. Yaghi said.

Dr. Yaghi disclosed a financial relationship with Medtronic. Dr. Simpkins had no disclosures.

SOURCE: Yaghi S et al. Stroke. 2020 Feb;51(suppl 1):A119.

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DAPT may benefit symptomatic carotid endarterectomy patients

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Nearly half of U.S. patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy at a U.S. hospital in 2018 went home with instructions to take combined treatment with aspirin and clopidogrel, but analysis of these and other patients from earlier years showed that most patients did not receive any benefit from this dual antiplatelet regimen compared with patients sent home on aspirin only.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Nathan Belkin

The only patients who benefited from postsurgical treatment with dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) were those who were symptomatic (had a stroke or transient ischemic attack) prior to their carotid endarterectomy surgery, a minority of the more than 17,000 matched U.S. patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy during 2003-2018 and were part of this analysis, Nathan Belkin, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference, sponsored by the American Heart Association.

Among patients with symptoms prior to their carotid endarterectomy, DAPT at the time of hospital discharge was associated with a 2-year follow-up rate of stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), or death of about 8%, compared with a rate of about 11% among similar patients discharged on aspirin only, a statistically significant difference. In contrast, among patients who were asymptomatic prior to their carotid endarterectomy, discharge treatment with aspirin only was associated with a 2-year event rate similar to the rate among patients discharged on DAPT.

Based in part on this finding, Dr. Belkin and associates at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, now start symptomatic patients scheduled for carotid endarterectomy on DAPT with aspirin plus clopidogrel (Plavix) about 2 weeks before surgery, and then continue the combined regimen long term after surgery. A prospective, randomized study is needed to fully resolve the optimal use of DAPT in patients with significant carotid artery disease scheduled for carotid endarterectomy, but until then, “we’re individualizing DAPT” to patients at high risk because of a prior stroke or TIA who also have no evidence of an elevated bleeding risk, said Dr. Belkin, a vascular surgeon.

“We hypothesize that patients with systemic carotid disease have a systemic disease process and more activated platelets,” which suggests a potential benefit from DAPT, he explained. But the data that Dr. Belkin reported also indicated that recent U.S. use of DAPT in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy has moved beyond this subgroup. The U.S. national data set that Dr. Belkin used for the analysis, the Vascular Quality Initiative registry maintained by the Society for Vascular Surgery, included 87,074 patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy during 2003-2018. During the entire 16-year period, 30% of patients overall received a prescription for DAPT at hospital discharge, but this level went steadily up during those years. In 2003, the rate of DAPT prescriptions at discharge was below 10% of patients but then rose incrementally over the following years and by 2018 had increased to about 44% despite a prevalence of symptomatic carotid disease closer to about a third of patients.

Dr. Mai N. Nguyen-Huynh

“It’s surprising that so many patients received DAPT for carotid disease” in recent years, commented Mai N. Nguyen-Huynh, MD, a vascular neurologist with Kaiser Permanente Northern California in Oakland. “It’s been thought that DAPT, and especially clopidogrel, was more beneficial for patients with intracranial atherosclerotic disease, but not so much for patients with carotid disease,” she said in an interview. “We don’t always see systemic atherosclerotic disease in patients with carotid artery disease. It’s not standard practice to look for systemic atherosclerotic disease in patients with carotid disease,” unless something in the patient’s presentation suggests wider vascular-disease progression.

The primary analysis that Dr. Belkin and associates ran removed about 16% of the patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy from the database: those who received no antiplatelet drug, those who received only clopidogrel, and those who went home from surgery on an anticoagulant. Among the remaining 72,122 patients, 35% received DAPT at discharge and 65% received aspirin only. The patients averaged 70 years old, 61% were men, 37% had a history of stroke or TIA, and their overall 2-year incidence of stroke, TIA, or death was 7.3%. To adjust for many baseline differences between the patients discharged on DAPT and those who got only aspirin, the researchers used propensity-score sorting to identify 17,398 matched patients from the two treatment subgroups, 24% of the total population. Comparison of these DAPT and aspirin-only subgroups showed no difference in the overall, 2-year rate of stroke, TIA, or death.



However, when the analysis divided the patients into asymptomatic and symptomatic subgroups, those discharged on DAPT showed a statistically significant lower rate of stroke, TIA, or death during 2 years of follow-up. The same symptomatic subgroup also showed a statistically significant lower rate of total mortality during 5 years of follow-up when treated with DAPT compared with aspirin only, again an absolute, between-group difference of about 3 percentage points that was statistically significant, a difference not seen in the asymptomatic patients. The type of treatment that symptomatic patients received had no relationship to their 2-year incidence of stroke or TIA.

To confirm these findings, Dr. Belkin and coworkers ran a multivariate logistic regression analysis on the data collected from all 72,122 patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy and subsequently received either DAPT or aspirin only. The only statistically significant association between treatment and outcome was among the symptomatic patients who received DAPT, who had a significant reduction in their 5-year mortality, compared with symptomatic patients who received only aspirin at hospital discharge.

Ideally, a comparison of DAPT and aspirin-only treatment should also assess the incidence and severity of bleeding events associated with these treatments, but bleeding data were not available in the database, Dr. Belkin said.

Dr. Belkin and Dr. Nguyen-Huynh had no relevant disclosures.

SOURCE: Belkin N et al. Stroke. 2020 Feb;51(suppl 1): Abstract 67.

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Nearly half of U.S. patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy at a U.S. hospital in 2018 went home with instructions to take combined treatment with aspirin and clopidogrel, but analysis of these and other patients from earlier years showed that most patients did not receive any benefit from this dual antiplatelet regimen compared with patients sent home on aspirin only.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Nathan Belkin

The only patients who benefited from postsurgical treatment with dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) were those who were symptomatic (had a stroke or transient ischemic attack) prior to their carotid endarterectomy surgery, a minority of the more than 17,000 matched U.S. patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy during 2003-2018 and were part of this analysis, Nathan Belkin, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference, sponsored by the American Heart Association.

Among patients with symptoms prior to their carotid endarterectomy, DAPT at the time of hospital discharge was associated with a 2-year follow-up rate of stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), or death of about 8%, compared with a rate of about 11% among similar patients discharged on aspirin only, a statistically significant difference. In contrast, among patients who were asymptomatic prior to their carotid endarterectomy, discharge treatment with aspirin only was associated with a 2-year event rate similar to the rate among patients discharged on DAPT.

Based in part on this finding, Dr. Belkin and associates at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, now start symptomatic patients scheduled for carotid endarterectomy on DAPT with aspirin plus clopidogrel (Plavix) about 2 weeks before surgery, and then continue the combined regimen long term after surgery. A prospective, randomized study is needed to fully resolve the optimal use of DAPT in patients with significant carotid artery disease scheduled for carotid endarterectomy, but until then, “we’re individualizing DAPT” to patients at high risk because of a prior stroke or TIA who also have no evidence of an elevated bleeding risk, said Dr. Belkin, a vascular surgeon.

“We hypothesize that patients with systemic carotid disease have a systemic disease process and more activated platelets,” which suggests a potential benefit from DAPT, he explained. But the data that Dr. Belkin reported also indicated that recent U.S. use of DAPT in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy has moved beyond this subgroup. The U.S. national data set that Dr. Belkin used for the analysis, the Vascular Quality Initiative registry maintained by the Society for Vascular Surgery, included 87,074 patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy during 2003-2018. During the entire 16-year period, 30% of patients overall received a prescription for DAPT at hospital discharge, but this level went steadily up during those years. In 2003, the rate of DAPT prescriptions at discharge was below 10% of patients but then rose incrementally over the following years and by 2018 had increased to about 44% despite a prevalence of symptomatic carotid disease closer to about a third of patients.

Dr. Mai N. Nguyen-Huynh

“It’s surprising that so many patients received DAPT for carotid disease” in recent years, commented Mai N. Nguyen-Huynh, MD, a vascular neurologist with Kaiser Permanente Northern California in Oakland. “It’s been thought that DAPT, and especially clopidogrel, was more beneficial for patients with intracranial atherosclerotic disease, but not so much for patients with carotid disease,” she said in an interview. “We don’t always see systemic atherosclerotic disease in patients with carotid artery disease. It’s not standard practice to look for systemic atherosclerotic disease in patients with carotid disease,” unless something in the patient’s presentation suggests wider vascular-disease progression.

The primary analysis that Dr. Belkin and associates ran removed about 16% of the patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy from the database: those who received no antiplatelet drug, those who received only clopidogrel, and those who went home from surgery on an anticoagulant. Among the remaining 72,122 patients, 35% received DAPT at discharge and 65% received aspirin only. The patients averaged 70 years old, 61% were men, 37% had a history of stroke or TIA, and their overall 2-year incidence of stroke, TIA, or death was 7.3%. To adjust for many baseline differences between the patients discharged on DAPT and those who got only aspirin, the researchers used propensity-score sorting to identify 17,398 matched patients from the two treatment subgroups, 24% of the total population. Comparison of these DAPT and aspirin-only subgroups showed no difference in the overall, 2-year rate of stroke, TIA, or death.



However, when the analysis divided the patients into asymptomatic and symptomatic subgroups, those discharged on DAPT showed a statistically significant lower rate of stroke, TIA, or death during 2 years of follow-up. The same symptomatic subgroup also showed a statistically significant lower rate of total mortality during 5 years of follow-up when treated with DAPT compared with aspirin only, again an absolute, between-group difference of about 3 percentage points that was statistically significant, a difference not seen in the asymptomatic patients. The type of treatment that symptomatic patients received had no relationship to their 2-year incidence of stroke or TIA.

To confirm these findings, Dr. Belkin and coworkers ran a multivariate logistic regression analysis on the data collected from all 72,122 patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy and subsequently received either DAPT or aspirin only. The only statistically significant association between treatment and outcome was among the symptomatic patients who received DAPT, who had a significant reduction in their 5-year mortality, compared with symptomatic patients who received only aspirin at hospital discharge.

Ideally, a comparison of DAPT and aspirin-only treatment should also assess the incidence and severity of bleeding events associated with these treatments, but bleeding data were not available in the database, Dr. Belkin said.

Dr. Belkin and Dr. Nguyen-Huynh had no relevant disclosures.

SOURCE: Belkin N et al. Stroke. 2020 Feb;51(suppl 1): Abstract 67.

Nearly half of U.S. patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy at a U.S. hospital in 2018 went home with instructions to take combined treatment with aspirin and clopidogrel, but analysis of these and other patients from earlier years showed that most patients did not receive any benefit from this dual antiplatelet regimen compared with patients sent home on aspirin only.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Nathan Belkin

The only patients who benefited from postsurgical treatment with dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) were those who were symptomatic (had a stroke or transient ischemic attack) prior to their carotid endarterectomy surgery, a minority of the more than 17,000 matched U.S. patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy during 2003-2018 and were part of this analysis, Nathan Belkin, MD, said at the International Stroke Conference, sponsored by the American Heart Association.

Among patients with symptoms prior to their carotid endarterectomy, DAPT at the time of hospital discharge was associated with a 2-year follow-up rate of stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), or death of about 8%, compared with a rate of about 11% among similar patients discharged on aspirin only, a statistically significant difference. In contrast, among patients who were asymptomatic prior to their carotid endarterectomy, discharge treatment with aspirin only was associated with a 2-year event rate similar to the rate among patients discharged on DAPT.

Based in part on this finding, Dr. Belkin and associates at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, now start symptomatic patients scheduled for carotid endarterectomy on DAPT with aspirin plus clopidogrel (Plavix) about 2 weeks before surgery, and then continue the combined regimen long term after surgery. A prospective, randomized study is needed to fully resolve the optimal use of DAPT in patients with significant carotid artery disease scheduled for carotid endarterectomy, but until then, “we’re individualizing DAPT” to patients at high risk because of a prior stroke or TIA who also have no evidence of an elevated bleeding risk, said Dr. Belkin, a vascular surgeon.

“We hypothesize that patients with systemic carotid disease have a systemic disease process and more activated platelets,” which suggests a potential benefit from DAPT, he explained. But the data that Dr. Belkin reported also indicated that recent U.S. use of DAPT in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy has moved beyond this subgroup. The U.S. national data set that Dr. Belkin used for the analysis, the Vascular Quality Initiative registry maintained by the Society for Vascular Surgery, included 87,074 patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy during 2003-2018. During the entire 16-year period, 30% of patients overall received a prescription for DAPT at hospital discharge, but this level went steadily up during those years. In 2003, the rate of DAPT prescriptions at discharge was below 10% of patients but then rose incrementally over the following years and by 2018 had increased to about 44% despite a prevalence of symptomatic carotid disease closer to about a third of patients.

Dr. Mai N. Nguyen-Huynh

“It’s surprising that so many patients received DAPT for carotid disease” in recent years, commented Mai N. Nguyen-Huynh, MD, a vascular neurologist with Kaiser Permanente Northern California in Oakland. “It’s been thought that DAPT, and especially clopidogrel, was more beneficial for patients with intracranial atherosclerotic disease, but not so much for patients with carotid disease,” she said in an interview. “We don’t always see systemic atherosclerotic disease in patients with carotid artery disease. It’s not standard practice to look for systemic atherosclerotic disease in patients with carotid disease,” unless something in the patient’s presentation suggests wider vascular-disease progression.

The primary analysis that Dr. Belkin and associates ran removed about 16% of the patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy from the database: those who received no antiplatelet drug, those who received only clopidogrel, and those who went home from surgery on an anticoagulant. Among the remaining 72,122 patients, 35% received DAPT at discharge and 65% received aspirin only. The patients averaged 70 years old, 61% were men, 37% had a history of stroke or TIA, and their overall 2-year incidence of stroke, TIA, or death was 7.3%. To adjust for many baseline differences between the patients discharged on DAPT and those who got only aspirin, the researchers used propensity-score sorting to identify 17,398 matched patients from the two treatment subgroups, 24% of the total population. Comparison of these DAPT and aspirin-only subgroups showed no difference in the overall, 2-year rate of stroke, TIA, or death.



However, when the analysis divided the patients into asymptomatic and symptomatic subgroups, those discharged on DAPT showed a statistically significant lower rate of stroke, TIA, or death during 2 years of follow-up. The same symptomatic subgroup also showed a statistically significant lower rate of total mortality during 5 years of follow-up when treated with DAPT compared with aspirin only, again an absolute, between-group difference of about 3 percentage points that was statistically significant, a difference not seen in the asymptomatic patients. The type of treatment that symptomatic patients received had no relationship to their 2-year incidence of stroke or TIA.

To confirm these findings, Dr. Belkin and coworkers ran a multivariate logistic regression analysis on the data collected from all 72,122 patients who underwent carotid endarterectomy and subsequently received either DAPT or aspirin only. The only statistically significant association between treatment and outcome was among the symptomatic patients who received DAPT, who had a significant reduction in their 5-year mortality, compared with symptomatic patients who received only aspirin at hospital discharge.

Ideally, a comparison of DAPT and aspirin-only treatment should also assess the incidence and severity of bleeding events associated with these treatments, but bleeding data were not available in the database, Dr. Belkin said.

Dr. Belkin and Dr. Nguyen-Huynh had no relevant disclosures.

SOURCE: Belkin N et al. Stroke. 2020 Feb;51(suppl 1): Abstract 67.

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Transradial access gains converts among U.S. interventional neurologists

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The safety advantage that has already coaxed U.S. interventional cardiologists to switch many of their routine catheterizations from femoral-artery entry in the groin to a radial-artery approach through a patient’s wrist is now prompting a similar shift among U.S. interventional neurologists, who are increasingly pivoting to transradial access when performing many neurovascular procedures.

Dr. Raul G. Nogueira

“It’s growing dramatically in U.S. practice. It may be hype, but there is big excitement. We are still in an assessment mode, but the adoption rate has been high,” Raul G. Nogueira, MD, said in an interview during the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association. “The big advantage [of transradial catheterization entry] is elimination of groin complications, some of which can be pretty bad. Is it safe for the brain? It’s probably okay, but that needs more study,” said Dr. Nogueira, professor of neurology at Emory University and director of the Neurovascular Service at the Grady Marcus Stroke and Neuroscience Center in Atlanta.

His uncertainty stems from the more difficult route taken to advance a catheter from the wrist into brain vessels, a maneuver that requires significant manipulation of the catheter tip, unlike the path from the right radial artery into the heart’s arteries, a “straight shot,” he explained. To reach the brain’s vasculature, the tip must execute a spin “that may scrape small emboli from the arch or arteries, so we need to look at this a little more carefully.” Ideally in a prospective, randomized study, he said. “We need to see whether the burden of [magnetic resonance] lesions is any higher when you go through the radial [artery].”

Some of the first-reported, large-scale U.S. experiences using a radial-artery approach for various neurovascular procedures, including a few thrombectomy cases, came in a series of 1,272 patients treated at any of four U.S. centers during July 2018 to June 2019, a period when the neurovascular staffs at all four centers transitioned from primarily using femoral-artery access to using radial access as their default mode. During the 12-month transition period, overall use of radial access at all four centers rose from roughly a quarter of all neurovascular interventions during July to September 2018 to closer to 80% by April to June 2019, Eyad Almallouhi, MD, reported at the conference.



During the entire 12 months, the operators ran up a 94% rate of successfully completed procedures using radial access, a rate that rose from about 88% during the first quarter to roughly 95% success during the fourth quarter tracked, said Dr. Almallouhi, a neurologist at the Medical University of South Carolina in Charleston. The rate of crossover from what began as a transradial procedure but switched to transfemoral was just under 6% overall, with a nearly 14% crossover rate during the first quarter that then dropped to around 5% for the rest of the transition year. Crossovers for interventional procedures throughout the study year occurred at a 12% rate, while crossovers for diagnostic procedures occurred at a 5% clip throughout the entire year.

None of the transradial patients had a major access-site complication, and minor complications occurred in less than 2% of the patients, including 11 with a forearm hematoma, 6 with forearm pain, and 5 with oozing at their access site. The absence of any major access-site complications among the transradial-access patients in this series contrasts with a recent report of a 1.7% rate of major complications secondary to femoral-artery access for mechanical thrombectomy in a combined analysis of data from seven published studies that included 660 thrombectomy procedures (Am J Neuroradiol. 2019 Feb. doi: 10.3174/ajnr.A6423). The other three centers that participated in the study Dr. Almallouhi presented were the University of Miami, Thomas Jefferson University in Philadelphia, and the University of Pittsburgh.

Of the 1,272 total procedures studied, 83% were diagnostic procedures, which had an overall 95% success rate, and 17% were interventional procedures, which had a success rate of 89%. The interventional transradial procedures included 62 primary coilings of aneurysms, 44 stent-assisted aneurysm coilings, 40 patients who underwent a flow diversion, 21 balloon-assisted aneurysm coilings, and 24 patients who underwent stroke thrombectomy.

The size of the devices commonly used for thrombectomy are often too large to allow for radial-artery access, noted Dr. Nogueira. For urgent interventions like thrombectomy “we use balloon-guided catheters that are large-bore and don’t fit well in the radial,” he said, although thrombectomy via the radial artery without a balloon-guided catheter is possible for clots located in the basilar artery. Last year, researchers in Germany reported using a balloon-guided catheter to perform mechanical thrombectomy via the radial artery (Interv Neuroradiol. 2019 Oct 1;25[5]:508-10). But it’s a different story for elective, diagnostic procedures. “I have moved most of these to transradial,” Dr. Nogueira said. He and his coauthors summarized the case for transradial access for cerebral angiography in a recent review; in addition to enhanced safety they cited other advantages including improved patient satisfaction and reduced cost because of a shorter length of stay (Interv Cardiol Clin. 2020 Jan;9[1]:75-86).

Dr. Jeremy Payne

Despite his enthusiasm and the enthusiasm of other neurointerventionalists for the transradial approach, other stroke neurologists have been more cautious and slower to shift away from the femoral approach. “Our experience has been that for most cases it’s a bit more challenging to access the cervical vessels from the radial artery than from the traditional femoral approach. For arches with complex anatomy, however, the transradial approach can be of benefit in some cases, depending on the angles that need to be traversed,” commented Jeremy Payne, MD, director of the Banner Center for Neurovascular Medicine and medical director of the Banner—University Medical Center Phoenix Comprehensive Stroke Program. Dr. Payne highlighted that, while he is not an interventionalist himself, he and his interventional staff have regularly discussed the transradial option.

“In the cardiology literature the radial approach has been very successful, with better overall safety than the traditional femoral approach. Largely this seems to do with the anatomy of the aortic arch. It’s simply a more direct approach to the coronaries via the right radial artery; getting the wire into the correct vessel is significantly more difficult the more acute the angle it has to traverse,” such as when the target is an intracerebral vessel, Dr. Payne said in an interview.

“Our experience in the past 6 months has been about 25% transradial for some of our procedures, mainly diagnostic angiograms. We don’t find any difference in safety, however, as our transfemoral procedures are already very safe. One of the benefits of a transradial approach has been that a closure device may not be needed, with fewer vascular complications at the access site, such as fistula formation. We use ultrasound for access, and have not seen a difference in those approaches at all so far. One might argue that using ultrasound to establish access would slow us down, but so far our fastest case start-to-recanalization time in an acute stroke this year was 6 minutes, so speed does not appear to be a limiting issue. Another concern overall for transradial access is the potential limitation in the tools we may be able to deploy, given the smaller size of the vessel. It is reassuring [in the report from Dr. Almallouhi] that a variety of cases were successfully completed via this approach. However, fewer than 2% of their cases [24 patients] were apparently emergent, acute strokes, lending no specific support to that context. I do not expect that to change based on this paper,” Dr. Payne concluded.

“It is not clear to me that transradial neurointervention will change much. We have excellent safety data for the femoral approach, a proven track record of efficacy, and for most patients it seems to afford a somewhat wider range of tools that can be deployed, with simpler anatomy for accessing the cervical vessels in most arches. It is reassuring that the results reported by Dr. Almallouhi did not suggest negative outcomes, and as such I suspect the transradial approach at least gives us an additional option in a minority of patients. We have seen in the past 5-10 years an explosion of tools for the endovascular treatment of stroke; transradial access represents another potential strategy that appears so far to be safe,” Dr. Payne said.

Drs. Nogueira, Almallouhi, and Payne had no relevant disclosures.

SOURCE: Almallouhi E et al. Stroke. 2020 Feb;51(suppl 1):A64.

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The safety advantage that has already coaxed U.S. interventional cardiologists to switch many of their routine catheterizations from femoral-artery entry in the groin to a radial-artery approach through a patient’s wrist is now prompting a similar shift among U.S. interventional neurologists, who are increasingly pivoting to transradial access when performing many neurovascular procedures.

Dr. Raul G. Nogueira

“It’s growing dramatically in U.S. practice. It may be hype, but there is big excitement. We are still in an assessment mode, but the adoption rate has been high,” Raul G. Nogueira, MD, said in an interview during the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association. “The big advantage [of transradial catheterization entry] is elimination of groin complications, some of which can be pretty bad. Is it safe for the brain? It’s probably okay, but that needs more study,” said Dr. Nogueira, professor of neurology at Emory University and director of the Neurovascular Service at the Grady Marcus Stroke and Neuroscience Center in Atlanta.

His uncertainty stems from the more difficult route taken to advance a catheter from the wrist into brain vessels, a maneuver that requires significant manipulation of the catheter tip, unlike the path from the right radial artery into the heart’s arteries, a “straight shot,” he explained. To reach the brain’s vasculature, the tip must execute a spin “that may scrape small emboli from the arch or arteries, so we need to look at this a little more carefully.” Ideally in a prospective, randomized study, he said. “We need to see whether the burden of [magnetic resonance] lesions is any higher when you go through the radial [artery].”

Some of the first-reported, large-scale U.S. experiences using a radial-artery approach for various neurovascular procedures, including a few thrombectomy cases, came in a series of 1,272 patients treated at any of four U.S. centers during July 2018 to June 2019, a period when the neurovascular staffs at all four centers transitioned from primarily using femoral-artery access to using radial access as their default mode. During the 12-month transition period, overall use of radial access at all four centers rose from roughly a quarter of all neurovascular interventions during July to September 2018 to closer to 80% by April to June 2019, Eyad Almallouhi, MD, reported at the conference.



During the entire 12 months, the operators ran up a 94% rate of successfully completed procedures using radial access, a rate that rose from about 88% during the first quarter to roughly 95% success during the fourth quarter tracked, said Dr. Almallouhi, a neurologist at the Medical University of South Carolina in Charleston. The rate of crossover from what began as a transradial procedure but switched to transfemoral was just under 6% overall, with a nearly 14% crossover rate during the first quarter that then dropped to around 5% for the rest of the transition year. Crossovers for interventional procedures throughout the study year occurred at a 12% rate, while crossovers for diagnostic procedures occurred at a 5% clip throughout the entire year.

None of the transradial patients had a major access-site complication, and minor complications occurred in less than 2% of the patients, including 11 with a forearm hematoma, 6 with forearm pain, and 5 with oozing at their access site. The absence of any major access-site complications among the transradial-access patients in this series contrasts with a recent report of a 1.7% rate of major complications secondary to femoral-artery access for mechanical thrombectomy in a combined analysis of data from seven published studies that included 660 thrombectomy procedures (Am J Neuroradiol. 2019 Feb. doi: 10.3174/ajnr.A6423). The other three centers that participated in the study Dr. Almallouhi presented were the University of Miami, Thomas Jefferson University in Philadelphia, and the University of Pittsburgh.

Of the 1,272 total procedures studied, 83% were diagnostic procedures, which had an overall 95% success rate, and 17% were interventional procedures, which had a success rate of 89%. The interventional transradial procedures included 62 primary coilings of aneurysms, 44 stent-assisted aneurysm coilings, 40 patients who underwent a flow diversion, 21 balloon-assisted aneurysm coilings, and 24 patients who underwent stroke thrombectomy.

The size of the devices commonly used for thrombectomy are often too large to allow for radial-artery access, noted Dr. Nogueira. For urgent interventions like thrombectomy “we use balloon-guided catheters that are large-bore and don’t fit well in the radial,” he said, although thrombectomy via the radial artery without a balloon-guided catheter is possible for clots located in the basilar artery. Last year, researchers in Germany reported using a balloon-guided catheter to perform mechanical thrombectomy via the radial artery (Interv Neuroradiol. 2019 Oct 1;25[5]:508-10). But it’s a different story for elective, diagnostic procedures. “I have moved most of these to transradial,” Dr. Nogueira said. He and his coauthors summarized the case for transradial access for cerebral angiography in a recent review; in addition to enhanced safety they cited other advantages including improved patient satisfaction and reduced cost because of a shorter length of stay (Interv Cardiol Clin. 2020 Jan;9[1]:75-86).

Dr. Jeremy Payne

Despite his enthusiasm and the enthusiasm of other neurointerventionalists for the transradial approach, other stroke neurologists have been more cautious and slower to shift away from the femoral approach. “Our experience has been that for most cases it’s a bit more challenging to access the cervical vessels from the radial artery than from the traditional femoral approach. For arches with complex anatomy, however, the transradial approach can be of benefit in some cases, depending on the angles that need to be traversed,” commented Jeremy Payne, MD, director of the Banner Center for Neurovascular Medicine and medical director of the Banner—University Medical Center Phoenix Comprehensive Stroke Program. Dr. Payne highlighted that, while he is not an interventionalist himself, he and his interventional staff have regularly discussed the transradial option.

“In the cardiology literature the radial approach has been very successful, with better overall safety than the traditional femoral approach. Largely this seems to do with the anatomy of the aortic arch. It’s simply a more direct approach to the coronaries via the right radial artery; getting the wire into the correct vessel is significantly more difficult the more acute the angle it has to traverse,” such as when the target is an intracerebral vessel, Dr. Payne said in an interview.

“Our experience in the past 6 months has been about 25% transradial for some of our procedures, mainly diagnostic angiograms. We don’t find any difference in safety, however, as our transfemoral procedures are already very safe. One of the benefits of a transradial approach has been that a closure device may not be needed, with fewer vascular complications at the access site, such as fistula formation. We use ultrasound for access, and have not seen a difference in those approaches at all so far. One might argue that using ultrasound to establish access would slow us down, but so far our fastest case start-to-recanalization time in an acute stroke this year was 6 minutes, so speed does not appear to be a limiting issue. Another concern overall for transradial access is the potential limitation in the tools we may be able to deploy, given the smaller size of the vessel. It is reassuring [in the report from Dr. Almallouhi] that a variety of cases were successfully completed via this approach. However, fewer than 2% of their cases [24 patients] were apparently emergent, acute strokes, lending no specific support to that context. I do not expect that to change based on this paper,” Dr. Payne concluded.

“It is not clear to me that transradial neurointervention will change much. We have excellent safety data for the femoral approach, a proven track record of efficacy, and for most patients it seems to afford a somewhat wider range of tools that can be deployed, with simpler anatomy for accessing the cervical vessels in most arches. It is reassuring that the results reported by Dr. Almallouhi did not suggest negative outcomes, and as such I suspect the transradial approach at least gives us an additional option in a minority of patients. We have seen in the past 5-10 years an explosion of tools for the endovascular treatment of stroke; transradial access represents another potential strategy that appears so far to be safe,” Dr. Payne said.

Drs. Nogueira, Almallouhi, and Payne had no relevant disclosures.

SOURCE: Almallouhi E et al. Stroke. 2020 Feb;51(suppl 1):A64.

The safety advantage that has already coaxed U.S. interventional cardiologists to switch many of their routine catheterizations from femoral-artery entry in the groin to a radial-artery approach through a patient’s wrist is now prompting a similar shift among U.S. interventional neurologists, who are increasingly pivoting to transradial access when performing many neurovascular procedures.

Dr. Raul G. Nogueira

“It’s growing dramatically in U.S. practice. It may be hype, but there is big excitement. We are still in an assessment mode, but the adoption rate has been high,” Raul G. Nogueira, MD, said in an interview during the International Stroke Conference sponsored by the American Heart Association. “The big advantage [of transradial catheterization entry] is elimination of groin complications, some of which can be pretty bad. Is it safe for the brain? It’s probably okay, but that needs more study,” said Dr. Nogueira, professor of neurology at Emory University and director of the Neurovascular Service at the Grady Marcus Stroke and Neuroscience Center in Atlanta.

His uncertainty stems from the more difficult route taken to advance a catheter from the wrist into brain vessels, a maneuver that requires significant manipulation of the catheter tip, unlike the path from the right radial artery into the heart’s arteries, a “straight shot,” he explained. To reach the brain’s vasculature, the tip must execute a spin “that may scrape small emboli from the arch or arteries, so we need to look at this a little more carefully.” Ideally in a prospective, randomized study, he said. “We need to see whether the burden of [magnetic resonance] lesions is any higher when you go through the radial [artery].”

Some of the first-reported, large-scale U.S. experiences using a radial-artery approach for various neurovascular procedures, including a few thrombectomy cases, came in a series of 1,272 patients treated at any of four U.S. centers during July 2018 to June 2019, a period when the neurovascular staffs at all four centers transitioned from primarily using femoral-artery access to using radial access as their default mode. During the 12-month transition period, overall use of radial access at all four centers rose from roughly a quarter of all neurovascular interventions during July to September 2018 to closer to 80% by April to June 2019, Eyad Almallouhi, MD, reported at the conference.



During the entire 12 months, the operators ran up a 94% rate of successfully completed procedures using radial access, a rate that rose from about 88% during the first quarter to roughly 95% success during the fourth quarter tracked, said Dr. Almallouhi, a neurologist at the Medical University of South Carolina in Charleston. The rate of crossover from what began as a transradial procedure but switched to transfemoral was just under 6% overall, with a nearly 14% crossover rate during the first quarter that then dropped to around 5% for the rest of the transition year. Crossovers for interventional procedures throughout the study year occurred at a 12% rate, while crossovers for diagnostic procedures occurred at a 5% clip throughout the entire year.

None of the transradial patients had a major access-site complication, and minor complications occurred in less than 2% of the patients, including 11 with a forearm hematoma, 6 with forearm pain, and 5 with oozing at their access site. The absence of any major access-site complications among the transradial-access patients in this series contrasts with a recent report of a 1.7% rate of major complications secondary to femoral-artery access for mechanical thrombectomy in a combined analysis of data from seven published studies that included 660 thrombectomy procedures (Am J Neuroradiol. 2019 Feb. doi: 10.3174/ajnr.A6423). The other three centers that participated in the study Dr. Almallouhi presented were the University of Miami, Thomas Jefferson University in Philadelphia, and the University of Pittsburgh.

Of the 1,272 total procedures studied, 83% were diagnostic procedures, which had an overall 95% success rate, and 17% were interventional procedures, which had a success rate of 89%. The interventional transradial procedures included 62 primary coilings of aneurysms, 44 stent-assisted aneurysm coilings, 40 patients who underwent a flow diversion, 21 balloon-assisted aneurysm coilings, and 24 patients who underwent stroke thrombectomy.

The size of the devices commonly used for thrombectomy are often too large to allow for radial-artery access, noted Dr. Nogueira. For urgent interventions like thrombectomy “we use balloon-guided catheters that are large-bore and don’t fit well in the radial,” he said, although thrombectomy via the radial artery without a balloon-guided catheter is possible for clots located in the basilar artery. Last year, researchers in Germany reported using a balloon-guided catheter to perform mechanical thrombectomy via the radial artery (Interv Neuroradiol. 2019 Oct 1;25[5]:508-10). But it’s a different story for elective, diagnostic procedures. “I have moved most of these to transradial,” Dr. Nogueira said. He and his coauthors summarized the case for transradial access for cerebral angiography in a recent review; in addition to enhanced safety they cited other advantages including improved patient satisfaction and reduced cost because of a shorter length of stay (Interv Cardiol Clin. 2020 Jan;9[1]:75-86).

Dr. Jeremy Payne

Despite his enthusiasm and the enthusiasm of other neurointerventionalists for the transradial approach, other stroke neurologists have been more cautious and slower to shift away from the femoral approach. “Our experience has been that for most cases it’s a bit more challenging to access the cervical vessels from the radial artery than from the traditional femoral approach. For arches with complex anatomy, however, the transradial approach can be of benefit in some cases, depending on the angles that need to be traversed,” commented Jeremy Payne, MD, director of the Banner Center for Neurovascular Medicine and medical director of the Banner—University Medical Center Phoenix Comprehensive Stroke Program. Dr. Payne highlighted that, while he is not an interventionalist himself, he and his interventional staff have regularly discussed the transradial option.

“In the cardiology literature the radial approach has been very successful, with better overall safety than the traditional femoral approach. Largely this seems to do with the anatomy of the aortic arch. It’s simply a more direct approach to the coronaries via the right radial artery; getting the wire into the correct vessel is significantly more difficult the more acute the angle it has to traverse,” such as when the target is an intracerebral vessel, Dr. Payne said in an interview.

“Our experience in the past 6 months has been about 25% transradial for some of our procedures, mainly diagnostic angiograms. We don’t find any difference in safety, however, as our transfemoral procedures are already very safe. One of the benefits of a transradial approach has been that a closure device may not be needed, with fewer vascular complications at the access site, such as fistula formation. We use ultrasound for access, and have not seen a difference in those approaches at all so far. One might argue that using ultrasound to establish access would slow us down, but so far our fastest case start-to-recanalization time in an acute stroke this year was 6 minutes, so speed does not appear to be a limiting issue. Another concern overall for transradial access is the potential limitation in the tools we may be able to deploy, given the smaller size of the vessel. It is reassuring [in the report from Dr. Almallouhi] that a variety of cases were successfully completed via this approach. However, fewer than 2% of their cases [24 patients] were apparently emergent, acute strokes, lending no specific support to that context. I do not expect that to change based on this paper,” Dr. Payne concluded.

“It is not clear to me that transradial neurointervention will change much. We have excellent safety data for the femoral approach, a proven track record of efficacy, and for most patients it seems to afford a somewhat wider range of tools that can be deployed, with simpler anatomy for accessing the cervical vessels in most arches. It is reassuring that the results reported by Dr. Almallouhi did not suggest negative outcomes, and as such I suspect the transradial approach at least gives us an additional option in a minority of patients. We have seen in the past 5-10 years an explosion of tools for the endovascular treatment of stroke; transradial access represents another potential strategy that appears so far to be safe,” Dr. Payne said.

Drs. Nogueira, Almallouhi, and Payne had no relevant disclosures.

SOURCE: Almallouhi E et al. Stroke. 2020 Feb;51(suppl 1):A64.

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New strategies cut esophageal damage from AFib catheter ablation

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– Thermal injury of a patient’s esophagus during radiofrequency catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation is notorious as a relatively common and problematic complication of the procedure, but two new approaches showed promise for substantially cutting the risk of esophageal thermal injury and the potential for the most severe damage: perforation.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Mark M. Gallagher

One of these innovations is intensive esophageal cooling with a commercially marketed, fluid-chilled catheter placed in a patient’s esophagus during radiofrequency catheter ablation that keeps the inner surface of the esophagus at 4°C. This approach cut the incidence of periprocedural episodes of endoscopically detected esophageal thermal injury from 20% among controls to 3% in patients who had esophageal cooling in a randomized study with 120 patients, Mark M. Gallagher, MD, said at the annual International AF Symposium. The same device can also maintain a temperature on the inner surface of the esophagus of 42 ° C in patients undergoing cryoablation of atrial fibrillation, noted Dr. Gallagher, a cardiac electrophysiologist at St. George’s University Hospitals in London.

A second approach to cutting esophageal damage focuses on modifying the energy delivery with a radiofrequency ablation method known as high-power short-duration (HPSD). As the name says, this strategy uses a relatively high level of radiofrequency energy, 50 watts in the reported experience, for the brief interval of about 7 seconds, ideally delivering an overall Ablation Index of at least 350 but below 360, said Thomas Deneke, MD, an electrophysiologist, professor, and cochief of cardiology at the Heart Center in Bad Neustadt, Germany.

Dr. Deneke and his associates in Bad Neustadt began using this HPSD approach in mid-2019, and by early 2020 they had data from 179 patients who underwent first-time catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AFib), all of whom had undergone routine esophageal endoscopy 1-3 days after their treatment. Eight patients (4%) showed evidence of endoscopically detected esophageal lesions (EDEL), including three patients (2%) with an actual esophageal ulcer, and one (0.6%) who developed a perforation that healed after 52 days, Dr. Deneke reported. An additional 55 patients underwent a redo catheter ablation procedure using the HPSD method during this period, and in that group follow-up endoscopy in all patients showed EDEL in two patients (4%). In contrast, during Jan. 2012–May 2019, the same German center treated 2,102 patients who had a first radiofrequency catheter ablation using convention energy levels and treatment times, which resulted in 291 patients having an EDEL (14%), including 94 (4%) with an ulcer, and six patients (0.3%) with an esophageal perforation, he said.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Thomas Deneke

His center’s recent safety experience with HPSD radiofrequncy ablation, compared with the historical controls, suggests that this technique can produce a substantial reduction in esophageal thermal injury, but HPSD has not completely eliminated the risk and hence there is need for continued alertness for this potential complication Dr. Deneke concluded. The HPSD method is also limited by having “a very narrow window” between efficacy at an Ablation Index of 350 and safety when the index remains below 360, he added.

The randomized study that Dr. Gallagher ran at St. George’s followed an analysis he and his associates recently published that suggested efficacy using esophageal cooling in prior reports when the data combined in a meta-analysis (J Interv Card Electrophysiol. 2019 Nov 22. doi: 10.1007/s10840-019-00661-5). They also concluded that the clinical setting required a temperature control device with an enhanced capacity for rapid cooling, which prior studies had lacked. So they turned to a Food and Drug Administration–approved catheter designed for placement in the esophagus for the purpose of either whole-body cooling or warming.

The study randomized a total of 187 patients, but collected follow-up endoscopy at 5-7 days after the ablation procedure on 120 patients, of whom 60 received esophageal cooling and 60 did not. The types of ablations performed on patients in the two study arms were similar, and use of esophageal cooling had no impact on treatment duration or efficacy, either acute and longer term, Dr. Gallagher reported.

Cooling had a marked and statistically significant impact on endoscopically detected thermal injury. Although two patients in the group that underwent cooling had injuries, in one of these cases the injury involved a protocol violation: Radiofrequency ablation mistakenly occurred after the cooling device shut off, and it was during this period when the injury happened. In the second case of thermal injury, blinded scoring judged the injury as grade 2 in severity – an erosion of less than 5 mm – on a nine-item scale that ranged from zero to grade 6, the most severe level denoting a fistula. By contrast, among the 12 patients with thermal injury in the nonprotected subgroup, one patient had a grade 5a lesion denoting a deep ulcer, one had a 4b denoting a superficial ulcer with a clot, and four had a 4a lesion defined as a clean superficial ulcer.

“This is really effective. It’s the first study to show reduced damage without affecting ablation efficacy,” Dr. Gallagher said. He plans to now use this method of esophageal protection routinely for his AFib ablation patients who pay privately, and for patients insured under the national U.K. system once this coverage is approved. Dr. Deneke expressed his interest in also using this approach to esophageal protection, but noted that currently he did not have access to the cooling catheter that Dr. Gallagher used because of regulatory constraints.

The esophageal cooling study was sponsored by Attune Medical, which markets the cooling device. Dr. Gallagher has received research funding from Attune Medical, and has received honoraria as a speaker on behalf of Biosense Webster and Medtronic. Dr. Deneke has been a speaker on behalf of Abbott, Biosense Webster, Biotronik, and Boston Scientific, and his institution has received research funding from Biosense Webster and Securus/Boston Scientific.

 

 

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– Thermal injury of a patient’s esophagus during radiofrequency catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation is notorious as a relatively common and problematic complication of the procedure, but two new approaches showed promise for substantially cutting the risk of esophageal thermal injury and the potential for the most severe damage: perforation.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Mark M. Gallagher

One of these innovations is intensive esophageal cooling with a commercially marketed, fluid-chilled catheter placed in a patient’s esophagus during radiofrequency catheter ablation that keeps the inner surface of the esophagus at 4°C. This approach cut the incidence of periprocedural episodes of endoscopically detected esophageal thermal injury from 20% among controls to 3% in patients who had esophageal cooling in a randomized study with 120 patients, Mark M. Gallagher, MD, said at the annual International AF Symposium. The same device can also maintain a temperature on the inner surface of the esophagus of 42 ° C in patients undergoing cryoablation of atrial fibrillation, noted Dr. Gallagher, a cardiac electrophysiologist at St. George’s University Hospitals in London.

A second approach to cutting esophageal damage focuses on modifying the energy delivery with a radiofrequency ablation method known as high-power short-duration (HPSD). As the name says, this strategy uses a relatively high level of radiofrequency energy, 50 watts in the reported experience, for the brief interval of about 7 seconds, ideally delivering an overall Ablation Index of at least 350 but below 360, said Thomas Deneke, MD, an electrophysiologist, professor, and cochief of cardiology at the Heart Center in Bad Neustadt, Germany.

Dr. Deneke and his associates in Bad Neustadt began using this HPSD approach in mid-2019, and by early 2020 they had data from 179 patients who underwent first-time catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AFib), all of whom had undergone routine esophageal endoscopy 1-3 days after their treatment. Eight patients (4%) showed evidence of endoscopically detected esophageal lesions (EDEL), including three patients (2%) with an actual esophageal ulcer, and one (0.6%) who developed a perforation that healed after 52 days, Dr. Deneke reported. An additional 55 patients underwent a redo catheter ablation procedure using the HPSD method during this period, and in that group follow-up endoscopy in all patients showed EDEL in two patients (4%). In contrast, during Jan. 2012–May 2019, the same German center treated 2,102 patients who had a first radiofrequency catheter ablation using convention energy levels and treatment times, which resulted in 291 patients having an EDEL (14%), including 94 (4%) with an ulcer, and six patients (0.3%) with an esophageal perforation, he said.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Thomas Deneke

His center’s recent safety experience with HPSD radiofrequncy ablation, compared with the historical controls, suggests that this technique can produce a substantial reduction in esophageal thermal injury, but HPSD has not completely eliminated the risk and hence there is need for continued alertness for this potential complication Dr. Deneke concluded. The HPSD method is also limited by having “a very narrow window” between efficacy at an Ablation Index of 350 and safety when the index remains below 360, he added.

The randomized study that Dr. Gallagher ran at St. George’s followed an analysis he and his associates recently published that suggested efficacy using esophageal cooling in prior reports when the data combined in a meta-analysis (J Interv Card Electrophysiol. 2019 Nov 22. doi: 10.1007/s10840-019-00661-5). They also concluded that the clinical setting required a temperature control device with an enhanced capacity for rapid cooling, which prior studies had lacked. So they turned to a Food and Drug Administration–approved catheter designed for placement in the esophagus for the purpose of either whole-body cooling or warming.

The study randomized a total of 187 patients, but collected follow-up endoscopy at 5-7 days after the ablation procedure on 120 patients, of whom 60 received esophageal cooling and 60 did not. The types of ablations performed on patients in the two study arms were similar, and use of esophageal cooling had no impact on treatment duration or efficacy, either acute and longer term, Dr. Gallagher reported.

Cooling had a marked and statistically significant impact on endoscopically detected thermal injury. Although two patients in the group that underwent cooling had injuries, in one of these cases the injury involved a protocol violation: Radiofrequency ablation mistakenly occurred after the cooling device shut off, and it was during this period when the injury happened. In the second case of thermal injury, blinded scoring judged the injury as grade 2 in severity – an erosion of less than 5 mm – on a nine-item scale that ranged from zero to grade 6, the most severe level denoting a fistula. By contrast, among the 12 patients with thermal injury in the nonprotected subgroup, one patient had a grade 5a lesion denoting a deep ulcer, one had a 4b denoting a superficial ulcer with a clot, and four had a 4a lesion defined as a clean superficial ulcer.

“This is really effective. It’s the first study to show reduced damage without affecting ablation efficacy,” Dr. Gallagher said. He plans to now use this method of esophageal protection routinely for his AFib ablation patients who pay privately, and for patients insured under the national U.K. system once this coverage is approved. Dr. Deneke expressed his interest in also using this approach to esophageal protection, but noted that currently he did not have access to the cooling catheter that Dr. Gallagher used because of regulatory constraints.

The esophageal cooling study was sponsored by Attune Medical, which markets the cooling device. Dr. Gallagher has received research funding from Attune Medical, and has received honoraria as a speaker on behalf of Biosense Webster and Medtronic. Dr. Deneke has been a speaker on behalf of Abbott, Biosense Webster, Biotronik, and Boston Scientific, and his institution has received research funding from Biosense Webster and Securus/Boston Scientific.

 

 

 

– Thermal injury of a patient’s esophagus during radiofrequency catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation is notorious as a relatively common and problematic complication of the procedure, but two new approaches showed promise for substantially cutting the risk of esophageal thermal injury and the potential for the most severe damage: perforation.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Mark M. Gallagher

One of these innovations is intensive esophageal cooling with a commercially marketed, fluid-chilled catheter placed in a patient’s esophagus during radiofrequency catheter ablation that keeps the inner surface of the esophagus at 4°C. This approach cut the incidence of periprocedural episodes of endoscopically detected esophageal thermal injury from 20% among controls to 3% in patients who had esophageal cooling in a randomized study with 120 patients, Mark M. Gallagher, MD, said at the annual International AF Symposium. The same device can also maintain a temperature on the inner surface of the esophagus of 42 ° C in patients undergoing cryoablation of atrial fibrillation, noted Dr. Gallagher, a cardiac electrophysiologist at St. George’s University Hospitals in London.

A second approach to cutting esophageal damage focuses on modifying the energy delivery with a radiofrequency ablation method known as high-power short-duration (HPSD). As the name says, this strategy uses a relatively high level of radiofrequency energy, 50 watts in the reported experience, for the brief interval of about 7 seconds, ideally delivering an overall Ablation Index of at least 350 but below 360, said Thomas Deneke, MD, an electrophysiologist, professor, and cochief of cardiology at the Heart Center in Bad Neustadt, Germany.

Dr. Deneke and his associates in Bad Neustadt began using this HPSD approach in mid-2019, and by early 2020 they had data from 179 patients who underwent first-time catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AFib), all of whom had undergone routine esophageal endoscopy 1-3 days after their treatment. Eight patients (4%) showed evidence of endoscopically detected esophageal lesions (EDEL), including three patients (2%) with an actual esophageal ulcer, and one (0.6%) who developed a perforation that healed after 52 days, Dr. Deneke reported. An additional 55 patients underwent a redo catheter ablation procedure using the HPSD method during this period, and in that group follow-up endoscopy in all patients showed EDEL in two patients (4%). In contrast, during Jan. 2012–May 2019, the same German center treated 2,102 patients who had a first radiofrequency catheter ablation using convention energy levels and treatment times, which resulted in 291 patients having an EDEL (14%), including 94 (4%) with an ulcer, and six patients (0.3%) with an esophageal perforation, he said.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Thomas Deneke

His center’s recent safety experience with HPSD radiofrequncy ablation, compared with the historical controls, suggests that this technique can produce a substantial reduction in esophageal thermal injury, but HPSD has not completely eliminated the risk and hence there is need for continued alertness for this potential complication Dr. Deneke concluded. The HPSD method is also limited by having “a very narrow window” between efficacy at an Ablation Index of 350 and safety when the index remains below 360, he added.

The randomized study that Dr. Gallagher ran at St. George’s followed an analysis he and his associates recently published that suggested efficacy using esophageal cooling in prior reports when the data combined in a meta-analysis (J Interv Card Electrophysiol. 2019 Nov 22. doi: 10.1007/s10840-019-00661-5). They also concluded that the clinical setting required a temperature control device with an enhanced capacity for rapid cooling, which prior studies had lacked. So they turned to a Food and Drug Administration–approved catheter designed for placement in the esophagus for the purpose of either whole-body cooling or warming.

The study randomized a total of 187 patients, but collected follow-up endoscopy at 5-7 days after the ablation procedure on 120 patients, of whom 60 received esophageal cooling and 60 did not. The types of ablations performed on patients in the two study arms were similar, and use of esophageal cooling had no impact on treatment duration or efficacy, either acute and longer term, Dr. Gallagher reported.

Cooling had a marked and statistically significant impact on endoscopically detected thermal injury. Although two patients in the group that underwent cooling had injuries, in one of these cases the injury involved a protocol violation: Radiofrequency ablation mistakenly occurred after the cooling device shut off, and it was during this period when the injury happened. In the second case of thermal injury, blinded scoring judged the injury as grade 2 in severity – an erosion of less than 5 mm – on a nine-item scale that ranged from zero to grade 6, the most severe level denoting a fistula. By contrast, among the 12 patients with thermal injury in the nonprotected subgroup, one patient had a grade 5a lesion denoting a deep ulcer, one had a 4b denoting a superficial ulcer with a clot, and four had a 4a lesion defined as a clean superficial ulcer.

“This is really effective. It’s the first study to show reduced damage without affecting ablation efficacy,” Dr. Gallagher said. He plans to now use this method of esophageal protection routinely for his AFib ablation patients who pay privately, and for patients insured under the national U.K. system once this coverage is approved. Dr. Deneke expressed his interest in also using this approach to esophageal protection, but noted that currently he did not have access to the cooling catheter that Dr. Gallagher used because of regulatory constraints.

The esophageal cooling study was sponsored by Attune Medical, which markets the cooling device. Dr. Gallagher has received research funding from Attune Medical, and has received honoraria as a speaker on behalf of Biosense Webster and Medtronic. Dr. Deneke has been a speaker on behalf of Abbott, Biosense Webster, Biotronik, and Boston Scientific, and his institution has received research funding from Biosense Webster and Securus/Boston Scientific.

 

 

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AI algorithm finds diagnostic AFib signatures in normal ECGs

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– Researchers have created an artificial intelligence algorithm that can evaluate a 10-second ECG recording of a person in normal sinus rhythm and tell with a sensitivity and specificity of almost 80% whether or not that person ever had atrial fibrillation episodes some time in the past or will have a first arrhythmia episode in the near future.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Paul A. Friedman

Although this algorithm – derived from and then validated with a dataset of nearly 650,000 ECG recordings from more than 180,000 patients – still needs prospective validation, it offers the prospect for a potential revolution in screening for atrial fibrillation (AFib), Paul A. Friedman, MD, cautioned at the annual International AF Symposium. If initial clinical findings are confirmed, it would show that a 10-second, 12-lead ECG recording can provide the same screening scope as what otherwise takes weeks of ambulatory ECG recording with a Holter monitor or an implanted device, explained Dr. Friedman, professor of medicine and chair of the department of cardiovascular medicine at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn.

This finding “could have important implications for atrial fibrillation screening and for the management of patients with unexplained stroke,” Dr. Friedman and his associates noted in the published report of their study (Lancet. 2019 Sep 7;394[10201]:861-7). “We’re still working to define the window of ECG” recording time that provides the optimal assessment for a history of asymptomatic AFib, but the “possibilities this opens are huge,” Dr. Friedman said in his talk at the symposium. This work sprang from the premise that “subtle signatures” in a brief, apparently normal sinus rhythm ECG tracing can harbor reliable clues about AFib history or an imminent episode.

The 2019 report by Dr. Friedman and associates documented that in the validation phase of their study, the trained artificial intelligence (AI) program identified patients with a history of AFib or an impending arrhythmia event from a single, 10-second ECG that to the naked eye seemed to show normal sinus rhythm with a sensitivity of 79.0%, a specificity of 79.5%, and an accuracy of 79.4%. It also showed an area under a receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87, meaning that screening for AFib by this method compared favorably with the area-under-the-curve (AUC) results tallied by several widely accepted screening tools, including Pap smears for cervical cancer (AUC of 0.70), mammograms for breast cancer (AUC of 0.85), and CHA2DS2-VASc scoring for estimating stroke risk in AFib patients (AUC of 0.57-0.72), Dr. Friedman said.



The researchers developed the AI algorithm with more than 450,000 10-second ECG tracings collected from roughly 126,000 patients who underwent at least one ECG recording as part of their routine care at the Mayo Clinic during 1993-2017. The goal was for the program to find and validate recurring characteristics in the ECG that consistently linked with a history of or an impending AFib episode and that did not appear in ECG recordings from people without any AFib history. The program this effort produced then underwent further adjustment with the use of more than 64,340 ECGs from an additional 18,116 patients, and then the final product underwent validation testing with a further 130,802 ECGs collected from an additional 36,280 people, the study phase that resulted in the reported sensitivity and specificity estimates.

It’s currently unclear to Dr. Friedman and associates what specific features the program uses to classify patients. It’s an important question, but if the results are reproducible and reliable, this uncertainty shouldn’t slow clinical adoption, he said in an interview.

While “this particular algorithm needs prospective vetting,” a similar algorithm developed by Dr. Friedman and the same research team that uses a 10-second ECG to identify patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction of 35% or less is further advanced in development, and a device that uses this algorithm will soon receive Food and Drug Administration review under a fast track designation that the agency approved in late 2019.

The researchers developed this algorithm for estimating left ventricular function using a strategy similar to their development of a tool for diagnosing AFib (Nat Med. 2019 Jan 7;25[1]:70-4), and results from 100 patients prospectively studied with this approach to ECG analysis and reported at the American Heart Association scientific sessions in November 2019 showed that the algorithm identified substantial left ventricular dysfunction with an AUC of 0.906 (Circulation. 2019 Nov 19;140[suppl 1]:A13447). The same team of investigators has developed an AI algorithm that can calculate a person’s physiologic age based on the ECG recording (Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol. 2019 Sep;12[9]: 10.1161/CIRCEP.119.007284).

The study received no commercial funding, and Dr. Friedman and coauthors had no relevant disclosures. The Mayo Clinic has licensed a related artificial intelligence algorithm to EKO, and Dr. Friedman may benefit financially from this arrangement.

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– Researchers have created an artificial intelligence algorithm that can evaluate a 10-second ECG recording of a person in normal sinus rhythm and tell with a sensitivity and specificity of almost 80% whether or not that person ever had atrial fibrillation episodes some time in the past or will have a first arrhythmia episode in the near future.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Paul A. Friedman

Although this algorithm – derived from and then validated with a dataset of nearly 650,000 ECG recordings from more than 180,000 patients – still needs prospective validation, it offers the prospect for a potential revolution in screening for atrial fibrillation (AFib), Paul A. Friedman, MD, cautioned at the annual International AF Symposium. If initial clinical findings are confirmed, it would show that a 10-second, 12-lead ECG recording can provide the same screening scope as what otherwise takes weeks of ambulatory ECG recording with a Holter monitor or an implanted device, explained Dr. Friedman, professor of medicine and chair of the department of cardiovascular medicine at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn.

This finding “could have important implications for atrial fibrillation screening and for the management of patients with unexplained stroke,” Dr. Friedman and his associates noted in the published report of their study (Lancet. 2019 Sep 7;394[10201]:861-7). “We’re still working to define the window of ECG” recording time that provides the optimal assessment for a history of asymptomatic AFib, but the “possibilities this opens are huge,” Dr. Friedman said in his talk at the symposium. This work sprang from the premise that “subtle signatures” in a brief, apparently normal sinus rhythm ECG tracing can harbor reliable clues about AFib history or an imminent episode.

The 2019 report by Dr. Friedman and associates documented that in the validation phase of their study, the trained artificial intelligence (AI) program identified patients with a history of AFib or an impending arrhythmia event from a single, 10-second ECG that to the naked eye seemed to show normal sinus rhythm with a sensitivity of 79.0%, a specificity of 79.5%, and an accuracy of 79.4%. It also showed an area under a receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87, meaning that screening for AFib by this method compared favorably with the area-under-the-curve (AUC) results tallied by several widely accepted screening tools, including Pap smears for cervical cancer (AUC of 0.70), mammograms for breast cancer (AUC of 0.85), and CHA2DS2-VASc scoring for estimating stroke risk in AFib patients (AUC of 0.57-0.72), Dr. Friedman said.



The researchers developed the AI algorithm with more than 450,000 10-second ECG tracings collected from roughly 126,000 patients who underwent at least one ECG recording as part of their routine care at the Mayo Clinic during 1993-2017. The goal was for the program to find and validate recurring characteristics in the ECG that consistently linked with a history of or an impending AFib episode and that did not appear in ECG recordings from people without any AFib history. The program this effort produced then underwent further adjustment with the use of more than 64,340 ECGs from an additional 18,116 patients, and then the final product underwent validation testing with a further 130,802 ECGs collected from an additional 36,280 people, the study phase that resulted in the reported sensitivity and specificity estimates.

It’s currently unclear to Dr. Friedman and associates what specific features the program uses to classify patients. It’s an important question, but if the results are reproducible and reliable, this uncertainty shouldn’t slow clinical adoption, he said in an interview.

While “this particular algorithm needs prospective vetting,” a similar algorithm developed by Dr. Friedman and the same research team that uses a 10-second ECG to identify patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction of 35% or less is further advanced in development, and a device that uses this algorithm will soon receive Food and Drug Administration review under a fast track designation that the agency approved in late 2019.

The researchers developed this algorithm for estimating left ventricular function using a strategy similar to their development of a tool for diagnosing AFib (Nat Med. 2019 Jan 7;25[1]:70-4), and results from 100 patients prospectively studied with this approach to ECG analysis and reported at the American Heart Association scientific sessions in November 2019 showed that the algorithm identified substantial left ventricular dysfunction with an AUC of 0.906 (Circulation. 2019 Nov 19;140[suppl 1]:A13447). The same team of investigators has developed an AI algorithm that can calculate a person’s physiologic age based on the ECG recording (Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol. 2019 Sep;12[9]: 10.1161/CIRCEP.119.007284).

The study received no commercial funding, and Dr. Friedman and coauthors had no relevant disclosures. The Mayo Clinic has licensed a related artificial intelligence algorithm to EKO, and Dr. Friedman may benefit financially from this arrangement.

– Researchers have created an artificial intelligence algorithm that can evaluate a 10-second ECG recording of a person in normal sinus rhythm and tell with a sensitivity and specificity of almost 80% whether or not that person ever had atrial fibrillation episodes some time in the past or will have a first arrhythmia episode in the near future.

Mitchel L. Zoler/MDedge News
Dr. Paul A. Friedman

Although this algorithm – derived from and then validated with a dataset of nearly 650,000 ECG recordings from more than 180,000 patients – still needs prospective validation, it offers the prospect for a potential revolution in screening for atrial fibrillation (AFib), Paul A. Friedman, MD, cautioned at the annual International AF Symposium. If initial clinical findings are confirmed, it would show that a 10-second, 12-lead ECG recording can provide the same screening scope as what otherwise takes weeks of ambulatory ECG recording with a Holter monitor or an implanted device, explained Dr. Friedman, professor of medicine and chair of the department of cardiovascular medicine at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn.

This finding “could have important implications for atrial fibrillation screening and for the management of patients with unexplained stroke,” Dr. Friedman and his associates noted in the published report of their study (Lancet. 2019 Sep 7;394[10201]:861-7). “We’re still working to define the window of ECG” recording time that provides the optimal assessment for a history of asymptomatic AFib, but the “possibilities this opens are huge,” Dr. Friedman said in his talk at the symposium. This work sprang from the premise that “subtle signatures” in a brief, apparently normal sinus rhythm ECG tracing can harbor reliable clues about AFib history or an imminent episode.

The 2019 report by Dr. Friedman and associates documented that in the validation phase of their study, the trained artificial intelligence (AI) program identified patients with a history of AFib or an impending arrhythmia event from a single, 10-second ECG that to the naked eye seemed to show normal sinus rhythm with a sensitivity of 79.0%, a specificity of 79.5%, and an accuracy of 79.4%. It also showed an area under a receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87, meaning that screening for AFib by this method compared favorably with the area-under-the-curve (AUC) results tallied by several widely accepted screening tools, including Pap smears for cervical cancer (AUC of 0.70), mammograms for breast cancer (AUC of 0.85), and CHA2DS2-VASc scoring for estimating stroke risk in AFib patients (AUC of 0.57-0.72), Dr. Friedman said.



The researchers developed the AI algorithm with more than 450,000 10-second ECG tracings collected from roughly 126,000 patients who underwent at least one ECG recording as part of their routine care at the Mayo Clinic during 1993-2017. The goal was for the program to find and validate recurring characteristics in the ECG that consistently linked with a history of or an impending AFib episode and that did not appear in ECG recordings from people without any AFib history. The program this effort produced then underwent further adjustment with the use of more than 64,340 ECGs from an additional 18,116 patients, and then the final product underwent validation testing with a further 130,802 ECGs collected from an additional 36,280 people, the study phase that resulted in the reported sensitivity and specificity estimates.

It’s currently unclear to Dr. Friedman and associates what specific features the program uses to classify patients. It’s an important question, but if the results are reproducible and reliable, this uncertainty shouldn’t slow clinical adoption, he said in an interview.

While “this particular algorithm needs prospective vetting,” a similar algorithm developed by Dr. Friedman and the same research team that uses a 10-second ECG to identify patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction of 35% or less is further advanced in development, and a device that uses this algorithm will soon receive Food and Drug Administration review under a fast track designation that the agency approved in late 2019.

The researchers developed this algorithm for estimating left ventricular function using a strategy similar to their development of a tool for diagnosing AFib (Nat Med. 2019 Jan 7;25[1]:70-4), and results from 100 patients prospectively studied with this approach to ECG analysis and reported at the American Heart Association scientific sessions in November 2019 showed that the algorithm identified substantial left ventricular dysfunction with an AUC of 0.906 (Circulation. 2019 Nov 19;140[suppl 1]:A13447). The same team of investigators has developed an AI algorithm that can calculate a person’s physiologic age based on the ECG recording (Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol. 2019 Sep;12[9]: 10.1161/CIRCEP.119.007284).

The study received no commercial funding, and Dr. Friedman and coauthors had no relevant disclosures. The Mayo Clinic has licensed a related artificial intelligence algorithm to EKO, and Dr. Friedman may benefit financially from this arrangement.

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